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2022-08-26 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0509
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.63%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
37.6%
in alpha space · 50.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.01%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6715.6982+0.48%5.829+2.79%0.0315✓0.8710.1M2022-08-27
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1546.183+0.47%6.056-1.59%0.0075✗1.3110.3M2022-08-27
OPTIMOptimism1.0191.0233+0.43%1.025+0.59%0.0193✓1.743.5M2022-08-27
METISMetisEthereum31.131.2034+0.33%30.05-3.38%0.0186✗1.88348k2022-08-27
FLOWFlownative1.8511.8566+0.30%1.823-1.51%0.0048✗1.331.2M2022-08-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.6812.6887+0.29%2.682+0.04%0.0042✓0.66653k2022-08-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7232.73+0.26%2.891+6.17%0.0734✓1.594.0M2022-08-27
STXStacksnative0.36120.361991+0.22%0.3638+0.72%0.0168✓1.17450k2022-08-27
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3861.389+0.22%1.404+1.30%0.0227✓1.18130k2022-08-27
SUSHISushiEthereum1.06851.0708+0.22%1.0612-0.68%0.0036✓1.25981k2022-08-27
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.063210.063343+0.21%0.06428+1.69%0.0260✓1.122.4M2022-08-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06260.062711+0.18%0.0608-2.88%0.0186✗1.221.0M2022-08-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.7485.758+0.17%6.303+9.66%0.0999✓0.935.2M2022-08-27
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6470.648008+0.16%0.663+2.47%0.0319✓0.89253k2022-08-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.327.3314+0.16%7.33+0.14%0.0111✓1.11638k2022-08-27
IMXImmutableEthereum0.77510.776248+0.15%0.7896+1.87%0.0281✓1.092.1M2022-08-27
CBKCobakEthereum0.867510.868749+0.14%0.86406-0.40%0.0045✓0.9813k2022-08-27
GITCOINGITCOIN2.16622.1693+0.14%2.0859-3.71%0.0268✗1.2313k2022-08-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44910.449585+0.11%0.4567+1.69%0.0271✓1.12400k2022-08-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.131480.13161+0.10%0.1322+0.55%0.0169✓1.22210k2022-08-27
WOOWOOEthereum0.15620.156345+0.09%0.1524-2.43%0.0146✗1.091,8902022-08-27
ZECZcashZcash61.161.1563+0.09%61.36+0.43%0.0148✓1.132.0M2022-08-27
COMPCompoundEthereum45.9245.958+0.08%46.09+0.37%0.0154✓1.2414k2022-08-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04720.047236+0.08%0.0474+0.42%0.0134✓0.98843k2022-08-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.162.1616+0.07%2.11-2.31%0.0116✗1.24299k2022-08-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.2909+0.07%1.29+0.00%0.0091✓0.96182k2022-08-27
BANDBandEthereum1.2231.2237+0.06%1.221-0.16%0.0103✓1.24534k2022-08-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.2712.2768+0.06%11.9-3.02%0.0197✗1.131.9M2022-08-27
QTUMQtumQtum3.12053.1222+0.05%3.1269+0.21%0.0118✓1.0128k2022-08-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13960.139669+0.05%0.1404+0.57%0.0152✓0.98638k2022-08-27
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9421.9429+0.04%1.96+0.93%0.0262✓1.72106k2022-08-27
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.47730.477493+0.04%0.5753+20.53%0.1947✓0.82625k2022-08-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044580.044597+0.04%0.04518+1.35%0.0200✓0.7016k2022-08-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10240.102434+0.03%0.1033+0.88%0.0195✓1.103.9M2022-08-27
BORABORAKlay Token0.280990.281082+0.03%0.28228+0.46%0.0149✓1.0512k2022-08-27
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0352.0355+0.02%2.028-0.34%0.0081✓1.1655k2022-08-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0635310.063541+0.02%0.063422-0.17%0.0087✓1.041.9M2022-08-27
DODODODOEthereum0.12730.127317+0.01%0.1246-2.12%0.0118✗0.971.9M2022-08-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20820.208205+0.00%0.2067-0.72%0.0031✓1.0266k2022-08-27
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16190.161899-0.00%0.1693+4.57%0.0587✗1.382,1742022-08-27
MANADecentralandEthereum0.778130.77809-0.01%0.77842+0.04%0.0097✗0.92523k2022-08-27
DIADIAEthereum0.368280.368259-0.01%0.36774-0.15%0.0084✗0.9753k2022-08-27
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5170.516944-0.01%0.509-1.55%0.0030✓1.232,6092022-08-27
API3Api3Ethereum1.6831.6828-0.01%1.69+0.42%0.0139✗0.95782k2022-08-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6321.6318-0.01%1.63-0.12%0.0112✗1.2196k2022-08-27
XVSVenusEthereum5.135.1291-0.02%4.87-5.07%0.0431✓0.861.6M2022-08-27
GALAGALAEthereum0.04980.049788-0.02%0.0509+2.21%0.0322✗1.00251k2022-08-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2217.2157-0.03%17.54+1.86%0.0259✗0.711.2M2022-08-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.9226.92-0.03%7.044+1.76%0.0282✗1.0314.0M2022-08-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.08870.088673-0.03%0.0908+2.37%0.0334✗0.95430k2022-08-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.1430.142952-0.03%0.1419-0.77%0.0029✗1.01190k2022-08-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.33970.339557-0.04%0.3492+2.80%0.0406✗1.24191k2022-08-27
ZENHorizenBase15.5215.5134-0.04%15.2-2.06%0.0091✓1.12130k2022-08-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2890820.288955-0.04%0.296889+2.70%0.0382✗1.09696k2022-08-27
STEEMSteemnative0.22130.221189-0.05%0.2211-0.09%0.0088✗0.91528k2022-08-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008480.008476-0.05%0.0087+2.59%0.0340✗0.776.4M2022-08-27
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03780.03778-0.05%0.0366-3.17%0.0232✓0.8411k2022-08-27
KSMKusamaHydration44.5244.4953-0.06%45.84+2.96%0.0398✗0.99610k2022-08-27
XEMNEMnative0.0438050.043778-0.06%0.044708+2.06%0.0297✗0.8632k2022-08-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5090.508684-0.06%0.51+0.20%0.0142✗1.1488k2022-08-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.313.2916-0.06%13.8+3.76%0.0500✗1.231.2M2022-08-27
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7744.771-0.06%4.757-0.36%0.0109✗1.379.8M2022-08-27
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02460.024584-0.07%0.02469+0.37%0.0173✗1.283,4352022-08-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.006570.006566-0.07%0.0066+0.46%0.0118✗0.651.2M2022-08-27
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015660.001565-0.07%0.001606+2.55%0.0359✗0.98558k2022-08-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5046.4994-0.07%6.531+0.42%0.0157✗1.0719.5M2022-08-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28310.282879-0.08%0.2889+2.05%0.0304✗0.937.6M2022-08-27
SCSiacoinnative0.003910.003907-0.08%0.00389-0.51%0.0058✗1.00158k2022-08-27
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95780.957022-0.08%0.9661+0.87%0.0218✗1.221.0M2022-08-27
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021860.021841-0.09%0.02303+5.35%0.0616✗0.8513.4M2022-08-27
XVGVergenative0.003030.003027-0.09%0.00292-3.63%0.0256✓1.03537k2022-08-27
C98Coin98Ethereum0.38790.387542-0.09%0.376-3.07%0.0188✓1.1289k2022-08-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003120.003117-0.10%0.003041-2.53%0.0156✓0.891.1M2022-08-27
XLMStellarStellar0.1038590.103758-0.10%0.105594+1.67%0.0262✗0.867.8M2022-08-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10120.1011-0.10%0.1035+2.27%0.0307✗0.723,6712022-08-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207260.020705-0.10%0.020673-0.26%0.0069✗0.8313k2022-08-27
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4310.430515-0.11%0.412-4.41%0.0339✓0.998,3142022-08-27
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055380.005532-0.12%0.005618+1.44%0.0223✗0.672,6192022-08-27
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19730.197068-0.12%0.1957-0.81%0.0032✗1.00152k2022-08-27
GMTGMTEthereum0.70530.704468-0.12%0.6853-2.84%0.0130✓1.44258k2022-08-27
GLMGolemEthereum0.24330.243006-0.12%0.2424-0.37%0.0072✗0.9683k2022-08-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,240.7220,216.18-0.12%20,036.69-1.01%0.0012✗1.00485.5M2022-08-27
KCSKuCoinnative9.2329.2207-0.12%9.134-1.06%0.0002✓0.951.8M2022-08-27
ELAElastosEthereum1.7731.7708-0.13%1.758-0.85%0.0023✗0.94145k2022-08-27
SOLSolanaSolana31.7431.6998-0.13%31.54-0.63%0.0067✗1.1670.1M2022-08-27
XTZTezosTezos1.48281.4809-0.13%1.4676-1.03%0.0022✗1.10355k2022-08-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash116.16116.0085-0.13%115.26-0.77%0.0050✗1.134.9M2022-08-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27920.278828-0.13%0.2796+0.14%0.0124✗0.963.4M2022-08-27
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.492.4867-0.13%2.47-0.80%0.0015✓0.5193k2022-08-27
AAVEAaveEthereum82.7282.6085-0.13%82.11-0.74%0.0096✗1.556.7M2022-08-27
NANOnanopayBase0.88010.878901-0.14%0.882839+0.31%0.0127✗0.8184k2022-08-27
DASHDashDash44.344.2393-0.14%45.13+1.87%0.0299✗0.98504k2022-08-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6820.6516-0.14%20.04-3.09%0.0170✓1.2923.6M2022-08-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04330.04324-0.14%0.0436+0.69%0.0183✗0.98180k2022-08-27
MOVRMoonriverBase12.120112.1028-0.14%12.5391+3.46%0.0452✗0.9639k2022-08-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05291.0514-0.14%1.0479-0.47%0.0118✗1.494.9M2022-08-27
XYMSymbolnative0.0454970.04543-0.15%0.0454-0.21%0.0046✗0.5233k2022-08-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.170.169746-0.15%0.171+0.59%0.0183✗1.08464k2022-08-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,981.548,968.06-0.15%8,782.65-2.21%0.0071✓1.367.3M2022-08-27
XECeCashnative0.000036680.000036624-0.15%0.00003688+0.55%0.0160✗0.901.7M2022-08-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1511.1492-0.15%1.146-0.43%0.0072✗0.992.1M2022-08-27
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35560.35505-0.15%0.3569+0.37%0.0164✗1.11175k2022-08-27
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33230.33178-0.16%0.3144-5.39%0.0421✓1.16112k2022-08-27
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06340.063299-0.16%0.0639+0.79%0.0187✗0.91116k2022-08-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10290.102732-0.16%0.1015-1.36%0.0032✓0.87238k2022-08-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013330.013308-0.16%0.013178-1.14%0.0033✓0.641.4M2022-08-27
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5460.545088-0.17%0.55+0.73%0.0201✗1.0996k2022-08-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95920.957593-0.17%0.963+0.40%0.0113✗0.563.6M2022-08-27
UMAUMAEthereum2.72.6954-0.17%2.671-1.07%0.0004✓0.86749k2022-08-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336050.335477-0.17%0.33622+0.05%0.0121✗0.9870k2022-08-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12460.12438-0.18%0.1236-0.80%0.0005✓0.584.1M2022-08-27
ADACardanoCardano0.43170.430935-0.18%0.45+4.24%0.0539✗1.0440.7M2022-08-27
LSKLiskEthereum1.05081.0489-0.18%1.0488-0.19%0.0085✗0.8653k2022-08-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2740.273503-0.18%0.28+2.19%0.0309✗0.73826k2022-08-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.9133.848-0.18%33-2.68%0.0108✓1.4416.0M2022-08-27
ETHEthereumEthereum1,508.021,505.22-0.19%1,491.22-1.11%0.0043✗1.34608.4M2022-08-27
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08570.08554-0.19%0.0845-1.40%0.0027✓0.9414k2022-08-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03580.035733-0.19%0.0348-2.79%0.0170✓0.9386k2022-08-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.331610.330986-0.19%0.32976-0.56%0.0063✗0.99418k2022-08-27
STORJStorjEthereum0.556410.555344-0.19%0.54155-2.67%0.0121✓1.2945k2022-08-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.77411.7706-0.19%1.7879+0.78%0.0207✗1.0838k2022-08-27
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80010.798475-0.20%0.79-1.26%0.0038✗1.43193k2022-08-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6620.660609-0.21%0.652-1.51%0.0036✓0.94304k2022-08-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.14752.0367-0.21%52.374+0.44%0.0140✗0.75340k2022-08-27
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05740.057266-0.23%0.0569-0.87%0.0027✗0.90104k2022-08-27
HIVEHivenative0.53430.53301-0.24%0.5335-0.15%0.0099✗0.881.6M2022-08-27
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12070.120405-0.24%0.1186-1.74%0.0047✓1.0233k2022-08-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.670.668312-0.25%0.659-1.64%0.0011✓1.285.2M2022-08-27
XMRMoneroMonero142.81142.4353-0.26%145.16+1.65%0.0291✗1.001.2M2022-08-27
QNTQuantEthereum98.2397.9706-0.26%94.38-3.92%0.0287✓0.853.5M2022-08-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070150.069957-0.27%0.0675-3.78%0.0237✓1.1929k2022-08-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.7152.5607-0.28%53.03+0.61%0.0190✗0.9913.1M2022-08-27
PROPropyEthereum0.730.727891-0.29%0.75+2.74%0.0335✗0.35105k2022-08-27
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10060.100306-0.29%0.1016+0.99%0.0204✗0.75247k2022-08-27
RADRadworksEthereum2.252.2433-0.30%2.14-4.89%0.0391✓0.79451k2022-08-27
AVTAventusEthereum1.361.3559-0.31%1.41+3.68%0.0388✗-0.04124k2022-08-27
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066250.066043-0.31%0.06819+2.93%0.0403✗0.829142022-08-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.14945.1333-0.31%5.1648+0.30%0.0075✗0.14158k2022-08-27
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.67e-7-0.32%8.70e-7+0.00%0.0113✗0.802.4M2022-08-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.05990.059707-0.32%0.0604+0.83%0.0231✗1.14258k2022-08-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.5310.4945-0.34%10-5.03%0.0363✓1.19466k2022-08-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.4548-0.34%4.59+2.68%0.0346✗0.461.3M2022-08-27
FTTFTXEthereum25.9725.8805-0.34%25.8-0.65%0.0066✗0.967.5M2022-08-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,587.8020,516.41-0.35%19,933.00-3.18%0.0193✓0.9513k2022-08-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1494.1342-0.36%4.23+1.95%0.0243✗0.142.4M2022-08-27
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014860.001481-0.36%0.001454-2.15%0.0109✓0.729,9742022-08-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012430.000012385-0.36%0.00001216-2.17%0.0088✓0.94948k2022-08-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.046.0169-0.38%6.18+2.32%0.0310✗0.422.1M2022-08-27
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.260089-0.39%0.2612+0.04%0.0043✗0.0191k2022-08-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22450.223615-0.39%0.2201-1.96%0.0024✓1.33133k2022-08-27
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.60e-78.57e-7-0.40%8.80e-7+2.33%0.0353✗0.8217k2022-08-27
GTGateEthereum4.37994.3622-0.40%4.376-0.09%0.0109✗0.77827k2022-08-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037830.037672-0.42%0.03828+1.19%0.0243✗0.822,8422022-08-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.6925.6669-0.44%5.784+1.62%0.0243✗0.385.3M2022-08-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.318.2729-0.45%8.4+1.08%0.0198✗0.452.3M2022-08-27
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9280.923826-0.45%0.84-9.48%0.0910✓0.414.2M2022-08-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036890.036722-0.45%0.03599-2.44%0.0100✓1.0031k2022-08-27
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015860.015787-0.46%0.01518-4.29%0.0325✓0.67171k2022-08-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007650.007615-0.46%0.00757-1.05%0.0055✗1.13503k2022-08-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066650.006634-0.46%0.00674+1.13%0.0202✗0.4457k2022-08-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.235.2049-0.48%5.29+1.15%0.0203✗0.402.8M2022-08-27
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9250.920396-0.50%0.936+1.19%0.0292✗1.221.4M2022-08-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.975.9399-0.50%6.22+4.19%0.0504✗0.432.5M2022-08-27
FORTFortaEthereum0.26450.263154-0.51%0.268+1.32%0.0278✗0.94106k2022-08-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1244.103-0.51%4.212+2.13%0.0300✗0.371.9M2022-08-27
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.154180.153376-0.52%0.15762+2.23%0.0484✗2.086042022-08-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013750.001367-0.53%0.00137-0.37%0.0097✗0.802.0M2022-08-27
UOSUltraEthereum0.340.33818-0.54%0.34004+0.01%0.0151✗0.95321k2022-08-27
TRXTRONTron0.0615520.061218-0.54%0.062935+2.25%0.0337✗0.59151k2022-08-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.55411.4907-0.55%11.173-3.30%0.0167✓1.1210.4M2022-08-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.24891.2419-0.56%1.3728+9.92%0.1097✗0.941.5M2022-08-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72351.7131-0.60%1.7824+3.42%0.0502✗1.041.2M2022-08-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.3937.1514-0.64%38.17+2.09%0.0358✗0.871.8M2022-08-27
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.693.6657-0.66%3.7353+1.23%0.0248✗0.593.5M2022-08-27
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0231980.023038-0.69%0.023238+0.17%0.0099✗0.12250k2022-08-27
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085260.084605-0.77%0.08547+0.25%0.0108✗0.07637k2022-08-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023340.023158-0.78%0.02261-3.13%0.0161✓0.78444k2022-08-27
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.30274.2664-0.84%4.2655-0.86%0.0099✗1.00169k2022-08-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.08665.0427-0.86%5.259+3.39%0.0441✗0.215.1M2022-08-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.78814.7456-0.89%5.0801+6.10%0.0707✗0.254.2M2022-08-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.20770.205779-0.92%0.22+5.92%0.0751✗0.822.8M2022-08-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2254.1835-0.98%4.134-2.15%0.0020✓0.98269k2022-08-27
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.39830.394201-1.03%0.3532-11.32%0.0986✓1.11152k2022-08-27
LUNATerraTerra 20.000123060.000121499-1.27%0.0001339+8.81%0.1059✗0.86340k2022-08-27
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.57e-77.46e-7-1.45%7.59e-7+0.26%0.0255✗0.82192k2022-08-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain11.74411.5691-1.49%13.227+12.63%0.1388✗0.484.8M2022-08-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.