BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · gru_s3
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +30d
assessed
20
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
40.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
1.0666
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0244
actual +1.0422
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 2.1044 | 1.8249 | -13.28% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 1.7672 | -13.51% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.6955 | -13.78% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.0395 | -15.56% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.0315 | -16.68% | – | pending | – | – | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.639 | -14.98% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.5594 | -14.16% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 1.9661 | -17.40% | – | pending | – | – | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 1.7419 | -16.59% | – | pending | – | – | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.4819 | -15.30% | – | pending | – | – | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.3903 | -14.49% | – | pending | – | – | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.3551 | -14.46% | – | pending | – | – | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.3388 | -15.01% | – | pending | – | – | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.194 | -14.27% | – | pending | – | – | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.1182 | -13.83% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.0557 | -13.01% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.0683 | -13.40% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.0754 | -13.68% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 0.906417 | -12.65% | – | pending | – | – | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.1706 | -15.27% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.1958 | -15.69% | – | pending | – | – | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.1232 | -15.48% | – | pending | – | – | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.1639 | -16.19% | – | pending | – | – | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 0.963425 | -13.92% | – | pending | – | – | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.0416 | -14.67% | – | pending | – | – | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.882761 | -11.86% | – | pending | – | – | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.0964 | -16.65% | – | pending | – | – | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.848298 | -11.12% | – | pending | – | – | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 0.903033 | -12.99% | – | pending | – | – | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.815217 | -9.20% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.748017 | -6.58% | 2.1044 | +162.82% | 1.0804 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.684392 | -8.39% | 2.0432 | +173.50% | 1.0721 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.565404 | -4.22% | 1.9664 | +233.12% | 1.2390 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.596565 | -5.34% | 2.4152 | +283.24% | 1.3844 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.654544 | -9.08% | 2.4383 | +238.69% | 1.2513 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.675648 | -9.94% | 1.9279 | +156.98% | 0.9805 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.640885 | -9.10% | 1.8166 | +157.66% | 0.9589 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.563232 | -3.32% | 2.3803 | +308.57% | 1.3988 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.665559 | -9.38% | 2.0884 | +184.34% | 1.0646 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.536982 | -2.42% | 1.7495 | +217.93% | 1.1248 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.502796 | -1.18% | 1.6258 | +219.53% | 1.0931 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.494503 | -1.11% | 1.5842 | +216.81% | 1.0843 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.455683 | +1.02% | 1.5753 | +249.20% | 1.1874 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.444321 | +1.50% | 1.3928 | +218.17% | 1.1020 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.462263 | +2.49% | 1.2975 | +187.67% | 0.9806 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.463441 | +3.59% | 1.2135 | +171.23% | 0.8999 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.468022 | +3.50% | 1.2336 | +172.81% | 0.8977 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.474153 | +3.86% | 1.2458 | +172.87% | 0.8837 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.484099 | +6.54% | 1.0377 | +128.37% | 0.7206 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.49951 | +2.02% | 1.3815 | +182.17% | 0.9283 | ✓ | 1.00 |