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2022-09-04 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0800
187 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.18%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
43.3%
in alpha space · 65.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.05%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.9219.0622+0.75%18.31-3.22%0.0328✗0.711.7M2022-09-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.50.501183+0.24%0.487-2.60%0.0159✗1.223,8602022-09-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,865.8019,871.20+0.03%19,866.30+0.00%0.0097✓0.9413k2022-09-05
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.981.9799-0.00%1.97-0.51%0.0003✗0.5175k2022-09-05
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.18030.180275-0.01%0.1628-9.71%0.1018✓0.0193k2022-09-05
FORTFortaEthereum0.23250.232371-0.06%0.2337+0.52%0.0152✗0.9067k2022-09-05
STEEMSteemnative0.22510.224965-0.06%0.222-1.38%0.0034✓0.94468k2022-09-05
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025020.025005-0.06%0.02511+0.36%0.0177✗1.283,2982022-09-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.553890.553459-0.08%0.55546+0.28%0.0176✗1.3239k2022-09-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.23990.239709-0.08%0.2373-1.08%0.0000✓0.9681k2022-09-05
GTGateEthereum4.21214.2082-0.09%4.0071-4.87%0.0407✓0.78724k2022-09-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,004.7319,985.80-0.09%19,794.58-1.05%0.0009✗1.00480.9M2022-09-05
CBKCobakEthereum0.869040.868045-0.11%0.85582-1.52%0.0036✓1.0113k2022-09-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3570.356584-0.12%0.3741+4.79%0.0613✗1.26194k2022-09-05
QNTQuantEthereum95.2995.172-0.12%93.14-2.26%0.0125✓0.863.5M2022-09-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12290.122741-0.13%0.1229+0.00%0.0123✗1.0525k2022-09-05
XVSVenusEthereum4.914.9035-0.13%4.93+0.41%0.0144✗0.851.3M2022-09-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05620.056124-0.14%0.0559-0.53%0.0053✗0.8891k2022-09-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05770.057622-0.14%0.0571-1.04%0.0008✓0.9497k2022-09-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.0118.9838-0.14%19.44+2.26%0.0373✗1.2820.1M2022-09-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207140.020685-0.14%0.020653-0.29%0.0070✗0.8112k2022-09-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044810.044746-0.14%0.0442-1.36%0.0045✓0.7415k2022-09-05
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.89e-7-0.15%8.90e-7+0.00%0.0099✗0.8015k2022-09-05
XEMNEMnative0.0441320.044064-0.15%0.043718-0.94%0.0010✓0.8429k2022-09-05
FTTFTXEthereum26.426.3587-0.16%26.62+0.83%0.0201✗0.976.8M2022-09-05
XYMSymbolnative0.0421850.042118-0.16%0.041483-1.66%0.0098✓0.5125k2022-09-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20410.203772-0.16%0.209+2.40%0.0395✗1.34140k2022-09-05
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.155180.154927-0.16%0.158+1.82%0.0411✗2.033442022-09-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2690.26856-0.16%0.271+0.74%0.0170✗0.75627k2022-09-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029430.002938-0.17%0.002935-0.27%0.0087✗0.921.1M2022-09-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04440.044324-0.17%0.0446+0.45%0.0166✗0.98132k2022-09-05
XMRMoneroMonero155.77155.5042-0.17%157.52+1.12%0.0238✗1.041.4M2022-09-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022260.022221-0.17%0.02235+0.40%0.0144✗0.82459k2022-09-05
TRXTRONTron0.0635470.063435-0.18%0.062937-0.96%0.0014✓0.62123k2022-09-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1063240.106137-0.18%0.10507-1.18%0.0013✓0.836.8M2022-09-05
KCSKuCoinnative9.3949.3773-0.18%9.414+0.21%0.0141✗0.971.2M2022-09-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2110.210618-0.18%0.2097-0.62%0.0062✗1.0058k2022-09-05
AAVEAaveEthereum88.8588.6866-0.18%91.3+2.76%0.0454✗1.555.2M2022-09-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.4872-0.19%1.45-2.68%0.0267✓-0.13128k2022-09-05
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97260.970755-0.19%0.9577-1.53%0.0007✓1.22841k2022-09-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.27353.1691-0.20%53.71+0.82%0.0181✗0.76302k2022-09-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037740.037666-0.20%0.03742-0.85%0.0021✗0.822,6312022-09-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.006080.006068-0.20%0.00599-1.48%0.0062✓0.63977k2022-09-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.349150.348455-0.20%0.34064-2.44%0.0123✓0.9940k2022-09-05
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015630.00156-0.21%0.001564+0.06%0.0126✗0.93413k2022-09-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.289140.288537-0.21%0.28593-1.11%0.0020✓1.0512k2022-09-05
API3Api3Ethereum1.7291.7254-0.21%1.69-2.26%0.0109✓0.93540k2022-09-05
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31250.311829-0.21%0.307-1.76%0.0033✓1.17111k2022-09-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1661.1635-0.22%1.17+0.34%0.0158✗0.971.3M2022-09-05
HIVEHivenative0.54390.542714-0.22%0.5388-0.94%0.0016✓0.83953k2022-09-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012840.00001281-0.23%0.00001261-1.79%0.0056✓0.96861k2022-09-05
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17820.177776-0.24%0.1872+5.05%0.0662✗1.382,0092022-09-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021570.021518-0.24%0.02134-1.07%0.0003✓0.769.8M2022-09-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.15230.151923-0.25%0.1562+2.56%0.0388✗1.051,4472022-09-05
DODODODOEthereum0.130.129666-0.26%0.1279-1.62%0.0027✓1.041.5M2022-09-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012860.012827-0.26%0.01272-1.09%0.0015✓0.65220k2022-09-05
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20460.204062-0.26%0.2046+0.00%0.0165✗1.32111k2022-09-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03640.036304-0.26%0.0367+0.82%0.0190✗0.788,1752022-09-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0632180.063049-0.27%0.062695-0.83%0.0057✗1.071.3M2022-09-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131720.013136-0.27%0.013125-0.36%0.0060✗0.65929k2022-09-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059790.005963-0.27%0.00602+0.68%0.0169✗0.702,1662022-09-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03650.0364-0.27%0.0367+0.55%0.0180✗0.9266k2022-09-05
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.961.9545-0.28%1.916-2.24%0.0020✓1.6974k2022-09-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.09580.095531-0.28%0.0939-1.98%0.0070✓0.97375k2022-09-05
SOLSolanaSolana32.1732.0792-0.28%32.18+0.03%0.0152✗1.1461.7M2022-09-05
STXStacksnative0.36780.366755-0.28%0.3681+0.08%0.0159✗1.16335k2022-09-05
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.77e-7-0.29%8.90e-7+1.14%0.0227✗0.811.7M2022-09-05
MANADecentralandEthereum0.806570.804253-0.29%0.7895-2.12%0.0093✓0.87519k2022-09-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06250.062319-0.29%0.0625+0.00%0.0164✗1.28713k2022-09-05
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08280.082558-0.29%0.0818-1.21%0.0008✓0.9410k2022-09-05
NANOnanopayBase0.9006250.897939-0.30%0.898557-0.23%0.0095✗0.8454k2022-09-05
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4886.4685-0.30%6.576+1.36%0.0303✗1.316.9M2022-09-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.05881.0556-0.31%1.0444-1.36%0.0016✓0.8641k2022-09-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97860.9756-0.31%0.9784-0.02%0.0081✗0.503.1M2022-09-05
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067080.066873-0.31%0.06802+1.40%0.0266✗0.917702022-09-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.0570.056823-0.31%0.0558-2.11%0.0063✓1.12220k2022-09-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2990080.298074-0.31%0.298688-0.11%0.0135✗1.08514k2022-09-05
METISMetisEthereum30.1130.0151-0.32%30.53+1.39%0.0369✗1.88241k2022-09-05
SUSHISushiEthereum1.15821.1545-0.32%1.2398+7.05%0.0841✗1.21949k2022-09-05
GITCOINGITCOIN2.31662.3093-0.32%2.3084-0.35%0.0116✗1.1313k2022-09-05
DIADIAEthereum0.386770.385536-0.32%0.38052-1.62%0.0027✓0.9834k2022-09-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10290.102571-0.32%0.1025-0.39%0.0070✗0.732,7842022-09-05
COMPCompoundEthereum48.4748.3134-0.32%48.36-0.23%0.0144✗1.279,0502022-09-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31570.314676-0.32%0.3145-0.38%0.0110✗1.0999k2022-09-05
XECeCashnative0.000044320.000044176-0.32%0.00004372-1.35%0.0015✓0.841.8M2022-09-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10450.104158-0.33%0.104-0.48%0.0099✗1.082.8M2022-09-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.5410.5054-0.33%10.8+2.47%0.0408✗1.24277k2022-09-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10330.102961-0.33%0.104+0.68%0.0191✗0.86150k2022-09-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.09251.0889-0.33%1.1527+5.51%0.0731✗1.534.4M2022-09-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3757.3506-0.33%7.368-0.09%0.0134✗1.0510.0M2022-09-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31270.31165-0.34%0.3046-2.59%0.0134✓0.905.8M2022-09-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.12331.1195-0.34%1.1375+1.26%0.0254✗0.891.1M2022-09-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013390.001335-0.34%0.00133-0.65%0.0054✗0.802.4M2022-09-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.073760.073504-0.35%0.07261-1.56%0.0001✓1.1725k2022-09-05
UMAUMAEthereum2.7712.7613-0.35%2.722-1.77%0.0050✓0.88682k2022-09-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064550.006432-0.35%0.00635-1.63%0.0082✓0.4444k2022-09-05
QTUMQtumQtum3.23673.2253-0.35%3.3484+3.45%0.0481✗1.0119k2022-09-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.14370.143186-0.36%0.1448+0.77%0.0219✗1.0199k2022-09-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1740.173375-0.36%0.173-0.57%0.0082✗0.98268k2022-09-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46950.467814-0.36%0.4722+0.58%0.0215✗1.15384k2022-09-05
XVGVergenative0.003110.003099-0.36%0.00309-0.64%0.0080✗1.02486k2022-09-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.1557.1289-0.37%7.382+3.17%0.0460✗1.0517.4M2022-09-05
ETHEthereumEthereum1,579.041,573.21-0.37%1,618.01+2.47%0.0428✗1.39628.3M2022-09-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001520.001514-0.38%0.001468-3.42%0.0238✓0.698,3412022-09-05
DASHDashDash47.5947.4114-0.38%47.59+0.00%0.0141✗0.98419k2022-09-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6870.684387-0.38%0.676-1.60%0.0005✓1.214.0M2022-09-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6710.668429-0.38%0.662-1.34%0.0006✓0.98196k2022-09-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.138520.137982-0.39%0.13844-0.06%0.0161✗1.21183k2022-09-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.36117.8989-0.39%125.75+6.24%0.0766✗1.154.2M2022-09-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.5974.579-0.39%4.501-2.09%0.0146✓0.242.4M2022-09-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5280.525882-0.40%0.522-1.14%0.0039✓1.0768k2022-09-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05060.050394-0.41%0.0496-1.98%0.0053✓1.00739k2022-09-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.68651.6796-0.41%1.6684-1.07%0.0037✓0.981.1M2022-09-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.2565.2345-0.41%5.0514-3.89%0.0346✓0.10115k2022-09-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9812.9688-0.41%3.005+0.81%0.0283✗1.533.6M2022-09-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5340.531768-0.42%0.533-0.19%0.0144✗1.1476k2022-09-05
RADRadworksEthereum2.312.3001-0.43%2.31+0.00%0.0123✗0.76262k2022-09-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3917.315-0.43%17.32-0.40%0.0075✗0.69503k2022-09-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.360770.3592-0.44%0.35378-1.94%0.0068✓0.80332k2022-09-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.816.7803-0.44%6.72-1.32%0.0039✓0.482.1M2022-09-05
PROPropyEthereum0.730.726795-0.44%0.72-1.37%0.0059✓0.3369k2022-09-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.05160.051372-0.44%0.0508-1.55%0.0014✓0.92204k2022-09-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,437.499,395.34-0.45%9,493.61+0.59%0.0252✗1.405.6M2022-09-05
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.078140.07779-0.45%0.07583-2.96%0.0250✓0.05397k2022-09-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.747.7053-0.45%7.53-2.71%0.0115✓1.09317k2022-09-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0256740.025559-0.45%0.025549-0.49%0.0009✓0.12315k2022-09-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29080.289493-0.45%0.2822-2.96%0.0155✓0.952.8M2022-09-05
GMTGMTEthereum0.70710.703888-0.45%0.6925-2.06%0.0016✓1.40210k2022-09-05
IMXImmutableEthereum0.84530.841447-0.46%0.8473+0.24%0.0179✗1.041.4M2022-09-05
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4240.422061-0.46%–pending––1.048,1172022-09-05
XTZTezosTezos1.55611.549-0.46%1.546-0.65%0.0099✗1.12253k2022-09-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.414.3897-0.46%4.31-2.27%0.0133✓0.472.3M2022-09-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4981.491-0.46%1.465-2.20%0.0052✓1.1784k2022-09-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36740.365695-0.46%0.355-3.38%0.0186✓1.0575k2022-09-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5731.5657-0.46%1.573+0.00%0.0172✗1.1856k2022-09-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007930.007893-0.47%0.00785-1.01%0.0065✗1.13428k2022-09-05
ADACardanoCardano0.50350.501153-0.47%0.4987-0.95%0.0049✗0.9339.1M2022-09-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0534.0341-0.47%4.075+0.54%0.0204✗0.97259k2022-09-05
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6730.669849-0.47%0.663-1.49%0.0012✓0.86199k2022-09-05
ZECZcashZcash63.863.501-0.47%63.41-0.61%0.0109✗1.161.3M2022-09-05
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.004001-0.47%0.00402+0.00%0.0151✗0.99127k2022-09-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035850.035678-0.48%0.03562-0.64%0.0091✗1.0151k2022-09-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.6866.6536-0.48%6.734+0.72%0.0209✗0.844.4M2022-09-05
MOVRMoonriverBase13.146113.0824-0.48%12.9054-1.83%0.0032✓0.9932k2022-09-05
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0108660.010813-0.49%0.010516-3.22%0.0173✓1.005602022-09-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.9360.6329-0.49%60.36-0.94%0.0060✗0.9912.7M2022-09-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50430.501829-0.49%0.5193+2.97%0.0423✗0.77496k2022-09-05
ELAElastosEthereum1.7621.7533-0.49%1.752-0.57%0.0088✗0.91108k2022-09-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064730.064411-0.49%0.06402-1.10%0.0054✗1.081.9M2022-09-05
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43490.432752-0.49%0.4308-0.94%0.0076✗1.1591k2022-09-05
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,442.741,435.53-0.50%1,477.28+2.39%0.0392✗1.003.3M2022-09-05
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7984.7736-0.51%4.75-1.00%0.0092✗1.346.8M2022-09-05
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84850.844149-0.51%0.8257-2.69%0.0063✓1.49116k2022-09-05
ZENHorizenBase16.4516.3649-0.52%16.1-2.13%0.0046✓1.11107k2022-09-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1212.1098-0.53%2.117-0.19%0.0156✗1.1538k2022-09-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.6636.6278-0.53%6.361-4.53%0.0364✓0.444.4M2022-09-05
KSMKusamaHydration50.6150.3422-0.53%51.33+1.42%0.0298✗0.99459k2022-09-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.353820.351947-0.53%0.35-1.08%0.0045✓0.95392k2022-09-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.312.2977-0.53%2.34+1.30%0.0305✗1.16217k2022-09-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7213.6467-0.53%14.53+5.90%0.0737✗1.041.7M2022-09-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.04612.976-0.54%12.633-3.17%0.0149✓1.1312.3M2022-09-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.269.2096-0.54%9.21-0.54%0.0053✓0.502.0M2022-09-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5614.4805-0.55%14.28-1.92%0.0023✓1.101.0M2022-09-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.67074.6448-0.55%4.9518+6.02%0.0703✗0.604.7M2022-09-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.884.8526-0.56%4.72-3.28%0.0220✓0.541.3M2022-09-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.736.6921-0.56%6.64-1.34%0.0029✓0.462.2M2022-09-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.351.3422-0.58%1.37+1.48%0.0302✗0.9295k2022-09-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.90991.8987-0.59%1.8663-2.28%0.0057✓1.0927k2022-09-05
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0451.0388-0.59%1.044-0.10%0.0183✗1.271.5M2022-09-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008920.008867-0.60%0.00891-0.11%0.0127✗0.744.7M2022-09-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.44227.3971-0.61%7.3781-0.86%0.0011✓0.357.6M2022-09-05
FLOWFlownative1.951.9381-0.61%1.919-1.59%0.0045✓1.361.3M2022-09-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.4632.2618-0.61%39.67+22.21%0.2229✗1.539.5M2022-09-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14620.145304-0.61%0.1398-4.38%0.0274✓1.06409k2022-09-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.21340.212074-0.62%0.2073-2.86%0.0139✓0.843.1M2022-09-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.53913.4504-0.65%13.008-3.92%0.0278✓0.5315.8M2022-09-05
BANDBandEthereum1.3361.3272-0.66%1.307-2.17%0.0028✓1.19449k2022-09-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13860.13768-0.66%0.1447+4.40%0.0552✗0.513.4M2022-09-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.01786.9704-0.67%7.2089+2.72%0.0360✗0.236.5M2022-09-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0383.0172-0.69%2.972-2.17%0.0095✓0.53650k2022-09-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.85.7597-0.70%5.7-1.72%0.0056✓0.452.3M2022-09-05
OPTIMOptimism1.1741.1658-0.70%1.199+2.13%0.0459✗1.693.0M2022-09-05
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9820.975121-0.70%1.056+7.54%0.0836✗0.372.9M2022-09-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12130.120399-0.74%0.1303+7.42%0.0864✗0.70208k2022-09-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.2656.2183-0.75%6.141-1.98%0.0035✓0.857.6M2022-09-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.24e-79.17e-7-0.78%8.55e-7-7.51%0.0611✓0.861.7M2022-09-05
LUNATerraTerra 20.000253770.000251664-0.83%0.00040493+59.57%0.4838✗0.78640k2022-09-05
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.13625.0789-1.12%4.7997-6.55%0.0460✓1.00141k2022-09-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.