HMM

Thinking Cat · Robinhood · gru_s3

token id: #766
symbol: HMM
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-12
predictions: 186

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 62 predictions shown

direction hit

61.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2654

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0191

actual -0.1284

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00679	0.00674	-0.75%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.006935	0.006885	-0.73%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.006911	0.006879	-0.46%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.007476	0.007397	-1.07%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.008448	0.008291	-1.85%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-16	oos	0.008892	0.008699	-2.18%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-15	oos	0.008617	0.008447	-1.98%	–	pending	–	–	3.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.009034	0.008832	-2.24%	0.00679	-24.83%	0.3095	✓	3.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.008849	0.008659	-2.14%	0.006935	-21.63%	0.2151	✓	3.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.008725	0.008556	-1.94%	0.006911	-20.79%	0.2176	✓	3.48
2026-10-11	oos	0.009124	0.008907	-2.38%	0.007476	-18.06%	0.1035	✓	3.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.010989	0.010626	-3.31%	0.008448	-23.13%	0.1628	✓	3.58
2026-10-09	oos	0.010006	0.009704	-3.02%	0.008892	-11.13%	0.0418	✓	3.58
2026-10-08	oos	0.008488	0.008323	-1.94%	0.008617	+1.52%	0.0160	✓	3.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.010855	0.010459	-3.65%	0.009034	-16.78%	0.0755	✓	3.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.012157	0.011645	-4.22%	0.008849	-27.22%	0.1753	✓	3.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.011895	0.011374	-4.39%	0.008725	-26.65%	0.0999	✓	3.45
2026-10-04	oos	0.013768	0.013124	-4.67%	0.009124	-33.73%	0.2502	✓	3.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.014797	0.014085	-4.81%	0.010989	-25.73%	0.1724	✓	3.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.013097	0.012482	-4.69%	0.010006	-23.60%	0.1393	✓	3.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.014907	0.014128	-5.23%	0.008488	-43.06%	0.3786	✓	3.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.011815	0.011288	-4.46%	0.010855	-8.13%	0.0277	✓	3.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.012816	0.012177	-4.99%	0.012157	-5.14%	0.0773	✓	3.37
2026-09-28	oos	0.010778	0.010351	-3.96%	0.011895	+10.37%	0.0471	✗	3.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.011668	0.011137	-4.55%	0.013768	+17.99%	0.1309	✗	3.39
2026-09-26	oos	0.014306	0.013546	-5.32%	0.014797	+3.43%	0.0754	✗	3.36
2026-09-25	oos	0.013554	0.012826	-5.37%	0.013097	-3.38%	0.0044	✓	3.36
2026-09-24	oos	0.009953	0.009648	-3.07%	0.014907	+49.77%	0.4160	✗	3.50
2026-09-23	oos	0.009004	0.008855	-1.65%	0.011815	+31.22%	0.3230	✗	3.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.009465	0.009245	-2.32%	0.012816	+35.41%	0.4356	✗	3.61
2026-09-21	oos	0.012424	0.011835	-4.73%	0.010778	-13.25%	0.0361	✓	3.51
2026-09-20	oos	0.01087	0.010572	-2.74%	0.011668	+7.35%	0.0468	✓	3.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.011822	0.011447	-3.17%	0.014306	+21.02%	0.0833	✗	3.63
2026-09-18	oos	0.016224	0.015403	-5.06%	0.013554	-16.46%	0.2686	✓	3.61
2026-09-17	oos	0.011992	0.01174	-2.10%	0.009953	-17.00%	0.4922	✓	3.27
2026-09-16	oos	0.012992	0.012665	-2.51%	0.009004	-30.70%	0.6760	✓	3.26
2026-09-15	oos	0.011416	0.011345	-0.62%	0.009465	-17.09%	0.6076	✓	3.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.009685	0.00985	+1.70%	0.012424	+28.27%	0.1696	✗	3.93
2026-09-13	oos	0.008004	0.008276	+3.40%	0.01087	+35.81%	0.0619	✓	3.82
2026-09-12	oos	0.010047	0.010311	+2.62%	0.011822	+17.66%	0.0494	✗	3.71
2026-09-11	oos	0.01206	0.012284	+1.86%	0.016224	+34.53%	0.1079	✓	3.67
2026-09-10	oos	0.010417	0.010744	+3.14%	0.011992	+15.13%	0.1124	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.0096	0.009956	+3.72%	0.012992	+35.34%	0.2938	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.012026	0.012422	+3.29%	0.011416	-5.07%	0.0472	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.012792	0.013221	+3.35%	0.009685	-24.28%	0.2995	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.015676	0.016135	+2.92%	0.008004	-48.95%	0.6560	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.022874	0.022746	-0.56%	0.010047	-56.08%	0.7844	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.018372	0.018602	+1.25%	0.01206	-34.36%	0.4019	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.024546	0.024276	-1.10%	0.010417	-57.56%	0.7862	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.019138	0.018952	-0.97%	0.0096	-49.84%	0.6927	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.021014	0.020668	-1.65%	0.012026	-42.77%	0.5550	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.025262	0.024622	-2.53%	0.012792	-49.36%	0.6615	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.026994	0.025937	-3.92%	0.015676	-41.93%	0.5373	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.022167	0.021528	-2.88%	0.022874	+3.19%	0.0404	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.014283	0.014156	-0.89%	0.018372	+28.63%	0.2374	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.016661	0.016537	-0.74%	0.024546	+47.33%	0.3827	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.02285	0.022169	-2.98%	0.019138	-16.25%	0.1250	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.019711	0.019283	-2.17%	0.021014	+6.61%	0.1004	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.018916	0.018545	-1.96%	0.025262	+33.55%	0.3144	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.01615	0.015948	-1.25%	0.026994	+67.15%	0.5271	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.013719	0.013656	-0.46%	0.022167	+61.58%	0.4693	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.013329	0.013327	-0.01%	0.014283	+7.16%	0.0755	✗	1.00