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2022-08-12 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2568
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.56%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
70.6%
in alpha space · 68.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.17%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.79724.8032+0.12%4.8922+1.98%0.0181✓0.13307k2022-08-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0723220.072305-0.02%0.072906+0.81%0.0065✗1.031.7M2022-08-13
PROPropyEthereum0.830.829735-0.03%0.82-1.20%0.0126✓0.4591k2022-08-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068320.006828-0.06%0.006824-0.12%0.0014✓0.5053k2022-08-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.261233-0.06%0.261-0.15%0.0009✓0.0144k2022-08-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.008380.008374-0.07%0.00828-1.19%0.0124✓0.651.6M2022-08-13
KCSKuCoinnative10.65410.6445-0.09%10.697+0.40%0.0032✗1.002.0M2022-08-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.20e-73.20e-7-0.09%3.22e-7+0.53%0.0051✗0.68150k2022-08-13
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001030.000001029-0.12%0.00000101-1.94%0.0197✓0.7721k2022-08-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.60740.606623-0.13%0.6153+1.30%0.0123✗1.13332k2022-08-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2360.235678-0.14%0.235-0.42%0.0050✓1.23657k2022-08-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0068930.006883-0.14%0.006994+1.46%0.0147✗0.723,4592022-08-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.466350.465631-0.15%0.46097-1.15%0.0118✓1.03107k2022-08-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.22240.222049-0.16%0.2195-1.30%0.0140✓1.421,3132022-08-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.28781.2857-0.16%1.2916+0.29%0.0030✗0.9456k2022-08-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood32.9951-0.16%3.03+1.00%0.0107✗0.5296k2022-08-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017810.017779-0.18%0.01788+0.39%0.0045✗0.71159k2022-08-13
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0131.0111-0.18%0.991-2.17%0.0210✓0.554.2M2022-08-13
TRXTRONTron0.0704870.070344-0.20%0.069903-0.83%0.0073✓0.61182k2022-08-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1264130.126135-0.22%0.126836+0.33%0.0040✗0.927.2M2022-08-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09190.091687-0.23%0.0916-0.33%0.0024✓0.83127k2022-08-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05020.05008-0.24%0.0501-0.20%0.0012✓0.9711k2022-08-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.1040.10375-0.24%0.1028-1.15%0.0109✓1.019,1182022-08-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.53663.3706-0.26%63.346-0.30%0.0016✓0.72344k2022-08-13
SGBSongbirdnative0.02940.029323-0.26%0.029-1.36%0.0119✓0.5136k2022-08-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7410.739019-0.27%0.733-1.08%0.0104✓1.33135k2022-08-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,153.8024,088.29-0.27%24,547.20+1.63%0.0172✗0.9711k2022-08-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.726560.724579-0.27%0.72052-0.83%0.0079✓1.3659k2022-08-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.17520.174717-0.28%0.1743-0.51%0.0041✓1.03131k2022-08-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.591.5856-0.28%1.55-2.52%0.0228✓0.04143k2022-08-13
KSMKusamaHydration61.1460.9708-0.28%61.18+0.07%0.0016✓1.06551k2022-08-13
UMAUMAEthereum3.2233.2137-0.29%3.746+16.23%0.1518✗0.86587k2022-08-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053960.053805-0.29%0.05467+1.32%0.0147✗0.7516k2022-08-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1390.138597-0.29%0.1341-3.53%0.0345✓0.874,5542022-08-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash143.1142.6699-0.30%144.43+0.93%0.0104✗1.125.1M2022-08-13
XVGVergenative0.003920.003908-0.30%0.00389-0.77%0.0065✓1.11534k2022-08-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010390.010358-0.31%0.01031-0.77%0.0059✓0.735.5M2022-08-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017060.001701-0.31%0.001748+2.46%0.0261✗0.809,0932022-08-13
STEEMSteemnative0.27770.276826-0.31%0.2759-0.65%0.0049✓0.90629k2022-08-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001270.00001266-0.32%0.00001262-0.63%0.0048✓0.98744k2022-08-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin24,415.1824,336.69-0.32%24,456.49+0.17%0.0032✓1.00472.7M2022-08-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3290.327929-0.33%0.333+1.22%0.0139✗0.851.1M2022-08-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.27870.277793-0.33%0.2745-1.51%0.0136✓1.0191k2022-08-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07270.072463-0.33%0.0716-1.51%0.0133✓0.81128k2022-08-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.426970.425573-0.33%0.41477-2.86%0.0275✓1.04502k2022-08-13
XYMSymbolnative0.0564110.056225-0.33%0.056988+1.02%0.0126✗0.5233k2022-08-13
RARESuperRareEthereum0.30240.301398-0.33%0.291-3.77%0.0368✓1.00108k2022-08-13
ADACardanoCardano0.54070.538865-0.34%0.5598+3.53%0.0363✗1.0942.0M2022-08-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.083310.083025-0.34%0.08281-0.60%0.0039✓0.779772022-08-13
NANOnanopayBase1.10831.1044-0.35%1.0828-2.30%0.0211✓0.7963k2022-08-13
STXStacksnative0.50990.508109-0.35%0.5095-0.08%0.0008✓1.17808k2022-08-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36560.364303-0.35%0.3686+0.82%0.0101✗0.988.4M2022-08-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5540.552005-0.36%0.558+0.72%0.0091✗1.0015k2022-08-13
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021910.002183-0.36%0.002197+0.27%0.0047✗1.001.0M2022-08-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4961.4905-0.37%1.485-0.74%0.0055✓1.082.6M2022-08-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.087260.086936-0.37%0.08755+0.33%0.0066✗0.231.1M2022-08-13
SCSiacoinnative0.005110.005091-0.37%0.00504-1.37%0.0119✓1.10112k2022-08-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.182990.182308-0.37%0.18116-1.00%0.0085✓1.32236k2022-08-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.9562.7136-0.38%63.86+1.45%0.0163✗1.0513.7M2022-08-13
DASHDashDash56.1655.9489-0.38%57.07+1.62%0.0182✗0.99544k2022-08-13
XMRMoneroMonero166.92166.2826-0.38%168.13+0.72%0.0093✗1.021.1M2022-08-13
BTTCBTTC0.000001030.000001026-0.38%0.00000102-0.97%0.0072✓0.785.9M2022-08-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.198510.197752-0.38%0.20197+1.74%0.0173✗2.238742022-08-13
XECeCashnative0.000047840.000047657-0.38%0.0000474-0.92%0.0068✓0.852.0M2022-08-13
MOVRMoonriverBase17.124117.0579-0.39%17.0389-0.50%0.0029✓1.0359k2022-08-13
MANADecentralandEthereum1.06861.0645-0.39%1.0614-0.68%0.0046✓1.02543k2022-08-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.9356-0.39%2.867-2.71%0.0257✓1.2059k2022-08-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8754.8559-0.39%4.814-1.25%0.0091✓0.251.1M2022-08-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.033630.033498-0.39%0.03326-1.10%0.0093✓1.292,7512022-08-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0200890.020007-0.41%0.020481+1.95%0.0231✗0.18223k2022-08-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.55740.555106-0.41%0.5584+0.18%0.0040✓1.1358k2022-08-13
QTUMQtumQtum4.29254.2748-0.41%4.2917-0.02%0.0022✓1.0153k2022-08-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.29560.29438-0.41%0.2886-2.37%0.0214✓0.9570k2022-08-13
FTTFTXEthereum31.2231.0909-0.41%31.33+0.35%0.0061✗0.9310.8M2022-08-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4760.474003-0.42%0.4939+3.76%0.0392✗1.16174k2022-08-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15350.152852-0.42%0.1512-1.50%0.0127✓1.0850k2022-08-13
GTGateEthereum5.0445.0227-0.42%5.1095+1.30%0.0159✗0.72911k2022-08-13
XTZTezosTezos1.92491.9168-0.42%1.9104-0.75%0.0053✓1.14467k2022-08-13
DIADIAEthereum0.482460.480397-0.43%0.53395+10.67%0.1048✗0.5070k2022-08-13
DODODODOEthereum0.18090.180121-0.43%0.1759-2.76%0.0255✓1.042.7M2022-08-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47640.474347-0.43%0.462-3.02%0.0286✓1.34242k2022-08-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.9830.978694-0.44%0.974-0.92%0.0073✓1.48440k2022-08-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.01683.0035-0.44%2.999-0.59%0.0024✓0.541.3M2022-08-13
ELAElastosEthereum2.0752.0658-0.44%2.107+1.54%0.0181✗0.99261k2022-08-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6440.641152-0.44%0.6271-2.62%0.0236✓0.83755k2022-08-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7920.788451-0.45%0.792+0.00%0.0024✓1.262,9182022-08-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.15641.1512-0.45%1.1627+0.54%0.0087✗0.723.9M2022-08-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0254660.025351-0.45%0.025853+1.52%0.0182✗0.8413k2022-08-13
BANDBandEthereum1.8011.7928-0.45%1.823+1.22%0.0144✗1.34432k2022-08-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3883630.386591-0.46%0.387693-0.17%0.0010✓1.10916k2022-08-13
XVSVenusEthereum6.666.6295-0.46%6.65-0.15%0.0013✓1.091.4M2022-08-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.24340.242276-0.46%0.2265-6.94%0.0692✓1.101,7402022-08-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026640.026516-0.46%0.02741+2.89%0.0318✗0.81186k2022-08-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3412.3301-0.47%2.328-0.56%0.0028✓1.15172k2022-08-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008920.008878-0.47%0.00886-0.67%0.0039✓1.13463k2022-08-13
ZECZcashZcash77.3476.9725-0.48%76.21-1.46%0.0119✓1.172.2M2022-08-13
COMPCompoundEthereum65.1264.8104-0.48%65.44+0.49%0.0075✗1.2838k2022-08-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098090.000097623-0.48%0.00009674-1.38%0.0104✓0.78353k2022-08-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04450.044288-0.48%0.0442-0.67%0.0037✓1.0476k2022-08-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.561.5524-0.49%1.54-1.28%0.0102✓1.311.2M2022-08-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.4849.4376-0.49%9.31-1.83%0.0154✓1.0813.2M2022-08-13
ZENHorizenBase21.3521.2454-0.49%20.82-2.48%0.0222✓1.19118k2022-08-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.12370.123091-0.49%0.1229-0.65%0.0034✓1.08529k2022-08-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05690.056614-0.50%0.0554-2.64%0.0234✓1.03254k2022-08-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1764.155-0.50%4.099-1.84%0.0140✓0.262.3M2022-08-13
CBKCobakEthereum1.23181.2255-0.51%1.2311-0.05%0.0029✓0.9714k2022-08-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3341.3272-0.51%1.326-0.60%0.0030✓1.231.1M2022-08-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.91.8903-0.51%1.85-2.63%0.0233✓1.05190k2022-08-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25370.252405-0.51%0.2699+6.39%0.0647✗1.37116k2022-08-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.049530.049275-0.52%0.04922-0.63%0.0025✓0.822,5822022-08-13
IMXImmutableEthereum1.14671.1408-0.52%1.138-0.76%0.0045✓1.252.3M2022-08-13
XEMNEMnative0.0556990.055409-0.52%0.054466-2.21%0.0189✓1.0144k2022-08-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13040.129721-0.52%0.1296-0.61%0.0024✓0.86350k2022-08-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.68511.6763-0.52%1.7029+1.06%0.0136✗1.27540k2022-08-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.36310.361207-0.52%0.3595-0.99%0.0065✓1.033.6M2022-08-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.39812.3854-0.53%2.4159+0.74%0.0109✗1.0838k2022-08-13
HIVEHivenative0.63480.631388-0.54%0.6334-0.22%0.0015✓1.002.4M2022-08-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0342.0231-0.54%1.994-1.97%0.0165✓1.18220k2022-08-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.6618.5583-0.55%19.24+3.11%0.0340✗1.231.4M2022-08-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.032620.032442-0.55%0.03126-4.17%0.0388✓1.0213.8M2022-08-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.70.696129-0.55%0.702+0.29%0.0063✗1.22100k2022-08-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.136.0955-0.56%6.06-1.14%0.0064✓0.351.0M2022-08-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9642.9473-0.56%2.902-2.09%0.0184✓1.75143k2022-08-13
UNIUniswapEthereum9.219.158-0.56%8.987-2.42%0.0211✓1.3210.0M2022-08-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.0660.06562-0.58%0.0672+1.82%0.0219✗1.09207k2022-08-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.253.2312-0.58%3.24-0.31%0.0006✓1.27269k2022-08-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.016280.016185-0.58%0.01624-0.25%0.0022✓0.702.1M2022-08-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.174.1451-0.60%4.065-2.52%0.0208✓0.741.3M2022-08-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9420.93634-0.60%1.038+10.19%0.1011✗1.201.1M2022-08-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9380.93233-0.60%0.917-2.24%0.0183✓0.99280k2022-08-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.3948.3424-0.62%8.197-2.35%0.0194✓1.065.5M2022-08-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.06111.9865-0.62%11.906-1.29%0.0088✓1.2214.4M2022-08-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.370960.368624-0.63%0.37115+0.05%0.0050✓1.0913k2022-08-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.30940.307435-0.64%0.3084-0.32%0.0013✓1.08203k2022-08-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14720.146263-0.64%0.1441-2.11%0.0168✓1.143.8M2022-08-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.880.874352-0.64%0.872-0.91%0.0043✓0.94377k2022-08-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17450.173378-0.64%0.1717-1.60%0.0109✓0.704.4M2022-08-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.0315.9253-0.65%15.39-3.99%0.0362✓1.212.6M2022-08-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.55310.549468-0.66%0.5216-5.70%0.0543✓1.32232k2022-08-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1960.194702-0.66%0.1908-2.65%0.0221✓1.10570k2022-08-13
SOLSolanaSolana45.545.1972-0.67%46.63+2.48%0.0291✗1.2481.1M2022-08-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08270.08215-0.67%0.0823-0.48%0.0001✓1.131.4M2022-08-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07330.072804-0.68%0.0714-2.59%0.0214✓1.12877k2022-08-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.868.7994-0.68%8.81-0.56%0.0009✓0.161.8M2022-08-13
AAVEAaveEthereum114.79113.9986-0.69%110.5-3.74%0.0338✓1.577.9M2022-08-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum9.3339.2675-0.70%9.149-1.97%0.0148✓1.1319.3M2022-08-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1514.1218-0.70%4.086-1.57%0.0093✓0.341.7M2022-08-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.085.0442-0.71%4.96-2.36%0.0175✓0.411.3M2022-08-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.31093.2875-0.71%3.4228+3.38%0.0397✗0.351.5M2022-08-13
RADRadworksEthereum2.592.5717-0.71%2.66+2.70%0.0322✗0.93636k2022-08-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.42311.413-0.71%1.4348+0.82%0.0129✗1.446.7M2022-08-13
ORCAOrcaSolana1.02481.0175-0.72%1.0121-1.24%0.0080✓1.60296k2022-08-13
APEApeCoinEthereum7.0356.984-0.73%6.66-5.33%0.0498✓1.3811.9M2022-08-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9440.937142-0.73%0.912-3.39%0.0297✓1.474.4M2022-08-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,959.911,945.59-0.73%1,984.75+1.27%0.0177✗1.32522.8M2022-08-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.392780.389907-0.73%0.3817-2.82%0.0228✓0.90439k2022-08-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.07390.073358-0.73%0.0784+6.09%0.0644✗1.22367k2022-08-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.44433.4189-0.74%3.4312-0.38%0.0028✓0.481.9M2022-08-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1270.126044-0.75%0.1176-7.40%0.0708✓0.85209k2022-08-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,508.5711,420.90-0.76%11,424.48-0.73%0.0019✓1.336.2M2022-08-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.09160.0909-0.76%0.09127-0.36%0.0022✓1.1229k2022-08-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.1520.9876-0.77%21.34+0.90%0.0154✗0.712.4M2022-08-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.535.4873-0.77%5.4-2.35%0.0166✓0.312.1M2022-08-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.154.1179-0.77%3.972-4.29%0.0388✓1.625.3M2022-08-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.710.6147-0.80%10.46-2.24%0.0165✓1.10638k2022-08-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.3529.1159-0.80%29.19-0.55%0.0002✓1.4030.7M2022-08-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015090.001497-0.80%0.001473-2.42%0.0179✓0.871.4M2022-08-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7518.6797-0.81%8.374-4.31%0.0374✓0.896.2M2022-08-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.22931.2193-0.82%1.243+1.12%0.0174✗1.1013k2022-08-13
GITCOINGITCOIN3.23543.2086-0.83%3.2141-0.66%0.0005✓1.3313k2022-08-13
QNTQuantEthereum128.24127.1765-0.83%126.57-1.30%0.0063✓0.884.0M2022-08-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.412.2892-0.89%12.18-1.77%0.0109✓1.15313k2022-08-13
API3Api3Ethereum2.4262.4041-0.90%2.408-0.74%0.0000✓0.98588k2022-08-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.42591.4118-0.99%1.419-0.48%0.0034✓1.01907k2022-08-13
OPTIMOptimism1.6511.6343-1.01%1.542-6.60%0.0614✓1.923.6M2022-08-13
METISMetisEthereum49.0748.5619-1.04%47.76-2.67%0.0199✓1.92385k2022-08-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0045230.004476-1.04%0.004633+2.43%0.0330✗0.87994k2022-08-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.1640.162281-1.05%0.1616-1.46%0.0057✓0.891.1M2022-08-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.44490.440128-1.07%0.4375-1.66%0.0079✓1.1295k2022-08-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.100470.099382-1.08%0.09698-3.47%0.0266✓1.272.0M2022-08-13
FLOWFlownative2.9452.9117-1.13%2.923-0.75%0.0017✓1.27711k2022-08-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.5946.5171-1.17%6.38-3.25%0.0215✓0.153.5M2022-08-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.326.2448-1.19%6.12-3.16%0.0208✓0.351.2M2022-08-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.3838.8665-1.30%40.15+1.96%0.0305✗1.181.5M2022-08-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative43.4142.8406-1.31%43.58+0.39%0.0148✗1.3816.2M2022-08-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.048430.047623-1.67%0.04514-6.79%0.0553✓1.0219k2022-08-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0513.9559-2.35%4.135+2.07%0.0428✗0.86102k2022-08-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.