GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s3

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

121

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

86.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1073

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0318

actual -0.0865

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.292695	-4.69%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.292402	-4.35%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.286991	-4.38%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.289795	-4.17%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.28708	-4.19%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.293841	-3.85%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.291008	-3.14%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.30526	-4.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.306632	-3.45%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.314169	-4.64%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.321834	-4.19%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.328771	-4.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.325811	-4.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.308096	-4.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.312408	-3.58%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.318717	-2.73%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.319269	-2.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.314969	-1.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.316412	-2.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.317361	-2.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.311774	-2.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.314363	-2.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.311806	-2.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.310141	-2.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.321398	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.332948	-2.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.339185	-2.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.346086	-2.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.33986	-0.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.356257	+1.08%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.363041	+1.17%	0.3071	-14.42%	0.1674	✗	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.360913	-3.68%	0.3057	-18.41%	0.1679	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.337537	-0.97%	0.30015	-11.94%	0.1181	✓	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.338131	-0.61%	0.3024	-11.11%	0.1130	✓	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.342079	-5.11%	0.29965	-16.88%	0.1460	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.298949	-1.14%	0.3056	+1.06%	0.0066	✓	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.299813	-1.25%	0.30045	-1.04%	0.0233	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.301266	+0.83%	0.31885	+6.71%	0.0418	✓	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.297219	+0.60%	0.3176	+7.50%	0.0386	✓	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.300503	+1.16%	0.32945	+10.91%	0.0736	✓	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.307623	+1.14%	0.3359	+10.44%	0.0576	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.293323	+2.17%	0.346	+20.52%	0.1364	✓	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.298659	+3.50%	0.3428	+18.80%	0.1183	✓	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.311486	+2.48%	0.3213	+5.71%	0.0165	✓	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.304245	+4.12%	0.324	+10.88%	0.0441	✓	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.310941	+4.98%	0.32765	+10.62%	0.0290	✓	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.314506	+4.71%	0.32845	+9.36%	0.0167	✓	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.309202	+5.42%	0.31975	+9.02%	0.0089	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.317072	+8.87%	0.32535	+11.71%	0.0031	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.307659	+7.61%	0.32695	+14.36%	0.0175	✓	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.302419	+9.06%	0.31835	+14.80%	0.0047	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.309744	+9.18%	0.3226	+13.71%	0.0073	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.307583	+9.17%	0.31945	+13.38%	0.0200	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.313179	+10.08%	0.3168	+11.35%	0.0039	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.311999	+10.38%	0.3292	+16.47%	0.0340	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.339026	+11.34%	0.34275	+12.56%	0.0009	✓	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.339368	+10.45%	0.349	+13.59%	0.0141	✓	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.34498	+11.90%	0.35475	+15.07%	0.0094	✓	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.351753	+12.52%	0.3426	+9.60%	0.0408	✓	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.359719	+11.02%	0.35245	+8.78%	0.0411	✓	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.364435	+8.98%	0.35885	+7.31%	0.0382	✓	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.374708	+9.77%	0.3747	+9.77%	0.0072	✓	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.325175	+4.52%	0.34085	+9.56%	0.0411	✓	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.3241	-1.52%	0.3402	+3.37%	0.0698	✗	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.344739	-5.41%	0.3605	-1.08%	0.0305	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.347379	-5.54%	0.3024	-17.77%	0.1553	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.342072	-6.14%	0.3036	-16.70%	0.1363	✓	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.349414	-6.15%	0.2988	-19.74%	0.1750	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.346288	-6.05%	0.29545	-19.85%	0.1805	✓	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.367978	-6.39%	0.29705	-24.43%	0.2312	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.353014	-6.11%	0.30415	-19.11%	0.1651	✓	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.350686	-5.96%	0.2871	-23.01%	0.2153	✓	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.342427	-5.91%	0.28855	-20.72%	0.1885	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.326605	-5.35%	0.30395	-11.91%	0.0929	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.326324	-5.75%	0.2922	-15.61%	0.1323	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.322032	-5.73%	0.2962	-13.29%	0.1069	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.318268	-6.02%	0.30035	-11.31%	0.0805	✓	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.335406	-6.39%	0.2933	-18.14%	0.1549	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.326149	-6.69%	0.29125	-16.68%	0.1341	✓	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.318758	-7.09%	0.2859	-16.67%	0.1243	✓	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.305287	-6.91%	0.2773	-15.44%	0.1109	✓	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.297855	-7.35%	0.2837	-11.76%	0.0626	✓	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.304192	-7.46%	0.28175	-14.28%	0.0901	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.307889	-6.95%	0.2845	-14.02%	0.0909	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.305419	-7.27%	0.28265	-14.18%	0.0889	✓	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.323827	-7.48%	0.3045	-13.00%	0.0766	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.339787	-7.60%	0.30725	-16.45%	0.1169	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.351168	-6.57%	0.3083	-17.97%	0.1413	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.34432	-7.13%	0.3126	-15.68%	0.1066	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.337437	-6.71%	0.324	-10.42%	0.0487	✓	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.331958	-5.88%	0.3344	-5.19%	0.0021	✓	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.337845	-4.98%	0.34135	-3.99%	0.0011	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.345605	-4.88%	0.3111	-14.38%	0.1100	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.305483	-5.69%	0.3291	+1.61%	0.0780	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.29956	-5.43%	0.36445	+15.06%	0.1961	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.301146	-5.67%	0.36775	+15.19%	0.1995	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.304751	-6.17%	0.36445	+12.21%	0.1778	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.312694	-6.03%	0.3723	+11.89%	0.1738	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.315087	-5.35%	0.3686	+10.72%	0.1553	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.315775	-4.67%	0.3931	+18.67%	0.2176	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.309419	-5.39%	0.376	+14.97%	0.1968	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.321467	-5.00%	0.3729	+10.20%	0.1480	✗	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.32845	-4.85%	0.36395	+5.43%	0.1029	✗	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.332447	-4.37%	0.34505	-0.75%	0.0386	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.332322	-4.61%	0.34625	-0.62%	0.0447	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.338288	-4.86%	0.3416	-3.92%	0.0149	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.357667	-4.57%	0.33865	-9.65%	0.0524	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.360379	-4.28%	0.3583	-4.83%	0.0043	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.364696	-4.47%	0.34955	-8.43%	0.0413	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.369527	-4.69%	0.3431	-11.50%	0.0733	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.365692	-4.77%	0.32795	-14.60%	0.1065	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.369341	-5.00%	0.3215	-17.31%	0.1356	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.37404	-5.23%	0.3287	-16.72%	0.1228	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.373809	-5.29%	0.3309	-16.16%	0.1066	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.373483	-5.17%	0.32935	-16.38%	0.1168	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.359537	-4.96%	0.35	-7.48%	0.0128	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.358895	-4.89%	0.36775	-2.54%	0.0365	✓	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.37119	-4.98%	0.37585	-3.79%	0.0286	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.371869	-4.97%	0.37075	-5.25%	0.0113	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.362622	-4.80%	0.3617	-5.04%	0.0057	✓	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.372586	-4.73%	0.3527	-9.82%	0.0473	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.38118	-4.69%	0.35555	-11.10%	0.0624	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.391014	-4.86%	0.36335	-11.59%	0.0634	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.396509	-4.89%	0.3239	-22.31%	0.1991	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.382809	-4.86%	0.31675	-21.28%	0.1846	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.355034	-4.66%	0.31925	-14.27%	0.0957	✓	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.394112	-5.03%	0.3248	-21.73%	0.1976	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.405202	-5.17%	0.33275	-22.13%	0.2116	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.41269	-5.28%	0.3329	-23.59%	0.2272	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.464988	-5.78%	0.33125	-32.88%	0.3435	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.423171	-5.47%	0.32705	-26.94%	0.2235	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.430082	-5.47%	0.3384	-25.62%	0.2429	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.445296	-5.74%	0.3452	-26.93%	0.2579	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.444368	-5.67%	0.34765	-26.20%	0.2882	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.427427	-5.58%	0.3484	-23.04%	0.2283	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.436508	-5.86%	0.35555	-23.32%	0.1920	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.439655	-6.00%	0.3748	-19.86%	0.1599	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.38425	-5.24%	0.3765	-7.15%	0.0709	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.411539	-5.52%	0.38175	-12.36%	0.1161	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.404505	-5.95%	0.3877	-9.86%	0.0311	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.449055	-6.37%	0.384	-19.93%	0.1325	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.471398	-7.39%	0.3888	-23.61%	0.1118	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.412138	-7.65%	0.3947	-11.56%	0.1302	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.414391	-8.14%	0.3947	-12.50%	0.1802	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.437499	-8.23%	0.39385	-17.39%	0.0988	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.415217	-8.45%	0.3783	-16.59%	0.1168	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.567277	-9.65%	0.37735	-39.90%	0.2035	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.63619	-10.73%	0.39065	-45.18%	0.2737	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.602975	-10.05%	0.3913	-41.63%	0.1934	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.579246	-8.94%	0.3809	-40.12%	0.1828	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.646092	-10.64%	0.3911	-45.91%	0.2960	✓	1.00