CAP

Cap · Ethereum · gru_s3

token id: #71
symbol: CAP
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-26
predictions: 327

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

108

of 109 predictions shown

direction hit

39.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0839

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0102

actual +0.0133

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.066581	0.066273	-0.46%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-20	oos	0.068735	0.068374	-0.53%	0.066581	-3.13%	0.0283	✓	-0.57
2026-10-19	oos	0.066889	0.066585	-0.45%	0.068735	+2.76%	0.0397	✗	-0.59
2026-10-18	oos	0.070477	0.070063	-0.59%	0.066889	-5.09%	0.0476	✓	-0.62
2026-10-17	oos	0.073935	0.073427	-0.69%	0.070477	-4.68%	0.0364	✓	-0.60
2026-10-16	oos	0.072748	0.072269	-0.66%	0.073935	+1.63%	0.0219	✗	-0.59
2026-10-15	oos	0.07849	0.077845	-0.82%	0.072748	-7.32%	0.0725	✓	-0.62
2026-10-14	oos	0.073752	0.073243	-0.69%	0.07849	+6.42%	0.0734	✗	-0.63
2026-10-13	oos	0.088248	0.087396	-0.97%	0.073752	-16.43%	0.1836	✓	-0.74
2026-10-12	oos	0.097059	0.095424	-1.69%	0.088248	-9.08%	0.0663	✓	-0.72
2026-10-11	oos	0.092361	0.091311	-1.14%	0.097059	+5.09%	0.0409	✗	-0.86
2026-10-10	oos	0.092402	0.090932	-1.59%	0.092361	-0.04%	0.0240	✗	-0.92
2026-10-09	oos	0.086635	0.085593	-1.20%	0.092402	+6.66%	0.0806	✗	-0.92
2026-10-08	oos	0.073139	0.072502	-0.87%	0.086635	+18.45%	0.1874	✗	-0.90
2026-10-07	oos	0.07128	0.070663	-0.87%	0.073139	+2.61%	0.0164	✗	-0.94
2026-10-06	oos	0.087975	0.085963	-2.29%	0.07128	-18.98%	0.2187	✓	-1.17
2026-10-05	oos	0.073941	0.07316	-1.06%	0.087975	+18.98%	0.1816	✗	-1.17
2026-10-04	oos	0.065278	0.064806	-0.72%	0.073941	+13.27%	0.1220	✗	-1.12
2026-10-03	oos	0.069035	0.06844	-0.86%	0.065278	-5.44%	0.0246	✓	-1.10
2026-10-02	oos	0.074028	0.072946	-1.46%	0.069035	-6.74%	0.0520	✓	-1.10
2026-10-01	oos	0.069846	0.068893	-1.36%	0.074028	+5.99%	0.0675	✗	-1.08
2026-09-30	oos	0.069306	0.068361	-1.36%	0.069846	+0.78%	0.0386	✗	-1.12
2026-09-29	oos	0.059839	0.05914	-1.17%	0.069306	+15.82%	0.1575	✗	-1.12
2026-09-28	oos	0.056407	0.05574	-1.18%	0.059839	+6.09%	0.0736	✗	-1.20
2026-09-27	oos	0.053595	0.053075	-0.97%	0.056407	+5.25%	0.0464	✗	-1.21
2026-09-26	oos	0.051578	0.051105	-0.92%	0.053595	+3.91%	0.0482	✗	-1.20
2026-09-25	oos	0.052128	0.051618	-0.98%	0.051578	-1.05%	0.0037	✓	-1.17
2026-09-24	oos	0.049949	0.049484	-0.93%	0.052128	+4.36%	0.0480	✗	-1.15
2026-09-23	oos	0.053106	0.052432	-1.27%	0.049949	-5.94%	0.0484	✓	-1.16
2026-09-22	oos	0.046809	0.046423	-0.83%	0.053106	+13.45%	0.1111	✗	-1.10
2026-09-21	oos	0.045872	0.04553	-0.74%	0.046809	+2.04%	0.0227	✗	-1.10
2026-09-20	oos	0.044741	0.044418	-0.72%	0.045872	+2.53%	0.1137	✗	-1.26
2026-09-19	oos	0.047769	0.047237	-1.12%	0.044741	-6.34%	0.0554	✓	-1.27
2026-09-18	oos	0.05581	0.055236	-1.03%	0.047769	-14.41%	0.1396	✓	-1.26
2026-09-17	oos	0.054984	0.05445	-0.97%	0.05581	+1.50%	0.1054	✗	-1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.060022	0.059222	-1.33%	0.054984	-8.39%	0.0705	✓	-1.40
2026-09-15	oos	0.057324	0.05658	-1.30%	0.060022	+4.71%	0.0695	✗	-1.41
2026-09-14	oos	0.064413	0.062545	-2.90%	0.057324	-11.01%	0.1423	✓	-1.64
2026-09-13	oos	0.047068	0.047007	-0.13%	0.064413	+36.85%	0.3470	✗	-1.80
2026-09-12	oos	0.044869	0.044915	+0.10%	0.047068	+4.90%	0.0360	✓	-1.80
2026-09-11	oos	0.04448	0.044568	+0.20%	0.044869	+0.87%	0.0080	✓	-1.80
2026-09-10	oos	0.045466	0.045558	+0.20%	0.04448	-2.17%	0.0083	✗	-1.79
2026-09-09	oos	0.047448	0.047464	+0.03%	0.045466	-4.18%	0.0855	✗	-1.88
2026-09-08	oos	0.046785	0.04683	+0.10%	0.047448	+1.42%	0.0092	✓	-1.88
2026-09-07	oos	0.046622	0.046651	+0.06%	0.046785	+0.35%	0.0126	✗	-1.89
2026-09-06	oos	0.042957	0.043008	+0.12%	0.046622	+8.53%	0.0515	✓	-1.86
2026-09-05	oos	0.044706	0.044692	-0.03%	0.042957	-3.91%	0.0278	✓	-1.86
2026-09-04	oos	0.045241	0.04519	-0.11%	0.044706	-1.18%	0.0071	✓	-1.86
2026-09-03	oos	0.04878	0.04857	-0.43%	0.045241	-7.25%	0.1100	✓	-1.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.072695	0.072091	-0.83%	0.04878	-32.90%	0.3217	✓	-1.38
2026-09-01	oos	0.070557	0.069975	-0.83%	0.072695	+3.03%	0.0365	✗	-1.38
2026-08-31	oos	0.068387	0.067825	-0.82%	0.070557	+3.17%	0.0188	✗	-1.38
2026-08-30	oos	0.068164	0.067574	-0.87%	0.068387	+0.33%	0.0279	✗	-1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.069214	0.068577	-0.92%	0.068164	-1.52%	0.0163	✓	-1.41
2026-08-28	oos	0.069928	0.069241	-0.98%	0.069214	-1.02%	0.0067	✓	-1.40
2026-08-27	oos	0.066045	0.065407	-0.97%	0.069928	+5.88%	0.0233	✗	-1.41
2026-08-26	oos	0.070614	0.06985	-1.08%	0.066045	-6.47%	0.0343	✓	-1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.069435	0.068656	-1.12%	0.070614	+1.70%	0.0369	✗	-1.38
2026-08-24	oos	0.068823	0.068017	-1.17%	0.069435	+0.89%	0.0126	✗	-1.39
2026-08-23	oos	0.069367	0.068492	-1.26%	0.068823	-0.78%	0.0270	✗	-1.39
2026-08-22	oos	0.070097	0.06917	-1.32%	0.069367	-1.04%	0.0149	✗	-1.38
2026-08-21	oos	0.067073	0.06621	-1.29%	0.070097	+4.51%	0.0344	✗	-1.38
2026-08-20	oos	0.064753	0.063904	-1.31%	0.067073	+3.58%	0.1754	✗	-1.81
2026-08-19	oos	0.067798	0.066777	-1.51%	0.064753	-4.49%	0.0682	✗	-1.90
2026-08-18	oos	0.068975	0.067915	-1.54%	0.067798	-1.71%	0.1701	✗	-2.49
2026-08-17	oos	0.070634	0.069309	-1.88%	0.068975	-2.35%	0.0030	✓	-2.48
2026-08-16	oos	0.067132	0.065982	-1.71%	0.070634	+5.22%	0.1382	✗	-2.72
2026-08-15	oos	0.062121	0.061134	-1.59%	0.067132	+8.07%	0.0858	✗	-2.70
2026-08-14	oos	0.065324	0.063368	-2.99%	0.062121	-4.90%	0.0180	✓	-2.70
2026-08-13	oos	0.056743	0.055762	-1.73%	0.065324	+15.12%	0.1396	✗	-2.62
2026-08-12	oos	0.055292	0.05427	-1.85%	0.056743	+2.62%	0.0451	✗	-2.62
2026-08-11	oos	0.054776	0.053324	-2.65%	0.055292	+0.94%	0.0313	✗	-2.62
2026-08-10	oos	0.046134	0.045016	-2.42%	0.054776	+18.73%	0.1812	✗	-2.52
2026-08-09	oos	0.039386	0.038847	-1.37%	0.046134	+17.13%	0.1380	✗	-2.33
2026-08-08	oos	0.036911	0.036386	-1.42%	0.039386	+6.70%	0.0771	✗	-2.32
2026-08-07	oos	0.035967	0.035388	-1.61%	0.036911	+2.62%	0.0428	✗	-2.31
2026-08-06	oos	0.030811	0.030302	-1.65%	0.035967	+16.74%	0.1951	✗	-2.45
2026-08-05	oos	0.02783	0.027534	-1.06%	0.030811	+10.71%	0.1000	✗	-2.39
2026-08-04	oos	0.025369	0.025136	-0.92%	0.02783	+9.70%	0.1230	✗	-2.47
2026-08-03	oos	0.027598	0.027319	-1.01%	0.025369	-8.08%	0.0519	✓	-2.42
2026-08-02	oos	0.029535	0.02918	-1.20%	0.027598	-6.56%	0.0570	✓	-2.44
2026-08-01	oos	0.027282	0.027014	-0.98%	0.029535	+8.26%	0.1190	✗	-2.55
2026-07-31	oos	0.039226	0.038233	-2.53%	0.027282	-30.45%	0.3401	✓	-2.65
2026-07-30	oos	0.034526	0.033694	-2.41%	0.039226	+13.61%	0.0776	✗	-2.50
2026-07-29	oos	0.026065	0.025778	-1.10%	0.034526	+32.46%	0.3295	✗	-2.91
2026-07-28	oos	0.027298	0.026925	-1.37%	0.026065	-4.52%	0.0302	✓	-2.92
2026-07-27	oos	0.024081	0.023828	-1.05%	0.027298	+13.36%	0.1430	✗	-2.92
2026-07-26	oos	0.022534	0.022335	-0.88%	0.024081	+6.87%	0.0001	✓	-2.95
2026-07-25	oos	0.020987	0.020823	-0.79%	0.022534	+7.37%	0.0628	✗	1.00
2026-07-24	oos	0.02708	0.026709	-1.37%	0.020987	-22.50%	0.2444	✓	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.023588	0.023348	-1.02%	0.02708	+14.81%	0.1633	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.021176	0.021009	-0.79%	0.023588	+11.39%	0.1316	✗	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.019997	0.019853	-0.72%	0.021176	+5.90%	0.0710	✗	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.02103	0.02086	-0.81%	0.019997	-4.91%	0.0620	✓	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.018488	0.018369	-0.64%	0.02103	+13.75%	0.1271	✗	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.018888	0.018764	-0.66%	0.018488	-2.12%	0.0131	✓	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.018668	0.018551	-0.62%	0.018888	+1.18%	0.0040	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.018416	0.018305	-0.60%	0.018668	+1.37%	0.0177	✗	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.018352	0.018241	-0.60%	0.018416	+0.35%	0.0243	✗	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.016452	0.016374	-0.47%	0.018352	+11.55%	0.1182	✗	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.019108	0.018998	-0.58%	0.016452	-13.90%	0.1867	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.017007	0.016923	-0.49%	0.019108	+12.35%	0.1448	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.015945	0.015871	-0.46%	0.017007	+6.66%	0.0696	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.019616	0.019509	-0.54%	0.015945	-18.71%	0.1962	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.021747	0.021624	-0.57%	0.019616	-9.80%	0.1125	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.022573	0.022436	-0.61%	0.021747	-3.66%	0.0461	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.020944	0.020831	-0.54%	0.022573	+7.78%	0.0976	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.02124	0.02112	-0.57%	0.020944	-1.39%	0.0023	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.023265	0.023098	-0.72%	0.02124	-8.70%	0.0904	✓	1.00