CAP
Cap · Ethereum · gru_s3
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 327
Track record at +7d
assessed
102
of 109 predictions shown
direction hit
35.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2616
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0373
actual +0.1246
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.066581 | 0.065238 | -2.02% | – | pending | – | – | -0.52 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.067174 | -2.27% | – | pending | – | – | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.065504 | -2.07% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.06868 | -2.55% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.071793 | -2.90% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.07063 | -2.91% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.075861 | -3.35% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.071367 | -3.23% | 0.066581 | -9.72% | 0.0608 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.084821 | -3.88% | 0.068735 | -22.11% | 0.2117 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.092592 | -4.60% | 0.066889 | -31.08% | 0.3243 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.088595 | -4.08% | 0.070477 | -23.69% | 0.2462 | ✓ | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.088302 | -4.44% | 0.073935 | -19.99% | 0.1946 | ✓ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.083194 | -3.97% | 0.072748 | -16.03% | 0.1459 | ✓ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.070697 | -3.34% | 0.07849 | +7.31% | 0.1093 | ✗ | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.068922 | -3.31% | 0.073752 | +3.47% | 0.0482 | ✗ | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.083586 | -4.99% | 0.088248 | +0.31% | 0.0205 | ✓ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.071349 | -3.50% | 0.097059 | +31.27% | 0.2520 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.06341 | -2.86% | 0.092361 | +41.49% | 0.3390 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.066669 | -3.43% | 0.092402 | +33.85% | 0.3024 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.071 | -4.09% | 0.086635 | +17.03% | 0.1732 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.067059 | -3.99% | 0.073139 | +4.72% | 0.0460 | ✗ | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.066361 | -4.25% | 0.07128 | +2.85% | 0.0678 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.057379 | -4.11% | 0.087975 | +47.02% | 0.4525 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.054019 | -4.23% | 0.073941 | +31.08% | 0.3464 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.051527 | -3.86% | 0.065278 | +21.80% | 0.2655 | ✗ | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.049577 | -3.88% | 0.069035 | +33.85% | 0.3357 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.05008 | -3.93% | 0.074028 | +42.01% | 0.3965 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.048068 | -3.77% | 0.069846 | +39.83% | 0.3800 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.050956 | -4.05% | 0.069306 | +30.50% | 0.2962 | ✗ | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.045125 | -3.60% | 0.059839 | +27.84% | 0.2491 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.044278 | -3.47% | 0.056407 | +22.97% | 0.2016 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.043035 | -3.81% | 0.053595 | +19.79% | 0.2696 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.045812 | -4.10% | 0.051578 | +7.97% | 0.1673 | ✗ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.053404 | -4.31% | 0.052128 | -6.60% | 0.0251 | ✓ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.052794 | -3.98% | 0.049949 | -9.16% | 0.0848 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.057436 | -4.31% | 0.053106 | -11.52% | 0.0655 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.055099 | -3.88% | 0.046809 | -18.34% | 0.0220 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.060812 | -5.59% | 0.045872 | -28.78% | 0.1146 | ✓ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.046595 | -1.00% | 0.044741 | -4.94% | 0.0590 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.044777 | -0.20% | 0.047769 | +6.46% | 0.1547 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.044547 | +0.15% | 0.05581 | +25.47% | 0.3087 | ✓ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.045563 | +0.21% | 0.054984 | +20.93% | 0.1835 | ✓ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.047322 | -0.27% | 0.060022 | +26.50% | 0.1856 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.046783 | -0.00% | 0.057324 | +22.53% | 0.1332 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.04661 | -0.03% | 0.064413 | +38.16% | 0.3014 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.043008 | +0.12% | 0.047068 | +9.57% | 0.0062 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.044453 | -0.57% | 0.044869 | +0.37% | 0.0515 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.044707 | -1.18% | 0.04448 | -1.68% | 0.0637 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.047559 | -2.50% | 0.045466 | -6.79% | 0.1635 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.070496 | -3.02% | 0.047448 | -34.73% | 0.3786 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.068397 | -3.06% | 0.046785 | -33.69% | 0.3612 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.066247 | -3.13% | 0.046622 | -31.83% | 0.3420 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.065914 | -3.30% | 0.042957 | -36.98% | 0.3813 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.066805 | -3.48% | 0.044706 | -35.41% | 0.3733 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.067369 | -3.66% | 0.045241 | -35.30% | 0.3654 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.063535 | -3.80% | 0.04878 | -26.14% | 0.2470 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.067775 | -4.02% | 0.072695 | +2.95% | 0.0397 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.066494 | -4.24% | 0.070557 | +1.62% | 0.0393 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.065724 | -4.50% | 0.068387 | -0.63% | 0.0323 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.066084 | -4.73% | 0.068164 | -1.73% | 0.0298 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.066608 | -4.98% | 0.069214 | -1.26% | 0.0594 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.063594 | -5.19% | 0.069928 | +4.26% | 0.0863 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.061309 | -5.32% | 0.066045 | +2.00% | 0.2458 | ✗ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.064016 | -5.58% | 0.070614 | +4.15% | 0.3473 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.065132 | -5.57% | 0.069435 | +0.67% | 0.5471 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.066476 | -5.89% | 0.068823 | -2.56% | 0.5388 | ✗ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.0634 | -5.56% | 0.069367 | +3.33% | 0.6685 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.058797 | -5.35% | 0.070097 | +12.84% | 0.7187 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.060897 | -6.78% | 0.067073 | +2.68% | 0.6860 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.053659 | -5.43% | 0.064753 | +14.12% | 0.5562 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.052241 | -5.52% | 0.067798 | +22.62% | 0.4929 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.051312 | -6.32% | 0.068975 | +25.92% | 0.3428 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.043376 | -5.98% | 0.070634 | +53.11% | 0.5098 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.037457 | -4.90% | 0.067132 | +70.45% | 0.5100 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.035117 | -4.86% | 0.062121 | +68.30% | 0.5020 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.034169 | -5.00% | 0.065324 | +81.62% | 0.5787 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.029307 | -4.88% | 0.056743 | +84.16% | 0.6283 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.026619 | -4.35% | 0.055292 | +98.68% | 0.6865 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.024256 | -4.39% | 0.054776 | +115.92% | 0.7945 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.026339 | -4.56% | 0.046134 | +67.17% | 0.5774 | ✗ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.028138 | -4.73% | 0.039386 | +33.36% | 0.3876 | ✗ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.026008 | -4.67% | 0.036911 | +35.30% | 0.4359 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.036706 | -6.42% | 0.035967 | -8.31% | 0.0653 | ✓ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.032463 | -5.97% | 0.030811 | -10.76% | 0.0699 | ✓ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.024944 | -4.30% | 0.02783 | +6.77% | 0.1415 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.026064 | -4.52% | 0.025369 | -7.07% | 0.0178 | ✓ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.02313 | -3.95% | 0.027598 | +14.60% | 0.1661 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.02173 | -3.57% | 0.029535 | +31.07% | 0.2225 | ✗ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.020267 | -3.43% | 0.027282 | +29.99% | 0.3214 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.0259 | -4.36% | 0.039226 | +44.85% | 0.4349 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.022745 | -3.57% | 0.034526 | +46.37% | 0.4225 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.020525 | -3.08% | 0.026065 | +23.09% | 0.2727 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.019417 | -2.90% | 0.027298 | +36.51% | 0.3816 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.020383 | -3.08% | 0.024081 | +14.51% | 0.1903 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.017988 | -2.70% | 0.022534 | +21.89% | 0.2151 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.018378 | -2.70% | 0.020987 | +11.12% | 0.1406 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.018179 | -2.62% | 0.02708 | +45.06% | 0.3956 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.017952 | -2.52% | 0.023588 | +28.08% | 0.2531 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.017899 | -2.47% | 0.021176 | +15.39% | 0.1472 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.016097 | -2.16% | 0.019997 | +21.55% | 0.1937 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.018649 | -2.40% | 0.02103 | +10.06% | 0.0739 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.016622 | -2.26% | 0.018488 | +8.71% | 0.0917 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.015563 | -2.40% | 0.018888 | +18.46% | 0.1777 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.019104 | -2.61% | 0.018668 | -4.83% | 0.0194 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.021177 | -2.62% | 0.018416 | -15.32% | 0.1491 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.021986 | -2.60% | 0.018352 | -18.70% | 0.2197 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.020396 | -2.62% | 0.016452 | -21.45% | 0.2408 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.020687 | -2.60% | 0.019108 | -10.04% | 0.0519 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.02265 | -2.64% | 0.017007 | -26.90% | 0.2890 | ✓ | 1.00 |