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2022-09-10 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1830
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.45%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
64.4%
in alpha space · 52.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.83%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.17380.170914-1.66%0.2611+50.23%0.4169✗0.8324k2022-09-11
FISStafiEthereum0.39310.387578-1.40%0.3501-10.94%0.1105✓1.067402022-09-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3596.2752-1.32%6.417+0.91%0.0154✗0.846.2M2022-09-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.491.4704-1.31%1.46-2.01%0.0145✓0.8981k2022-09-11
FLOWFlownative2.112.0842-1.22%2.116+0.28%0.0045✓1.281.1M2022-09-11
METISMetisEthereum32.5532.1689-1.17%31.98-1.75%0.0200✓1.71178k2022-09-11
OPTIMOptimism1.3871.3708-1.17%1.402+1.08%0.0094✓1.582.8M2022-09-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5680.561395-1.16%0.595+4.75%0.0493✗1.0763k2022-09-11
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0189450.018726-1.15%0.01828-3.51%0.0324✓1.006792022-09-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065880.065132-1.14%0.06521-1.02%0.0079✓1.091.4M2022-09-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6151.5971-1.11%1.648+2.04%0.0224✗1.0943k2022-09-11
BANDBandEthereum1.3721.3572-1.08%1.369-0.22%0.0004✓1.09385k2022-09-11
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0524.9985-1.06%5.682+12.47%0.1179✗1.246.2M2022-09-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15330.151677-1.06%0.1545+0.78%0.0101✓1.00361k2022-09-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.342.3152-1.06%2.33-0.43%0.0031✓1.14229k2022-09-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3140.310722-1.04%0.2929-6.72%0.0675✓1.0292k2022-09-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5160.51071-1.03%0.513-0.58%0.0037✓0.997,7812022-09-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.2338.8329-1.01%38.56-1.71%0.0190✓1.4411.7M2022-09-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009380.009286-1.01%0.00944+0.64%0.0105✗0.723.3M2022-09-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0482.028-0.98%1.99-2.83%0.0324✓1.6260k2022-09-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2242.2023-0.98%2.202-0.99%0.0092✓1.1033k2022-09-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.74910.741836-0.97%0.7351-1.87%0.0204✓1.36210k2022-09-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11730.116172-0.96%0.1167-0.51%0.0040✓1.032.5M2022-09-11
IMXImmutableEthereum0.87190.863567-0.96%0.8663-0.64%0.0050✓0.99988k2022-09-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.679493-0.95%0.686+0.00%0.0030✓0.78116k2022-09-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7214.5822-0.94%14.56-1.09%0.0100✓1.02925k2022-09-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0281.0184-0.93%1.024-0.39%0.0018✓0.442.8M2022-09-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.465030.46082-0.91%0.45678-1.77%0.0165✓0.93392k2022-09-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12740.12625-0.90%0.1254-1.57%0.0125✓0.69195k2022-09-11
GITCOINGITCOIN2.32732.3064-0.90%2.3057-0.93%0.0094✓1.0913k2022-09-11
ORCAOrcaSolana0.9020.893911-0.90%0.8885-1.50%0.0174✓1.3694k2022-09-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.21412.1073-0.87%12.594+3.11%0.0358✗0.4416.0M2022-09-11
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.45134.4126-0.87%4.847+8.89%0.0813✗1.52129k2022-09-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2723.2435-0.87%3.278+0.18%0.0065✓0.50653k2022-09-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.05220.05175-0.86%0.052-0.38%0.0023✓0.86204k2022-09-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.281561-0.86%0.285+0.35%0.0062✓0.72563k2022-09-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.41537.3518-0.86%7.6094+2.62%0.0326✗0.229.9M2022-09-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.5715.4374-0.85%15.7+0.83%0.0096✗0.871.7M2022-09-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.9617.8082-0.85%18.93+5.40%0.0560✗0.61384k2022-09-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5141.5013-0.84%1.517+0.20%0.0013✓1.1071k2022-09-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023050.022857-0.84%0.02332+1.17%0.0132✗0.839.2M2022-09-11
ZECZcashZcash65.3364.7855-0.83%64.27-1.62%0.0177✓1.171.2M2022-09-11
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6746.6185-0.83%6.491-2.74%0.0297✓1.246.9M2022-09-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.34010.337274-0.83%0.3328-2.15%0.0221✓1.0582k2022-09-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44340.439721-0.83%0.4445+0.25%0.0014✓1.1381k2022-09-11
KSMKusamaHydration52.3251.888-0.83%51.9-0.80%0.0074✓0.93363k2022-09-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.97826.9206-0.83%7.1468+2.42%0.0309✗0.158.6M2022-09-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.16250.161204-0.80%0.168+3.38%0.0337✗0.921,0012022-09-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.290350.288059-0.79%0.29146+0.38%0.0037✓0.9614k2022-09-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.3251.3145-0.79%1.3145-0.79%0.0076✓0.911.1M2022-09-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09950.098722-0.78%0.0941-5.43%0.0550✓0.8613k2022-09-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,440.9910,360.23-0.77%10,194.93-2.36%0.0276✓1.394.2M2022-09-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.85e-76.80e-7-0.77%7.30e-7+6.57%0.0644✗0.832.3M2022-09-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.33511.3249-0.77%1.3029-2.41%0.0259✓1.111.1M2022-09-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0510.050612-0.76%0.0501-1.76%0.0180✓0.94546k2022-09-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.37543.3499-0.75%3.3066-2.04%0.0210✓0.9619k2022-09-11
STXStacksnative0.38460.381712-0.75%0.3903+1.48%0.0132✗1.09335k2022-09-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1297.0756-0.75%7.173+0.62%0.0067✓0.844.3M2022-09-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13910.13806-0.75%0.1378-0.93%0.0059✓0.482.9M2022-09-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52490.52098-0.75%0.5157-1.75%0.0157✓0.66444k2022-09-11
XTZTezosTezos1.66641.6541-0.74%1.6855+1.15%0.0102✗1.04241k2022-09-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.787.7225-0.74%7.63-1.93%0.0206✓1.03237k2022-09-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.93891.9247-0.73%1.9241-0.76%0.0090✓1.0523k2022-09-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.14910.148005-0.73%0.1518+1.81%0.0174✗0.95117k2022-09-11
COMPCompoundEthereum53.0652.6716-0.73%55.25+4.13%0.0379✗1.209,0502022-09-11
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,670.431,658.22-0.73%1,656.91-0.81%0.0091✓1.003.4M2022-09-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029110.00289-0.73%0.002904-0.24%0.0021✓0.851.2M2022-09-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.9067.8488-0.72%8.03+1.57%0.0148✗0.9618.0M2022-09-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5694.536-0.72%4.501-1.49%0.0152✓0.90289k2022-09-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash132.64131.686-0.72%130.35-1.73%0.0194✓1.114.4M2022-09-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.00043480.000431726-0.71%0.00043138-0.79%0.0050✓0.501.8M2022-09-11
DODODODOEthereum0.13360.132657-0.71%0.1333-0.22%0.0040✓1.061.4M2022-09-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36650.363989-0.69%0.3619-1.26%0.0142✓1.0271k2022-09-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0243.0033-0.68%2.963-2.02%0.0254✓1.433.0M2022-09-11
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0109740.010899-0.68%0.011314+3.10%0.0291✗1.006082022-09-11
CBKCobakEthereum0.850180.844387-0.68%0.8518+0.19%0.0014✓0.8913k2022-09-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.04772.0338-0.68%2.0077-1.95%0.0201✓0.871.2M2022-09-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7777.7244-0.68%7.702-0.96%0.0111✓0.9810.0M2022-09-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.612.5924-0.68%2.63+0.77%0.0090✗0.66262k2022-09-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.28180.279903-0.67%0.3308+17.39%0.1605✗0.7984k2022-09-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06580.065362-0.67%0.0645-1.98%0.0199✓0.8081k2022-09-11
ZENHorizenBase16.8516.7381-0.66%16.47-2.26%0.0251✓1.0885k2022-09-11
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.8134.7812-0.66%4.896+1.72%0.0154✗1.001.2M2022-09-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5520.548385-0.65%0.543-1.63%0.0189✓1.0877k2022-09-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03790.037654-0.65%0.0372-1.85%0.0183✓0.747,8252022-09-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.99515.8917-0.65%15.699-1.85%0.0217✓1.1418.7M2022-09-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.8072.789-0.64%2.782-0.89%0.0091✓0.80630k2022-09-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5734.5442-0.63%4.6789+2.32%0.0250✗0.517.3M2022-09-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3126760.310712-0.63%0.313787+0.36%0.0016✓0.99514k2022-09-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.179590.178468-0.62%0.17789-0.95%0.0109✓0.93268k2022-09-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50590.502745-0.62%0.512+1.21%0.0092✗1.09384k2022-09-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0215750.021441-0.62%0.021887+1.45%0.0144✗0.7512k2022-09-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29490.293072-0.62%0.2923-0.88%0.0102✓0.922.7M2022-09-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.005930.005893-0.62%0.00661+11.47%0.1096✗0.63911k2022-09-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.20160.200353-0.62%0.2083+3.32%0.0320✗0.833.2M2022-09-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11450.113795-0.62%0.1156+0.96%0.0093✗0.77169k2022-09-11
MOVRMoonriverBase13.467613.3853-0.61%12.8866-4.31%0.0453✓0.8822k2022-09-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.81370.808746-0.61%0.80376-1.22%0.0131✓0.83584k2022-09-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0647310.064337-0.61%0.063703-1.59%0.0182✓1.001.3M2022-09-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.028.9661-0.60%8.98-0.44%0.0021✓0.442.2M2022-09-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10360.102981-0.60%0.1027-0.87%0.0086✓0.712,6892022-09-11
PROPropyEthereum0.730.725653-0.60%0.72-1.37%0.0110✓0.3850k2022-09-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6570.653098-0.59%0.649-1.22%0.0139✓0.92178k2022-09-11
DASHDashDash48.7748.4816-0.59%48.35-0.86%0.0106✓0.95328k2022-09-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.415.3781-0.59%5.43+0.37%0.0062✗0.412.0M2022-09-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.98750.981707-0.59%0.9748-1.29%0.0165✓1.13899k2022-09-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143720.142882-0.58%0.14382+0.07%0.0027✓1.12157k2022-09-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.9510.8862-0.58%11.23+2.56%0.0210✗1.22298k2022-09-11
SOLSolanaSolana35.0734.8676-0.58%35.01-0.17%0.0045✓1.0458.3M2022-09-11
XVSVenusEthereum5.115.0805-0.58%5.1-0.20%0.0029✓0.81943k2022-09-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.4520.3338-0.57%20.69+1.17%0.0077✗1.1718.5M2022-09-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004130.004107-0.57%0.00419+1.45%0.0127✗0.90103k2022-09-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.06961.0636-0.57%1.0863+1.55%0.0145✗0.8034k2022-09-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.3262.9633-0.56%62.18-1.80%0.0204✓0.9513.5M2022-09-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0670.066625-0.56%0.0662-1.19%0.0164✓1.21608k2022-09-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007860.007817-0.55%0.00844+7.38%0.0682✗1.03389k2022-09-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.680.676259-0.55%0.676-0.59%0.0098✓1.133.7M2022-09-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075980.075564-0.55%0.07546-0.68%0.0106✓1.1125k2022-09-11
API3Api3Ethereum1.7891.7793-0.54%1.838+2.74%0.0254✗0.85627k2022-09-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0425350.042304-0.54%0.042322-0.50%0.0038✓0.5123k2022-09-11
ADACardanoCardano0.51240.509654-0.54%0.5101-0.45%0.0063✓0.8637.9M2022-09-11
NANOnanopayBase0.9383090.933305-0.53%0.927788-1.12%0.0124✓0.7849k2022-09-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32230.320584-0.53%0.3264+1.27%0.0108✗0.865.9M2022-09-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.24461.238-0.53%1.183-4.95%0.0577✓1.484.4M2022-09-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046140.045899-0.52%0.04664+1.08%0.0101✗0.7114k2022-09-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42040.418209-0.52%0.4255+1.21%0.0087✗1.03209k2022-09-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.09890.09839-0.52%0.0997+0.81%0.0058✗0.89336k2022-09-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2221.2157-0.51%1.251+2.37%0.0208✗0.941.1M2022-09-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03411.0288-0.51%1.0275-0.64%0.0055✓0.512.7M2022-09-11
BTTCBTTC9.30e-79.25e-7-0.51%9.10e-7-2.15%0.0230✓0.771.7M2022-09-11
DIADIAEthereum0.403660.401607-0.51%0.40526+0.40%0.0013✓0.9431k2022-09-11
XVGVergenative0.003220.003204-0.51%0.00381+18.32%0.1655✗0.94481k2022-09-11
XECeCashnative0.000044560.00004434-0.49%0.00004562+2.38%0.0219✗0.792.5M2022-09-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013810.001374-0.48%0.001367-0.97%0.0105✓0.672.3M2022-09-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.634.608-0.48%4.64+0.22%0.0028✓0.501.3M2022-09-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0241910.024076-0.47%0.023973-0.90%0.0047✓0.04454k2022-09-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2964.2757-0.47%4.405+2.54%0.0262✗0.442.1M2022-09-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.466.4296-0.47%6.57+1.70%0.0180✗0.432.2M2022-09-11
RARESuperRareEthereum0.210.209022-0.47%0.2106+0.29%0.0020✓1.15108k2022-09-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.6611.6533-0.47%1.655-0.36%0.0052✓0.7544k2022-09-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,774.691,766.49-0.46%1,766.95-0.44%0.0105✓1.30591.2M2022-09-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9780.97351-0.46%0.974-0.41%0.0095✓1.211.5M2022-09-11
XEMNEMnative0.0457360.045529-0.45%0.046785+2.29%0.0207✗0.7928k2022-09-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015480.001541-0.45%0.001558+0.65%0.0046✗0.77343k2022-09-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04790.047687-0.45%0.0497+3.76%0.0340✗0.88132k2022-09-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354070.352534-0.43%0.35169-0.67%0.0102✓0.9534k2022-09-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05980.059542-0.43%0.0611+2.17%0.0186✗0.8881k2022-09-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0215.9952-0.43%6.139+1.96%0.0202✗0.423.3M2022-09-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.00630.006274-0.42%0.006537+3.75%0.0353✗0.692,0442022-09-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.071970.07167-0.42%0.07414+3.02%0.0328✗0.13389k2022-09-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.05080.05059-0.41%0.0508+0.00%0.0041✓0.99234k2022-09-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.626.5937-0.40%6.73+1.66%0.0169✗0.432.1M2022-09-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03940.039244-0.40%0.0393-0.25%0.0056✓0.8584k2022-09-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03820.038051-0.39%0.03781-1.02%0.0145✓0.9859k2022-09-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22080.21996-0.38%0.2303+4.30%0.0383✗0.9257k2022-09-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130660.013017-0.38%0.013193+0.97%0.0084✗0.61929k2022-09-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3544.3379-0.37%4.354+0.00%0.0010✓0.322.2M2022-09-11
KCSKuCoinnative9.7769.7399-0.37%9.755-0.21%0.0061✓0.921.2M2022-09-11
QNTQuantEthereum105.47105.0809-0.37%108.82+3.18%0.0287✗0.763.4M2022-09-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1147070.114286-0.37%0.114387-0.28%0.0060✓0.836.5M2022-09-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013280.000013231-0.37%0.00001299-2.18%0.0258✓0.90951k2022-09-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.33230.331091-0.36%0.33139-0.27%0.0050✓0.72327k2022-09-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.23655.0364-0.36%54.454-1.42%0.0167✓0.73284k2022-09-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18610.185457-0.35%0.183-1.67%0.0244✓1.341,5202022-09-11
HIVEHivenative0.57790.575997-0.33%0.5792+0.22%0.0006✓0.74826k2022-09-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016010.001596-0.32%0.001636+2.19%0.0194✗0.666,5532022-09-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.94554.9298-0.32%5.0627+2.37%0.0258✗0.09115k2022-09-11
FTTFTXEthereum27.6927.6029-0.31%27.89+0.72%0.0023✓0.976.8M2022-09-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.171290.170756-0.31%0.17414+1.66%0.0054✗1.712952022-09-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013060.01302-0.31%0.01293-1.00%0.0129✓0.72228k2022-09-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21160.210966-0.30%0.2141+1.18%0.0051✗1.16139k2022-09-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062280.00621-0.30%0.006309+1.30%0.0122✗0.4433k2022-09-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.069110.068909-0.29%0.07307+5.73%0.0509✗0.936022022-09-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.891.8846-0.29%1.9+0.53%0.0040✗0.5161k2022-09-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,651.5221,589.91-0.28%21,831.72+0.83%0.0028✗1.00473.4M2022-09-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.22990.229257-0.28%0.2312+0.57%0.0021✓0.7767k2022-09-11
AAVEAaveEthereum92.7492.5065-0.25%91.63-1.20%0.0213✓1.425.6M2022-09-11
GTGateEthereum4.3244.3134-0.25%4.3301+0.14%0.0023✓0.75702k2022-09-11
XMRMoneroMonero157.51157.1375-0.24%159.22+1.09%0.0048✗1.011.3M2022-09-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13070.130396-0.23%0.127-2.83%0.0264✓0.0183k2022-09-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039780.039691-0.22%0.0396-0.45%0.0086✓0.762,2982022-09-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,732.5021,683.96-0.22%21,663.60-0.32%0.0087✓0.9413k2022-09-11
STEEMSteemnative0.22930.228796-0.22%0.235+2.49%0.0197✗0.85503k2022-09-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-79.08e-7-0.21%9.10e-7+0.00%0.0041✓0.7515k2022-09-11
TRXTRONTron0.0645860.06446-0.19%0.06419-0.61%0.0093✓0.62129k2022-09-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025470.025428-0.17%0.0255+0.12%0.0088✓1.412,9582022-09-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5160.515275-0.14%0.515-0.19%0.0100✓1.154,5592022-09-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021060.021032-0.13%0.0213+1.14%0.0066✗0.73223k2022-09-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.4282-0.12%1.42-0.70%0.0054✓-0.05124k2022-09-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.556410.555922-0.09%0.55506-0.24%0.0117✓1.2239k2022-09-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.4717.4582-0.07%16.58-5.09%0.0572✓0.681.6M2022-09-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.