HMM

Thinking Cat · Robinhood · gru_s3

token id: #766
symbol: HMM
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-12
predictions: 186

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 62 predictions shown

direction hit

52.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1389

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0053

actual -0.0145

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00679	0.00679	-0.01%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.006935	0.006934	-0.01%	0.00679	-2.08%	0.0111	✓	3.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.006911	0.006916	+0.08%	0.006935	+0.35%	0.0421	✗	3.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.007476	0.007469	-0.09%	0.006911	-7.56%	0.0708	✓	3.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.008448	0.00842	-0.33%	0.007476	-11.50%	0.1446	✓	3.36
2026-10-16	oos	0.008892	0.008854	-0.44%	0.008448	-5.00%	0.0420	✓	3.36
2026-10-15	oos	0.008617	0.008586	-0.36%	0.008892	+3.20%	0.0609	✗	3.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.009034	0.008993	-0.45%	0.008617	-4.62%	0.0659	✓	3.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.008849	0.008811	-0.42%	0.009034	+2.10%	0.0898	✗	3.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.008725	0.008696	-0.34%	0.008849	+1.42%	0.0400	✓	3.48
2026-10-11	oos	0.009124	0.009083	-0.45%	0.008725	-4.37%	0.0428	✗	3.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.010989	0.010901	-0.81%	0.009124	-16.98%	0.2109	✓	3.58
2026-10-09	oos	0.010006	0.009939	-0.67%	0.010989	+9.83%	0.0846	✗	3.58
2026-10-08	oos	0.008488	0.008464	-0.29%	0.010006	+17.88%	0.1306	✗	3.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.010855	0.010772	-0.77%	0.008488	-21.81%	0.1726	✓	3.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.012157	0.012042	-0.95%	0.010855	-10.71%	0.0116	✓	3.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.011895	0.011785	-0.93%	0.012157	+2.20%	0.0396	✗	3.45
2026-10-04	oos	0.013768	0.013608	-1.16%	0.011895	-13.60%	0.1045	✓	3.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.014797	0.014591	-1.39%	0.013768	-6.95%	0.1296	✓	3.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.013097	0.012944	-1.16%	0.014797	+12.98%	0.1240	✗	3.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.014907	0.014658	-1.67%	0.013097	-12.15%	0.0986	✓	3.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.011815	0.01169	-1.06%	0.014907	+26.17%	0.1912	✗	3.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.012816	0.012629	-1.46%	0.011815	-7.81%	0.0633	✓	3.37
2026-09-28	oos	0.010778	0.010686	-0.85%	0.012816	+18.92%	0.1745	✗	3.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.011668	0.011541	-1.09%	0.010778	-7.63%	0.0278	✓	3.39
2026-09-26	oos	0.014306	0.014074	-1.62%	0.011668	-18.44%	0.1893	✓	3.36
2026-09-25	oos	0.013554	0.01332	-1.73%	0.014306	+5.55%	0.0586	✗	3.36
2026-09-24	oos	0.009953	0.009883	-0.70%	0.013554	+36.18%	0.3280	✗	3.50
2026-09-23	oos	0.009004	0.008984	-0.22%	0.009953	+10.54%	0.1021	✗	3.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.009465	0.009429	-0.38%	0.009004	-4.87%	0.0309	✗	3.61
2026-09-21	oos	0.012424	0.012272	-1.22%	0.009465	-23.81%	0.2436	✓	3.51
2026-09-20	oos	0.01087	0.010813	-0.52%	0.012424	+14.30%	0.0975	✓	3.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.011822	0.011744	-0.66%	0.01087	-8.05%	0.0741	✓	3.63
2026-09-18	oos	0.016224	0.015942	-1.74%	0.011822	-27.14%	0.3150	✓	3.61
2026-09-17	oos	0.011992	0.011938	-0.45%	0.016224	+35.29%	0.1185	✗	3.27
2026-09-16	oos	0.012992	0.012897	-0.73%	0.011992	-7.70%	0.0815	✓	3.26
2026-09-15	oos	0.011416	0.011407	-0.08%	0.012992	+13.81%	0.1061	✗	3.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.009685	0.009749	+0.65%	0.011416	+17.87%	0.2903	✓	3.93
2026-09-13	oos	0.008004	0.008093	+1.12%	0.009685	+21.02%	0.1119	✓	3.82
2026-09-12	oos	0.010047	0.010138	+0.90%	0.008004	-20.34%	0.2141	✗	3.71
2026-09-11	oos	0.01206	0.012135	+0.62%	0.010047	-16.69%	0.1914	✗	3.67
2026-09-10	oos	0.010417	0.010519	+0.99%	0.01206	+15.77%	0.1279	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.0096	0.009706	+1.11%	0.010417	+8.51%	0.0932	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.012026	0.012144	+0.98%	0.0096	-20.18%	0.2331	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.012792	0.012915	+0.96%	0.012026	-5.99%	0.0631	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.015676	0.015805	+0.82%	0.012792	-18.40%	0.1958	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.022874	0.0228	-0.32%	0.015676	-31.46%	0.3809	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.018372	0.018422	+0.27%	0.022874	+24.50%	0.2145	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.024546	0.024401	-0.59%	0.018372	-25.15%	0.2640	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.019138	0.019072	-0.34%	0.024546	+28.26%	0.2024	✗	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.021014	0.020894	-0.57%	0.019138	-8.93%	0.0866	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.025262	0.024987	-1.09%	0.021014	-16.82%	0.1582	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.026994	0.026448	-2.02%	0.025262	-6.42%	0.0574	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.022167	0.021804	-1.64%	0.026994	+21.78%	0.2208	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.014283	0.014237	-0.33%	0.022167	+55.20%	0.4377	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.016661	0.016588	-0.44%	0.014283	-14.27%	0.1188	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.02285	0.022462	-1.70%	0.016661	-27.09%	0.3145	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.019711	0.019463	-1.26%	0.02285	+15.93%	0.1541	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.018916	0.018664	-1.33%	0.019711	+4.20%	0.0604	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.01615	0.015997	-0.95%	0.018916	+17.13%	0.1517	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.013719	0.013652	-0.49%	0.01615	+17.72%	0.1593	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.013329	0.013269	-0.45%	0.013719	+2.93%	0.0497	✗	1.00