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2022-09-15 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 192 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1614
192 of 192 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.70%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
55.2%
in alpha space · 47.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.49%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (192 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4210.422291+0.31%0.418-0.71%0.0161✗1.194,5592022-09-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.483870.484443+0.12%0.49675+2.66%0.0177✓1.5039k2022-09-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.000259520.000259658+0.05%0.00030458+17.36%0.1593✓0.063.3M2022-09-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.7615.7682+0.05%16.31+3.49%0.0300✓0.771.5M2022-09-16
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.022640.022639-0.00%0.02271+0.31%0.0021✓1.062,9142022-09-16
FTTFTXEthereum24.0824.0764-0.01%24.08+0.00%0.0048✓1.016.8M2022-09-16
AAVEAaveEthereum78.5178.4865-0.03%79.37+1.10%0.0040✗1.456.2M2022-09-16
STEEMSteemnative0.21410.214023-0.04%0.2244+4.81%0.0429✗0.90504k2022-09-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,833.1019,825.88-0.04%19,713.60-0.60%0.0102✓0.9115k2022-09-16
FORTFortaEthereum0.20590.205804-0.05%0.19-7.72%0.0827✓0.5662k2022-09-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.4092-0.06%1.44+2.13%0.0226✗-0.19102k2022-09-16
XMRMoneroMonero145.86145.7733-0.06%149.19+2.28%0.0183✗0.981.4M2022-09-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020270.020257-0.07%0.02106+3.90%0.0362✗0.56160k2022-09-16
CHRChromiaEthereum0.15570.155592-0.07%0.155-0.45%0.0093✓1.111,5602022-09-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05570.055659-0.07%0.0555-0.36%0.0067✓0.7782k2022-09-16
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.30e-78.29e-7-0.07%8.30e-7+0.00%0.0027✓0.7115k2022-09-16
XEMNEMnative0.0408790.040844-0.09%0.042068+2.91%0.0251✗0.9128k2022-09-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.035820.035788-0.09%0.03549-0.92%0.0118✓0.712,1832022-09-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,703.6719,684.51-0.10%19,801.04+0.49%0.0010✓1.00480.9M2022-09-16
GTGateEthereum4.18544.1802-0.12%4.2657+1.92%0.0168✗0.69696k2022-09-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.7523.7468-0.14%3.867+3.07%0.0291✗0.502.1M2022-09-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014550.001453-0.15%0.001455+0.00%0.0024✓0.795,2702022-09-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20630.205984-0.15%0.2047-0.78%0.0108✓0.9157k2022-09-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.065180.065077-0.16%0.0652+0.03%0.0028✓0.958692022-09-16
NANOnanopayBase0.7881480.786897-0.16%0.810979+2.90%0.0260✗0.8549k2022-09-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.85790.856533-0.16%0.8768+2.20%0.0175✗1.20862k2022-09-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032570.032518-0.16%0.03294+1.14%0.0076✗1.0728k2022-09-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1022730.102108-0.16%0.107109+4.73%0.0436✗0.866.4M2022-09-16
TRXTRONTron0.0610910.060989-0.17%0.061288+0.32%0.0028✗0.43129k2022-09-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19030.189978-0.17%0.1907+0.21%0.0009✓0.96127k2022-09-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04410.044025-0.17%0.043-2.49%0.0277✓0.84142k2022-09-16
KCSKuCoinnative9.1099.0934-0.17%9.137+0.31%0.0006✓0.851.2M2022-09-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,472.681,470.15-0.17%1,433.73-2.64%0.0316✓1.31569.9M2022-09-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0120480.012027-0.17%0.012294+2.04%0.0177✗0.87851k2022-09-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2590.258551-0.17%0.262+1.16%0.0095✗0.75512k2022-09-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.066.0494-0.17%6.26+3.30%0.0321✗0.432.1M2022-09-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011670.00001165-0.17%0.00001157-0.86%0.0116✓0.96898k2022-09-16
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.159850.159569-0.18%0.15812-1.08%0.0125✓0.682422022-09-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.595.5801-0.18%5.78+3.40%0.0326✗0.522.1M2022-09-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.041980.041903-0.18%0.04256+1.38%0.0117✗0.7814k2022-09-16
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.791.7866-0.19%1.76-1.68%0.0173✓0.4656k2022-09-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5832.578-0.19%2.596+0.50%0.0005✓1.512.9M2022-09-16
GITCOINGITCOIN1.92991.9261-0.19%1.9192-0.55%0.0090✓1.1013k2022-09-16
UNIUniswapEthereum5.8845.8723-0.20%5.824-1.02%0.0149✓1.346.9M2022-09-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03550.035429-0.20%0.0352-0.85%0.0114✓1.00100k2022-09-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.218.1634-0.20%18.06-0.77%0.0123✓1.3417.1M2022-09-16
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.12450.12425-0.20%0.119-4.42%0.0458✓0.5383k2022-09-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.314790.314157-0.20%0.32095+1.96%0.0164✗1.0233k2022-09-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.214.2015-0.20%4.31+2.38%0.0229✗0.521.4M2022-09-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8153.8072-0.20%3.874+1.55%0.0157✗0.352.0M2022-09-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.74651.6401-0.20%52.013+0.52%0.0030✗0.85221k2022-09-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.299.271-0.20%9.36+0.75%0.0032✗1.30288k2022-09-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.5781.5747-0.21%1.541-2.34%0.0259✓0.88540k2022-09-16
HIVEHivenative0.54770.546531-0.21%0.5573+1.75%0.0167✗0.57871k2022-09-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05281.0506-0.21%1.0589+0.58%0.0007✓1.474.5M2022-09-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.35590.355133-0.22%0.346-2.78%0.0308✓0.97194k2022-09-16
ZENHorizenBase14.514.4687-0.22%14.36-0.97%0.0133✓1.1775k2022-09-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.064990.064849-0.22%0.06705+3.17%0.0285✗0.9826k2022-09-16
XVSVenusEthereum4.474.4602-0.22%4.36-2.46%0.0268✓0.82773k2022-09-16
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19070.190278-0.22%0.1847-3.15%0.0347✓1.0073k2022-09-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.30010.299421-0.23%0.30013+0.01%0.0015✓0.78326k2022-09-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.721.7161-0.23%1.715-0.29%0.0086✓1.6163k2022-09-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.005410.005398-0.23%0.00531-1.85%0.0194✓0.63911k2022-09-16
LSKLiskEthereum0.9770950.974836-0.23%1.003+2.65%0.0245✗0.8039k2022-09-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.019640.019595-0.23%0.02055+4.63%0.0430✗0.939.2M2022-09-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04080.040705-0.23%0.0411+0.74%0.0040✗1.16546k2022-09-16
CBKCobakEthereum0.808670.806787-0.23%0.82039+1.45%0.0130✗0.7613k2022-09-16
BTTCBTTC8.30e-78.28e-7-0.23%8.20e-7-1.20%0.0132✓0.701.7M2022-09-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.5930.59159-0.24%0.586-1.18%0.0147✓1.053.1M2022-09-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012160.012131-0.24%0.01206-0.82%0.0088✓0.60233k2022-09-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001160.001157-0.24%0.001201+3.60%0.0339✗0.782.0M2022-09-16
DODODODOEthereum0.12020.119906-0.24%0.1221+1.58%0.0127✗1.101.4M2022-09-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.11281.1101-0.25%1.1346+1.96%0.0166✗1.071.2M2022-09-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.73723.728-0.25%3.6957-1.11%0.0118✓0.626.3M2022-09-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.32280.321999-0.25%0.3247+0.59%0.0030✗1.0970k2022-09-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0201130.020063-0.25%0.020411+1.48%0.0140✗0.6512k2022-09-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059410.005926-0.25%0.005888-0.90%0.0095✓0.601,9882022-09-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.257840.257195-0.25%0.26134+1.36%0.0118✗0.8516k2022-09-16
XYMSymbolnative0.0394210.03932-0.25%0.039113-0.78%0.0081✓0.5824k2022-09-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8830.880715-0.26%0.896+1.47%0.0119✗1.081.5M2022-09-16
QNTQuantEthereum103.96103.6892-0.26%107.74+3.64%0.0341✗0.863.5M2022-09-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05850.058346-0.26%0.0575-1.71%0.0206✓1.22608k2022-09-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum5.79e-75.78e-7-0.26%5.40e-7-6.75%0.0713✓0.821.9M2022-09-16
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.067240.067063-0.26%0.06472-3.75%0.0366✓0.20378k2022-09-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.09030.090054-0.27%0.0976+8.08%0.0756✗1.00319k2022-09-16
QTUMQtumQtum2.98632.978-0.28%2.9941+0.26%0.0004✓1.0020k2022-09-16
ELAElastosEthereum1.5091.5048-0.28%1.475-2.25%0.0234✓0.6929k2022-09-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.148.1171-0.28%8.46+3.93%0.0387✗0.532.3M2022-09-16
KSMKusamaHydration44.4644.3334-0.28%43.86-1.35%0.0155✓0.97338k2022-09-16
MANADecentralandEthereum0.719240.71719-0.28%0.7411+3.04%0.0276✗1.06584k2022-09-16
DIADIAEthereum0.367720.36667-0.29%0.37431+1.79%0.0159✗0.9529k2022-09-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.76045.7438-0.29%5.5996-2.79%0.0259✓0.0910.5M2022-09-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.2950.294152-0.29%0.2979+0.98%0.0081✗0.935.9M2022-09-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.129680.129307-0.29%0.13109+1.09%0.0081✗1.14135k2022-09-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1261.1228-0.29%1.173+4.17%0.0393✗0.901.1M2022-09-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.5865.5697-0.29%5.56-0.47%0.0043✓0.513.1M2022-09-16
RADRadworksEthereum2.242.2335-0.29%2.13-4.91%0.0504✓0.61154k2022-09-16
SCSiacoinnative0.003750.003739-0.29%0.00373-0.53%0.0070✓0.9286k2022-09-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10420.103892-0.30%0.1034-0.77%0.0088✓0.83207k2022-09-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.280880.280043-0.30%0.283015+0.76%0.0055✗1.03429k2022-09-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.05050.050348-0.30%0.0498-1.39%0.0145✓0.72234k2022-09-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.17416.1551-0.31%5.9681-3.34%0.0321✓0.2513.1M2022-09-16
XECeCashnative0.000043210.000043077-0.31%0.00004223-2.27%0.0240✓0.844.1M2022-09-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.155920.155432-0.31%0.15442-0.96%0.0116✓1.02262k2022-09-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5910.589144-0.31%0.616+4.23%0.0396✗1.01178k2022-09-16
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0165460.016494-0.32%0.016065-2.91%0.0313✓1.001,3242022-09-16
METISMetisEthereum25.725.6175-0.32%24.55-4.47%0.0502✓1.55153k2022-09-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.98340.980206-0.32%0.9744-0.92%0.0082✓0.452.6M2022-09-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0586030.058412-0.32%0.060443+3.14%0.0296✗0.931.1M2022-09-16
MOVRMoonriverBase11.305611.2684-0.33%11.2265-0.70%0.0084✓0.9522k2022-09-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.3456.1521-0.33%55.93-0.73%0.0086✓0.9514.8M2022-09-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26220.261319-0.34%0.2626+0.15%0.0001✓0.972.8M2022-09-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.9346.9104-0.34%6.906-0.40%0.0058✓1.059.8M2022-09-16
STXStacksnative0.34360.342422-0.34%0.3492+1.63%0.0144✗1.05282k2022-09-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,520.478,490.95-0.35%8,661.73+1.66%0.0133✗1.344.1M2022-09-16
DASHDashDash43.8743.7144-0.35%43.69-0.41%0.0057✓1.05299k2022-09-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4530.451389-0.36%0.434-4.19%0.0445✓1.067,9852022-09-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46910.467429-0.36%0.4634-1.22%0.0136✓1.01366k2022-09-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4890.487252-0.36%0.497+1.64%0.0140✗1.1866k2022-09-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.136.1077-0.36%6.185+0.90%0.0079✗0.944.3M2022-09-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.28610.28506-0.36%0.2667-6.78%0.0715✓1.0171k2022-09-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03670.036566-0.36%0.0374+1.91%0.0189✗0.749,9472022-09-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash117.54117.1089-0.37%119.59+1.74%0.0155✗1.104.0M2022-09-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007820.007791-0.37%0.00771-1.41%0.0160✓1.13501k2022-09-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.87864.8604-0.37%4.9422+1.30%0.0162✗0.11155k2022-09-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.73211.7256-0.37%1.7566+1.41%0.0124✗1.0928k2022-09-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.3131.3081-0.38%1.34+2.06%0.0184✗1.1739k2022-09-16
UMAUMAEthereum2.5462.5363-0.38%2.56+0.55%0.0052✗0.84450k2022-09-16
ADACardanoCardano0.4660.464213-0.38%0.4748+1.89%0.0179✗0.9536.3M2022-09-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.13360.133087-0.38%0.1384+3.59%0.0342✗1.00110k2022-09-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.45850.456736-0.38%0.4698+2.46%0.0242✗0.81396k2022-09-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12060.120134-0.39%0.1213+0.58%0.0046✗1.032.6M2022-09-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.14480.144234-0.39%0.151+4.28%0.0403✗1.128482022-09-16
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,397.261,391.78-0.39%1,354.73-3.04%0.0319✓1.003.4M2022-09-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.646.6138-0.39%6.63-0.15%0.0027✓1.05190k2022-09-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.195.1693-0.40%5.31+2.31%0.0246✗0.462.4M2022-09-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.4850.483055-0.40%0.489+0.82%0.0067✗1.1366k2022-09-16
SOLSolanaSolana33.0732.9356-0.41%32.23-2.54%0.0275✓1.1849.8M2022-09-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063360.00631-0.41%0.006297-0.62%0.0036✓0.3227k2022-09-16
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31950.318188-0.41%0.3144-1.60%0.0169✓1.0182k2022-09-16
C98Coin98Ethereum0.39220.390587-0.41%0.4409+12.42%0.1156✗1.1356k2022-09-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum1.9621.9539-0.41%1.988+1.33%0.0117✗1.1324k2022-09-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9882.9757-0.41%2.987-0.03%0.0022✓0.32719k2022-09-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0464.0293-0.41%4.006-0.99%0.0104✓0.93209k2022-09-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.04710.046904-0.42%0.0476+1.06%0.0096✗1.05148k2022-09-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3881.3822-0.42%1.38-0.58%0.0071✓1.1264k2022-09-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.19090.190094-0.42%0.2101+10.06%0.0956✗0.902.9M2022-09-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09120.090814-0.42%0.0859-5.81%0.0597✓0.8310k2022-09-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6030.600437-0.43%0.605+0.33%0.0026✓1.00111k2022-09-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027560.002744-0.43%0.002807+1.85%0.0181✗0.921.2M2022-09-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0251350.025027-0.43%0.025951+3.25%0.0364✗-0.04507k2022-09-16
XVGVergenative0.003260.003246-0.43%0.00319-2.15%0.0217✓0.89483k2022-09-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum1.941.9315-0.44%1.92-1.03%0.0123✓1.28216k2022-09-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum12.7112.653-0.45%12.83+0.94%0.0085✗1.09834k2022-09-16
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.1854.1659-0.46%4.206+0.50%0.0046✗1.001.4M2022-09-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.2114.1452-0.46%14.52+2.18%0.0219✗0.871.9M2022-09-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.5637.5283-0.46%7.655+1.22%0.0114✗1.0718.0M2022-09-16
ZECZcashZcash58.3358.0516-0.48%56.74-2.73%0.0281✓1.071.1M2022-09-16
XTZTezosTezos1.52041.5131-0.48%1.5208+0.03%0.0001✓1.02236k2022-09-16
PROPropyEthereum0.70.696563-0.49%0.7+0.00%0.0038✓0.2240k2022-09-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.2816.1975-0.51%16-1.72%0.0150✓0.56384k2022-09-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.79770.793654-0.51%0.7965-0.15%0.0018✓1.09913k2022-09-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.405940.403853-0.51%0.38821-4.37%0.0443✓0.98379k2022-09-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10850.107937-0.52%0.1057-2.58%0.0272✓1.282.3M2022-09-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain11.65611.5955-0.52%11.384-2.33%0.0201✓0.3416.1M2022-09-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.00231.9918-0.52%1.8924-5.49%0.0545✓0.661.6M2022-09-16
OPTIMOptimism1.1311.1251-0.52%1.112-1.68%0.0195✓1.582.8M2022-09-16
AURORAAuroraEthereum1.2241.2175-0.53%1.189-2.86%0.0286✓1.0096k2022-09-16
COMPCompoundEthereum56.9156.6076-0.53%54.06-5.01%0.0514✓1.098,4972022-09-16
FLOWFlownative1.7531.7437-0.53%1.78+1.54%0.0140✗1.351.1M2022-09-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.920.915084-0.53%0.928+0.87%0.0117✗0.472.5M2022-09-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos14.91214.8323-0.53%16.596+11.29%0.1064✗1.2020.9M2022-09-16
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.42334.3991-0.55%4.6927+6.09%0.0581✗1.31113k2022-09-16
GMTGMTEthereum0.66660.662905-0.55%0.6518-2.22%0.0243✓1.50194k2022-09-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85180.847078-0.55%0.8516-0.02%0.0014✓1.3686k2022-09-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.6735.4707-0.56%34.05-4.54%0.0484✓1.5311.7M2022-09-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09780.097245-0.57%0.0959-1.94%0.0176✓0.752,9132022-09-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11020.109566-0.58%0.1059-3.90%0.0364✓0.47182k2022-09-16
APEApeCoinEthereum4.9094.8804-0.58%4.665-4.97%0.0512✓1.236.4M2022-09-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.33120.329241-0.59%0.3024-8.70%0.0894✓0.8989k2022-09-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.059190.058827-0.61%0.06104+3.13%0.0311✗1.181.1M2022-09-16
BANDBandEthereum1.2061.1986-0.61%1.237+2.57%0.0256✗1.19300k2022-09-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.21481.2071-0.64%1.2302+1.27%0.0138✗1.04804k2022-09-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008330.008277-0.64%0.00835+0.24%0.0044✓0.893.1M2022-09-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.271.2613-0.68%1.28+0.79%0.0099✗0.9854k2022-09-16
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0115680.011486-0.71%0.01195+3.30%0.0347✗1.008222022-09-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14960.148506-0.73%0.1558+4.14%0.0434✗0.93311k2022-09-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.17380.172526-0.73%0.1457-16.17%0.1730✓0.8130k2022-09-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7265.6831-0.75%5.824+1.71%0.0197✗0.975.7M2022-09-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06650.065994-0.76%0.0646-2.86%0.0264✓1.0377k2022-09-16
FISStafiEthereum0.35380.350935-0.81%0.3538+0.00%0.0036✓0.936802022-09-16
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.00220.002161-1.76%0.001658-24.64%0.2681✓0.60340k2022-09-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.