GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s3

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

150

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

56.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0337

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0046

actual -0.0049

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.30567	-0.47%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.304354	-0.44%	0.3071	+0.46%	0.0087	✗	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.298922	-0.41%	0.3057	+1.85%	0.0237	✗	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.301166	-0.41%	0.30015	-0.74%	0.0035	✓	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.298591	-0.35%	0.3024	+0.92%	0.0130	✗	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.304514	-0.36%	0.29965	-1.95%	0.0162	✓	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.299454	-0.33%	0.3056	+1.71%	0.0200	✗	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.317394	-0.46%	0.30045	-5.77%	0.0546	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.316419	-0.37%	0.31885	+0.39%	0.0071	✗	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.32791	-0.47%	0.3176	-3.60%	0.0317	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.334337	-0.47%	0.32945	-1.92%	0.0151	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.344094	-0.55%	0.3359	-2.92%	0.0242	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.340913	-0.55%	0.346	+0.93%	0.0147	✗	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.319844	-0.45%	0.3428	+6.69%	0.0693	✗	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.322551	-0.45%	0.3213	-0.83%	0.0039	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.326273	-0.42%	0.324	-1.11%	0.0075	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.327058	-0.42%	0.32765	-0.24%	0.0018	✓	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.318659	-0.34%	0.32845	+2.72%	0.0305	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.32395	-0.43%	0.31975	-1.72%	0.0137	✓	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.325441	-0.46%	0.32535	-0.49%	0.0004	✓	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.317128	-0.38%	0.32695	+2.70%	0.0306	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.321186	-0.44%	0.31835	-1.32%	0.0094	✓	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.318202	-0.39%	0.3226	+0.99%	0.0138	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.315522	-0.40%	0.31945	+0.84%	0.0123	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.327846	-0.41%	0.3168	-3.77%	0.0341	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.34119	-0.46%	0.3292	-3.95%	0.0358	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.347378	-0.46%	0.34275	-1.79%	0.0135	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.353085	-0.47%	0.349	-1.62%	0.0116	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.34112	-0.43%	0.35475	+3.55%	0.0392	✗	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.350025	-0.69%	0.3426	-2.79%	0.0218	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.356511	-0.65%	0.35245	-1.78%	0.0115	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.36964	-1.35%	0.35885	-4.23%	0.0354	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.338624	-0.65%	0.3747	+9.93%	0.1013	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.337235	-0.87%	0.34085	+0.19%	0.0102	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.353789	-1.86%	0.3402	-5.63%	0.0514	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.301554	-0.28%	0.3605	+19.21%	0.1779	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.302732	-0.29%	0.3024	-0.40%	0.0034	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.298269	-0.18%	0.3036	+1.61%	0.0296	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.294973	-0.16%	0.2988	+1.13%	0.0067	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.296676	-0.13%	0.29545	-0.54%	0.0022	✓	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.303579	-0.19%	0.29705	-2.33%	0.0220	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.287035	-0.02%	0.30415	+5.94%	0.0548	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.288585	+0.01%	0.2871	-0.50%	0.0032	✓	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.303717	-0.08%	0.28855	-5.07%	0.0505	✓	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.292322	+0.04%	0.30395	+4.02%	0.0420	✓	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.296352	+0.05%	0.2922	-1.35%	0.0083	✗	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.300455	+0.04%	0.2962	-1.38%	0.0166	✗	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.293561	+0.09%	0.30035	+2.40%	0.0219	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.29183	+0.20%	0.2933	+0.70%	0.0157	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.286418	+0.18%	0.29125	+1.87%	0.0076	✗	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.277926	+0.23%	0.2859	+3.10%	0.0289	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.284367	+0.24%	0.2773	-2.26%	0.0171	✗	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.282371	+0.22%	0.2837	+0.69%	0.0019	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.285118	+0.22%	0.28175	-0.97%	0.0101	✗	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.283219	+0.20%	0.2845	+0.65%	0.0033	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.304912	+0.14%	0.28265	-7.18%	0.0697	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.3075	+0.08%	0.3045	-0.90%	0.0133	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.308645	+0.11%	0.30725	-0.34%	0.0062	✗	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.312919	+0.10%	0.3083	-1.38%	0.0136	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.32408	+0.02%	0.3126	-3.52%	0.0393	✗	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.334235	-0.05%	0.324	-3.11%	0.0328	✓	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.341188	-0.05%	0.3344	-2.04%	0.0168	✓	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.31078	-0.10%	0.34135	+9.72%	0.0899	✗	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.327999	-0.33%	0.3111	-5.47%	0.0457	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.362422	-0.56%	0.3291	-9.70%	0.1023	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.365684	-0.56%	0.36445	-0.90%	0.0037	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.362363	-0.57%	0.36775	+0.91%	0.0124	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.369904	-0.64%	0.36445	-2.11%	0.0146	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.366408	-0.59%	0.3723	+1.00%	0.0159	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.390384	-0.69%	0.3686	-6.23%	0.0568	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.373458	-0.68%	0.3931	+4.55%	0.0512	✗	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.369936	-0.79%	0.376	+0.83%	0.0164	✗	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.361044	-0.80%	0.3729	+2.46%	0.0328	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.343086	-0.57%	0.36395	+5.48%	0.0606	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.344174	-0.60%	0.34505	-0.35%	0.0026	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.339634	-0.58%	0.34625	+1.36%	0.0193	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.336704	-0.57%	0.3416	+0.87%	0.0134	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.355948	-0.66%	0.33865	-5.48%	0.0493	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.34701	-0.73%	0.3583	+2.50%	0.0313	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.340386	-0.79%	0.34955	+1.88%	0.0258	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.325797	-0.66%	0.3431	+4.62%	0.0518	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.319489	-0.63%	0.32795	+2.01%	0.0254	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.326504	-0.67%	0.3215	-2.19%	0.0154	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.328704	-0.66%	0.3287	-0.66%	0.0019	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.327272	-0.63%	0.3309	+0.47%	0.0103	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.347576	-0.69%	0.32935	-5.90%	0.0539	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.364964	-0.76%	0.35	-4.83%	0.0420	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.372801	-0.81%	0.36775	-2.16%	0.0121	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.366799	-1.07%	0.37585	+1.38%	0.0236	✗	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.359134	-0.71%	0.37075	+2.50%	0.0317	✗	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.350362	-0.66%	0.3617	+2.55%	0.0327	✗	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.353178	-0.67%	0.3527	-0.80%	0.0005	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.3594	-1.09%	0.35555	-2.15%	0.0104	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.322038	-0.57%	0.36335	+12.18%	0.1218	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.315122	-0.51%	0.3239	+2.26%	0.0281	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.317572	-0.53%	0.31675	-0.78%	0.0027	✓	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.322982	-0.56%	0.31925	-1.71%	0.0107	✓	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.330777	-0.59%	0.3248	-2.39%	0.0181	✓	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.330644	-0.68%	0.33275	-0.05%	0.0055	✓	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.329691	-0.47%	0.3329	+0.50%	0.0094	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.325588	-0.45%	0.33125	+1.28%	0.0217	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.336834	-0.46%	0.32705	-3.35%	0.0325	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.343592	-0.47%	0.3384	-1.97%	0.0153	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.346064	-0.46%	0.3452	-0.70%	0.0032	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.346883	-0.44%	0.34765	-0.22%	0.0042	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.3538	-0.49%	0.3484	-2.01%	0.0135	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.373097	-0.45%	0.35555	-5.14%	0.0508	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.374839	-0.44%	0.3748	-0.45%	0.0018	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.380032	-0.45%	0.3765	-1.38%	0.0084	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.385909	-0.46%	0.38175	-1.53%	0.0097	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.382277	-0.45%	0.3877	+0.96%	0.0155	✗	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.387043	-0.45%	0.384	-1.23%	0.0054	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.392849	-0.47%	0.3888	-1.49%	0.0069	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.392996	-0.43%	0.3947	+0.00%	0.0080	✗	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.392083	-0.45%	0.3947	+0.22%	0.0025	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.376902	-0.37%	0.39385	+4.11%	0.0463	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.376025	-0.35%	0.3783	+0.25%	0.0045	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.389148	-0.38%	0.37735	-3.40%	0.0310	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.38984	-0.37%	0.39065	-0.17%	0.0030	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.379588	-0.34%	0.3913	+2.73%	0.0268	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.38957	-0.39%	0.3809	-2.61%	0.0279	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.398243	-0.43%	0.3911	-2.21%	0.0226	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.40917	-0.45%	0.39995	-2.69%	0.0206	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.414925	-0.47%	0.411	-1.42%	0.0127	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.400687	-0.41%	0.4169	+3.62%	0.0427	✗	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.371224	-0.32%	0.40235	+8.04%	0.0838	✗	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.413175	-0.44%	0.3724	-10.27%	0.1159	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.425284	-0.47%	0.415	-2.88%	0.0337	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.433587	-0.48%	0.4273	-1.93%	0.0198	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.490334	-0.64%	0.4357	-11.71%	0.1147	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.445542	-0.47%	0.4935	+10.24%	0.0826	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.452814	-0.47%	0.44765	-1.60%	0.0254	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.470054	-0.50%	0.45495	-3.69%	0.0323	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.468932	-0.46%	0.4724	+0.28%	0.0265	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.451132	-0.35%	0.4711	+4.06%	0.0472	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.46184	-0.40%	0.4527	-2.37%	0.0021	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.465698	-0.43%	0.4637	-0.86%	0.0005	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.405469	-0.01%	0.4677	+15.34%	0.1033	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.43538	-0.05%	0.4055	-6.91%	0.0681	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.429703	-0.09%	0.4356	+1.28%	0.0581	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.478238	-0.28%	0.4301	-10.32%	0.1024	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.50577	-0.63%	0.4796	-5.78%	0.0131	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.444307	-0.45%	0.509	+14.05%	0.2035	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.448842	-0.50%	0.4463	-1.06%	0.0255	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.473998	-0.58%	0.4511	-5.38%	0.0469	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.451173	-0.52%	0.47675	+5.12%	0.0497	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.620472	-1.18%	0.45355	-27.76%	0.3114	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.703038	-1.35%	0.62785	-11.90%	0.1022	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.660128	-1.52%	0.71265	+6.31%	0.0967	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.627537	-1.35%	0.67035	+5.38%	0.0846	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.706551	-2.28%	0.6361	-12.03%	0.1086	✓	1.00