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2022-08-22 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2955
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.17%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.8%
in alpha space · 54.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.61%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0033.0191+0.54%3.05+1.57%0.0006✓1.585.0M2022-08-23
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022530.022637+0.48%0.02356+4.57%0.0347✓0.8713.0M2022-08-23
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06840.06869+0.42%0.07289+6.56%0.0526✓1.112.4M2022-08-23
METISMetisEthereum32.7632.8842+0.38%34.76+6.11%0.0441✓1.87365k2022-08-23
CELLCellframeEthereum0.35070.351915+0.35%0.3902+11.26%0.0963✓1.15110k2022-08-23
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5950.597058+0.35%0.592-0.50%0.0160✗1.232,8642022-08-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,930.038,957.33+0.31%9,225.54+3.31%0.0213✓1.367.3M2022-08-23
IMXImmutableEthereum0.850.852576+0.30%0.8686+2.19%0.0121✓1.082.2M2022-08-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3236.341+0.28%6.378+0.87%0.0007✓0.8510.1M2022-08-23
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5151.5191+0.27%1.57+3.63%0.0259✓1.18147k2022-08-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022240.022297+0.26%0.02359+6.07%0.0514✓0.81419k2022-08-23
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8550.857101+0.25%0.893+4.44%0.0385✓0.424.4M2022-08-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04620.046305+0.23%0.04645+0.54%0.0010✓0.6816k2022-08-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11110.111345+0.22%0.1138+2.43%0.0153✓1.073.7M2022-08-23
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0962.1003+0.21%2.153+2.72%0.0142✓1.74115k2022-08-23
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017460.00175+0.20%0.001746+0.00%0.0074✗0.89766k2022-08-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49050.49146+0.20%0.4933+0.57%0.0030✗1.11419k2022-08-23
OPTIMOptimism1.1691.1712+0.19%1.335+14.20%0.1205✓1.723.5M2022-08-23
UNIUniswapEthereum6.9836.9959+0.18%7.109+1.80%0.0081✓1.3010.7M2022-08-23
FLOWFlownative2.132.1338+0.18%2.143+0.61%0.0036✗1.311.2M2022-08-23
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.37550.376131+0.17%0.39+3.86%0.0285✓1.28182k2022-08-23
DODODODOEthereum0.1370.137228+0.17%0.1397+1.97%0.0120✓0.972.1M2022-08-23
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40220.402848+0.16%0.41+1.94%0.0109✓1.1176k2022-08-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04610.046173+0.16%0.047+1.95%0.0118✓0.98187k2022-08-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.797.8022+0.16%7.88+1.16%0.0032✓1.11638k2022-08-23
XVSVenusEthereum5.665.6677+0.14%5.74+1.41%0.0076✓0.841.6M2022-08-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.280.280379+0.14%0.287+2.50%0.0190✓0.72878k2022-08-23
GLMGolemEthereum0.25410.254437+0.13%0.2559+0.71%0.0000✓0.9584k2022-08-23
SUSHISushiEthereum1.191.1915+0.13%1.2121+1.86%0.0096✓1.241.0M2022-08-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.4017.4106+0.13%7.635+3.16%0.0236✓1.0214.0M2022-08-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7191.7212+0.13%1.817+5.70%0.0469✓1.20121k2022-08-23
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0531.0543+0.13%1.067+1.33%0.0046✓1.211.1M2022-08-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50310.503706+0.12%0.5139+2.15%0.0151✓0.81661k2022-08-23
STXStacksnative0.3870.387461+0.12%0.3899+0.75%0.0008✓1.16492k2022-08-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0833.0865+0.11%3.142+1.91%0.0140✓0.64749k2022-08-23
SCSiacoinnative0.00410.004104+0.11%0.00408-0.49%0.0119✗0.99152k2022-08-23
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21250.212689+0.09%0.2209+3.95%0.0318✓1.00152k2022-08-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058170.005823+0.09%0.005889+1.23%0.0074✓0.672,6422022-08-23
NANOnanopayBase0.9134550.914084+0.07%0.943427+3.28%0.0268✓0.7977k2022-08-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.14060.140694+0.07%0.14275+1.53%0.0070✓1.23243k2022-08-23
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026250.026265+0.06%0.02647+0.84%0.0001✓1.273,2032022-08-23
QTUMQtumQtum3.47033.4722+0.05%3.5261+1.61%0.0094✓0.9938k2022-08-23
CBKCobakEthereum0.932120.932599+0.05%0.94089+0.94%0.0030✓0.9713k2022-08-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0035020.003504+0.05%0.003625+3.51%0.0288✓0.861.1M2022-08-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,398.2521,408.92+0.05%21,528.34+0.61%0.0005✗1.00469.7M2022-08-23
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.90e-7+0.05%9.10e-7+2.25%0.0169✓0.802.7M2022-08-23
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4390.439212+0.05%0.444+1.14%0.0048✓1.008,8922022-08-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05090.050923+0.04%0.0517+1.57%0.0093✓0.97798k2022-08-23
API3Api3Ethereum1.891.8908+0.04%1.962+3.81%0.0314✓0.91718k2022-08-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.38340.383559+0.04%0.3844+0.26%0.0054✗1.25239k2022-08-23
STEEMSteemnative0.23270.232794+0.04%0.2343+0.69%0.0010✓0.90528k2022-08-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.14670.14675+0.03%0.1488+1.43%0.0078✓1.00149k2022-08-23
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12140.121441+0.03%0.124+2.14%0.0147✓1.0138k2022-08-23
KCSKuCoinnative9.5829.585+0.03%9.713+1.37%0.0075✓0.951.9M2022-08-23
ZENHorizenBase17.0617.065+0.03%17.42+2.11%0.0139✓1.10125k2022-08-23
FTTFTXEthereum27.7227.7279+0.03%27.78+0.22%0.0039✗0.968.3M2022-08-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.361850.361946+0.03%0.37206+2.82%0.0217✓0.9690k2022-08-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21830.218355+0.03%0.2228+2.06%0.0141✓1.0072k2022-08-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.6713.6726+0.02%13.6-0.51%0.0122✗1.142.2M2022-08-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30320.303257+0.02%0.3076+1.45%0.0086✓0.928.2M2022-08-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.09951.0997+0.01%1.1837+7.66%0.0647✓1.484.7M2022-08-23
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10.100013+0.01%0.1015+1.50%0.0105✓0.69234k2022-08-23
XECeCashnative0.000038840.000038845+0.01%0.00003947+1.62%0.0106✓0.881.8M2022-08-23
HIVEHivenative0.55350.553563+0.01%0.5572+0.67%0.0012✓0.891.9M2022-08-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2814.2816+0.01%14.66+2.66%0.0187✓1.231.3M2022-08-23
XEMNEMnative0.0456570.045658+0.00%0.046576+2.01%0.0148✓0.8432k2022-08-23
XVGVergenative0.003210.00321+0.00%0.00324+0.93%0.0030✓1.03537k2022-08-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,122.2021,122.25+0.00%21,511.10+1.84%0.0125✓0.958,8302022-08-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06550.065498-0.00%0.0673+2.75%0.0198✗1.221.2M2022-08-23
APEApeCoinEthereum5.2055.2048-0.00%5.245+0.77%0.0006✓1.3610.1M2022-08-23
COMPCompoundEthereum50.4550.4472-0.01%50.74+0.57%0.0017✓1.2315k2022-08-23
ELAElastosEthereum1.8181.8179-0.01%1.847+1.60%0.0101✗0.96151k2022-08-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.0910.0891-0.01%10.63+5.35%0.0451✗1.18318k2022-08-23
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08910.08909-0.01%0.0914+2.58%0.0197✗0.9711k2022-08-23
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.90e-7-0.01%9.00e-7+1.12%0.0063✗0.8218k2022-08-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0457.044-0.01%7.241+2.78%0.0211✗1.0719.5M2022-08-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.006980.006979-0.02%0.00708+1.43%0.0105✗0.641.3M2022-08-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5520.551882-0.02%0.569+3.08%0.0237✗1.1395k2022-08-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.03441.0342-0.02%0.04351-95.79%3.1752✓1.1112k2022-08-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3826.3806-0.02%6.378-0.06%0.0060✓0.935.3M2022-08-23
DIADIAEthereum0.390680.390586-0.02%0.4051+3.69%0.0308✗0.9470k2022-08-23
UMAUMAEthereum2.8762.8752-0.03%2.977+3.51%0.0297✗0.84749k2022-08-23
GTGateEthereum4.56854.5672-0.03%4.5224-1.01%0.0146✓0.78827k2022-08-23
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.157720.157675-0.03%0.16294+3.31%0.0200✗2.126362022-08-23
GITCOINGITCOIN2.41252.4115-0.04%2.4359+0.97%0.0027✗1.2113k2022-08-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10510.105055-0.04%0.1087+3.43%0.0298✗0.713,6712022-08-23
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16490.164827-0.04%0.1727+4.73%0.0385✗1.351,6582022-08-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3056220.305473-0.05%0.310587+1.62%0.0100✗1.08805k2022-08-23
XLMStellarStellar0.1094920.109436-0.05%0.110676+1.08%0.0061✗0.867.8M2022-08-23
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7130.71262-0.05%0.733+2.81%0.0228✗0.88263k2022-08-23
BANDBandEthereum1.3471.3463-0.05%1.373+1.93%0.0122✗1.23518k2022-08-23
LSKLiskEthereum1.13821.1375-0.06%1.1311-0.62%0.0109✓0.8655k2022-08-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.0534.0301-0.06%34.36+0.91%0.0010✗1.4316.0M2022-08-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03641.0358-0.06%1.0251-1.09%0.0137✓0.563.8M2022-08-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.381.3791-0.07%1.4+1.45%0.0093✗0.96182k2022-08-23
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04060.040571-0.07%0.0408+0.49%0.0005✓0.8511k2022-08-23
XMRMoneroMonero153.73153.6139-0.08%154.81+0.70%0.0017✗1.001.1M2022-08-23
STORJStorjEthereum0.56970.569249-0.08%0.57919+1.67%0.0095✗1.2945k2022-08-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013160.000013149-0.08%0.00001332+1.22%0.0073✗0.92864k2022-08-23
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05970.059651-0.08%0.0622+4.19%0.0363✗0.92120k2022-08-23
ZECZcashZcash65.0965.0345-0.09%66.35+1.94%0.0132✗1.121.9M2022-08-23
WOOWOOEthereum0.16830.168155-0.09%0.1725+2.50%0.0190✗1.081,7442022-08-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.412.4079-0.09%2.44+1.24%0.0059✗1.22281k2022-08-23
ETHEthereumEthereum1,624.781,623.29-0.09%1,665.93+2.53%0.0178✗1.33576.1M2022-08-23
MANADecentralandEthereum0.831610.83082-0.10%0.83469+0.37%0.0009✓0.92524k2022-08-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039920.039878-0.10%0.039-2.30%0.0273✓0.822,6252022-08-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.29155.2263-0.12%56.254+1.74%0.0139✗0.74330k2022-08-23
XYMSymbolnative0.049660.049601-0.12%0.048516-2.30%0.0254✓0.5430k2022-08-23
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1922.1894-0.12%2.25+2.65%0.0203✗1.1559k2022-08-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29050.290142-0.12%0.2977+2.48%0.0200✗0.953.5M2022-08-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7010.700127-0.12%0.725+3.42%0.0294✗0.92322k2022-08-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.09810.097971-0.13%0.1008+2.75%0.0228✗0.94430k2022-08-23
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37730.376802-0.13%0.3851+2.07%0.0151✗1.11175k2022-08-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.221.2184-0.13%1.242+1.80%0.0132✗0.992.1M2022-08-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009290.009277-0.14%0.00923-0.65%0.0097✓0.756.4M2022-08-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash122.68122.511-0.14%133.41+8.75%0.0785✗1.114.9M2022-08-23
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06850.068405-0.14%0.0678-1.02%0.0144✓0.92121k2022-08-23
TRXTRONTron0.0656310.06554-0.14%0.066225+0.91%0.0069✗0.58164k2022-08-23
DASHDashDash47.2347.1644-0.14%48.5+2.69%0.0220✗0.97493k2022-08-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12830.128112-0.15%0.1294+0.86%0.0066✗0.564.2M2022-08-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0213280.021296-0.15%0.021625+1.39%0.0104✗0.8113k2022-08-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.1918.1629-0.15%18.01-0.99%0.0127✓0.711.7M2022-08-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2170.216669-0.15%0.2192+1.01%0.0034✗1.35111k2022-08-23
QNTQuantEthereum107.36107.1947-0.15%109.96+2.42%0.0203✗0.853.4M2022-08-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0683810.068273-0.16%0.068797+0.61%0.0014✓1.021.9M2022-08-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.073130.073003-0.17%0.07645+4.54%0.0389✗1.1929k2022-08-23
FORTFortaEthereum0.27440.273919-0.18%0.2756+0.44%0.0002✓0.98118k2022-08-23
SOLSolanaSolana35.4335.3662-0.18%35.67+0.68%0.0015✓1.1681.1M2022-08-23
AAVEAaveEthereum88.5188.3504-0.18%89.48+1.10%0.0034✗1.546.5M2022-08-23
GALAGALAEthereum0.05330.053198-0.19%0.0546+2.44%0.0200✗1.00253k2022-08-23
PROPropyEthereum0.710.70858-0.20%0.74+4.23%0.0411✗0.38105k2022-08-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11060.110378-0.20%0.1117+0.99%0.0067✗0.87256k2022-08-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14930.148998-0.20%0.1575+5.49%0.0497✗0.96614k2022-08-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.5622.5142-0.20%23.51+4.21%0.0354✗1.3024.5M2022-08-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03720.037122-0.21%0.0382+2.69%0.0230✗0.9381k2022-08-23
ADACardanoCardano0.46150.460528-0.21%0.466+0.98%0.0055✗1.0542.0M2022-08-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.014260.01423-0.21%0.01447+1.47%0.0128✗0.641.6M2022-08-23
XTZTezosTezos1.5891.5856-0.21%1.5941+0.32%0.0013✓1.10494k2022-08-23
MOVRMoonriverBase13.476313.4469-0.22%13.7842+2.28%0.0190✗0.9644k2022-08-23
GMTGMTEthereum0.7840.782179-0.23%0.7906+0.84%0.0021✓1.43325k2022-08-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.2257.0869-0.23%57.1-0.21%0.0058✓1.0013.5M2022-08-23
BORABORAKlay Token0.295310.294611-0.24%0.29912+1.29%0.0089✗1.0413k2022-08-23
NEXONEXOEthereum0.90.897845-0.24%0.973+8.11%0.0730✗1.221.2M2022-08-23
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.3144-0.24%2.3-0.86%0.0113✓0.83778k2022-08-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036870.036778-0.25%0.03743+1.52%0.0116✗0.9923k2022-08-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9181.9128-0.27%1.9643+2.42%0.0202✗1.0636k2022-08-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.35741.3537-0.27%1.3042-3.92%0.0430✓0.951.3M2022-08-23
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.260487-0.27%0.2605-0.27%0.0000✓0.0187k2022-08-23
KSMKusamaHydration50.5850.4413-0.27%49.54-2.06%0.0241✓1.00560k2022-08-23
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08720.086959-0.28%0.08526-2.22%0.0203✓0.09916k2022-08-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1840.183474-0.29%0.185+0.54%0.0018✓1.07608k2022-08-23
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.722.7121-0.29%2.79+2.57%0.0253✗0.5093k2022-08-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.956.9294-0.30%7.16+3.02%0.0304✗0.381.6M2022-08-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.0911.0558-0.31%12.135+9.42%0.0864✗1.1110.0M2022-08-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014850.00148-0.32%0.001591+7.15%0.0676✗0.781.6M2022-08-23
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070690.070459-0.33%0.07069+0.00%0.0017✓0.829772022-08-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana7.1197.095-0.34%6.803-4.44%0.0439✓0.315.3M2022-08-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7040.701458-0.36%0.722+2.56%0.0207✗1.354.8M2022-08-23
LUNATerraTerra 20.000091530.000091193-0.37%0.00010583+15.62%0.1440✗0.81314k2022-08-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.10795.0879-0.39%5.389+5.50%0.0566✗0.14171k2022-08-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067980.006771-0.40%0.006696-1.50%0.0138✓0.4557k2022-08-23
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6230.620402-0.42%0.617-0.96%0.0121✓1.0996k2022-08-23
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82160.818123-0.42%0.8205-0.13%0.0060✓1.47205k2022-08-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.06410.063824-0.43%0.0652+1.72%0.0143✗1.15282k2022-08-23
UOSUltraEthereum0.321710.320315-0.43%0.32919+2.33%0.0217✗0.92342k2022-08-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.92681.9173-0.49%1.9086-0.94%0.0111✓1.07781k2022-08-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.649.5923-0.49%9.49-1.56%0.0134✓0.442.6M2022-08-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.036.9939-0.51%7.04+0.14%0.0043✓0.372.4M2022-08-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.403240.401006-0.55%0.39145-2.92%0.0301✓0.99435k2022-08-23
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0235640.023428-0.58%0.02313-1.84%0.0135✓0.12240k2022-08-23
AVTAventusEthereum1.61.5905-0.59%1.43-10.63%0.1061✓-0.05105k2022-08-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum45.244.932-0.59%41.17-8.92%0.0929✓0.891.8M2022-08-23
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017750.017641-0.61%0.01736-2.20%0.0202✓0.68167k2022-08-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008440.008388-0.61%0.00808-4.27%0.0444✓1.15477k2022-08-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.415.3762-0.63%5.38-0.55%0.0018✓0.411.5M2022-08-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana5.2855.2508-0.65%5.147-2.61%0.0205✓0.102.3M2022-08-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9784.9446-0.67%5.224+4.94%0.0530✗0.331.7M2022-08-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.22280.221275-0.68%0.2505+12.43%0.1191✗0.811.8M2022-08-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.41986.3757-0.69%6.0884-5.16%0.0471✓0.173.1M2022-08-23
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.81e-76.76e-7-0.83%8.22e-7+20.67%0.1916✗0.77180k2022-08-23
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.48424.4431-0.92%4.3642-2.68%0.0212✓0.542.1M2022-08-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017780.001761-0.93%0.001585-10.85%0.1099✓0.729,7092022-08-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.774.7252-0.94%4.429-7.15%0.0706✓0.97139k2022-08-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.526.4579-0.95%6.39-1.99%0.0128✓0.373.3M2022-08-23
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.39494.347-1.09%4.6501+5.81%0.0613✗1.00173k2022-08-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.15356.0757-1.26%5.9126-3.91%0.0284✓0.192.1M2022-08-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain14.60714.3009-2.10%13.538-7.32%0.0575✓0.452.0M2022-08-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.