BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · gru_s3
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +7d
assessed
43
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
30.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2720
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0295
actual +0.2329
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 2.1044 | 2.0142 | -4.28% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 1.9529 | -4.42% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.8788 | -4.45% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.2922 | -5.09% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.2991 | -5.71% | – | pending | – | – | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.8333 | -4.91% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.7345 | -4.52% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.2341 | -6.15% | 2.1044 | -11.59% | 0.0405 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 1.9606 | -6.12% | 2.0432 | -2.16% | 0.0386 | ✓ | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.6582 | -5.22% | 1.9664 | +12.39% | 0.1722 | ✗ | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.5452 | -4.95% | 2.4152 | +48.56% | 0.4172 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.5078 | -4.82% | 2.4383 | +53.91% | 0.4534 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.4959 | -5.04% | 1.9279 | +22.38% | 0.2351 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.3287 | -4.60% | 1.8166 | +30.43% | 0.3208 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.2394 | -4.48% | 2.3803 | +83.45% | 0.6215 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.1618 | -4.26% | 2.0884 | +72.09% | 0.5431 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.1786 | -4.46% | 1.7495 | +41.82% | 0.3227 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.1879 | -4.65% | 1.6258 | +30.50% | 0.2624 | ✗ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 0.993874 | -4.22% | 1.5842 | +52.66% | 0.4275 | ✗ | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.3108 | -5.12% | 1.5753 | +14.02% | 0.1427 | ✗ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.3434 | -5.28% | 1.3928 | -1.80% | 0.0313 | ✓ | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.2604 | -5.16% | 1.2975 | -2.36% | 0.0229 | ✓ | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.3121 | -5.52% | 1.2135 | -12.62% | 0.0367 | ✓ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.0671 | -4.65% | 1.2336 | +10.23% | 0.1952 | ✗ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.1606 | -4.92% | 1.2458 | +2.06% | 0.1182 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.962539 | -3.90% | 1.0377 | +3.61% | 0.0827 | ✗ | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.2307 | -6.44% | 1.3815 | +5.03% | 0.1250 | ✗ | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.917975 | -3.82% | 1.4183 | +48.61% | 0.4450 | ✗ | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 0.987985 | -4.80% | 1.329 | +28.05% | 0.2785 | ✗ | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.867887 | -3.33% | 1.3887 | +54.68% | 0.5002 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.778649 | -2.75% | 1.1192 | +39.78% | 0.3997 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.722792 | -3.25% | 1.2207 | +63.40% | 0.4842 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.580211 | -1.71% | 1.0015 | +69.67% | 0.5075 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.617615 | -2.00% | 1.3154 | +108.72% | 0.7170 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.698693 | -2.95% | 0.9544 | +32.57% | 0.2118 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.725785 | -3.25% | 1.0378 | +38.34% | 0.2549 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.684075 | -2.97% | 0.8978 | +27.34% | 0.1405 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.575857 | -1.16% | 0.8007 | +37.44% | 0.2273 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.705188 | -3.98% | 0.74705 | +1.72% | 0.0024 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.545605 | -0.85% | 0.5903 | +7.27% | 0.0286 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.507862 | -0.18% | 0.6302 | +23.86% | 0.1694 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.499523 | -0.11% | 0.7199 | +43.97% | 0.3679 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.456747 | +1.25% | 0.7502 | +66.30% | 0.5239 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.445 | +1.66% | 0.70505 | +61.06% | 0.4974 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.459261 | +1.82% | 0.5826 | +29.17% | 0.2495 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.457573 | +2.27% | 0.73445 | +64.16% | 0.5182 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.461317 | +2.02% | 0.5503 | +21.69% | 0.2091 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.464929 | +1.84% | 0.5088 | +11.44% | 0.1216 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.46493 | +2.32% | 0.50005 | +10.05% | 0.1328 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.491517 | +0.39% | 0.4511 | -7.86% | 0.0984 | ✗ | 1.00 |