CAP
Cap · Ethereum · gru_s3
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 327
Track record at +30d
assessed
79
of 109 predictions shown
direction hit
13.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.7559
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1152
actual +0.6198
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.066581 | 0.061252 | -8.00% | – | pending | – | – | -0.52 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.06313 | -8.15% | – | pending | – | – | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.061514 | -8.04% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.064324 | -8.73% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.066997 | -9.38% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.065945 | -9.35% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.070564 | -10.10% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.066435 | -9.92% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.078284 | -11.29% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.084576 | -12.86% | – | pending | – | – | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.081491 | -11.77% | – | pending | – | – | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.080891 | -12.46% | – | pending | – | – | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.076596 | -11.59% | – | pending | – | – | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.065736 | -10.12% | – | pending | – | – | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.064295 | -9.80% | – | pending | – | – | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.076871 | -12.62% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.066663 | -9.84% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.059998 | -8.09% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.062335 | -9.71% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.065862 | -11.03% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.062425 | -10.62% | – | pending | – | – | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.061334 | -11.50% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.053173 | -11.14% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.049948 | -11.45% | – | pending | – | – | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.048008 | -10.42% | – | pending | – | – | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.046153 | -10.52% | – | pending | – | – | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.046598 | -10.61% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.044903 | -10.10% | – | pending | – | – | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.047521 | -10.52% | – | pending | – | – | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.042308 | -9.62% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.041613 | -9.29% | 0.066581 | +45.14% | 0.4194 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.039408 | -11.92% | 0.068735 | +53.63% | 0.5836 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.041949 | -12.19% | 0.066889 | +40.02% | 0.4760 | ✗ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.048797 | -12.57% | 0.070477 | +26.28% | 0.3852 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.047859 | -12.96% | 0.073935 | +34.47% | 0.5244 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.052048 | -13.29% | 0.072748 | +21.20% | 0.4301 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.050131 | -12.55% | 0.07849 | +36.92% | 0.5652 | ✗ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.055737 | -13.47% | 0.073752 | +14.50% | 0.3495 | ✗ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.042979 | -8.69% | 0.088248 | +87.49% | 0.8617 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.041511 | -7.48% | 0.097059 | +116.32% | 0.9505 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.041452 | -6.81% | 0.092361 | +107.64% | 0.9456 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.042495 | -6.53% | 0.092402 | +103.23% | 0.9201 | ✗ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.044419 | -6.38% | 0.086635 | +82.59% | 0.7677 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.044074 | -5.79% | 0.073139 | +56.33% | 0.5828 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.04412 | -5.37% | 0.07128 | +52.89% | 0.5773 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.040795 | -5.03% | 0.087975 | +104.80% | 0.8854 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.042206 | -5.59% | 0.073941 | +65.39% | 0.6938 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.042547 | -5.95% | 0.065278 | +44.29% | 0.5813 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.045227 | -7.28% | 0.069035 | +41.52% | 0.5058 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.066662 | -8.30% | 0.074028 | +1.83% | 0.2277 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.064618 | -8.42% | 0.069846 | -1.01% | 0.2044 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.062558 | -8.52% | 0.069306 | +1.34% | 0.1877 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.061992 | -9.05% | 0.059839 | -12.21% | 0.0672 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.06265 | -9.48% | 0.056407 | -18.50% | 0.0141 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.062959 | -9.97% | 0.053595 | -23.36% | 0.0463 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.059336 | -10.16% | 0.051578 | -21.90% | 0.0690 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.062976 | -10.82% | 0.052128 | -26.18% | 0.1032 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.061506 | -11.42% | 0.049949 | -28.06% | 0.1087 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.060546 | -12.03% | 0.053106 | -22.84% | 0.0392 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.060585 | -12.66% | 0.046809 | -32.52% | 0.1145 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.060762 | -13.32% | 0.045872 | -34.56% | 0.1196 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.057923 | -13.64% | 0.044741 | -33.30% | 0.2090 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.055468 | -14.34% | 0.047769 | -26.23% | 0.0434 | ✓ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.057358 | -15.40% | 0.05581 | -17.68% | 0.2657 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.05784 | -16.14% | 0.054984 | -20.28% | 0.3624 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.058704 | -16.89% | 0.060022 | -15.02% | 0.4355 | ✗ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.055994 | -16.59% | 0.057324 | -14.61% | 0.5259 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.052037 | -16.23% | 0.064413 | +3.69% | 0.7953 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.053614 | -17.93% | 0.047068 | -27.95% | 0.4060 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.047603 | -16.11% | 0.044869 | -20.93% | 0.4572 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.046326 | -16.22% | 0.04448 | -19.55% | 0.4742 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.045411 | -17.10% | 0.045466 | -17.00% | 0.4890 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.038713 | -16.09% | 0.047448 | +2.85% | 0.7136 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.03381 | -14.16% | 0.046785 | +18.79% | 0.7687 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.03175 | -13.98% | 0.046622 | +26.31% | 0.8420 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.030875 | -14.16% | 0.042957 | +19.43% | 0.8243 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.026617 | -13.61% | 0.044706 | +45.10% | 1.0509 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.024331 | -12.57% | 0.045241 | +62.57% | 1.1219 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.022165 | -12.63% | 0.04878 | +92.28% | 1.3775 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.023952 | -13.21% | 0.072695 | +163.41% | 1.5881 | ✗ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.025485 | -13.71% | 0.070557 | +138.90% | 1.5008 | ✗ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.023609 | -13.46% | 0.068387 | +150.67% | 1.6370 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.032423 | -17.34% | 0.068164 | +73.77% | 1.3040 | ✗ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.029102 | -15.71% | 0.069214 | +100.47% | 1.3408 | ✗ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.022876 | -12.24% | 0.069928 | +168.28% | 1.6916 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.023824 | -12.73% | 0.066045 | +141.93% | 1.6872 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.021364 | -11.29% | 0.070614 | +193.23% | 1.8260 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.020254 | -10.11% | 0.069435 | +208.14% | 1.7747 | ✗ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.018895 | -9.97% | 0.068823 | +227.92% | 1.0869 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.023766 | -12.24% | 0.069367 | +156.16% | 0.8781 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.021219 | -10.04% | 0.070097 | +197.18% | 1.0257 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.019344 | -8.65% | 0.067073 | +216.74% | 1.0735 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.018362 | -8.18% | 0.064753 | +223.81% | 1.1671 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.019206 | -8.68% | 0.067798 | +222.39% | 1.2005 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.016982 | -8.15% | 0.068975 | +273.09% | 1.4016 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.017385 | -7.96% | 0.070634 | +273.96% | 1.4068 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.017203 | -7.85% | 0.067132 | +259.62% | 1.3783 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.017014 | -7.61% | 0.062121 | +237.32% | 1.3069 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.017026 | -7.22% | 0.065324 | +255.95% | 1.3719 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.0153 | -7.00% | 0.056743 | +244.90% | 1.3350 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.017739 | -7.16% | 0.055292 | +189.36% | 1.1186 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.015804 | -7.07% | 0.054776 | +222.08% | 1.2463 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.014734 | -7.60% | 0.046134 | +189.33% | 1.1392 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.018219 | -7.12% | 0.039386 | +100.79% | 0.7598 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.020213 | -7.06% | 0.036911 | +69.73% | 0.5751 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.020967 | -7.11% | 0.035967 | +59.34% | 0.4979 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.019456 | -7.11% | 0.030811 | +47.11% | 0.4449 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.019778 | -6.88% | 0.02783 | +31.02% | 0.3322 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.02167 | -6.85% | 0.025369 | +9.04% | 0.1503 | ✗ | 1.00 |