GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s3

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

144

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

61.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0817

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0149

actual -0.0284

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.301613	-1.79%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.300454	-1.72%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.295116	-1.68%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.297419	-1.65%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.295002	-1.55%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.301036	-1.49%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.296584	-1.29%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.313587	-1.65%	0.3071	-3.69%	0.0204	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.313053	-1.43%	0.3057	-3.75%	0.0238	✓	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.323709	-1.74%	0.30015	-8.89%	0.0755	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.330198	-1.70%	0.3024	-9.97%	0.0883	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.339281	-1.94%	0.29965	-13.40%	0.1240	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.336239	-1.91%	0.3056	-10.85%	0.0954	✓	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.316282	-1.56%	0.30045	-6.49%	0.0514	✓	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.319169	-1.49%	0.31885	-1.59%	0.0011	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.323267	-1.34%	0.3176	-3.07%	0.0182	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.323981	-1.36%	0.32945	+0.30%	0.0173	✗	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.316422	-1.04%	0.3359	+5.05%	0.0605	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.320874	-1.38%	0.346	+6.35%	0.0760	✗	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.322267	-1.43%	0.3428	+4.85%	0.0624	✗	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.314613	-1.17%	0.3213	+0.93%	0.0224	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.318282	-1.34%	0.324	+0.43%	0.0179	✗	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.315424	-1.26%	0.32765	+2.57%	0.0374	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.313	-1.20%	0.32845	+3.68%	0.0474	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.324918	-1.30%	0.31975	-2.87%	0.0163	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.337717	-1.47%	0.32535	-5.08%	0.0374	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.343823	-1.48%	0.32695	-6.32%	0.0504	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.349713	-1.42%	0.31835	-10.26%	0.0940	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.338981	-1.06%	0.3226	-5.84%	0.0493	✓	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.34915	-0.94%	0.31945	-9.36%	0.0894	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.355583	-0.91%	0.3168	-11.72%	0.1155	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.365853	-2.36%	0.3292	-12.14%	0.1091	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.336526	-1.27%	0.34275	+0.56%	0.0148	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.33551	-1.38%	0.349	+2.59%	0.0356	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.349511	-3.05%	0.35475	-1.60%	0.0064	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.299711	-0.89%	0.3426	+13.29%	0.1105	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.300932	-0.88%	0.35245	+16.09%	0.1178	✗	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.297639	-0.39%	0.35885	+20.10%	0.1510	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.294444	-0.34%	0.3747	+26.82%	0.2217	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.296551	-0.17%	0.34085	+14.74%	0.1229	✗	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.30354	-0.20%	0.3402	+11.85%	0.0965	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.287833	+0.26%	0.3605	+25.57%	0.2260	✓	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.290068	+0.53%	0.3024	+4.80%	0.0519	✓	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.304701	+0.25%	0.3036	-0.12%	0.0097	✓	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.294319	+0.73%	0.2988	+2.26%	0.0194	✓	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.298875	+0.90%	0.29545	-0.25%	0.0052	✓	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.303026	+0.89%	0.29705	-1.10%	0.0077	✓	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.296477	+1.08%	0.30415	+3.70%	0.0418	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.296237	+1.71%	0.2871	-1.42%	0.0012	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.290089	+1.47%	0.28855	+0.93%	0.0114	✓	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.28212	+1.74%	0.30395	+9.61%	0.0677	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.288596	+1.73%	0.2922	+3.00%	0.0088	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.286372	+1.64%	0.2962	+5.13%	0.0256	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.289379	+1.71%	0.30035	+5.57%	0.0324	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.287365	+1.67%	0.2933	+3.77%	0.0148	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.309623	+1.68%	0.29125	-4.35%	0.0636	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.311576	+1.41%	0.2859	-6.95%	0.0811	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.312911	+1.50%	0.2773	-10.06%	0.1171	✗	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.317213	+1.48%	0.2837	-9.25%	0.1105	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.32769	+1.14%	0.28175	-13.04%	0.1509	✗	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.336961	+0.77%	0.2845	-14.92%	0.1722	✗	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.344199	+0.83%	0.28265	-17.20%	0.1958	✗	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.311042	-0.02%	0.3045	-2.12%	0.0266	✓	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.32503	-1.24%	0.30725	-6.64%	0.0381	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.356462	-2.19%	0.3083	-15.41%	0.1617	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.359458	-2.25%	0.3126	-15.00%	0.1599	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.355704	-2.40%	0.324	-11.10%	0.1129	✓	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.363198	-2.44%	0.3344	-10.18%	0.0999	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.359806	-2.39%	0.34135	-7.39%	0.0766	✓	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.383202	-2.52%	0.3111	-20.86%	0.2206	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.366819	-2.44%	0.3291	-12.47%	0.1158	✓	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.363678	-2.47%	0.36445	-2.27%	0.0007	✓	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.354966	-2.47%	0.36775	+1.04%	0.0346	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.337503	-2.19%	0.36445	+5.62%	0.0803	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.338203	-2.32%	0.3723	+7.52%	0.0993	✗	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.333676	-2.32%	0.3686	+7.90%	0.1028	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.330465	-2.42%	0.3931	+16.08%	0.1749	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.349109	-2.57%	0.376	+4.94%	0.0760	✗	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.340163	-2.69%	0.3729	+6.68%	0.0926	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.333441	-2.82%	0.36395	+6.08%	0.0870	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.319131	-2.69%	0.34505	+5.21%	0.0765	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.312518	-2.79%	0.34625	+7.70%	0.1004	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.31935	-2.84%	0.3416	+3.92%	0.0653	✗	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.32189	-2.72%	0.33865	+2.34%	0.0512	✗	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.320203	-2.78%	0.3583	+8.79%	0.1118	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.340058	-2.84%	0.34955	-0.13%	0.0273	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.357149	-2.88%	0.3431	-6.70%	0.0399	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.365939	-2.64%	0.32795	-12.74%	0.1079	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.35986	-2.94%	0.3215	-13.28%	0.1115	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.352322	-2.59%	0.3287	-9.12%	0.0686	✓	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.34436	-2.36%	0.3309	-6.18%	0.0396	✓	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.347902	-2.15%	0.32935	-7.37%	0.0530	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.354433	-2.45%	0.35	-3.67%	0.0105	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.316691	-2.23%	0.36775	+13.54%	0.1481	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.31012	-2.09%	0.37585	+18.66%	0.1930	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.312365	-2.16%	0.37075	+16.13%	0.1708	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.317333	-2.30%	0.3617	+11.36%	0.1311	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.325115	-2.29%	0.3527	+6.00%	0.0826	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.325528	-2.21%	0.35555	+6.80%	0.0894	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.32499	-1.89%	0.36335	+9.69%	0.1129	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.320682	-1.95%	0.3239	-0.96%	0.0148	✓	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.331805	-1.95%	0.31675	-6.40%	0.0445	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.338471	-1.95%	0.31925	-7.52%	0.0564	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.341164	-1.87%	0.3248	-6.57%	0.0496	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.341898	-1.87%	0.33275	-4.49%	0.0259	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.348668	-1.94%	0.3329	-6.37%	0.0415	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.367752	-1.88%	0.33125	-11.62%	0.1005	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.36963	-1.82%	0.32705	-13.13%	0.1266	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.374598	-1.87%	0.3384	-11.36%	0.1013	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.380218	-1.93%	0.3452	-10.96%	0.0951	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.376601	-1.93%	0.34765	-9.47%	0.0761	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.381192	-1.96%	0.3484	-10.39%	0.0859	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.386906	-1.97%	0.35555	-9.92%	0.0794	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.387309	-1.87%	0.3748	-5.04%	0.0208	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.386363	-1.90%	0.3765	-4.41%	0.0166	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.371949	-1.68%	0.38175	+0.91%	0.0393	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.371152	-1.64%	0.3877	+2.74%	0.0538	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.383891	-1.73%	0.384	-1.70%	0.0081	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.384718	-1.68%	0.3888	-0.64%	0.0162	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.374685	-1.63%	0.3947	+3.62%	0.0492	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.384135	-1.78%	0.3947	+0.92%	0.0136	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.392474	-1.87%	0.39385	-1.53%	0.0099	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.403195	-1.90%	0.3783	-7.96%	0.0758	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.40873	-1.96%	0.37735	-9.49%	0.0941	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.395019	-1.82%	0.39065	-2.91%	0.0255	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.366658	-1.54%	0.3913	+5.08%	0.0469	✗	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.407023	-1.92%	0.3809	-8.22%	0.0932	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.418611	-2.03%	0.3911	-8.47%	0.0918	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.42654	-2.10%	0.39995	-8.21%	0.0829	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.481833	-2.36%	0.411	-16.72%	0.1743	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.438461	-2.05%	0.4169	-6.87%	0.0472	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.445856	-2.00%	0.40235	-11.56%	0.1017	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.462675	-2.06%	0.3724	-21.17%	0.2062	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.462735	-1.78%	0.415	-11.91%	0.1565	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.445786	-1.53%	0.4273	-5.61%	0.1041	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.455878	-1.69%	0.4357	-6.04%	0.0950	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.460134	-1.62%	0.4935	+5.52%	0.0327	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.404266	-0.30%	0.44765	+10.39%	0.0448	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.433975	-0.37%	0.45495	+4.44%	0.0070	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.427089	-0.70%	0.4724	+9.83%	0.1046	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.474689	-1.02%	0.4711	-1.77%	0.0337	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.499671	-1.83%	0.4527	-11.06%	0.0212	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.437529	-1.97%	0.4637	+3.90%	0.1811	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.440177	-2.42%	0.4677	+3.68%	0.2110	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.464414	-2.59%	0.4055	-14.94%	0.0569	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.441885	-2.57%	0.4356	-3.96%	0.1697	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.606079	-3.47%	0.4301	-31.50%	0.2014	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.684799	-3.91%	0.4796	-32.70%	0.2074	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.644248	-3.89%	0.509	-24.07%	0.1068	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.613654	-3.53%	0.4463	-29.84%	0.2385	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.689175	-4.68%	0.4511	-37.61%	0.3786	✓	1.00