HMM
Thinking Cat · Robinhood · gru_s3
- token id
- #766
- symbol
- HMM
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-12
- predictions
- 186
Track record at +30d
assessed
32
of 62 predictions shown
direction hit
90.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.4203
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0515
actual -0.4716
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00679 | 0.006588 | -2.98% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.006935 | 0.006752 | -2.64% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006911 | 0.006735 | -2.54% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.007476 | 0.007216 | -3.49% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.008448 | 0.008002 | -5.28% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.008892 | 0.008346 | -6.14% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.008617 | 0.008122 | -5.75% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.009034 | 0.008457 | -6.39% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.008849 | 0.00831 | -6.08% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.008725 | 0.008215 | -5.84% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.009124 | 0.008531 | -6.50% | – | pending | – | – | 3.55 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.010989 | 0.010032 | -8.72% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.010006 | 0.009191 | -8.15% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.008488 | 0.007985 | -5.93% | – | pending | – | – | 3.54 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.010855 | 0.009804 | -9.68% | – | pending | – | – | 3.43 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.012157 | 0.010807 | -11.11% | – | pending | – | – | 3.44 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.011895 | 0.010528 | -11.49% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.013768 | 0.012066 | -12.36% | – | pending | – | – | 3.41 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.014797 | 0.012906 | -12.78% | – | pending | – | – | 3.47 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.013097 | 0.011444 | -12.62% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014907 | 0.012858 | -13.75% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.011815 | 0.010369 | -12.24% | – | pending | – | – | 3.38 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.012816 | 0.011097 | -13.41% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.010778 | 0.009559 | -11.31% | – | pending | – | – | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.011668 | 0.010186 | -12.71% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.014306 | 0.012239 | -14.45% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.013554 | 0.011579 | -14.57% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.009953 | 0.00895 | -10.08% | – | pending | – | – | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.009004 | 0.008345 | -7.32% | – | pending | – | – | 3.53 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.009465 | 0.008681 | -8.28% | – | pending | – | – | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.012424 | 0.01071 | -13.79% | 0.00679 | -45.34% | 0.2938 | ✓ | 3.51 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.01087 | 0.009751 | -10.29% | 0.006935 | -36.20% | 0.4198 | ✓ | 3.65 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.011822 | 0.010474 | -11.40% | 0.006911 | -41.54% | 0.4427 | ✓ | 3.63 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.016224 | 0.013818 | -14.83% | 0.007476 | -53.92% | 0.6643 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.011992 | 0.010757 | -10.30% | 0.008448 | -29.55% | 0.4502 | ✓ | 3.27 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.012992 | 0.011508 | -11.42% | 0.008892 | -31.55% | 0.4794 | ✓ | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.011416 | 0.010407 | -8.84% | 0.008617 | -24.52% | 0.4580 | ✓ | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.009685 | 0.009176 | -5.26% | 0.009034 | -6.73% | 0.1824 | ✓ | 3.93 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.008004 | 0.007825 | -2.23% | 0.008849 | +10.56% | 0.1780 | ✓ | 3.82 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.010047 | 0.009701 | -3.44% | 0.008725 | -13.16% | 0.3154 | ✓ | 3.71 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.01206 | 0.011451 | -5.04% | 0.009124 | -24.34% | 0.5225 | ✓ | 3.67 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.010417 | 0.010137 | -2.68% | 0.010989 | +5.50% | 0.0008 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.0096 | 0.009473 | -1.32% | 0.010006 | +4.23% | 0.0017 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.012026 | 0.011791 | -1.95% | 0.008488 | -29.42% | 0.3692 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.012792 | 0.012611 | -1.41% | 0.010855 | -15.14% | 0.2015 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.015676 | 0.015342 | -2.13% | 0.012157 | -22.45% | 0.2954 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.022874 | 0.021613 | -5.51% | 0.011895 | -47.99% | 0.6686 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.018372 | 0.017805 | -3.09% | 0.013768 | -25.06% | 0.3394 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.024546 | 0.02322 | -5.40% | 0.014797 | -39.72% | 0.4926 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.019138 | 0.018252 | -4.63% | 0.013097 | -31.57% | 0.4210 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.021014 | 0.019871 | -5.44% | 0.014907 | -29.06% | 0.3793 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.025262 | 0.023458 | -7.14% | 0.011815 | -53.23% | 0.7475 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.026994 | 0.024432 | -9.49% | 0.012816 | -52.52% | 0.7193 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.022167 | 0.020724 | -6.51% | 0.010778 | -51.38% | 0.7185 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.014283 | 0.014136 | -1.03% | 0.011668 | -18.31% | 0.2735 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.016661 | 0.016637 | -0.14% | 0.014306 | -14.13% | 0.2012 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.02285 | 0.021504 | -5.89% | 0.013554 | -40.68% | 0.5237 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.019711 | 0.019028 | -3.46% | 0.009953 | -49.51% | 0.7200 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.018916 | 0.018565 | -1.85% | 0.009004 | -52.40% | 0.7897 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.01615 | 0.01624 | +0.55% | 0.009465 | -41.39% | 0.6433 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.013719 | 0.014115 | +2.89% | 0.012424 | -9.44% | 0.2444 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.013329 | 0.014059 | +5.48% | 0.01087 | -18.45% | 0.2928 | ✗ | 1.00 |