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2022-08-27 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0085
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.24%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
46.8%
in alpha space · 50.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.41%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.00013390.000132586-0.98%0.0001251-6.57%0.0375✓0.85340k2022-08-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.57530.570161-0.89%0.4996-13.16%0.1122✓0.82625k2022-08-28
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.26554.2282-0.88%4.3886+2.89%0.0616✗1.00158k2022-08-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015180.015083-0.64%0.01478-2.64%0.0039✓0.67165k2022-08-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.59e-77.54e-7-0.63%7.78e-7+2.50%0.0511✗0.82198k2022-08-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.295.2572-0.62%5.16-2.46%0.0084✓0.422.6M2022-08-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.22713.161-0.50%12.382-6.39%0.0493✓0.486.1M2022-08-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0232380.02313-0.47%0.022963-1.18%0.0042✓0.12258k2022-08-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.340040.338514-0.45%0.36389+7.01%0.0952✗0.94321k2022-08-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.220.219045-0.43%0.2102-4.45%0.0213✓0.823.1M2022-08-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.16485.143-0.42%5.175+0.20%0.0096✗0.14138k2022-08-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.594.5712-0.41%4.34-5.45%0.0404✓0.471.3M2022-08-28
ORCAOrcaSolana0.790.786812-0.40%0.7842-0.73%0.0316✗1.43161k2022-08-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.226.195-0.40%5.87-5.63%0.0435✓0.432.5M2022-08-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78241.7755-0.38%1.6656-6.55%0.0384✓1.051.2M2022-08-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.37281.3676-0.38%1.201-12.51%0.1072✓0.931.6M2022-08-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.48.3704-0.35%8.09-3.69%0.0229✓0.462.1M2022-08-28
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085470.085176-0.34%0.08638+1.06%0.0156✗0.07613k2022-08-28
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.260306-0.34%0.261-0.08%0.0029✓0.0191k2022-08-28
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9360.932898-0.33%0.916-2.14%0.0115✗1.221.4M2022-08-28
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.157620.157101-0.33%0.15977+1.36%0.0676✗2.086362022-08-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006740.006719-0.31%0.006708-0.47%0.0090✗0.4458k2022-08-28
PROPropyEthereum0.750.747798-0.29%0.73-2.67%0.0158✓0.3486k2022-08-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.234.2181-0.28%4.096-3.17%0.0261✓0.142.3M2022-08-28
RADRadworksEthereum2.142.1343-0.27%2.08-2.80%0.0065✓0.79407k2022-08-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.17311.1434-0.26%10.559-5.50%0.0265✓1.1210.4M2022-08-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2124.2009-0.26%3.998-5.08%0.0404✓0.372.0M2022-08-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.06040.060246-0.26%0.0582-3.64%0.0066✓1.14252k2022-08-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001370.001366-0.25%0.001346-1.74%0.0044✗0.802.1M2022-08-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007570.007552-0.23%0.00825+8.98%0.1158✗1.13477k2022-08-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative3332.9237-0.23%30.93-6.27%0.0274✓1.4415.4M2022-08-28
ELAElastosEthereum1.7581.7541-0.22%1.733-1.42%0.0110✗0.94143k2022-08-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.186.1664-0.22%6.04-2.27%0.0104✓0.421.9M2022-08-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.73533.7274-0.21%3.6555-2.14%0.0051✓0.593.7M2022-08-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1710.170651-0.20%0.164-4.09%0.0134✓1.08434k2022-08-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035990.035918-0.20%0.03552-1.31%0.0133✗1.0031k2022-08-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum38.1738.0955-0.20%37.2-2.54%0.0030✓0.851.7M2022-08-28
FORTFortaEthereum0.2680.267492-0.19%0.2638-1.57%0.0089✗0.94100k2022-08-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3036.2915-0.18%6.275-0.44%0.0202✗0.935.2M2022-08-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.550.549005-0.18%0.525-4.55%0.0180✓1.0984k2022-08-28
ADACardanoCardano0.450.449204-0.18%0.4291-4.64%0.0205✓1.0440.7M2022-08-28
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068190.068071-0.17%0.06712-1.57%0.0059✗0.829142022-08-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.78791.7848-0.17%1.7152-4.07%0.0136✓1.0733k2022-08-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.1344.1268-0.17%4.106-0.68%0.0188✗0.98245k2022-08-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038280.038214-0.17%0.03732-2.51%0.0037✓0.822,8422022-08-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.08015.0716-0.17%5.4352+6.99%0.0754✗0.254.6M2022-08-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.329760.329223-0.16%0.31363-4.89%0.0243✓0.99391k2022-08-28
MOVRMoonriverBase12.539112.52-0.15%12.062-3.80%0.0138✓0.9635k2022-08-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014540.001452-0.15%0.001503+3.37%0.0521✗0.729,7092022-08-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22010.219787-0.14%0.2134-3.04%0.0031✗1.34133k2022-08-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.0352.9555-0.14%53.38+0.66%0.0322✗0.9913.0M2022-08-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131780.01316-0.14%0.013002-1.34%0.0037✗0.651.4M2022-08-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06750.067408-0.14%0.06897+2.18%0.0521✗1.2028k2022-08-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash115.26115.1287-0.11%112.59-2.32%0.0053✗1.134.8M2022-08-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06390.063833-0.11%0.0619-3.13%0.0089✓0.90111k2022-08-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12360.123474-0.10%0.1202-2.75%0.0129✓0.573.9M2022-08-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27960.279319-0.10%0.2731-2.32%0.0007✓0.953.3M2022-08-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00870.008691-0.10%0.00848-2.53%0.0059✓0.776.4M2022-08-28
TRXTRONTron0.0629350.062873-0.10%0.061392-2.45%0.0094✓0.59151k2022-08-28
DASHDashDash45.1345.0863-0.10%44.14-2.19%0.0026✗0.98486k2022-08-28
OPTIMOptimism1.0251.024-0.10%1.054+2.83%0.0713✗1.743.4M2022-08-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10160.101504-0.09%0.0981-3.44%0.0156✓0.76247k2022-08-28
CTKShentuOsmosis0.840.839223-0.09%0.84+0.00%0.0109✗0.414.2M2022-08-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.04881.0479-0.09%1.0384-0.99%0.0117✗0.8551k2022-08-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10150.101417-0.08%0.1013-0.20%0.0200✗0.87212k2022-08-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.289-0.08%1.23-4.65%0.0235✓0.96170k2022-08-28
XTZTezosTezos1.46761.4664-0.08%1.426-2.83%0.0010✓1.11336k2022-08-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6590.658473-0.08%0.645-2.12%0.0084✗1.195.0M2022-08-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.2595.2548-0.08%5.5537+5.60%0.0605✗0.215.2M2022-08-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7845.7794-0.08%5.809+0.43%0.0147✗0.395.3M2022-08-28
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7574.7534-0.08%4.649-2.27%0.0112✗1.379.3M2022-08-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05690.056859-0.07%0.0554-2.64%0.0041✓0.9099k2022-08-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10350.10343-0.07%0.0996-3.77%0.0204✓0.713,4822022-08-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum109.9935-0.06%9.51-4.90%0.0207✓1.18439k2022-08-28
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.472.4684-0.06%2.33-5.67%0.0453✓0.5189k2022-08-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022610.022597-0.06%0.02214-2.08%0.0020✓0.76444k2022-08-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35690.356693-0.06%0.34-4.74%0.0209✓1.11175k2022-08-28
AAVEAaveEthereum82.1182.0645-0.06%78.57-4.31%0.0057✓1.556.7M2022-08-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9630.962485-0.05%0.9334-3.07%0.0171✓0.563.6M2022-08-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.5417.5313-0.05%16.67-4.96%0.0331✓0.71965k2022-08-28
ZECZcashZcash61.3661.3307-0.05%61.17-0.31%0.0248✗1.131.9M2022-08-28
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.80e-7-0.05%8.60e-7-2.27%0.0028✓0.8117k2022-08-28
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08450.084464-0.04%0.0792-6.27%0.0413✓0.9414k2022-08-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.282280.282163-0.04%0.29294+3.78%0.0631✗1.0512k2022-08-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2968890.29677-0.04%0.291277-1.89%0.0079✗1.09620k2022-08-28
SOLSolanaSolana31.5431.5274-0.04%30.45-3.46%0.0065✓1.1668.8M2022-08-28
HIVEHivenative0.53350.533292-0.04%0.5282-0.99%0.0121✗0.891.6M2022-08-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6520.651758-0.04%0.631-3.22%0.0094✓0.94266k2022-08-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206730.020665-0.04%0.020386-1.39%0.0066✗0.8313k2022-08-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03480.034789-0.03%0.0345-0.86%0.0138✗0.9186k2022-08-28
KSMKusamaHydration45.8445.8257-0.03%45.4-0.96%0.0147✗0.99572k2022-08-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14040.140366-0.02%0.1337-4.77%0.0250✓0.97624k2022-08-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.37452.3617-0.02%51.793-1.11%0.0071✗0.74332k2022-08-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,933.0019,928.43-0.02%19,646.40-1.44%0.0088✗0.9511k2022-08-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.09080.090788-0.01%0.0854-5.95%0.0381✓0.95414k2022-08-28
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.70e-7-0.01%8.50e-7-2.30%0.0037✓0.802.4M2022-08-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1461.1459-0.01%1.129-1.48%0.0092✗0.992.1M2022-08-28
QNTQuantEthereum94.3894.3724-0.01%92.31-2.19%0.0012✓0.863.4M2022-08-28
GMTGMTEthereum0.68530.685246-0.01%0.6463-5.69%0.0235✓1.44257k2022-08-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1055940.10559-0.00%0.102736-2.71%0.0067✓0.857.4M2022-08-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.631.63-0.00%1.511-7.30%0.0464✓1.2093k2022-08-28
ETHEthereumEthereum1,491.221,491.20-0.00%1,426.63-4.33%0.0114✓1.35597.1M2022-08-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.00660.0066-0.00%0.00642-2.73%0.0119✓0.651.1M2022-08-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.280.28+0.00%0.275-1.79%0.0004✗0.72772k2022-08-28
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16930.169309+0.01%0.1592-5.97%0.0280✗1.382,1742022-08-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0634220.063429+0.01%0.06175-2.64%0.0014✗1.041.7M2022-08-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012160.000012162+0.01%0.00001177-3.21%0.0099✗0.94895k2022-08-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,782.658,784.79+0.02%8,473.37-3.52%0.0028✗1.376.8M2022-08-28
XMRMoneroMonero145.16145.1965+0.03%146.4+0.85%0.0326✓1.001.2M2022-08-28
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.4104+0.03%1.39-1.42%0.0155✗-0.04115k2022-08-28
UMAUMAEthereum2.6712.6717+0.03%2.607-2.40%0.0036✗0.86749k2022-08-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.04791.0482+0.03%0.9934-5.20%0.0173✗1.494.7M2022-08-28
GTGateEthereum4.3764.3774+0.03%4.3228-1.22%0.0062✓0.77798k2022-08-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.05090.050918+0.04%0.0493-3.14%0.0081✗0.99252k2022-08-28
XYMSymbolnative0.04540.045416+0.04%0.044396-2.21%0.0100✗0.5230k2022-08-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.813.8055+0.04%13.16-4.64%0.0178✗1.231.1M2022-08-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336220.336355+0.04%0.32806-2.43%0.0011✗0.9852k2022-08-28
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4120.412183+0.04%0.412+0.00%0.0237✓0.998,1172022-08-28
XEMNEMnative0.0447080.044731+0.05%0.042995-3.83%0.0188✗0.8530k2022-08-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03660.036621+0.06%0.0357-2.46%0.0049✗0.8411k2022-08-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.13220.132278+0.06%0.13172-0.36%0.0253✓1.21210k2022-08-28
COMPCompoundEthereum46.0946.1177+0.06%43.85-4.86%0.0201✗1.2412k2022-08-28
NANOnanopayBase0.8828390.88337+0.06%0.862501-2.30%0.0042✗0.8184k2022-08-28
KCSKuCoinnative9.1349.1395+0.06%8.816-3.48%0.0131✗0.941.6M2022-08-28
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19570.195831+0.07%0.1903-2.76%0.0043✗1.00149k2022-08-28
BANDBandEthereum1.2211.2218+0.07%1.192-2.38%0.0054✓1.24518k2022-08-28
STEEMSteemnative0.22110.221256+0.07%0.2183-1.27%0.0087✓0.91504k2022-08-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11860.118684+0.07%0.1184-0.17%0.0225✓1.0232k2022-08-28
XECeCashnative0.000036880.000036908+0.07%0.00004676+26.79%0.2585✓0.901.7M2022-08-28
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6630.663498+0.08%0.645-2.71%0.0067✗0.89248k2022-08-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.0420.0551+0.08%18.53-7.53%0.0477✗1.2923.0M2022-08-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056180.005622+0.08%0.005519-1.76%0.0022✗0.672,5882022-08-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.510.510389+0.08%0.488-4.31%0.0170✗1.1488k2022-08-28
MANADecentralandEthereum0.778420.779016+0.08%0.74832-3.87%0.0178✗0.92512k2022-08-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.45670.457062+0.08%0.4349-4.77%0.0224✗1.12386k2022-08-28
XVGVergenative0.002920.002922+0.08%0.00289-1.03%0.0141✓1.03520k2022-08-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0282.0297+0.08%1.944-4.14%0.0152✗1.1549k2022-08-28
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024690.024711+0.09%0.0242-1.98%0.0103✓1.283,4352022-08-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.14190.142024+0.09%0.1396-1.62%0.0075✓1.01166k2022-08-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28890.289154+0.09%0.2823-2.28%0.0015✗0.927.4M2022-08-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06080.060855+0.09%0.0604-0.66%0.0224✓1.23984k2022-08-28
C98Coin98Ethereum0.3760.37634+0.09%0.3673-2.31%0.0031✓1.1289k2022-08-28
FTTFTXEthereum25.825.8235+0.09%25.35-1.74%0.0049✓0.967.4M2022-08-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.337.3367+0.09%7.2-1.77%0.0083✓1.11592k2022-08-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023030.023052+0.09%0.02162-6.12%0.0433✗0.8613.0M2022-08-28
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.35320.353564+0.10%0.32-9.40%0.0721✗1.13152k2022-08-28
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016060.001608+0.10%0.001587-1.18%0.0108✓0.98538k2022-08-28
DIADIAEthereum0.367740.368134+0.11%0.36304-1.28%0.0095✓0.9651k2022-08-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,036.6920,059.68+0.11%19,554.03-2.41%0.0011✗1.00474.0M2022-08-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20670.20694+0.12%0.2024-2.08%0.0026✓1.0261k2022-08-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.541550.542194+0.12%0.52437-3.17%0.0021✗1.2843k2022-08-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34920.349673+0.14%0.3261-6.62%0.0396✗1.24191k2022-08-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.911.9162+0.14%11.33-4.79%0.0228✗1.131.9M2022-08-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04360.04366+0.14%0.0419-3.90%0.0172✗0.98175k2022-08-28
SCSiacoinnative0.003890.003896+0.14%0.00393+1.03%0.0331✓1.00152k2022-08-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0447.0544+0.15%6.861-2.60%0.0028✗1.0213.7M2022-08-28
STXStacksnative0.36380.364345+0.15%0.3529-3.00%0.0034✗1.17432k2022-08-28
QTUMQtumQtum3.12693.1317+0.15%2.9825-4.62%0.0242✗1.0127k2022-08-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5316.5416+0.16%6.251-4.29%0.0194✗1.0719.3M2022-08-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04740.047481+0.17%0.0455-4.01%0.0189✗0.97843k2022-08-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8295.8392+0.17%5.639-3.26%0.0138✗0.8610.1M2022-08-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.24240.242827+0.18%0.2362-2.56%0.0043✗0.9681k2022-08-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.15240.152671+0.18%0.1381-9.38%0.0738✗1.091,7802022-08-28
API3Api3Ethereum1.691.6931+0.18%1.6-5.33%0.0336✗0.94704k2022-08-28
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.961.9639+0.20%1.828-6.73%0.0298✗1.7294k2022-08-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.6822.6877+0.21%3.876+44.52%0.3823✓0.66650k2022-08-28
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.96610.968152+0.21%0.9332-3.41%0.0071✗1.22999k2022-08-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10330.103522+0.22%0.0992-3.97%0.0160✗1.093.7M2022-08-28
ZENHorizenBase15.215.2329+0.22%14.8-2.63%0.0017✓1.11125k2022-08-28
DODODODOEthereum0.12460.124872+0.22%0.1182-5.14%0.0322✗0.931.9M2022-08-28
CBKCobakEthereum0.864060.865961+0.22%0.84626-2.06%0.0009✓0.9814k2022-08-28
IMXImmutableEthereum0.78960.791474+0.24%0.7744-1.93%0.0044✓1.082.0M2022-08-28
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064280.064435+0.24%0.06229-3.10%0.0067✗1.122.4M2022-08-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.112.1153+0.25%1.95-7.58%0.0514✗1.23281k2022-08-28
FLOWFlownative1.8231.8278+0.26%1.692-7.19%0.0447✗1.331.2M2022-08-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8912.8987+0.27%2.966+2.59%0.0615✓1.583.8M2022-08-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4041.4079+0.28%1.36-3.13%0.0060✗1.18130k2022-08-28
UNIUniswapEthereum6.0566.0731+0.28%5.739-5.23%0.0245✗1.3210.1M2022-08-28
XVSVenusEthereum4.874.8845+0.30%4.82-1.03%0.0075✓0.851.6M2022-08-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045180.045318+0.30%0.04418-2.21%0.0086✗0.6916k2022-08-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030410.003051+0.33%0.002987-1.78%0.0004✓0.891.1M2022-08-28
SUSHISushiEthereum1.06121.065+0.36%1.0043-5.36%0.0281✗1.25981k2022-08-28
GITCOINGITCOIN2.08592.0937+0.37%2.0034-3.96%0.0143✗1.2213k2022-08-28
METISMetisEthereum30.0530.1648+0.38%29.26-2.63%0.0155✓1.89327k2022-08-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5090.511052+0.40%0.489-3.93%0.0140✗1.242,6092022-08-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31440.315771+0.44%0.3044-3.18%0.0084✗1.16112k2022-08-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.