STEEM

Steem · native · gru_s3

token id: #558
symbol: STEEM
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-04-22
predictions: 4,902

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

59.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0227

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0018

actual -0.0010

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.055155	0.054917	-0.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-20	oos	0.054815	0.054591	-0.41%	0.055155	+0.62%	0.0123	✗	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.052715	0.0526	-0.22%	0.054815	+3.98%	0.0323	✗	0.67
2026-10-18	oos	0.05174	0.051678	-0.12%	0.052715	+1.88%	0.0213	✗	0.67
2026-10-17	oos	0.0532	0.053122	-0.15%	0.05174	-2.74%	0.0315	✓	0.68
2026-10-16	oos	0.054185	0.05409	-0.18%	0.0532	-1.82%	0.0156	✓	0.68
2026-10-15	oos	0.05433	0.054241	-0.16%	0.054185	-0.27%	0.0041	✗	0.67
2026-10-14	oos	0.05566	0.055516	-0.26%	0.05433	-2.39%	0.0262	✓	0.68
2026-10-13	oos	0.05768	0.057457	-0.39%	0.05566	-3.50%	0.0194	✓	0.67
2026-10-12	oos	0.05655	0.056364	-0.33%	0.05768	+2.00%	0.0122	✗	0.66
2026-10-11	oos	0.06134	0.061004	-0.55%	0.05655	-7.81%	0.0618	✓	0.60
2026-10-10	oos	0.061395	0.061044	-0.57%	0.06134	-0.09%	0.0008	✓	0.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.061355	0.060994	-0.59%	0.061395	+0.07%	0.0038	✓	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.060125	0.059778	-0.58%	0.061355	+2.05%	0.0197	✗	0.61
2026-10-07	oos	0.05929	0.058953	-0.57%	0.060125	+1.41%	0.0316	✗	0.62
2026-10-06	oos	0.06176	0.061331	-0.69%	0.05929	-4.00%	0.0178	✓	0.60
2026-10-05	oos	0.063135	0.062675	-0.73%	0.06176	-2.18%	0.0133	✓	0.60
2026-10-04	oos	0.06396	0.063472	-0.76%	0.063135	-1.29%	0.0000	✓	0.61
2026-10-03	oos	0.063865	0.063319	-0.86%	0.06396	+0.15%	0.0025	✓	0.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.06368	0.063144	-0.84%	0.063865	+0.29%	0.0096	✗	0.61
2026-10-01	oos	0.06397	0.063437	-0.83%	0.06368	-0.45%	0.0063	✓	0.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.06506	0.064505	-0.85%	0.06397	-1.68%	0.0179	✓	0.63
2026-09-29	oos	0.06396	0.063443	-0.81%	0.06506	+1.72%	0.0258	✗	0.62
2026-09-28	oos	0.06367	0.063193	-0.75%	0.06396	+0.46%	0.0107	✗	0.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.06753	0.06694	-0.87%	0.06367	-5.72%	0.0427	✓	0.62
2026-09-26	oos	0.069305	0.068552	-1.09%	0.06753	-2.56%	0.0154	✓	0.61
2026-09-25	oos	0.06483	0.064238	-0.91%	0.069305	+6.90%	0.0736	✗	0.61
2026-09-24	oos	0.06295	0.062055	-1.42%	0.06483	+2.99%	0.0459	✗	0.61
2026-09-23	oos	0.05789	0.057479	-0.71%	0.06295	+8.74%	0.0909	✗	0.62
2026-09-22	oos	0.05947	0.059045	-0.71%	0.05789	-2.66%	0.0065	✓	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.058035	0.057654	-0.66%	0.05947	+2.47%	0.0339	✗	0.64
2026-09-20	oos	0.05707	0.056724	-0.61%	0.058035	+1.69%	0.0224	✓	0.70
2026-09-19	oos	0.05797	0.057548	-0.73%	0.05707	-1.55%	0.0077	✓	0.69
2026-09-18	oos	0.056635	0.05617	-0.82%	0.05797	+2.36%	0.0285	✗	0.69
2026-09-17	oos	0.05423	0.053929	-0.55%	0.056635	+4.43%	0.0094	✗	0.69
2026-09-16	oos	0.05836	0.057695	-1.14%	0.05423	-7.08%	0.0638	✓	0.69
2026-09-15	oos	0.057465	0.056773	-1.20%	0.05836	+1.56%	0.0223	✗	0.71
2026-09-14	oos	0.05571	0.0551	-1.09%	0.057465	+3.15%	0.0679	✗	0.77
2026-09-13	oos	0.06011	0.05873	-2.30%	0.05571	-7.32%	0.0672	✓	0.81
2026-09-12	oos	0.04948	0.049222	-0.52%	0.06011	+21.48%	0.2050	✗	0.86
2026-09-11	oos	0.044845	0.044961	+0.26%	0.04948	+10.34%	0.0952	✓	0.86
2026-09-10	oos	0.04404	0.044208	+0.38%	0.044845	+1.83%	0.0068	✓	0.86
2026-09-09	oos	0.04676	0.046895	+0.29%	0.04404	-5.82%	0.0441	✗	0.83
2026-09-08	oos	0.04577	0.046011	+0.53%	0.04676	+2.16%	0.0179	✓	0.84
2026-09-07	oos	0.04536	0.045672	+0.69%	0.04577	+0.90%	0.0091	✓	0.85
2026-09-06	oos	0.04602	0.046366	+0.75%	0.04536	-1.43%	0.0085	✗	0.86
2026-09-05	oos	0.04626	0.046602	+0.74%	0.04602	-0.52%	0.0180	✗	0.86
2026-09-04	oos	0.044815	0.045225	+0.91%	0.04626	+3.22%	0.0210	✓	0.85
2026-09-03	oos	0.044555	0.045009	+1.02%	0.044815	+0.58%	0.0127	✓	0.86
2026-09-02	oos	0.04263	0.04295	+0.75%	0.044555	+4.52%	0.0085	✗	0.91
2026-09-01	oos	0.042745	0.043036	+0.68%	0.04263	-0.27%	0.0084	✗	0.91
2026-08-31	oos	0.04312	0.043425	+0.71%	0.042745	-0.87%	0.0032	✓	0.85
2026-08-30	oos	0.0429	0.04313	+0.54%	0.04312	+0.51%	0.0102	✗	0.87
2026-08-29	oos	0.04576	0.045886	+0.28%	0.0429	-6.25%	0.0611	✗	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	0.04582	0.045921	+0.22%	0.04576	-0.13%	0.0078	✗	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	0.04507	0.045246	+0.39%	0.04582	+1.66%	0.0399	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.045655	0.045731	+0.17%	0.04507	-1.28%	0.0286	✗	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	0.04334	0.043452	+0.26%	0.045655	+5.34%	0.0438	✓	0.89
2026-08-24	oos	0.04452	0.044549	+0.06%	0.04334	-2.65%	0.0224	✗	0.88
2026-08-23	oos	0.04415	0.044159	+0.02%	0.04452	+0.84%	0.0061	✗	0.89
2026-08-22	oos	0.04412	0.043981	-0.31%	0.04415	+0.07%	0.0039	✓	0.89
2026-08-21	oos	0.04245	0.042419	-0.07%	0.04412	+3.93%	0.0542	✗	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.03886	0.038862	+0.00%	0.04245	+9.24%	0.0266	✓	0.88
2026-08-19	oos	0.03661	0.036594	-0.04%	0.03886	+6.15%	0.0149	✗	0.87
2026-08-18	oos	0.034745	0.03472	-0.07%	0.03661	+5.37%	0.0074	✓	0.88
2026-08-17	oos	0.034945	0.034885	-0.17%	0.034745	-0.57%	0.0068	✓	0.87
2026-08-16	oos	0.03495	0.034919	-0.09%	0.034945	-0.01%	0.0222	✓	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.03522	0.035186	-0.10%	0.03495	-0.77%	0.0041	✓	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.035005	0.034966	-0.11%	0.03522	+0.61%	0.0066	✗	0.89
2026-08-13	oos	0.03621	0.036041	-0.47%	0.035005	-3.33%	0.0228	✓	0.89
2026-08-12	oos	0.035705	0.035657	-0.13%	0.03621	+1.41%	0.0152	✗	0.88
2026-08-11	oos	0.03619	0.036149	-0.11%	0.035705	-1.34%	0.0107	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.036795	0.036746	-0.13%	0.03619	-1.64%	0.0100	✓	0.88
2026-08-09	oos	0.03712	0.037064	-0.15%	0.036795	-0.88%	0.0056	✗	0.88
2026-08-08	oos	0.036595	0.036551	-0.12%	0.03712	+1.43%	0.0163	✗	0.88
2026-08-07	oos	0.036145	0.036111	-0.09%	0.036595	+1.24%	0.0131	✗	0.88
2026-08-06	oos	0.03644	0.036349	-0.25%	0.036145	-0.81%	0.0142	✓	0.89
2026-08-05	oos	0.036075	0.036047	-0.08%	0.03644	+1.01%	0.0155	✗	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.03611	0.036083	-0.07%	0.036075	-0.10%	0.0079	✓	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.03682	0.036767	-0.14%	0.03611	-1.93%	0.0262	✓	0.89
2026-08-02	oos	0.03635	0.036312	-0.10%	0.03682	+1.29%	0.0144	✗	0.93
2026-08-01	oos	0.03682	0.03677	-0.14%	0.03635	-1.28%	0.0224	✓	0.93
2026-07-31	oos	0.03668	0.036629	-0.14%	0.03682	+0.38%	0.0061	✗	0.93
2026-07-30	oos	0.03654	0.036494	-0.13%	0.03668	+0.38%	0.0337	✗	0.96
2026-07-29	oos	0.03593	0.035886	-0.12%	0.03654	+1.70%	0.0058	✗	0.95
2026-07-28	oos	0.037405	0.037352	-0.14%	0.03593	-3.94%	0.0396	✓	0.95
2026-07-27	oos	0.0374	0.037338	-0.16%	0.037405	+0.01%	0.0005	✓	0.95
2026-07-26	oos	0.04009	0.040011	-0.20%	0.0374	-6.71%	0.0444	✓	0.90
2026-07-25	oos	0.03937	0.039297	-0.19%	0.04009	+1.83%	0.0054	✗	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.039155	0.039076	-0.20%	0.03937	+0.55%	0.0045	✗	0.90
2026-07-23	oos	0.039225	0.039159	-0.17%	0.039155	-0.18%	0.0134	✗	0.90
2026-07-22	oos	0.03986	0.039801	-0.15%	0.039225	-1.59%	0.0004	✓	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.04037	0.040311	-0.15%	0.03986	-1.26%	0.0054	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.03972	0.039659	-0.15%	0.04037	+1.64%	0.0004	✓	0.88
2026-07-19	oos	0.03926	0.039207	-0.14%	0.03972	+1.17%	0.0059	✗	0.87
2026-07-18	oos	0.039965	0.039902	-0.16%	0.03926	-1.76%	0.0147	✓	0.88
2026-07-17	oos	0.040115	0.040046	-0.17%	0.039965	-0.37%	0.0145	✓	0.89
2026-07-16	oos	0.03988	0.039818	-0.15%	0.040115	+0.59%	0.0057	✗	0.89
2026-07-15	oos	0.04051	0.040448	-0.15%	0.03988	-1.56%	0.0012	✓	0.88
2026-07-14	oos	0.04028	0.040225	-0.14%	0.04051	+0.57%	0.0108	✗	0.89
2026-07-13	oos	0.03952	0.039467	-0.13%	0.04028	+1.92%	0.0187	✓	0.91
2026-07-12	oos	0.040685	0.040545	-0.34%	0.03952	-2.86%	0.0043	✓	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	0.041745	0.041655	-0.22%	0.040685	-2.54%	0.0231	✓	0.88
2026-07-10	oos	0.04083	0.040771	-0.14%	0.041745	+2.24%	0.0284	✗	0.86
2026-07-09	oos	0.04022	0.04017	-0.13%	0.04083	+1.52%	0.0035	✗	0.86
2026-07-08	oos	0.03999	0.039942	-0.12%	0.04022	+0.58%	0.0057	✓	0.85
2026-07-07	oos	0.040365	0.040313	-0.13%	0.03999	-0.93%	0.0067	✗	0.85
2026-07-06	oos	0.04201	0.041938	-0.17%	0.040365	-3.92%	0.0292	✓	0.85
2026-07-05	oos	0.0425	0.042422	-0.18%	0.04201	-1.15%	0.0153	✓	0.85
2026-07-04	oos	0.042585	0.042506	-0.19%	0.0425	-0.20%	0.0068	✓	0.85
2026-07-03	oos	0.04211	0.042036	-0.18%	0.042585	+1.13%	0.0055	✗	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.04088	0.040824	-0.14%	0.04211	+3.01%	0.0173	✗	0.82
2026-07-01	oos	0.04059	0.040545	-0.11%	0.04088	+0.71%	0.0126	✓	0.83
2026-06-30	oos	0.03974	0.03971	-0.08%	0.04059	+2.14%	0.0016	✗	0.84
2026-06-29	oos	0.04106	0.041012	-0.12%	0.03974	-3.21%	0.0085	✓	0.83
2026-06-28	oos	0.04065	0.040611	-0.10%	0.04106	+1.01%	0.0017	✗	0.81
2026-06-27	oos	0.0402	0.040159	-0.10%	0.04065	+1.12%	0.0185	✗	0.82
2026-06-26	oos	0.03971	0.039698	-0.03%	0.0402	+1.23%	0.0135	✗	0.81
2026-06-25	oos	0.03852	0.038535	+0.04%	0.03971	+3.09%	0.0260	✓	0.81
2026-06-24	oos	0.0397	0.0397	-0.00%	0.03852	-2.97%	0.0130	✓	0.81
2026-06-23	oos	0.04059	0.040577	-0.03%	0.0397	-2.19%	0.0004	✗	0.83
2026-06-22	oos	0.04213	0.042099	-0.07%	0.04059	-3.66%	0.0199	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	0.042895	0.04286	-0.08%	0.04213	-1.78%	0.0263	✓	0.81
2026-06-20	oos	0.04333	0.043291	-0.09%	0.042895	-1.00%	0.0030	✗	0.79
2026-06-19	oos	0.042835	0.042812	-0.05%	0.04333	+1.16%	0.0028	✗	0.79
2026-06-18	oos	0.04292	0.042905	-0.04%	0.042835	-0.20%	0.0091	✓	0.79
2026-06-17	oos	0.04516	0.0451	-0.13%	0.04292	-4.96%	0.0304	✓	0.78
2026-06-16	oos	0.04539	0.045339	-0.11%	0.04516	-0.51%	0.0107	✗	0.81
2026-06-15	oos	0.04584	0.045778	-0.14%	0.04539	-0.98%	0.0001	✓	0.84
2026-06-14	oos	0.04489	0.044849	-0.09%	0.04584	+2.12%	0.0149	✗	0.81
2026-06-13	oos	0.04466	0.044629	-0.07%	0.04489	+0.52%	0.0099	✓	0.80
2026-06-12	oos	0.04422	0.044209	-0.03%	0.04466	+1.00%	0.0010	✓	0.80
2026-06-11	oos	0.04449	0.044475	-0.03%	0.04422	-0.61%	0.0054	✓	0.81
2026-06-10	oos	0.04313	0.043144	+0.03%	0.04449	+3.15%	0.0037	✓	0.80
2026-06-09	oos	0.04445	0.044462	+0.03%	0.04313	-2.97%	0.0273	✗	0.80
2026-06-08	oos	0.04614	0.046119	-0.04%	0.04445	-3.66%	0.0194	✓	0.79
2026-06-07	oos	0.04556	0.045549	-0.02%	0.04614	+1.27%	0.0158	✗	0.77
2026-06-06	oos	0.04468	0.044721	+0.09%	0.04556	+1.97%	0.0107	✗	0.74
2026-06-05	oos	0.04436	0.044415	+0.12%	0.04468	+0.72%	0.0080	✓	0.69
2026-06-04	oos	0.04793	0.0479	-0.06%	0.04436	-7.45%	0.0489	✓	0.63
2026-06-03	oos	0.04904	0.048987	-0.11%	0.04793	-2.26%	0.0194	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.04824	0.048173	-0.14%	0.04904	+1.66%	0.0460	✗	0.70
2026-06-01	oos	0.05192	0.051744	-0.34%	0.04824	-7.09%	0.0271	✓	0.64
2026-05-31	oos	0.05316	0.052693	-0.88%	0.05192	-2.33%	0.0053	✓	0.65
2026-05-30	oos	0.05059	0.050465	-0.25%	0.05316	+5.08%	0.0535	✗	0.56
2026-05-29	oos	0.05057	0.050448	-0.24%	0.05059	+0.04%	0.0001	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.051145	0.051016	-0.25%	0.05057	-1.12%	0.0079	✓	0.45
2026-05-27	oos	0.05224	0.052109	-0.25%	0.051145	-2.10%	0.0121	✓	0.61
2026-05-26	oos	0.05245	0.052335	-0.22%	0.05224	-0.40%	0.0091	✗	0.54
2026-05-25	oos	0.05441	0.05427	-0.26%	0.05245	-3.60%	0.0212	✓	0.69
2026-05-24	oos	0.05319	0.053075	-0.22%	0.05441	+2.29%	0.0225	✗	0.66
2026-05-23	oos	0.05515	0.054798	-0.64%	0.05319	-3.55%	0.0327	✓	0.70
2026-05-22	oos	0.05186	0.051768	-0.18%	0.05515	+6.34%	0.0525	✗	0.68
2026-05-21	oos	0.054185	0.054083	-0.19%	0.05186	-4.29%	0.0237	✓	0.66
2026-05-20	oos	0.05406	0.053957	-0.19%	0.054185	+0.23%	0.0036	✗	0.66
2026-05-19	oos	0.05444	0.054338	-0.19%	0.05406	-0.70%	0.0110	✓	0.64
2026-05-18	oos	0.05526	0.05515	-0.20%	0.05444	-1.48%	0.0116	✓	0.61
2026-05-17	oos	0.05578	0.055606	-0.31%	0.05526	-0.93%	0.0026	✓	0.61
2026-05-16	oos	0.057255	0.057136	-0.21%	0.05578	-2.58%	0.0186	✓	0.60
2026-05-15	oos	0.05763	0.057502	-0.22%	0.057255	-0.65%	0.0031	✗	0.61
2026-05-14	oos	0.059	0.058892	-0.18%	0.05763	-2.32%	0.0062	✓	0.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.058195	0.058082	-0.19%	0.059	+1.38%	0.0018	✓	0.62
2026-05-12	oos	0.05911	0.05901	-0.17%	0.058195	-1.55%	0.0048	✓	0.61
2026-05-11	oos	0.06026	0.060137	-0.20%	0.05911	-1.91%	0.0082	✓	0.59
2026-05-10	oos	0.06032	0.060241	-0.13%	0.06026	-0.10%	0.0038	✗	0.61
2026-05-09	oos	0.05928	0.059198	-0.14%	0.06032	+1.75%	0.0074	✗	0.60
2026-05-08	oos	0.06016	0.059964	-0.33%	0.05928	-1.46%	0.0149	✓	0.59
2026-05-07	oos	0.05847	0.058312	-0.27%	0.06016	+2.89%	0.0299	✗	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.05928	0.059042	-0.40%	0.05847	-1.37%	0.0014	✓	0.63
2026-05-05	oos	0.06141	0.060891	-0.85%	0.05928	-3.47%	0.0315	✓	0.72
2026-05-04	oos	0.05632	0.056277	-0.08%	0.06141	+9.04%	0.0781	✗	0.70
2026-05-03	oos	0.05611	0.056062	-0.09%	0.05632	+0.37%	0.0067	✓	0.69
2026-05-02	oos	0.05647	0.056427	-0.08%	0.05611	-0.64%	0.0046	✓	0.69
2026-05-01	oos	0.05674	0.056688	-0.09%	0.05647	-0.48%	0.0077	✓	0.68
2026-04-30	oos	0.05608	0.056005	-0.13%	0.05674	+1.18%	0.0044	✓	0.70
2026-04-29	oos	0.05712	0.057019	-0.18%	0.05608	-1.82%	0.0217	✓	0.70
2026-04-28	oos	0.05747	0.057374	-0.17%	0.05712	-0.61%	0.0010	✓	0.73
2026-04-27	oos	0.05707	0.057001	-0.12%	0.05747	+0.70%	0.0181	✗	0.73
2026-04-26	oos	0.058385	0.058324	-0.10%	0.05707	-2.25%	0.0095	✓	0.73
2026-04-25	oos	0.05857	0.05848	-0.15%	0.058385	-0.32%	0.0112	✓	0.73
2026-04-24	oos	0.0585	0.058407	-0.16%	0.05857	+0.12%	0.0010	✓	0.74
2026-04-23	oos	0.05819	0.058125	-0.11%	0.0585	+0.53%	0.0142	✗	0.74
2026-04-22	oos	0.0583	0.058228	-0.12%	0.05819	-0.19%	0.0013	✓	0.74
2026-04-21	oos	0.05854	0.058422	-0.20%	0.0583	-0.41%	0.0200	✓	0.74
2026-04-20	oos	0.05884	0.058716	-0.21%	0.05854	-0.51%	0.0077	✓	0.75
2026-04-19	oos	0.057255	0.057123	-0.23%	0.05884	+2.77%	0.0091	✗	0.75
2026-04-18	oos	0.05909	0.058977	-0.19%	0.057255	-3.11%	0.0104	✓	0.75
2026-04-17	oos	0.060225	0.060127	-0.16%	0.05909	-1.88%	0.0040	✓	0.75
2026-04-16	oos	0.05955	0.059401	-0.25%	0.060225	+1.13%	0.0054	✓	0.76
2026-04-15	oos	0.057685	0.057586	-0.17%	0.05955	+3.23%	0.0303	✗	0.75
2026-04-14	oos	0.05739	0.057289	-0.18%	0.057685	+0.51%	0.0002	✓	0.76
2026-04-13	oos	0.05874	0.058624	-0.20%	0.05739	-2.30%	0.0186	✓	0.75
2026-04-12	oos	0.05736	0.057219	-0.25%	0.05874	+2.41%	0.0137	✓	0.79
2026-04-11	oos	0.057815	0.057698	-0.20%	0.05736	-0.79%	0.0197	✗	0.79
2026-04-10	oos	0.05853	0.058401	-0.22%	0.057815	-1.22%	0.0110	✓	0.79
2026-04-09	oos	0.05886	0.058716	-0.25%	0.05853	-0.56%	0.0163	✓	0.79
2026-04-08	oos	0.058485	0.058344	-0.24%	0.05886	+0.64%	0.0009	✓	0.79
2026-04-07	oos	0.06026	0.0601	-0.27%	0.058485	-2.95%	0.0181	✓	0.79
2026-04-06	oos	0.05834	0.058185	-0.27%	0.06026	+3.29%	0.0009	✓	0.79
2026-04-05	oos	0.05847	0.058317	-0.26%	0.05834	-0.22%	0.0021	✓	0.79
2026-04-04	oos	0.05871	0.058544	-0.28%	0.05847	-0.41%	0.0214	✓	0.80
2026-04-03	oos	0.05933	0.059142	-0.32%	0.05871	-1.05%	0.0113	✓	0.80
2026-04-02	oos	0.0572	0.057058	-0.25%	0.05933	+3.72%	0.0383	✗	0.80
2026-04-01	oos	0.05917	0.058996	-0.29%	0.0572	-3.33%	0.0165	✓	0.80
2026-03-31	oos	0.05845	0.058292	-0.27%	0.05917	+1.23%	0.0162	✗	0.80
2026-03-30	oos	0.05936	0.059177	-0.31%	0.05845	-1.53%	0.0303	✓	0.82
2026-03-29	oos	0.05845	0.05819	-0.45%	0.05936	+1.56%	0.0105	✗	0.80
2026-03-28	oos	0.05739	0.057236	-0.27%	0.05845	+1.85%	0.0254	✗	0.80
2026-03-27	oos	0.05606	0.055961	-0.18%	0.05739	+2.37%	0.0256	✗	0.80
2026-03-26	oos	0.05837	0.058243	-0.22%	0.05606	-3.96%	0.0095	✓	0.80
2026-03-25	oos	0.06112	0.060969	-0.25%	0.05837	-4.50%	0.0149	✓	0.79
2026-03-24	oos	0.062585	0.062402	-0.29%	0.06112	-2.34%	0.0294	✓	0.80
2026-03-23	oos	0.05997	0.059848	-0.20%	0.062585	+4.36%	0.0486	✗	0.80
2026-03-22	oos	0.05921	0.059092	-0.20%	0.05997	+1.28%	0.0208	✓	0.81
2026-03-21	oos	0.06062	0.060492	-0.21%	0.05921	-2.33%	0.0088	✓	0.81
2026-03-20	oos	0.06216	0.062003	-0.25%	0.06062	-2.48%	0.0042	✓	0.81
2026-03-19	oos	0.06104	0.060914	-0.21%	0.06216	+1.83%	0.0136	✗	0.81
2026-03-18	oos	0.065885	0.065664	-0.34%	0.06104	-7.35%	0.0579	✓	0.80
2026-03-17	oos	0.07013	0.069696	-0.62%	0.065885	-6.05%	0.0269	✓	0.79
2026-03-16	oos	0.06463	0.064454	-0.27%	0.07013	+8.51%	0.0948	✗	0.81
2026-03-15	oos	0.06408	0.06388	-0.31%	0.06463	+0.86%	0.0110	✓	0.82
2026-03-14	oos	0.06369	0.063331	-0.56%	0.06408	+0.61%	0.0065	✓	0.82
2026-03-13	oos	0.05895	0.058818	-0.22%	0.06369	+8.04%	0.0762	✗	0.82
2026-03-12	oos	0.0603	0.060092	-0.34%	0.05895	-2.24%	0.0240	✓	0.83
2026-03-11	oos	0.05837	0.058241	-0.22%	0.0603	+3.31%	0.0310	✗	0.82
2026-03-10	oos	0.0595	0.059354	-0.24%	0.05837	-1.90%	0.0196	✓	0.82
2026-03-09	oos	0.0609	0.060702	-0.33%	0.0595	-2.30%	0.0384	✓	0.83
2026-03-08	oos	0.06144	0.061057	-0.62%	0.0609	-0.88%	0.0340	✓	0.86
2026-03-07	oos	0.0565	0.056318	-0.32%	0.06144	+8.74%	0.1040	✗	0.88
2026-03-06	oos	0.05531	0.055202	-0.19%	0.0565	+2.15%	0.0342	✗	0.87
2026-03-05	oos	0.05819	0.058037	-0.26%	0.05531	-4.95%	0.0135	✓	0.87
2026-03-04	oos	0.0597	0.059548	-0.25%	0.05819	-2.53%	0.0015	✓	0.86
2026-03-03	oos	0.0579	0.057777	-0.21%	0.0597	+3.11%	0.0217	✓	0.88
2026-03-02	oos	0.0607	0.060518	-0.30%	0.0579	-4.61%	0.0379	✓	0.88
2026-03-01	oos	0.0638	0.063338	-0.72%	0.0607	-4.86%	0.0849	✓	0.93
2026-02-28	oos	0.0564	0.056296	-0.19%	0.0638	+13.12%	0.1425	✗	0.96
2026-02-27	oos	0.0614	0.061183	-0.35%	0.0564	-8.14%	0.0979	✓	0.99
2026-02-26	oos	0.0793	0.077352	-2.46%	0.0614	-22.57%	0.2084	✓	0.92
2026-02-25	oos	0.059	0.058616	-0.65%	0.0793	+34.41%	0.3092	✗	0.94
2026-02-24	oos	0.0511	0.050833	-0.52%	0.059	+15.46%	0.0974	✗	0.87
2026-02-23	oos	0.046	0.046041	+0.09%	0.0511	+11.09%	0.1117	✓	0.86
2026-02-22	oos	0.0487	0.048704	+0.01%	0.046	-5.54%	0.0189	✗	0.84
2026-02-21	oos	0.0491	0.049102	+0.01%	0.0487	-0.81%	0.0040	✗	0.85
2026-02-20	oos	0.0503	0.050278	-0.04%	0.0491	-2.39%	0.0233	✓	0.85
2026-02-19	oos	0.0511	0.051065	-0.07%	0.0503	-1.57%	0.0279	✓	0.85
2026-02-18	oos	0.0559	0.055455	-0.80%	0.0511	-8.59%	0.0890	✓	0.87
2026-02-17	oos	0.052	0.051991	-0.02%	0.0559	+7.50%	0.0862	✗	0.88
2026-02-16	oos	0.0528	0.052777	-0.04%	0.052	-1.52%	0.0030	✗	0.88
2026-02-15	oos	0.05245	0.052441	-0.02%	0.0528	+0.67%	0.0060	✗	0.88
2026-02-14	oos	0.05455	0.054506	-0.08%	0.05245	-3.85%	0.0259	✓	0.87
2026-02-13	oos	0.0534	0.053376	-0.05%	0.05455	+2.15%	0.0095	✗	0.87
2026-02-12	oos	0.0517	0.051724	+0.05%	0.0534	+3.29%	0.0017	✗	0.87
2026-02-11	oos	0.0507	0.050739	+0.08%	0.0517	+1.97%	0.0291	✓	0.84
2026-02-10	oos	0.0503	0.050341	+0.08%	0.0507	+0.80%	0.0298	✓	0.87
2026-02-09	oos	0.0526	0.052612	+0.02%	0.0503	-4.37%	0.0289	✗	0.86
2026-02-08	oos	0.0515	0.051546	+0.09%	0.0526	+2.14%	0.0224	✓	0.85
2026-02-07	oos	0.05305	0.053084	+0.06%	0.0515	-2.92%	0.0431	✗	0.86
2026-02-06	oos	0.0523	0.052366	+0.13%	0.05305	+1.43%	0.0288	✓	0.86
2026-02-05	oos	0.0477	0.047982	+0.59%	0.0523	+9.64%	0.0151	✗	0.87
2026-02-04	oos	0.0549	0.054934	+0.06%	0.0477	-13.11%	0.0060	✗	0.90
2026-02-03	oos	0.0559	0.055908	+0.01%	0.0549	-1.79%	0.0137	✓	0.89
2026-02-02	oos	0.0559	0.055892	-0.01%	0.0559	+0.00%	0.0367	✗	0.94
2026-02-01	oos	0.05635	0.056307	-0.08%	0.0559	-0.80%	0.0289	✓	0.95
2026-01-31	oos	0.0561	0.056102	+0.00%	0.05635	+0.45%	0.0274	✓	1.02
2026-01-30	oos	0.06015	0.060079	-0.12%	0.0561	-6.73%	0.0000	✓	1.02
2026-01-29	oos	0.0598	0.05975	-0.08%	0.06015	+0.59%	0.0116	✗	1.02
2026-01-28	oos	0.06475	0.064603	-0.23%	0.0598	-7.64%	0.0240	✓	0.99
2026-01-27	oos	0.066	0.065733	-0.41%	0.06475	-1.89%	0.0156	✓	1.01
2026-01-26	oos	0.0657	0.065554	-0.22%	0.066	+0.46%	0.0030	✓	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	0.0637	0.063594	-0.17%	0.0657	+3.14%	0.0134	✗	0.99
2026-01-24	oos	0.0656	0.065482	-0.18%	0.0637	-2.90%	0.0010	✓	0.99
2026-01-23	oos	0.06565	0.065534	-0.18%	0.0656	-0.08%	0.0054	✗	1.00
2026-01-22	oos	0.0646	0.064505	-0.15%	0.06565	+1.63%	0.0175	✗	1.00
2026-01-21	oos	0.06535	0.065239	-0.17%	0.0646	-1.15%	0.0110	✓	1.00
2026-01-20	oos	0.0637	0.063613	-0.14%	0.06535	+2.59%	0.0154	✗	0.97
2026-01-19	oos	0.0672	0.067058	-0.21%	0.0637	-5.21%	0.0059	✓	0.97
2026-01-18	oos	0.0685	0.068353	-0.21%	0.0672	-1.90%	0.0059	✓	0.97
2026-01-17	oos	0.0712	0.071024	-0.25%	0.0685	-3.79%	0.0213	✓	0.95
2026-01-16	oos	0.0718	0.071619	-0.25%	0.0712	-0.84%	0.0019	✓	0.95
2026-01-15	oos	0.071	0.07084	-0.22%	0.0718	+1.13%	0.0143	✗	0.95
2026-01-14	oos	0.07465	0.074457	-0.26%	0.071	-4.89%	0.0342	✓	0.94
2026-01-13	oos	0.07535	0.075075	-0.37%	0.07465	-0.93%	0.0214	✓	0.96
2026-01-12	oos	0.06985	0.069662	-0.27%	0.07535	+7.87%	0.0370	✗	0.92
2026-01-11	oos	0.0719	0.071696	-0.28%	0.06985	-2.85%	0.0293	✓	0.93
2026-01-10	oos	0.07405	0.073815	-0.32%	0.0719	-2.90%	0.0315	✓	0.95
2026-01-09	oos	0.07605	0.075782	-0.35%	0.07405	-2.63%	0.0216	✓	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.07755	0.07706	-0.63%	0.07605	-1.93%	0.0077	✓	0.98
2026-01-07	oos	0.0741	0.073771	-0.44%	0.07755	+4.66%	0.0536	✗	1.33
2026-01-06	oos	0.0745	0.074199	-0.40%	0.0741	-0.54%	0.0342	✗	1.35
2026-01-05	oos	0.0732	0.072922	-0.38%	0.0745	+1.78%	0.0235	✗	1.35
2026-01-04	oos	0.0707	0.070464	-0.33%	0.0732	+3.54%	0.0034	✗	1.35
2026-01-03	oos	0.0695	0.069275	-0.32%	0.0707	+1.73%	0.0070	✗	1.35
2026-01-02	oos	0.0678	0.067596	-0.30%	0.0695	+2.51%	0.0182	✗	1.35
2026-01-01	oos	0.0667	0.066521	-0.27%	0.0678	+1.65%	0.0007	✓	1.34
2025-12-31	oos	0.0654	0.065267	-0.20%	0.0667	+1.99%	0.0029	✗	1.34
2025-12-30	oos	0.0689	0.068725	-0.25%	0.0654	-5.08%	0.0360	✓	1.33
2025-12-29	oos	0.0722	0.071879	-0.44%	0.0689	-4.57%	0.0623	✓	1.36
2025-12-28	oos	0.07	0.069629	-0.53%	0.0722	+3.14%	0.0482	✗	1.37
2025-12-27	oos	0.0685	0.068284	-0.32%	0.07	+2.19%	0.0238	✗	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.06445	0.064342	-0.17%	0.0685	+6.28%	0.0549	✗	1.33
2025-12-25	oos	0.0647	0.064491	-0.32%	0.06445	-0.39%	0.0025	✓	1.33
2025-12-24	oos	0.0644	0.064325	-0.12%	0.0647	+0.47%	0.0125	✗	1.33
2025-12-23	oos	0.06405	0.06399	-0.09%	0.0644	+0.55%	0.0036	✗	1.34
2025-12-22	oos	0.06415	0.064085	-0.10%	0.06405	-0.16%	0.0167	✗	1.34
2025-12-21	oos	0.0632	0.063163	-0.06%	0.06415	+1.50%	0.0168	✗	1.34
2025-12-20	oos	0.0645	0.06446	-0.06%	0.0632	-2.02%	0.0246	✓	1.36
2025-12-19	oos	0.0646	0.06454	-0.09%	0.0645	-0.15%	0.0042	✓	1.36
2025-12-18	oos	0.0611	0.061032	-0.11%	0.0646	+5.73%	0.0160	✗	1.35
2025-12-17	oos	0.06245	0.06245	+0.00%	0.0611	-2.16%	0.0101	✗	1.35
2025-12-16	oos	0.06615	0.066109	-0.06%	0.06245	-5.59%	0.0316	✓	1.34
2025-12-15	oos	0.066	0.065963	-0.06%	0.06615	+0.23%	0.0194	✓	1.35
2025-12-14	oos	0.06825	0.068187	-0.09%	0.066	-3.30%	0.0056	✓	1.34
2025-12-13	oos	0.07075	0.070658	-0.13%	0.06825	-3.53%	0.0034	✓	1.34
2025-12-12	oos	0.0698	0.06973	-0.10%	0.07075	+1.36%	0.0149	✗	1.34
2025-12-11	oos	0.07115	0.071071	-0.11%	0.0698	-1.90%	0.0154	✗	1.35
2025-12-10	oos	0.07295	0.072849	-0.14%	0.07115	-2.47%	0.0310	✓	1.36
2025-12-09	oos	0.0745	0.074374	-0.17%	0.07295	-2.08%	0.0097	✓	1.35
2025-12-08	oos	0.0725	0.072414	-0.12%	0.0745	+2.76%	0.0014	✓	1.34
2025-12-07	oos	0.0723	0.072224	-0.11%	0.0725	+0.28%	0.0001	✓	1.34
2025-12-06	oos	0.07495	0.074842	-0.14%	0.0723	-3.54%	0.0517	✓	1.36
2025-12-05	oos	0.0741	0.07398	-0.16%	0.07495	+1.15%	0.0142	✗	1.36
2025-12-04	oos	0.07555	0.075457	-0.12%	0.0741	-1.92%	0.0236	✗	1.38
2025-12-03	oos	0.0772	0.077097	-0.13%	0.07555	-2.14%	0.0001	✓	1.38
2025-12-02	oos	0.0759	0.075821	-0.10%	0.0772	+1.71%	0.0142	✓	1.39
2025-12-01	oos	0.0728	0.072785	-0.02%	0.0759	+4.26%	0.0396	✓	1.44
2025-11-30	oos	0.0765	0.076435	-0.09%	0.0728	-4.84%	0.0187	✗	1.46
2025-11-29	oos	0.0779	0.077809	-0.12%	0.0765	-1.80%	0.0096	✓	1.45
2025-11-28	oos	0.0773	0.077226	-0.10%	0.0779	+0.78%	0.0099	✗	1.45
2025-11-27	oos	0.0784	0.078314	-0.11%	0.0773	-1.40%	0.0065	✓	1.45
2025-11-26	oos	0.07625	0.076197	-0.07%	0.0784	+2.82%	0.0152	✗	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.0766	0.076566	-0.04%	0.07625	-0.46%	0.0567	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.0744	0.074396	-0.00%	0.0766	+2.96%	0.0452	✗	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.0723	0.072349	+0.07%	0.0744	+2.90%	0.0031	✓	1.49
2025-11-22	oos	0.0716	0.071705	+0.15%	0.0723	+0.98%	0.0291	✗	1.51
2025-11-21	oos	0.07155	0.07166	+0.15%	0.0716	+0.07%	0.0060	✓	1.50
2025-11-20	oos	0.0737	0.073771	+0.10%	0.07155	-2.92%	0.0049	✗	1.50
2025-11-19	oos	0.0766	0.076572	-0.04%	0.0737	-3.79%	0.0491	✗	1.58
2025-11-18	oos	0.0769	0.076861	-0.05%	0.0766	-0.39%	0.0215	✗	1.58
2025-11-17	oos	0.0759	0.075885	-0.02%	0.0769	+1.32%	0.0007	✓	1.59
2025-11-16	oos	0.077	0.076958	-0.05%	0.0759	-1.43%	0.0220	✗	1.60
2025-11-15	oos	0.07925	0.079188	-0.08%	0.077	-2.84%	0.0050	✓	1.60
2025-11-14	oos	0.07825	0.078231	-0.02%	0.07925	+1.28%	0.0046	✓	1.60
2025-11-13	oos	0.07785	0.077834	-0.02%	0.07825	+0.51%	0.0971	✗	1.74
2025-11-12	oos	0.0851	0.084931	-0.20%	0.07785	-8.52%	0.0527	✓	1.71
2025-11-11	oos	0.0839	0.08368	-0.26%	0.0851	+1.43%	0.0399	✗	1.72
2025-11-10	oos	0.0852	0.085111	-0.10%	0.0839	-1.53%	0.0348	✗	1.73
2025-11-09	oos	0.08535	0.085261	-0.10%	0.0852	-0.18%	0.0220	✓	1.74
2025-11-08	oos	0.08555	0.085455	-0.11%	0.08535	-0.23%	0.0426	✓	1.78
2025-11-07	oos	0.0872	0.087028	-0.20%	0.08555	-1.89%	0.0002	✓	1.74
2025-11-06	oos	0.07805	0.078081	+0.04%	0.0872	+11.72%	0.0775	✓	1.69
2025-11-05	oos	0.077	0.077049	+0.06%	0.07805	+1.36%	0.0563	✓	1.73
2025-11-04	oos	0.07335	0.073463	+0.15%	0.077	+4.98%	0.0068	✓	1.72
2025-11-03	oos	0.0765	0.076564	+0.08%	0.07335	-4.12%	0.0447	✓	1.79
2025-11-02	oos	0.0856	0.085583	-0.02%	0.0765	-10.63%	0.0483	✓	1.74
2025-11-01	oos	0.08575	0.085731	-0.02%	0.0856	-0.17%	0.0092	✓	1.75
2025-10-31	oos	0.08415	0.08417	+0.02%	0.08575	+1.90%	0.0107	✓	1.74
2025-10-30	oos	0.0826	0.082632	+0.04%	0.08415	+1.88%	0.0017	✗	1.74
2025-10-29	oos	0.08805	0.088027	-0.03%	0.0826	-6.19%	0.0365	✓	1.72
2025-10-28	oos	0.088	0.087988	-0.01%	0.08805	+0.06%	0.0462	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.0911	0.091052	-0.05%	0.088	-3.40%	0.0158	✓	1.76
2025-10-26	oos	0.09295	0.092874	-0.08%	0.0911	-1.99%	0.0122	✓	1.76
2025-10-25	oos	0.0902	0.090135	-0.07%	0.09295	+3.05%	0.0146	✓	1.78
2025-10-24	oos	0.0905	0.090425	-0.08%	0.0902	-0.33%	0.0125	✓	1.79
2025-10-23	oos	0.08985	0.089771	-0.09%	0.0905	+0.72%	0.0069	✓	1.79
2025-10-22	oos	0.09025	0.090173	-0.09%	0.08985	-0.44%	0.0458	✓	1.81
2025-10-21	oos	0.0916	0.091505	-0.10%	0.09025	-1.47%	0.0007	✓	1.82
2025-10-20	oos	0.09385	0.093717	-0.14%	0.0916	-2.40%	0.0143	✗	1.84
2025-10-19	oos	0.09405	0.093933	-0.12%	0.09385	-0.21%	0.0328	✓	1.85
2025-10-18	oos	0.09235	0.092286	-0.07%	0.09405	+1.84%	0.0062	✓	1.85
2025-10-17	oos	0.09185	0.091827	-0.02%	0.09235	+0.54%	0.0072	✓	1.85
2025-10-16	oos	0.0938	0.093762	-0.04%	0.09185	-2.08%	0.0093	✗	1.85
2025-10-15	oos	0.0974	0.097364	-0.04%	0.0938	-3.70%	0.0067	✗	1.85
2025-10-14	oos	0.1006	0.100563	-0.04%	0.0974	-3.18%	0.0055	✗	1.85
2025-10-13	oos	0.1041	0.104079	-0.02%	0.1006	-3.36%	0.0019	✗	1.86
2025-10-12	oos	0.0988	0.098855	+0.06%	0.1041	+5.36%	0.0484	✓	1.82
2025-10-11	oos	0.0914	0.091507	+0.12%	0.0988	+8.10%	0.0080	✓	1.80
2025-10-10	oos	0.0898	0.089934	+0.15%	0.0914	+1.78%	0.0527	✓	1.84
2025-10-09	oos	0.11885	0.118827	-0.02%	0.0898	-24.44%	0.1796	✓	1.35
2025-10-08	oos	0.12145	0.12144	-0.01%	0.11885	-2.14%	0.0036	✓	1.35
2025-10-07	oos	0.11815	0.118129	-0.02%	0.12145	+2.79%	0.0070	✗	1.30
2025-10-06	oos	0.1242	0.124198	-0.00%	0.11815	-4.87%	0.0153	✓	1.28
2025-10-05	oos	0.12215	0.122162	+0.01%	0.1242	+1.68%	0.0042	✓	1.28
2025-10-04	oos	0.12205	0.122066	+0.01%	0.12215	+0.08%	0.0103	✗	1.27
2025-10-03	oos	0.12595	0.125897	-0.04%	0.12205	-3.10%	0.0325	✓	1.27
2025-10-02	oos	0.1248	0.124732	-0.05%	0.12595	+0.92%	0.0081	✓	1.28
2025-10-01	oos	0.12445	0.12431	-0.11%	0.1248	+0.28%	0.0173	✓	1.30
2025-09-30	oos	0.1172	0.117122	-0.07%	0.12445	+6.19%	0.0104	✗	1.28
2025-09-29	oos	0.11775	0.117655	-0.08%	0.1172	-0.47%	0.0004	✓	1.33
2025-09-28	oos	0.1185	0.118355	-0.12%	0.11775	-0.63%	0.0315	✓	1.38
2025-09-27	oos	0.1174	0.117263	-0.12%	0.1185	+0.94%	0.0213	✓	1.40
2025-09-26	oos	0.11805	0.117875	-0.15%	0.1174	-0.55%	0.0038	✓	1.41
2025-09-25	oos	0.1149	0.114754	-0.13%	0.11805	+2.74%	0.0198	✗	1.41
2025-09-24	oos	0.12285	0.122633	-0.18%	0.1149	-6.47%	0.0115	✓	1.38
2025-09-23	oos	0.12205	0.121833	-0.18%	0.12285	+0.66%	0.0081	✓	1.39
2025-09-22	oos	0.12175	0.121481	-0.22%	0.12205	+0.25%	0.0135	✗	1.38
2025-09-21	oos	0.1298	0.12948	-0.25%	0.12175	-6.20%	0.0316	✓	1.34
2025-09-20	oos	0.1324	0.132049	-0.27%	0.1298	-1.96%	0.0116	✓	1.38
2025-09-19	oos	0.13165	0.131293	-0.27%	0.1324	+0.57%	0.0077	✗	1.38
2025-09-18	oos	0.1366	0.13621	-0.29%	0.13165	-3.62%	0.0171	✓	1.38
2025-09-17	oos	0.1358	0.135394	-0.30%	0.1366	+0.59%	0.0013	✓	1.39

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.