KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · gru_s3

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 480

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

130

of 160 predictions shown

direction hit

75.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3962

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0416

actual -0.2225

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.030038	0.027042	-9.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.027273	-10.58%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.026146	-10.96%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.026281	-11.21%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.030468	-12.70%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.03125	-13.89%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.029101	-13.70%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.027707	-13.19%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.025379	-12.11%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.024058	-12.21%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.022206	-11.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.022044	-11.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.022096	-12.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.021714	-12.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.018398	-11.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.02006	-11.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.02314	-13.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.017867	-12.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.017043	-11.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.019192	-12.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.01883	-12.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.020962	-13.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.022915	-13.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.027717	-16.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.013362	-8.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.013556	-9.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.012557	-6.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.01242	-6.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.012744	-6.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.012871	-5.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013091	-4.72%	0.030038	+118.62%	0.8605	✗	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.012644	-6.42%	0.030499	+125.75%	0.8641	✗	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.012932	-6.44%	0.029365	+112.46%	0.8146	✗	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.012762	-5.54%	0.029598	+119.08%	0.8309	✗	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.013105	-5.68%	0.034899	+151.18%	0.9237	✗	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.013205	-5.34%	0.036292	+160.14%	0.9509	✗	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.012617	-3.65%	0.03372	+157.49%	0.9072	✗	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.012667	-2.67%	0.031919	+145.24%	0.8831	✗	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.012954	-2.19%	0.028875	+118.02%	0.7247	✗	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.013705	-2.04%	0.027404	+95.89%	0.6390	✗	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.013826	-1.02%	0.025037	+79.24%	0.5188	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.01383	-0.45%	0.025012	+80.03%	0.5172	✗	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.014174	+1.48%	0.025199	+80.41%	0.5246	✓	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014395	+1.53%	0.024821	+75.06%	0.5077	✓	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.015105	+1.21%	0.020707	+38.74%	0.2687	✓	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.016011	+1.74%	0.022712	+44.31%	0.2938	✓	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015959	+1.68%	0.026838	+71.00%	0.4555	✓	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.01659	+1.35%	0.020323	+24.16%	0.1389	✓	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.017209	+2.49%	0.019305	+14.97%	0.0847	✓	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017186	-1.23%	0.022008	+26.48%	0.1557	✗	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017626	-0.93%	0.021486	+20.77%	0.1022	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.018159	+0.08%	0.024146	+33.08%	0.2259	✓	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.01773	-0.03%	0.026617	+50.08%	0.3290	✗	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017645	+0.50%	0.033197	+89.09%	0.5574	✓	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.018045	+0.74%	0.014683	-18.02%	0.3023	✗	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.018296	+2.84%	0.01501	-15.63%	0.2628	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017718	+2.70%	0.013481	-21.86%	0.3527	✗	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018584	+2.20%	0.01323	-27.24%	0.4331	✗	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.019243	+2.80%	0.01364	-27.13%	0.4326	✗	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.020501	+0.76%	0.013553	-33.39%	0.5616	✗	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.01856	+1.98%	0.01374	-24.51%	0.4641	✗	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.01817	+3.52%	0.01351	-23.03%	0.3473	✗	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017329	+0.22%	0.013822	-20.07%	0.3916	✗	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016547	-1.82%	0.01351	-19.83%	0.4407	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.01538	-3.61%	0.013894	-12.93%	0.3741	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.01689	-4.36%	0.013951	-21.00%	0.4576	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.01689	-4.95%	0.013095	-26.31%	0.5571	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017031	-4.88%	0.013015	-27.31%	0.6271	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.016984	-4.88%	0.013244	-25.82%	0.5784	✓	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.01673	-4.32%	0.01399	-19.99%	0.5201	✓	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.016526	-4.25%	0.013969	-19.07%	0.4779	✓	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.01756	-4.72%	0.013893	-24.62%	0.5224	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.01725	-4.30%	0.013968	-22.51%	0.5371	✓	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.01667	-3.30%	0.014179	-17.76%	0.4859	✓	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016506	-2.91%	0.014925	-12.21%	0.4367	✓	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017201	-3.42%	0.015738	-11.63%	0.4545	✓	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.017547	-3.80%	0.015695	-13.95%	0.4839	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.017778	-4.03%	0.016369	-11.64%	0.4393	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.017564	-4.47%	0.016792	-8.67%	0.4854	✓	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.016602	-3.87%	0.0174	+0.75%	0.3128	✓	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015505	-3.16%	0.017791	+11.12%	0.2219	✓	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014463	-2.38%	0.018144	+22.47%	0.1721	✓	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.014854	-2.31%	0.017735	+16.64%	0.1994	✓	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016467	-3.13%	0.017556	+3.27%	0.2666	✓	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.015006	-2.43%	0.017912	+16.46%	0.1561	✓	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.014057	-1.77%	0.01779	+24.32%	0.1480	✓	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013339	-1.34%	0.017253	+27.61%	0.1007	✓	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.016559	-4.28%	0.018184	+5.11%	0.1850	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.012897	-1.17%	0.018718	+43.44%	0.1011	✗	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.013846	-1.91%	0.020346	+44.14%	0.1278	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013408	-1.52%	0.0182	+33.68%	0.0737	✗	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.012945	-0.88%	0.017552	+34.40%	0.0642	✗	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.012866	-1.03%	0.017291	+33.01%	0.1632	✗	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.014723	-2.63%	0.016853	+11.46%	0.0411	✗	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015492	-3.14%	0.015957	-0.24%	0.0296	✓	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015149	-2.95%	0.01766	+13.13%	0.1611	✗	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.01565	-3.24%	0.01777	+9.86%	0.1534	✗	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.018319	-3.69%	0.017905	-5.86%	0.0038	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.018801	-3.54%	0.017855	-8.39%	0.0075	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.020157	-3.60%	0.017485	-16.38%	0.1029	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.01953	-3.25%	0.01726	-14.49%	0.1533	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.020049	-3.38%	0.01843	-11.18%	0.0788	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.019844	-3.34%	0.018025	-12.20%	0.0997	✓	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.020229	-3.44%	0.01724	-17.71%	0.1784	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.01962	-3.09%	0.017	-16.03%	0.1874	✓	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.019414	-2.91%	0.01781	-10.93%	0.1536	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.020354	-3.19%	0.01824	-13.25%	0.1336	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.021327	-3.46%	0.018525	-16.14%	0.1559	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.020648	-3.33%	0.018385	-13.93%	0.1277	✓	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.019629	-3.19%	0.01727	-14.82%	0.1374	✓	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.020493	-3.52%	0.01601	-24.62%	0.2713	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.021963	-3.95%	0.014815	-35.21%	0.4275	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.022068	-3.67%	0.015205	-33.63%	0.4500	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.02296	-3.65%	0.017	-28.66%	0.4756	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.025433	-4.91%	0.01538	-42.49%	0.6049	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.024936	-4.62%	0.01431	-45.27%	0.6735	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.024152	-4.44%	0.01352	-46.51%	0.6820	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.025189	-4.88%	0.0173	-34.67%	0.5186	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.024161	-4.43%	0.01305	-48.38%	0.7373	✓	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.023105	-4.29%	0.014115	-41.53%	0.5785	✓	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.024262	-5.12%	0.013615	-46.75%	0.6438	✓	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.027618	-6.93%	0.01306	-55.99%	0.8042	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.028197	-7.00%	0.013	-57.12%	0.8599	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.028136	-7.27%	0.01512	-50.16%	0.6474	✓	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.025878	-5.73%	0.015995	-41.73%	0.5115	✓	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.024966	-5.11%	0.01561	-40.67%	0.5164	✓	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.026799	-6.17%	0.016175	-43.36%	0.4916	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.027411	-6.67%	0.01902	-35.24%	0.3204	✓	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.0276	-6.82%	0.01949	-34.20%	0.3100	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.028595	-6.98%	0.02091	-31.98%	0.2954	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.02976	-7.02%	0.020185	-36.93%	0.3316	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.02905	-6.32%	0.02075	-33.09%	0.3415	✓	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.02851	-6.00%	0.02053	-32.31%	0.3335	✓	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.029271	-5.65%	0.02095	-32.47%	0.4062	✓	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.029635	-5.86%	0.020245	-35.69%	0.4209	✓	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.030263	-6.60%	0.019995	-38.29%	0.3918	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.032014	-7.63%	0.021025	-39.34%	0.4210	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.034689	-8.35%	0.02209	-41.64%	0.5645	✓	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.026822	-4.17%	0.02136	-23.69%	0.3111	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.031814	-6.90%	0.020275	-40.66%	0.4392	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.034538	-8.19%	0.02124	-43.54%	0.4621	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.033578	-8.73%	0.022865	-37.85%	0.3035	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.036803	-11.98%	0.02291	-45.20%	0.3006	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.042341	-15.32%	0.02383	-52.34%	0.3459	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.054556	-19.21%	0.026745	-60.40%	0.5090	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.03472	-9.23%	0.026145	-31.65%	0.0737	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.033818	-8.03%	0.025275	-31.26%	0.0870	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.036064	-7.95%	0.02648	-32.41%	0.0950	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.040565	-8.56%	0.02528	-43.01%	0.2338	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.046578	-9.50%	0.02414	-53.09%	0.4208	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.049574	-9.39%	0.02557	-53.26%	0.4560	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.04885	-8.49%	0.029675	-44.41%	0.3173	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.051375	-8.26%	0.03032	-45.86%	0.3508	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.0495	-7.57%	0.03034	-43.35%	0.3010	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.0498	-7.28%	0.02745	-48.89%	0.3963	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.057711	-7.06%	0.02631	-57.63%	0.5859	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.056802	-7.13%	0.02856	-53.31%	0.5103	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.069096	-6.89%	0.02937	-60.42%	0.6903	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.071241	-6.87%	0.02962	-61.28%	0.7134	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.088202	-6.22%	0.03074	-67.32%	0.8691	✓	1.00