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2022-08-22 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2686
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.72%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
40.1%
in alpha space · 31.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.61%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain14.60714.0391-3.89%13.538-7.32%0.0390✓0.452.0M2022-08-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.15355.9597-3.15%5.9126-3.91%0.0091✓0.192.1M2022-08-23
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.48424.3777-2.38%4.3642-2.68%0.0064✓0.542.1M2022-08-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.41986.2793-2.19%6.0884-5.16%0.0319✓0.173.1M2022-08-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.774.6781-1.93%4.429-7.15%0.0606✓0.97139k2022-08-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017780.001748-1.70%0.001585-10.85%0.1021✓0.729,7092022-08-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.22280.219139-1.64%0.2505+12.43%0.1288✗0.811.8M2022-08-23
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.81e-76.71e-7-1.55%8.22e-7+20.67%0.1989✗0.77180k2022-08-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.526.4284-1.41%6.39-1.99%0.0082✓0.373.3M2022-08-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9784.9123-1.32%5.224+4.94%0.0595✗0.331.7M2022-08-23
AVTAventusEthereum1.61.5801-1.24%1.43-10.63%0.0995✓-0.05105k2022-08-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana7.1197.0369-1.15%6.803-4.44%0.0357✓0.315.3M2022-08-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum45.244.6819-1.15%41.17-8.92%0.0873✓0.891.8M2022-08-23
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.39494.3507-1.01%4.6501+5.81%0.0605✗1.00173k2022-08-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana5.2855.2322-1.00%5.147-2.61%0.0170✓0.102.3M2022-08-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.92681.9078-0.99%1.9086-0.94%0.0061✓1.07781k2022-08-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.036.9621-0.97%7.04+0.14%0.0089✓0.372.4M2022-08-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.649.5472-0.96%9.49-1.56%0.0087✓0.442.6M2022-08-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.403240.399819-0.85%0.39145-2.92%0.0272✓0.99435k2022-08-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.35741.3459-0.84%1.3042-3.92%0.0373✓0.951.3M2022-08-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.415.3646-0.84%5.38-0.55%0.0004✓0.411.5M2022-08-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008440.00837-0.83%0.00808-4.27%0.0422✓1.15477k2022-08-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.956.8959-0.78%7.16+3.02%0.0353✗0.381.6M2022-08-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014850.001474-0.73%0.001591+7.15%0.0717✗0.781.6M2022-08-23
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070690.070176-0.73%0.07069+0.00%0.0024✓0.829772022-08-23
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0235640.023397-0.71%0.02313-1.84%0.0122✓0.12240k2022-08-23
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08720.086601-0.69%0.08526-2.22%0.0162✓0.09916k2022-08-23
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017750.01765-0.56%0.01736-2.20%0.0207✓0.68167k2022-08-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.0911.0292-0.55%12.135+9.42%0.0888✗1.1110.0M2022-08-23
FORTFortaEthereum0.27440.272934-0.53%0.2756+0.44%0.0038✓0.98118k2022-08-23
NEXONEXOEthereum0.90.895307-0.52%0.973+8.11%0.0758✗1.221.2M2022-08-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067980.006764-0.50%0.006696-1.50%0.0128✓0.4557k2022-08-23
LUNATerraTerra 20.000091530.000091074-0.50%0.00010583+15.62%0.1453✗0.81314k2022-08-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013160.000013095-0.49%0.00001332+1.22%0.0115✗0.92864k2022-08-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.06410.063788-0.49%0.0652+1.72%0.0149✗1.15282k2022-08-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036870.036696-0.47%0.03743+1.52%0.0138✗0.9923k2022-08-23
UOSUltraEthereum0.321710.320201-0.47%0.32919+2.33%0.0221✗0.92342k2022-08-23
GTGateEthereum4.56854.5481-0.45%4.5224-1.01%0.0104✓0.78827k2022-08-23
QNTQuantEthereum107.36106.8815-0.45%109.96+2.42%0.0233✗0.853.4M2022-08-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.2256.9706-0.44%57.1-0.21%0.0038✓1.0013.5M2022-08-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0035020.003487-0.43%0.003625+3.51%0.0337✗0.861.1M2022-08-23
FTTFTXEthereum27.7227.6-0.43%27.78+0.22%0.0007✓0.968.3M2022-08-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.073130.072843-0.39%0.07645+4.54%0.0411✗1.1929k2022-08-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7040.701271-0.39%0.722+2.56%0.0209✗1.354.8M2022-08-23
XMRMoneroMonero153.73153.1359-0.39%154.81+0.70%0.0048✗1.001.1M2022-08-23
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6230.620626-0.38%0.617-0.96%0.0125✓1.0996k2022-08-23
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.260239-0.37%0.2605-0.27%0.0009✓0.0187k2022-08-23
ETHEthereumEthereum1,624.781,618.84-0.37%1,665.93+2.53%0.0206✗1.33576.1M2022-08-23
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.87e-7-0.36%9.00e-7+1.12%0.0097✗0.8218k2022-08-23
CELLCellframeEthereum0.35070.349488-0.35%0.3902+11.26%0.1033✗1.15110k2022-08-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2170.216256-0.34%0.2192+1.01%0.0053✗1.35111k2022-08-23
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.3121-0.34%2.3-0.86%0.0103✓0.83778k2022-08-23
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.722.7114-0.32%2.79+2.57%0.0256✗0.5093k2022-08-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.5622.4887-0.32%23.51+4.21%0.0366✗1.3024.5M2022-08-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7010.698818-0.31%0.725+3.42%0.0312✗0.92322k2022-08-23
TRXTRONTron0.0656310.065428-0.31%0.066225+0.91%0.0086✗0.58164k2022-08-23
SOLSolanaSolana35.4335.3202-0.31%35.67+0.68%0.0028✓1.1681.1M2022-08-23
KSMKusamaHydration50.5850.4244-0.31%49.54-2.06%0.0237✓1.00560k2022-08-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11060.110265-0.30%0.1117+0.99%0.0077✗0.87256k2022-08-23
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.87e-7-0.30%9.10e-7+2.25%0.0204✗0.802.7M2022-08-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.29155.128-0.29%56.254+1.74%0.0157✗0.74330k2022-08-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9181.9124-0.29%1.9643+2.42%0.0204✗1.0636k2022-08-23
GMTGMTEthereum0.7840.781749-0.29%0.7906+0.84%0.0026✓1.43325k2022-08-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.014260.01422-0.28%0.01447+1.47%0.0135✗0.641.6M2022-08-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.0533.9561-0.28%34.36+0.91%0.0032✗1.4316.0M2022-08-23
HIVEHivenative0.55350.551975-0.28%0.5572+0.67%0.0040✗0.891.9M2022-08-23
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10.099725-0.28%0.1015+1.50%0.0134✗0.69234k2022-08-23
XYMSymbolnative0.049660.049524-0.27%0.048516-2.30%0.0238✓0.5430k2022-08-23
UMAUMAEthereum2.8762.8682-0.27%2.977+3.51%0.0321✗0.84749k2022-08-23
STORJStorjEthereum0.56970.56819-0.27%0.57919+1.67%0.0114✗1.2945k2022-08-23
DASHDashDash47.2347.1055-0.26%48.5+2.69%0.0233✗0.97493k2022-08-23
GALAGALAEthereum0.05330.05316-0.26%0.0546+2.44%0.0207✗1.00253k2022-08-23
AAVEAaveEthereum88.5188.2771-0.26%89.48+1.10%0.0042✗1.546.5M2022-08-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.03441.0317-0.26%0.04351-95.79%3.1728✓1.1112k2022-08-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0457.0268-0.26%7.241+2.78%0.0236✗1.0719.5M2022-08-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03641.0337-0.26%1.0251-1.09%0.0118✓0.563.8M2022-08-23
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05970.059547-0.26%0.0622+4.19%0.0380✗0.92120k2022-08-23
ADACardanoCardano0.46150.460322-0.26%0.466+0.98%0.0059✗1.0542.0M2022-08-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03720.037105-0.25%0.0382+2.69%0.0234✗0.9381k2022-08-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.221.2169-0.25%1.242+1.80%0.0144✗0.992.1M2022-08-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.0910.0647-0.25%10.63+5.35%0.0475✗1.18318k2022-08-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.10795.0952-0.25%5.389+5.50%0.0552✗0.14171k2022-08-23
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.157720.157328-0.25%0.16294+3.31%0.0222✗2.126362022-08-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,122.2021,070.37-0.25%21,511.10+1.84%0.0149✗0.958,8302022-08-23
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21250.211983-0.24%0.2209+3.95%0.0351✗1.00152k2022-08-23
PROPropyEthereum0.710.708299-0.24%0.74+4.23%0.0415✗0.38105k2022-08-23
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0531.0505-0.24%1.067+1.33%0.0083✗1.211.1M2022-08-23
LSKLiskEthereum1.13821.1354-0.24%1.1311-0.62%0.0090✓0.8655k2022-08-23
XECeCashnative0.000038840.000038748-0.24%0.00003947+1.62%0.0131✗0.881.8M2022-08-23
API3Api3Ethereum1.891.8855-0.24%1.962+3.81%0.0342✗0.91718k2022-08-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash122.68122.3906-0.24%133.41+8.75%0.0795✗1.114.9M2022-08-23
XTZTezosTezos1.5891.5853-0.23%1.5941+0.32%0.0011✓1.10494k2022-08-23
MOVRMoonriverBase13.476313.4449-0.23%13.7842+2.28%0.0191✗0.9644k2022-08-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039920.03983-0.23%0.039-2.30%0.0260✓0.822,6252022-08-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.09951.0971-0.22%1.1837+7.66%0.0670✗1.484.7M2022-08-23
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017460.001742-0.22%0.001746+0.00%0.0032✓0.89766k2022-08-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,398.2521,352.26-0.21%21,528.34+0.61%0.0022✓1.00469.7M2022-08-23
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06850.068355-0.21%0.0678-1.02%0.0137✓0.92121k2022-08-23
ZENHorizenBase17.0617.0239-0.21%17.42+2.11%0.0163✗1.10125k2022-08-23
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08910.088915-0.21%0.0914+2.58%0.0217✗0.9711k2022-08-23
NANOnanopayBase0.9134550.911577-0.21%0.943427+3.28%0.0295✗0.7977k2022-08-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.38340.382619-0.20%0.3844+0.26%0.0029✓1.25239k2022-08-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1840.183627-0.20%0.185+0.54%0.0010✓1.07608k2022-08-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009290.009271-0.20%0.00923-0.65%0.0090✓0.756.4M2022-08-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0683810.068245-0.20%0.068797+0.61%0.0018✓1.021.9M2022-08-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04610.04601-0.20%0.047+1.95%0.0153✗0.98187k2022-08-23
XVSVenusEthereum5.665.649-0.19%5.74+1.41%0.0109✗0.841.6M2022-08-23
GLMGolemEthereum0.25410.253608-0.19%0.2559+0.71%0.0032✗0.9584k2022-08-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.09810.097911-0.19%0.1008+2.75%0.0234✗0.94430k2022-08-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5520.550947-0.19%0.569+3.08%0.0254✗1.1395k2022-08-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022240.022198-0.19%0.02359+6.07%0.0559✗0.81419k2022-08-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30320.302627-0.19%0.3076+1.45%0.0107✗0.928.2M2022-08-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0213280.021288-0.19%0.021625+1.39%0.0108✗0.8113k2022-08-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29050.289966-0.18%0.2977+2.48%0.0206✗0.953.5M2022-08-23
GITCOINGITCOIN2.41252.4081-0.18%2.4359+0.97%0.0041✗1.2113k2022-08-23
XLMStellarStellar0.1094920.109295-0.18%0.110676+1.08%0.0073✗0.867.8M2022-08-23
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12140.121182-0.18%0.124+2.14%0.0169✗1.0138k2022-08-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.1918.1581-0.18%18.01-0.99%0.0125✓0.711.7M2022-08-23
XVGVergenative0.003210.003204-0.17%0.00324+0.93%0.0048✗1.03537k2022-08-23
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37730.376658-0.17%0.3851+2.07%0.0155✗1.11175k2022-08-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.280.279525-0.17%0.287+2.50%0.0220✗0.72878k2022-08-23
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82160.820242-0.17%0.8205-0.13%0.0086✓1.47205k2022-08-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.6713.6474-0.17%13.6-0.51%0.0104✓1.142.2M2022-08-23
XEMNEMnative0.0456570.045583-0.16%0.046576+2.01%0.0164✗0.8432k2022-08-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.412.4062-0.16%2.44+1.24%0.0066✗1.22281k2022-08-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2814.2577-0.16%14.66+2.66%0.0204✗1.231.3M2022-08-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.4017.3897-0.15%7.635+3.16%0.0265✗1.0214.0M2022-08-23
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026250.026211-0.15%0.02647+0.84%0.0021✗1.273,2032022-08-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12830.128109-0.15%0.1294+0.86%0.0067✗0.564.2M2022-08-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14930.14908-0.15%0.1575+5.49%0.0491✗0.96614k2022-08-23
MANADecentralandEthereum0.831610.830404-0.15%0.83469+0.37%0.0004✓0.92524k2022-08-23
ELAElastosEthereum1.8181.8154-0.14%1.847+1.60%0.0115✗0.96151k2022-08-23
SCSiacoinnative0.00410.004094-0.14%0.00408-0.49%0.0094✓0.99152k2022-08-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058170.005809-0.14%0.005889+1.23%0.0097✗0.672,6422022-08-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.361850.361336-0.14%0.37206+2.82%0.0234✗0.9690k2022-08-23
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04060.040546-0.13%0.0408+0.49%0.0011✓0.8511k2022-08-23
BORABORAKlay Token0.295310.294922-0.13%0.29912+1.29%0.0078✗1.0413k2022-08-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11110.110955-0.13%0.1138+2.43%0.0188✗1.073.7M2022-08-23
KCSKuCoinnative9.5829.5697-0.13%9.713+1.37%0.0091✗0.951.9M2022-08-23
STEEMSteemnative0.23270.232402-0.13%0.2343+0.69%0.0027✗0.90528k2022-08-23
DIADIAEthereum0.390680.390192-0.13%0.4051+3.69%0.0318✗0.9470k2022-08-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.006980.006971-0.12%0.00708+1.43%0.0115✗0.641.3M2022-08-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3056220.305261-0.12%0.310587+1.62%0.0107✗1.08805k2022-08-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10510.104982-0.11%0.1087+3.43%0.0305✗0.713,6712022-08-23
BANDBandEthereum1.3471.3455-0.11%1.373+1.93%0.0128✗1.23518k2022-08-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.14670.146544-0.11%0.1488+1.43%0.0092✗1.00149k2022-08-23
FLOWFlownative2.132.1278-0.11%2.143+0.61%0.0008✓1.311.2M2022-08-23
QTUMQtumQtum3.47033.4668-0.10%3.5261+1.61%0.0109✗0.9938k2022-08-23
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5950.594394-0.10%0.592-0.50%0.0115✓1.232,8642022-08-23
APEApeCoinEthereum5.2055.1997-0.10%5.245+0.77%0.0004✓1.3610.1M2022-08-23
COMPCompoundEthereum50.4550.3992-0.10%50.74+0.57%0.0007✓1.2315k2022-08-23
ZECZcashZcash65.0965.0283-0.09%66.35+1.94%0.0133✗1.121.9M2022-08-23
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1922.19-0.09%2.25+2.65%0.0201✗1.1559k2022-08-23
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16490.164754-0.09%0.1727+4.73%0.0389✗1.351,6582022-08-23
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4390.43863-0.08%0.444+1.14%0.0061✗1.008,8922022-08-23
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7130.712435-0.08%0.733+2.81%0.0231✗0.88263k2022-08-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05090.050862-0.07%0.0517+1.57%0.0105✗0.97798k2022-08-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21830.218142-0.07%0.2228+2.06%0.0151✗1.0072k2022-08-23
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0962.0947-0.06%2.153+2.72%0.0169✗1.74115k2022-08-23
DODODODOEthereum0.1370.136931-0.05%0.1397+1.97%0.0141✗0.972.1M2022-08-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04620.046177-0.05%0.04645+0.54%0.0017✗0.6816k2022-08-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.381.3797-0.02%1.4+1.45%0.0088✗0.96182k2022-08-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,930.038,928.49-0.02%9,225.54+3.31%0.0245✗1.367.3M2022-08-23
WOOWOOEthereum0.16830.168275-0.01%0.1725+2.50%0.0183✗1.081,7442022-08-23
CBKCobakEthereum0.932120.932005-0.01%0.94089+0.94%0.0036✗0.9713k2022-08-23
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40220.402155-0.01%0.41+1.94%0.0126✗1.1176k2022-08-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3826.3816-0.01%6.378-0.06%0.0062✓0.935.3M2022-08-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50310.503088-0.00%0.5139+2.15%0.0164✗0.81661k2022-08-23
SUSHISushiEthereum1.191.1901+0.01%1.2121+1.86%0.0108✓1.241.0M2022-08-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49050.49055+0.01%0.4933+0.57%0.0012✗1.11419k2022-08-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7191.7192+0.01%1.817+5.70%0.0481✓1.20121k2022-08-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.797.7915+0.02%7.88+1.16%0.0045✓1.11638k2022-08-23
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022530.022535+0.02%0.02356+4.57%0.0392✓0.8713.0M2022-08-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.14060.14065+0.04%0.14275+1.53%0.0073✓1.23243k2022-08-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0833.0843+0.04%3.142+1.91%0.0147✓0.64749k2022-08-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06550.065528+0.04%0.0673+2.75%0.0193✓1.221.2M2022-08-23
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8550.855372+0.04%0.893+4.44%0.0405✓0.424.4M2022-08-23
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.37550.375805+0.08%0.39+3.86%0.0293✓1.28182k2022-08-23
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06840.068464+0.09%0.07289+6.56%0.0559✓1.112.4M2022-08-23
IMXImmutableEthereum0.850.850795+0.09%0.8686+2.19%0.0142✓1.082.2M2022-08-23
STXStacksnative0.3870.387392+0.10%0.3899+0.75%0.0006✓1.16492k2022-08-23
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5151.5166+0.10%1.57+3.63%0.0275✓1.18147k2022-08-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0033.0094+0.21%3.05+1.57%0.0038✓1.585.0M2022-08-23
OPTIMOptimism1.1691.1718+0.24%1.335+14.20%0.1200✓1.723.5M2022-08-23
UNIUniswapEthereum6.9837.0005+0.25%7.109+1.80%0.0075✓1.3010.7M2022-08-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3236.3388+0.25%6.378+0.87%0.0010✓0.8510.1M2022-08-23
METISMetisEthereum32.7632.8494+0.27%34.76+6.11%0.0452✓1.87365k2022-08-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.