8=======>

2022-08-19 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 189 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0282
189 of 189 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.23%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
55.0%
in alpha space · 48.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.46%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (189 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.48812.9331-4.11%10.894-19.23%0.1779✓0.431.4M2022-08-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.75716.5003-3.80%5.6922-15.76%0.1352✓0.172.1M2022-08-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.04224.8995-2.83%4.3606-13.52%0.1188✓0.162.1M2022-08-20
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.08e-75.96e-7-1.95%7.06e-7+16.23%0.1595✗0.73164k2022-08-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.9724.8935-1.58%5.051+1.59%0.0304✗0.092.1M2022-08-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.9276.819-1.56%6.408-7.49%0.0643✓0.154.4M2022-08-20
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.72553.6676-1.55%3.4859-6.43%0.0585✓0.531.4M2022-08-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.236.1497-1.29%5.82-6.58%0.0602✓0.352.8M2022-08-20
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0259670.025638-1.27%0.022499-13.36%0.1323✓0.12233k2022-08-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7014.6432-1.23%4.487-4.55%0.0385✓0.301.6M2022-08-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum41.7541.2557-1.18%41.66-0.22%0.0038✓0.941.8M2022-08-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana7.026.9388-1.16%6.52-7.12%0.0672✓0.341.1M2022-08-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.579.4627-1.12%8.89-7.11%0.0685✓0.422.0M2022-08-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.19610.193975-1.08%0.1832-6.58%0.0692✓0.831.3M2022-08-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.395.3369-0.98%5.07-5.94%0.0572✓0.401.1M2022-08-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.876.8035-0.97%6.33-7.86%0.0777✓0.381.8M2022-08-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78251.7657-0.94%1.7871+0.26%0.0038✓1.10598k2022-08-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014410.001429-0.79%0.001507+4.60%0.0417✗0.771.6M2022-08-20
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.09544.0643-0.76%3.8115-6.93%0.0787✓1.00171k2022-08-20
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.087410.086772-0.73%0.09157+4.76%0.0527✗0.08959k2022-08-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.133.1097-0.65%3.919+25.21%0.2183✗0.90127k2022-08-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.23261.2252-0.60%1.3649+10.73%0.0939✗0.971.0M2022-08-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013170.000013091-0.60%0.00001291-1.97%0.0271✓0.91827k2022-08-20
FORTFortaEthereum0.27150.270104-0.51%0.2676-1.44%0.0236✓0.98149k2022-08-20
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10960.109057-0.50%0.1034-5.66%0.0637✓0.72220k2022-08-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066910.006659-0.48%0.006855+2.45%0.0223✗0.4657k2022-08-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.75910.7079-0.48%10.236-4.86%0.0611✓1.1111.4M2022-08-20
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017070.01699-0.47%0.0177+3.69%0.0320✗0.61153k2022-08-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.06350.063204-0.47%0.0617-2.83%0.0403✓1.12322k2022-08-20
HIVEHivenative0.55690.554465-0.44%0.5428-2.53%0.0344✓0.911.9M2022-08-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,334.3021,241.07-0.44%21,129.20-0.96%0.0191✓0.957,5932022-08-20
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.260109-0.42%0.2613+0.04%0.0044✗0.0181k2022-08-20
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11771.113-0.42%1.06-5.16%0.0649✓1.1112k2022-08-20
FISStafiEthereum0.35990.358407-0.41%0.3666+1.86%0.0094✗0.911922022-08-20
LUNATerraTerra 20.000085910.000085568-0.40%0.00008807+2.51%0.0147✗0.98336k2022-08-20
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8340.83069-0.40%0.869+4.20%0.0277✗1.201.0M2022-08-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03860.038449-0.39%0.03745-2.98%0.0409✓1.0121k2022-08-20
AVTAventusEthereum1.381.3747-0.38%1.39+0.72%0.0116✗-0.04115k2022-08-20
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.752.7399-0.37%2.74-0.36%0.0071✓0.5096k2022-08-20
GTGateEthereum4.3734.3572-0.36%4.4355+1.43%0.0068✗0.76847k2022-08-20
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.67e-7-0.34%8.80e-7+1.15%0.0033✓0.8020k2022-08-20
SGBSongbirdnative0.02640.026314-0.33%0.0257-2.65%0.0329✓0.6437k2022-08-20
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6090.607082-0.31%0.611+0.33%0.0099✓1.13112k2022-08-20
FTTFTXEthereum26.4126.3287-0.31%26.69+1.06%0.0001✓0.958.9M2022-08-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.20715.1913-0.30%5.0769-2.50%0.0244✓0.14190k2022-08-20
UOSUltraEthereum0.295510.294621-0.30%0.30514+3.26%0.0220✗0.90383k2022-08-20
RADRadworksEthereum2.292.2831-0.30%2.41+5.24%0.0418✗0.85798k2022-08-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0033210.003311-0.29%0.003393+2.17%0.0125✗0.821.0M2022-08-20
STORJStorjEthereum0.56970.568054-0.29%0.56747-0.39%0.0198✓1.3046k2022-08-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.4422.3753-0.29%22.3-0.62%0.0224✓1.3125.9M2022-08-20
PROPropyEthereum0.740.737885-0.29%0.73-1.35%0.0166✓0.4086k2022-08-20
TRXTRONTron0.0639770.063796-0.28%0.065857+2.94%0.0231✗0.60179k2022-08-20
SOLSolanaSolana35.8235.7189-0.28%35.29-1.48%0.0290✓1.1775.2M2022-08-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.338310.337356-0.28%0.37019+9.42%0.0776✗1.05426k2022-08-20
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066430.066244-0.28%0.06888+3.69%0.0273✗0.819142022-08-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21250.211917-0.27%0.239+12.47%0.1008✗1.34110k2022-08-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6760.674183-0.27%0.722+6.80%0.0486✗1.374.6M2022-08-20
ETHEthereumEthereum1,608.721,604.43-0.27%1,575.76-2.05%0.0373✓1.33528.6M2022-08-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2061.2029-0.25%1.22+1.16%0.0001✓0.982.3M2022-08-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.0253.8836-0.25%54.1+0.15%0.0104✓1.0013.1M2022-08-20
QNTQuantEthereum99.2899.0335-0.25%104.84+5.60%0.0450✗0.833.4M2022-08-20
XYMSymbolnative0.048250.048131-0.25%0.049123+1.81%0.0127✗0.5330k2022-08-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074290.074109-0.24%0.07704+3.70%0.0217✗1.1829k2022-08-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10850.108247-0.23%0.1097+1.11%0.0009✓0.86274k2022-08-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.361490.36066-0.23%0.35603-1.51%0.0271✓0.9890k2022-08-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02211.0198-0.22%1.0652+4.22%0.0356✗0.553.9M2022-08-20
UMAUMAEthereum2.822.8138-0.22%2.824+0.14%0.0084✓0.83734k2022-08-20
GMTGMTEthereum0.7760.774288-0.22%0.799+2.96%0.0108✗1.42433k2022-08-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6780.67654-0.22%0.676-0.29%0.0142✓0.93333k2022-08-20
API3Api3Ethereum1.9141.9099-0.21%1.86-2.82%0.0397✓0.91657k2022-08-20
XMRMoneroMonero142.31142.0123-0.21%149.22+4.86%0.0351✗0.991.2M2022-08-20
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.160550.160218-0.21%0.15686-2.30%0.0520✓2.136672022-08-20
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014790.001476-0.20%0.001446-2.23%0.0309✓0.729,5772022-08-20
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.68e-7-0.20%8.70e-7+0.00%0.0096✓0.803.6M2022-08-20
ORCAOrcaSolana0.86980.868114-0.19%0.8612-0.99%0.0296✓1.49224k2022-08-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.88251.8789-0.19%1.8646-0.95%0.0230✓1.0636k2022-08-20
XTZTezosTezos1.57821.5752-0.19%1.5629-0.97%0.0242✓1.13494k2022-08-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0210660.021026-0.19%0.02156+2.35%0.0131✗0.8312k2022-08-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.30251.2082-0.18%53.04+3.39%0.0245✗0.74354k2022-08-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.3030.302465-0.18%0.3003-0.89%0.0206✓0.938.2M2022-08-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1860.185675-0.17%0.181-2.69%0.0409✓1.06657k2022-08-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5620.561022-0.17%0.557-0.89%0.0237✓1.1495k2022-08-20
XECeCashnative0.000038430.000038364-0.17%0.00003899+1.46%0.0034✗0.881.9M2022-08-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.8996.8871-0.17%6.902+0.04%0.0134✓1.0720.0M2022-08-20
ADACardanoCardano0.44970.448931-0.17%0.4513+0.36%0.0099✓1.0542.0M2022-08-20
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12210.121899-0.16%0.1223+0.16%0.0117✓1.0439k2022-08-20
GALAGALAEthereum0.05320.053114-0.16%0.0523-1.69%0.0299✓1.00253k2022-08-20
ELAElastosEthereum1.871.867-0.16%1.857-0.70%0.0193✓0.96156k2022-08-20
MOVRMoonriverBase12.975512.9549-0.16%13.7071+5.64%0.0427✗0.9548k2022-08-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.09750.097345-0.16%0.0956-1.95%0.0318✓0.95430k2022-08-20
XVSVenusEthereum5.85.7909-0.16%5.88+1.38%0.0029✗0.861.6M2022-08-20
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025810.025773-0.14%0.02642+2.36%0.0064✗1.272,9912022-08-20
STEEMSteemnative0.23040.230086-0.14%0.2331+1.17%0.0002✓0.91550k2022-08-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.779.7568-0.14%10.01+2.46%0.0086✗1.18313k2022-08-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03470.034653-0.14%0.0394+13.54%0.1145✗0.9576k2022-08-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15130.151098-0.13%0.1493-1.32%0.0265✓1.00586k2022-08-20
MANADecentralandEthereum0.844510.843396-0.13%0.83183-1.50%0.0272✓0.93538k2022-08-20
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05620.056126-0.13%0.0602+7.12%0.0566✗0.93112k2022-08-20
XVGVergenative0.00320.003196-0.13%0.00328+2.50%0.0109✗1.04508k2022-08-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058610.005854-0.12%0.005866+0.09%0.0080✓0.703,0362022-08-20
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0451.0437-0.12%1.04-0.48%0.0212✓1.211.1M2022-08-20
LSKLiskEthereum1.0681.0668-0.12%1.0708+0.26%0.0091✓0.8956k2022-08-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022510.022483-0.12%0.02244-0.31%0.0144✓0.86419k2022-08-20
GLMGolemEthereum0.25160.251305-0.12%0.2549+1.31%0.0004✓0.9681k2022-08-20
SCSiacoinnative0.004120.004115-0.11%0.00415+0.73%0.0063✓1.01152k2022-08-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009050.00904-0.11%0.00924+2.10%0.0112✗0.745.8M2022-08-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013810.013795-0.11%0.014688+6.36%0.0541✗0.591.9M2022-08-20
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039630.039587-0.11%0.03956-0.18%0.0129✓0.842,6002022-08-20
DASHDashDash44.8644.8109-0.11%45.75+1.98%0.0065✗0.98521k2022-08-20
XLMStellarStellar0.1080670.107949-0.11%0.109019+0.88%0.0027✓0.877.5M2022-08-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0679370.067863-0.11%0.069428+2.20%0.0080✗1.021.9M2022-08-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007430.007422-0.11%0.00725-2.42%0.0389✓1.07435k2022-08-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.9832.945-0.11%32.83-0.45%0.0241✓1.4216.5M2022-08-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.15020.150045-0.10%0.147-2.13%0.0354✓1.03149k2022-08-20
XEMNEMnative0.0452650.04522-0.10%0.045083-0.40%0.0157✓0.8735k2022-08-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,834.9420,814.55-0.10%21,139.23+1.46%0.0010✓1.00472.7M2022-08-20
DIADIAEthereum0.386730.386371-0.09%0.39983+3.39%0.0206✗0.9470k2022-08-20
KSMKusamaHydration48.6348.588-0.09%48.54-0.19%0.0150✓0.97560k2022-08-20
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37240.372112-0.08%0.3713-0.30%0.0178✓1.08176k2022-08-20
KCSKuCoinnative9.3599.352-0.07%9.372+0.14%0.0117✓0.961.9M2022-08-20
AAVEAaveEthereum83.3783.3146-0.07%82.79-0.70%0.0283✓1.526.4M2022-08-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3022980.3021-0.07%0.301686-0.20%0.0171✓1.09884k2022-08-20
BORABORAKlay Token0.293330.293138-0.07%0.29724+1.33%0.0016✓1.0713k2022-08-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22090.220759-0.06%0.2207-0.09%0.0151✓1.0277k2022-08-20
NANOnanopayBase0.8840250.883482-0.06%0.896517+1.41%0.0034✗0.7777k2022-08-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04470.044673-0.06%0.0458+2.46%0.0110✗0.96201k2022-08-20
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1512.1497-0.06%2.152+0.05%0.0157✓1.1660k2022-08-20
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08480.08475-0.06%0.0849+0.12%0.0123✓0.9712k2022-08-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28280.282634-0.06%0.2842+0.50%0.0084✓0.963.6M2022-08-20
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17220.172101-0.06%0.1673-2.85%0.0479✓1.351,3132022-08-20
COMPCompoundEthereum49.9149.882-0.06%49.23-1.36%0.0310✓1.2317k2022-08-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3037.299-0.05%7.228-1.03%0.0246✓1.0214.0M2022-08-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2720.271858-0.05%0.29+6.62%0.0542✗0.71878k2022-08-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2314.223-0.05%14.13-0.70%0.0243✓1.221.4M2022-08-20
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30442.3033-0.05%2.314+0.42%0.0128✓1.2113k2022-08-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10650.106451-0.05%0.1064-0.09%0.0110✓0.724,2082022-08-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0510.050986-0.03%0.0503-1.37%0.0278✓0.98827k2022-08-20
WOOWOOEthereum0.17670.176668-0.02%0.1683-4.75%0.0633✓1.021,7442022-08-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.007030.007029-0.02%0.00713+1.42%0.0050✗0.641.4M2022-08-20
ZENHorizenBase16.1716.1673-0.02%15.84-2.04%0.0365✓1.11125k2022-08-20
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40430.404234-0.02%0.4104+1.51%0.0009✓1.1066k2022-08-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.32.2998-0.01%2.36+2.61%0.0084✗1.21259k2022-08-20
CBKCobakEthereum0.941750.941661-0.01%0.94144-0.03%0.0146✓0.9912k2022-08-20
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1122.1119-0.01%2.096-0.76%0.0324✓1.71131k2022-08-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044520.044518-0.00%0.04516+1.44%0.0033✗0.7616k2022-08-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12790.127895-0.00%0.1226-4.14%0.0507✓0.584.1M2022-08-20
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4290.428995-0.00%0.463+7.93%0.0619✗0.999,8012022-08-20
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7080.708004+0.00%0.708+0.00%0.0128✗0.88271k2022-08-20
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03980.039802+0.01%0.0403+1.26%0.0007✗0.9111k2022-08-20
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06180.061809+0.01%0.0659+6.63%0.0511✓0.90130k2022-08-20
FLOWFlownative2.1212.1213+0.02%2.124+0.14%0.0177✗1.311.0M2022-08-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.360.360073+0.02%0.3699+2.75%0.0089✓1.24208k2022-08-20
BANDBandEthereum1.3251.3254+0.03%1.299-1.96%0.0383✗1.25491k2022-08-20
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017170.001718+0.03%0.001726+0.52%0.0096✗1.00871k2022-08-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash114.49114.5378+0.04%114.78+0.25%0.0139✗1.115.0M2022-08-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10550.105546+0.04%0.1029-2.46%0.0410✗1.073.7M2022-08-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4617.4682+0.05%18.41+5.44%0.0423✓0.702.0M2022-08-20
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8790.879533+0.06%0.8617-1.97%0.0363✗1.092.2M2022-08-20
ZECZcashZcash62.2362.2711+0.07%62.92+1.11%0.0059✗1.132.0M2022-08-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.677.6756+0.07%8.12+5.87%0.0403✓1.10592k2022-08-20
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20540.205555+0.08%0.2023-1.51%0.0305✗1.00128k2022-08-20
SUSHISushiEthereum1.181.181+0.08%1.17-0.85%0.0270✗1.221.1M2022-08-20
QTUMQtumQtum3.34773.3505+0.08%3.3461-0.05%0.0156✗0.9948k2022-08-20
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.071730.071797+0.09%0.06829-4.80%0.0663✗1.122.4M2022-08-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4096.4155+0.10%6.305-1.62%0.0310✗0.945.3M2022-08-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.321.3214+0.10%1.34+1.52%0.0002✓0.95182k2022-08-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05041.0516+0.11%0.9995-4.85%0.0720✗1.475.6M2022-08-20
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1065.112+0.12%5.036-1.37%0.0344✗1.3411.8M2022-08-20
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5740.574688+0.12%0.569-0.87%0.0272✗1.192,9182022-08-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06570.065789+0.14%0.0668+1.67%0.0022✗1.201.3M2022-08-20
DODODODOEthereum0.12930.12948+0.14%0.131+1.31%0.0026✗0.982.0M2022-08-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.138440.138634+0.14%0.13909+0.47%0.0145✗1.23250k2022-08-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49670.497497+0.16%0.5172+4.13%0.0271✓0.81713k2022-08-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.812.821+0.16%12.68-0.94%0.0271✗1.102.6M2022-08-20
STXStacksnative0.39090.391607+0.18%0.3896-0.33%0.0213✗1.12512k2022-08-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,613.218,631.28+0.21%8,539.61-0.85%0.0304✗1.367.3M2022-08-20
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5061.5093+0.22%1.525+1.26%0.0070✗1.19150k2022-08-20
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02240.022452+0.23%0.02152-3.93%0.0552✗0.8813.9M2022-08-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum33.0071+0.24%3.057+1.90%0.0073✓0.63803k2022-08-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47540.476576+0.25%0.4742-0.25%0.0211✗1.11386k2022-08-20
OPTIMOptimism1.2221.2253+0.27%1.131-7.45%0.1052✗1.733.7M2022-08-20
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8470.849293+0.27%0.843-0.47%0.0138✗0.444.4M2022-08-20
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.37960.3807+0.29%0.3838+1.11%0.0105✗1.29197k2022-08-20
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31030.311227+0.30%0.3105+0.06%0.0191✗1.15110k2022-08-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.4666.4854+0.30%6.249-3.36%0.0496✗0.8610.1M2022-08-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6611.6668+0.35%1.596-3.91%0.0608✗1.20133k2022-08-20
METISMetisEthereum32.432.545+0.45%32.45+0.15%0.0300✗1.87391k2022-08-20
UNIUniswapEthereum6.8956.9274+0.47%7.004+1.58%0.0075✗1.2810.7M2022-08-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8012.818+0.61%2.746-1.96%0.0486✗1.565.2M2022-08-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.