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2022-09-06 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 190 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1918
189 of 190 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.74%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
31.2%
in alpha space · 12.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.67%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (190 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000378850.000372531-1.67%0.00043861+15.77%0.1446✗0.71698k2022-09-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.4434.156-0.82%37.27+8.22%0.0463✗1.5510.6M2022-09-07
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.015860.015735-0.79%0.017403+9.73%0.0744✗1.00622022-09-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4310.427984-0.70%0.4211-2.30%0.0474✓1.18209k2022-09-07
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.38134.3518-0.67%4.8+9.56%0.0401✗2.20129k2022-09-07
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11240.111732-0.59%0.1238+10.14%0.0826✗0.76203k2022-09-07
OPTIMOptimism1.0951.0886-0.58%1.172+7.03%0.0312✗1.613.0M2022-09-07
CTKShentuOsmosis0.940.934875-0.55%1.047+11.38%0.1024✗0.412.9M2022-09-07
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.89e-77.85e-7-0.54%8.10e-7+2.59%0.0078✗0.881.9M2022-09-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.69961.6906-0.53%1.8105+6.53%0.0392✗1.1125k2022-09-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1914.1166-0.52%14.81+4.37%0.0210✗1.021.7M2022-09-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.61936.5852-0.51%6.9285+4.67%0.0439✗0.267.5M2022-09-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.25.1738-0.50%5.33+2.50%0.0166✗0.502.0M2022-09-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.23447.1983-0.50%7.6265+5.42%0.0483✗0.368.2M2022-09-07
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9070.902542-0.49%0.901-0.66%0.0360✓1.301.6M2022-09-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50820.50571-0.49%0.5039-0.85%0.0235✓0.75496k2022-09-07
ELAElastosEthereum1.7271.7188-0.47%1.717-0.58%0.0244✓0.8883k2022-09-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008520.008481-0.46%0.00887+4.11%0.0252✗0.743.8M2022-09-07
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0099540.009909-0.45%0.010503+5.52%0.0318✗1.004852022-09-07
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12710.126537-0.44%0.1298+2.12%0.0112✗0.543.5M2022-09-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain11.91511.8624-0.44%12.639+6.08%0.0485✗0.5715.8M2022-09-07
PROPropyEthereum0.710.70688-0.44%0.74+4.23%0.0372✗0.3357k2022-09-07
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03580.035651-0.41%0.035-2.23%0.0386✓0.767,8592022-09-07
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81350.810142-0.41%0.8265+1.60%0.0190✓1.48105k2022-09-07
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4174.3988-0.41%4.6305+4.83%0.0347✗0.636.3M2022-09-07
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.5995.5763-0.41%5.852+4.52%0.0252✗0.877.2M2022-09-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.14265.1218-0.40%5.1445+0.04%0.0019✓0.10115k2022-09-07
MOVRMoonriverBase12.174612.126-0.40%12.2966+1.00%0.0125✓1.0028k2022-09-07
FORTFortaEthereum0.24180.240844-0.40%0.231-4.47%0.0640✓0.8466k2022-09-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.096.066-0.39%6.38+4.76%0.0373✗0.502.2M2022-09-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.77511.7289-0.39%12.933+9.83%0.0679✗1.1312.5M2022-09-07
GALAGALAEthereum0.04730.047117-0.39%0.0487+2.96%0.0086✗0.93204k2022-09-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.8853.87-0.39%3.906+0.54%0.0169✓0.99259k2022-09-07
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,420.831,415.35-0.39%1,486.00+4.59%0.0223✗1.003.3M2022-09-07
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0251150.025019-0.38%0.024937-0.71%0.0065✓0.12454k2022-09-07
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.68.5676-0.38%8.83+2.67%0.0164✗0.522.1M2022-09-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.4571.4516-0.37%1.458+0.07%0.0271✓1.1951k2022-09-07
FLOWFlownative1.7721.7655-0.37%1.861+5.02%0.0165✗1.371.3M2022-09-07
FISStafiEthereum0.30.298899-0.37%–pending––0.976202022-09-07
UOSUltraEthereum0.332080.330876-0.36%0.3732+12.38%0.0951✗0.96400k2022-09-07
RADRadworksEthereum2.262.2518-0.36%2.48+9.73%0.0766✗0.75262k2022-09-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.231.2256-0.36%1.41+14.63%0.1151✗0.9581k2022-09-07
ADACardanoCardano0.46260.460945-0.36%0.4788+3.50%0.0129✗0.9540.4M2022-09-07
WOOWOOEthereum0.15240.151855-0.36%0.1561+2.43%0.0005✓1.031,4472022-09-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.374.3546-0.35%4.49+2.75%0.0154✗0.581.3M2022-09-07
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6240.621809-0.35%0.656+5.13%0.0306✗0.87164k2022-09-07
SCSiacoinnative0.003790.003777-0.34%0.00388+2.37%0.0007✓0.99127k2022-09-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.7816.7233-0.34%17.6+4.89%0.0329✗0.69422k2022-09-07
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18240.181784-0.34%0.1787-2.03%0.0530✓1.362,0092022-09-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033330.033218-0.34%0.03452+3.57%0.0115✗1.0259k2022-09-07
XTZTezosTezos1.4331.4282-0.33%1.4901+3.98%0.0123✗1.14247k2022-09-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.67821.6726-0.33%1.7442+3.93%0.0165✗0.961.1M2022-09-07
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.074020.073776-0.33%0.07081-4.34%0.0429✓0.07370k2022-09-07
BANDBandEthereum1.1821.1781-0.33%1.276+7.95%0.0480✗1.21429k2022-09-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.9195.9-0.32%6.217+5.03%0.0389✗0.514.3M2022-09-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4820.480467-0.32%0.52+7.88%0.0484✗1.1677k2022-09-07
LRCLoopringEthereum0.32630.325262-0.32%0.341+4.51%0.0191✗1.0773k2022-09-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007470.007447-0.31%0.00764+2.28%0.0042✓1.13406k2022-09-07
ETHEthereumEthereum1,559.281,554.42-0.31%1,629.92+4.53%0.0109✗1.39660.9M2022-09-07
COMPCompoundEthereum45.3545.2109-0.31%48.66+7.30%0.0398✗1.289,0502022-09-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1744.1612-0.31%4.366+4.60%0.0389✗0.352.3M2022-09-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.8892.8803-0.30%3.12+8.00%0.0656✗0.54653k2022-09-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13070.130317-0.29%0.1417+8.42%0.0554✗1.08489k2022-09-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.266.2416-0.29%6.41+2.40%0.0134✗0.502.1M2022-09-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.226.2018-0.29%6.476+4.12%0.0209✗0.854.5M2022-09-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0061990.006181-0.29%0.006303+1.68%0.0078✗0.4541k2022-09-07
LSKLiskEthereum0.9772590.974447-0.29%1.0053+2.86%0.0082✗0.8739k2022-09-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.1253.9658-0.28%57.3+5.88%0.0332✗1.0113.1M2022-09-07
ZECZcashZcash57.9357.7649-0.28%59.37+2.49%0.0040✓1.191.3M2022-09-07
APEApeCoinEthereum4.3014.2888-0.28%4.42+2.77%0.0055✓1.356.8M2022-09-07
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.4750.47366-0.28%0.499+5.05%0.0236✗1.0863k2022-09-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.12.0941-0.28%2.38+13.33%0.0961✗1.21227k2022-09-07
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,612.348,588.37-0.28%9,334.02+8.38%0.0458✗1.424.8M2022-09-07
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07850.078288-0.27%0.0973+23.95%0.1925✗0.9410k2022-09-07
GMTGMTEthereum0.63220.630497-0.27%0.6503+2.86%0.0064✓1.41226k2022-09-07
SUSHISushiEthereum1.14641.1433-0.27%1.2517+9.19%0.0585✗1.22996k2022-09-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1113.0748-0.27%13.5+2.97%0.0026✓1.111.0M2022-09-07
XVGVergenative0.002950.002942-0.26%0.00306+3.73%0.0122✗1.02483k2022-09-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03480.03471-0.26%0.0387+11.21%0.0843✗0.9366k2022-09-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44340.442252-0.26%0.466+5.10%0.0218✗1.16384k2022-09-07
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.68e-7-0.26%8.80e-7+1.15%0.0072✓0.801.8M2022-09-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9623.9519-0.25%4.093+3.31%0.0217✗0.512.1M2022-09-07
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash112.17111.8885-0.25%118.71+5.83%0.0283✗1.174.4M2022-09-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09610.09586-0.25%0.0988+2.81%0.0107✗0.742,9872022-09-07
NANOnanopayBase0.848260.846142-0.25%0.879731+3.71%0.0166✗0.8454k2022-09-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012650.001262-0.25%0.001314+3.85%0.0190✗0.802.4M2022-09-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.130970.130646-0.25%0.13448+2.68%0.0030✓1.21183k2022-09-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06050.06035-0.25%0.0605+0.00%0.0312✓1.28690k2022-09-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.1850.184543-0.25%0.1935+4.59%0.0244✗0.873.1M2022-09-07
KSMKusamaHydration45.5645.4476-0.25%48.41+6.26%0.0364✗1.01490k2022-09-07
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.063550.063394-0.25%0.06413+0.91%0.0130✓0.937702022-09-07
C98Coin98Ethereum0.38850.38756-0.24%0.4026+3.63%0.0070✗1.1885k2022-09-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6080.606535-0.24%0.632+3.95%0.0150✗0.99187k2022-09-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10140.101156-0.24%0.1151+13.51%0.1066✗0.86169k2022-09-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.25930.258689-0.24%0.2762+6.52%0.0399✗0.972.8M2022-09-07
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.057730.057594-0.24%0.06023+4.33%0.0157✗1.101.6M2022-09-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.86.7844-0.23%7.48+10.00%0.0679✗1.12283k2022-09-07
SOLSolanaSolana30.8730.8008-0.22%32.7+5.93%0.0298✗1.1461.7M2022-09-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.01861.0163-0.22%1.234+21.15%0.1699✗0.911.1M2022-09-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9380.93592-0.22%0.968+3.20%0.0203✗0.513.0M2022-09-07
QTUMQtumQtum2.98512.9785-0.22%3.096+3.71%0.0113✗1.0419k2022-09-07
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014690.001466-0.22%0.001547+5.31%0.0363✗0.677,6332022-09-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.316670.315989-0.22%0.32271+1.91%0.0006✓0.82332k2022-09-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068010.067864-0.21%0.07208+5.98%0.0291✗1.1825k2022-09-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7912.785-0.21%2.988+7.06%0.0298✗1.533.6M2022-09-07
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3951.392-0.21%1.436+2.94%0.0001✓1.1878k2022-09-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.03591.0337-0.21%1.1669+12.65%0.0804✗1.554.5M2022-09-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.6596.645-0.21%7.083+6.37%0.0354✗1.0818.6M2022-09-07
IMXImmutableEthereum0.77440.772795-0.21%0.8269+6.78%0.0399✗1.051.1M2022-09-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.08920.08902-0.20%0.0951+6.61%0.0400✗0.99372k2022-09-07
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum1.9471.9431-0.20%2.036+4.57%0.0157✗1.1736k2022-09-07
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.68e-7-0.20%8.90e-7+2.30%0.0042✗0.7815k2022-09-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05920.059084-0.20%0.0621+4.90%0.0278✗0.8391k2022-09-07
DASHDashDash42.6842.5972-0.19%44.91+5.22%0.0264✗1.00404k2022-09-07
METISMetisEthereum28.8428.7852-0.19%29.12+0.97%0.0372✓1.85200k2022-09-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8746.861-0.19%7.201+4.76%0.0206✗1.0510.2M2022-09-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.0057240.005714-0.18%0.005885+2.81%0.0111✗0.702,1572022-09-07
MANADecentralandEthereum0.736890.73554-0.18%0.76248+3.47%0.0127✗0.88520k2022-09-07
TRXTRONTron0.0607660.060656-0.18%0.061842+1.77%0.0031✗0.62129k2022-09-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04530.045218-0.18%0.0476+5.08%0.0243✗1.02739k2022-09-07
UMAUMAEthereum2.5442.5394-0.18%2.618+2.91%0.0068✗0.90682k2022-09-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0588970.058793-0.18%0.061067+3.68%0.0095✗1.081.4M2022-09-07
STXStacksnative0.34010.339498-0.18%0.3511+3.23%0.0026✗1.18365k2022-09-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.314210.313656-0.18%0.32554+3.61%0.0106✗1.0137k2022-09-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.159550.159268-0.18%0.16825+5.45%0.0285✗1.00268k2022-09-07
DIADIAEthereum0.366150.365519-0.17%0.37324+1.94%0.0050✓0.9833k2022-09-07
XECeCashnative0.000040540.000040471-0.17%0.00004184+3.21%0.0108✗0.852.1M2022-09-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1031.1012-0.17%1.149+4.17%0.0169✗0.971.2M2022-09-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121450.012125-0.16%0.012555+3.38%0.0170✗0.67932k2022-09-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09770.097542-0.16%0.104+6.45%0.0355✗1.082.8M2022-09-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6140.613016-0.16%0.647+5.37%0.0232✗1.174.0M2022-09-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28550.285044-0.16%0.2991+4.76%0.0239✗0.925.8M2022-09-07
HIVEHivenative0.52130.52048-0.16%0.5294+1.55%0.0047✓0.82902k2022-09-07
XMRMoneroMonero144.79144.5656-0.15%149.27+3.09%0.0042✗1.061.4M2022-09-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.13220.131996-0.15%0.1353+2.34%0.0022✓1.02113k2022-09-07
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.30160.301143-0.15%0.3125+3.61%0.0073✗1.1397k2022-09-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.489.466-0.15%10.18+7.38%0.0389✗1.28297k2022-09-07
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016030.001601-0.15%0.001555-2.99%0.0506✓0.82413k2022-09-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04330.043237-0.15%0.0466+7.62%0.0492✗0.97132k2022-09-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.0520.051928-0.14%0.0525+0.96%0.0192✓1.14234k2022-09-07
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.153320.153108-0.14%0.15269-0.41%0.0555✓2.003162022-09-07
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7741.7716-0.13%1.835+3.44%0.0096✓1.6972k2022-09-07
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.4681-0.13%1.46-0.68%0.0012✓-0.16128k2022-09-07
GITCOINGITCOIN2.1362.1333-0.13%2.2808+6.78%0.0362✗1.1613k2022-09-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011990.000011975-0.12%0.00001225+2.17%0.0028✓0.96873k2022-09-07
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2960.295667-0.11%0.3055+3.21%0.0039✗1.0999k2022-09-07
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05580.05574-0.11%0.056+0.36%0.0199✓0.9382k2022-09-07
FTTFTXEthereum25.6425.6126-0.11%25.99+1.37%0.0112✓0.986.8M2022-09-07
AAVEAaveEthereum83.5883.4907-0.11%87.55+4.75%0.0065✗1.555.6M2022-09-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021710.021688-0.10%0.02083-4.05%0.0618✓0.81394k2022-09-07
KCSKuCoinnative9.0339.0238-0.10%9.204+1.89%0.0057✓0.961.2M2022-09-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2724620.272196-0.10%0.283458+4.04%0.0115✗1.10514k2022-09-07
XLMStellarStellar0.0998720.099777-0.09%0.10297+3.10%0.0094✗0.846.7M2022-09-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20090.200713-0.09%0.2023+0.70%0.0273✓1.33142k2022-09-07
XYMSymbolnative0.0401850.040149-0.09%0.041657+3.66%0.0235✗0.5125k2022-09-07
ZENHorizenBase14.5414.5272-0.09%14.93+2.68%0.0025✓1.1393k2022-09-07
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.035610.035581-0.08%0.03677+3.26%0.0111✗0.822,5652022-09-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.19630.196166-0.07%0.2023+3.06%0.0044✗1.0058k2022-09-07
API3Api3Ethereum1.5971.5959-0.07%1.799+12.65%0.0951✗0.93574k2022-09-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0197060.019694-0.06%0.020266+2.84%0.0071✗0.8113k2022-09-07
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18940.18929-0.06%0.1972+4.12%0.0062✗1.31111k2022-09-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.2118.1996-0.06%19.01+4.39%0.0097✗1.2819.6M2022-09-07
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1160.115934-0.06%0.1192+2.76%0.0002✓1.0525k2022-09-07
DODODODOEthereum0.11910.119039-0.05%0.1286+7.98%0.0492✗1.061.5M2022-09-07
BORABORAKlay Token0.268570.268435-0.05%0.27496+2.38%0.0039✓1.0613k2022-09-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV49.54949.5241-0.05%51.856+4.66%0.0255✗0.78324k2022-09-07
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3990.398813-0.05%0.41+2.76%0.0001✓1.057,9852022-09-07
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023330.02332-0.04%0.02405+3.09%0.0029✓1.283,1162022-09-07
QNTQuantEthereum90.0389.9936-0.04%95.72+6.32%0.0390✗0.863.4M2022-09-07
XEMNEMnative0.0411810.041165-0.04%0.042524+3.26%0.0101✗0.8529k2022-09-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027670.002766-0.04%0.002775+0.29%0.0213✓0.931.2M2022-09-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.250.249918-0.03%0.262+4.80%0.0270✗0.76597k2022-09-07
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.011830.011827-0.02%0.01205+1.86%0.0011✗0.67223k2022-09-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum18,917.9018,914.03-0.02%19,273.80+1.88%0.0059✓0.9413k2022-09-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.005510.005509-0.02%0.00557+1.09%0.0061✓0.65977k2022-09-07
UNIUniswapEthereum5.8295.8281-0.02%6.116+4.92%0.0131✗1.337.5M2022-09-07
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.961.9598-0.01%1.9-3.06%0.0441✓0.5075k2022-09-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin18,790.9118,789.58-0.01%19,293.52+2.67%0.0001✓1.00485.5M2022-09-07
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.019170.01917-0.00%0.02145+11.89%0.0922✗0.779.7M2022-09-07
XVSVenusEthereum4.524.5201+0.00%4.81+6.42%0.0398✓0.851.1M2022-09-07
GTGateEthereum3.96483.9654+0.01%4.0099+1.14%0.0094✗0.78769k2022-09-07
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.87930.879527+0.03%0.9023+2.62%0.0069✗1.23916k2022-09-07
STORJStorjEthereum0.50360.503731+0.03%0.51799+2.86%0.0073✗1.3441k2022-09-07
GLMGolemEthereum0.22320.223273+0.03%0.231+3.49%0.0087✓0.9681k2022-09-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.041950.041964+0.03%0.04288+2.22%0.0019✓0.7514k2022-09-07
STEEMSteemnative0.20720.207348+0.07%0.2128+2.70%0.0011✓0.94468k2022-09-07
CBKCobakEthereum0.802550.803139+0.07%0.82479+2.77%0.0001✓1.0113k2022-09-07
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.15390.154248+0.23%0.1458-5.26%0.0581✗0.0793k2022-09-07
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4390.440546+0.35%0.492+12.07%0.0780✓1.234,1032022-09-07
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.9316.0706+0.88%17.23+8.16%0.0504✓0.731.7M2022-09-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.