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2022-08-07 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1347
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.40%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
76.3%
in alpha space · 31.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.75%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1111.1138+0.26%1.084-2.43%0.0435✗0.602.1M2022-08-08
QTUMQtumQtum4.09194.098+0.15%4.1656+1.80%0.0130✗1.0853k2022-08-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.8994.9052+0.13%4.8-2.02%0.0265✗0.18234k2022-08-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0064750.006482+0.11%0.006716+3.72%0.0141✓0.784,5222022-08-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.21621.2174+0.10%1.2304+1.16%0.0172✗1.0243k2022-08-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7928.7982+0.07%8.73-0.71%0.0346✗0.994.0M2022-08-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,177.3923,193.23+0.07%23,815.65+2.75%0.0007✗1.00414.2M2022-08-08
FTTFTXEthereum30.6730.6824+0.04%31.49+2.67%0.0001✓0.959.1M2022-08-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.316950.317078+0.04%0.33107+4.45%0.0160✓1.00366k2022-08-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash140.98141.0352+0.04%143.54+1.82%0.0144✗1.184.7M2022-08-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59270.592878+0.03%0.6088+2.72%0.0050✗1.16303k2022-08-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009060.009062+0.02%0.00911+0.55%0.0277✗1.22421k2022-08-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4582.4583+0.01%2.626+6.83%0.0418✓0.8992k2022-08-08
XMRMoneroMonero164.87164.8578-0.01%167.1+1.35%0.0149✓1.041.1M2022-08-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.008369-0.01%0.00837+0.00%0.0204✓0.761.6M2022-08-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.7137.7002-0.03%38.06+0.93%0.0293✓1.4313.0M2022-08-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063310.006329-0.03%0.0063-0.49%0.0185✓0.5148k2022-08-08
KCSKuCoinnative10.60210.599-0.03%10.767+1.56%0.0138✓1.091.9M2022-08-08
XVGVergenative0.003740.003739-0.03%0.00377+0.80%0.0262✓1.27534k2022-08-08
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7510.750768-0.03%0.774+3.06%0.0038✓1.26963k2022-08-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1238730.123825-0.04%0.130156+5.07%0.0234✗0.977.0M2022-08-08
XVSVenusEthereum6.846.8371-0.04%6.92+1.17%0.0223✓1.271.4M2022-08-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.06060.060574-0.04%0.062+2.31%0.0130✓1.34179k2022-08-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.948.9353-0.05%8.84-1.12%0.0201✓0.351.8M2022-08-08
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031720.031702-0.06%0.03333+5.08%0.0150✗1.291,3502022-08-08
ETHEthereumEthereum1,700.421,699.45-0.06%1,777.36+4.52%0.0090✗1.32407.7M2022-08-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3390.338799-0.06%0.339+0.00%0.0269✓1.011.1M2022-08-08
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.69e-7-0.06%9.90e-7+2.06%0.0015✓0.836.0M2022-08-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017290.001728-0.07%0.001764+2.02%0.0052✓0.958,9342022-08-08
SCSiacoinnative0.004710.004707-0.07%0.00474+0.64%0.0270✓1.26102k2022-08-08
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7922.7899-0.07%2.889+3.47%0.0133✓1.78126k2022-08-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.16180.161676-0.08%0.163+0.74%0.0235✓1.16102k2022-08-08
GTGateEthereum4.76024.7565-0.08%4.9055+3.05%0.0101✗0.76887k2022-08-08
XECeCashnative0.000045320.000045282-0.08%0.00004589+1.26%0.0159✓1.081.8M2022-08-08
STEEMSteemnative0.25950.259278-0.09%0.2624+1.12%0.0176✓1.09766k2022-08-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,438.5411,427.98-0.09%11,448.81+0.09%0.0364✓1.415.2M2022-08-08
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3191.3177-0.10%1.351+2.43%0.0088✓1.241.1M2022-08-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.046.0342-0.10%6.04+0.00%0.0150✓0.59887k2022-08-08
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.261147-0.10%0.2614+0.00%0.0006✓0.0131k2022-08-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.068960.06889-0.10%0.070056+1.59%0.0139✓1.131.6M2022-08-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.6578.6475-0.11%9.276+7.15%0.0383✗1.1711.0M2022-08-08
TRXTRONTron0.0696580.069575-0.12%0.070047+0.56%0.0099✓0.61279k2022-08-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.571.568-0.12%1.55-1.27%0.0180✓0.24207k2022-08-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23920.238898-0.13%0.2285-4.47%0.0855✓1.5189k2022-08-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35590.355443-0.13%0.3629+1.97%0.0083✓1.078.2M2022-08-08
ZENHorizenBase19.1719.145-0.13%19.15-0.10%0.0350✓1.30118k2022-08-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.27110.270726-0.14%0.2733+0.81%0.0196✓1.0765k2022-08-08
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.80e-79.79e-7-0.15%0.000001+2.04%0.0021✗0.7225k2022-08-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.177350.177089-0.15%0.17585-0.85%0.0485✓1.53207k2022-08-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.43380.433156-0.15%0.42996-0.89%0.0383✓1.14124k2022-08-08
OPTIMOptimism1.9121.9091-0.15%1.899-0.68%0.0583✓1.953.1M2022-08-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12830.128101-0.16%0.1491+16.21%0.1149✗1.362.9M2022-08-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2250.224641-0.16%0.23+2.22%0.0149✓1.42703k2022-08-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.06050.060403-0.16%0.0607+0.33%0.0335✓1.42339k2022-08-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.4918.459-0.17%18.67+0.97%0.0240✓1.301.4M2022-08-08
NANOnanopayBase1.05491.0531-0.17%1.0843+2.79%0.0051✗0.8951k2022-08-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7590.75769-0.17%0.767+1.05%0.0270✓1.44135k2022-08-08
DASHDashDash53.3553.2564-0.18%56.22+5.38%0.0249✗1.08552k2022-08-08
UMAUMAEthereum3.0333.0276-0.18%3.052+0.63%0.0198✓1.02585k2022-08-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.66390.662715-0.18%0.6657+0.27%0.0248✓1.08726k2022-08-08
IMXImmutableEthereum1.13871.1367-0.18%1.2133+6.55%0.0282✗1.361.7M2022-08-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11241.1104-0.18%1.1739+5.52%0.0256✗1.1013k2022-08-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3544730.353816-0.19%0.363104+2.43%0.0069✓1.211.0M2022-08-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034230.003417-0.19%0.003433+0.29%0.0212✓0.961.0M2022-08-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012020.000011997-0.19%0.00001229+2.25%0.0066✓1.13926k2022-08-08
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21460.214194-0.19%0.2282+6.34%0.0250✗1.411,1742022-08-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4251.4223-0.19%1.438+0.91%0.0221✓1.222.5M2022-08-08
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022850.002281-0.19%0.00224-1.97%0.0451✓1.001.2M2022-08-08
HIVEHivenative0.59910.597956-0.19%0.6064+1.22%0.0165✓1.122.1M2022-08-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.1261.003-0.19%62.61+2.44%0.0041✓1.1113.5M2022-08-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05440.054295-0.19%0.0543-0.18%0.0326✓1.20256k2022-08-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13740.137133-0.19%0.1447+5.31%0.0211✗1.2061k2022-08-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045810.045721-0.19%0.04665+1.83%0.0050✓0.922,3482022-08-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053780.053675-0.19%0.05269-2.03%0.0420✓0.8616k2022-08-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.98842.9826-0.19%2.9975+0.30%0.0179✓0.841.2M2022-08-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.7411.7153-0.21%11.72-0.17%0.0324✓1.21263k2022-08-08
MANADecentralandEthereum1.05961.0573-0.21%1.0855+2.45%0.0076✓1.25532k2022-08-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.47363.4661-0.22%3.4773+0.11%0.0168✓0.741.7M2022-08-08
XYMSymbolnative0.0550550.054929-0.23%0.05725+3.99%0.0253✗0.5926k2022-08-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05120.051082-0.23%0.0517+0.98%0.0219✓1.2510k2022-08-08
XEMNEMnative0.0515510.051432-0.23%0.052476+1.79%0.0094✓1.0937k2022-08-08
BANDBandEthereum1.8091.8048-0.23%1.875+3.65%0.0002✓1.40371k2022-08-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33262.3271-0.24%2.385+2.25%0.0071✓1.1738k2022-08-08
ADACardanoCardano0.52770.526428-0.24%0.5372+1.80%0.0111✓1.1539.5M2022-08-08
STXStacksnative0.49070.489504-0.24%0.5085+3.63%0.0051✗1.21808k2022-08-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.811.8055-0.25%1.85+2.21%0.0098✓1.26132k2022-08-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25950.25884-0.25%0.2624+1.12%0.0177✓1.1698k2022-08-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08930.089072-0.25%0.0896+0.34%0.0244✓1.12124k2022-08-08
SOLSolanaSolana40.6240.5157-0.26%42.2+3.89%0.0041✗1.3579.4M2022-08-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.4961-0.26%1.56+4.00%0.0042✗1.391.2M2022-08-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.775.7551-0.26%5.71-1.04%0.0218✓0.51964k2022-08-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12940.12906-0.26%0.1317+1.78%0.0083✓1.054,5002022-08-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.0124.0013-0.27%3.99-0.55%0.0258✓0.85976k2022-08-08
GITCOINGITCOIN3.05573.0475-0.27%3.0082-1.55%0.0531✓1.4813k2022-08-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4660.464732-0.27%0.4659-0.02%0.0390✓1.53207k2022-08-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57481.5705-0.27%1.6087+2.15%0.0139✓1.40619k2022-08-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.348.3169-0.28%8.607+3.20%0.0013✓1.2116.7M2022-08-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.87861.7055-0.28%62.317+0.71%0.0117✓0.79306k2022-08-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34310.342127-0.28%0.3474+1.25%0.0155✓1.133.6M2022-08-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.084.0684-0.28%4.095+0.37%0.0394✓1.695.2M2022-08-08
FISStafiEthereum0.39040.389281-0.29%0.3733-4.38%0.0674✓0.941492022-08-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.063.051-0.29%3.02-1.31%0.0490✓1.43234k2022-08-08
UNIUniswapEthereum8.7848.758-0.30%8.791+0.08%0.0337✓1.389.9M2022-08-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12640.126021-0.30%0.1267+0.24%0.0218✓1.00398k2022-08-08
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085320.085061-0.30%0.08629+1.14%0.0070✗0.271.1M2022-08-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0234910.02342-0.30%0.023579+0.37%0.0190✓0.9512k2022-08-08
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10470.10438-0.31%0.1038-0.86%0.0364✓1.145,6912022-08-08
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8580.855348-0.31%0.894+4.20%0.0123✗1.17246k2022-08-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033020.032917-0.31%0.0332+0.55%0.0234✓1.1814k2022-08-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0198730.01981-0.31%0.018974-4.52%0.0512✓0.30173k2022-08-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.15130.150813-0.32%0.1526+0.86%0.0157✓1.011.1M2022-08-08
ZECZcashZcash70.2670.0335-0.32%77.53+10.35%0.0684✗1.231.8M2022-08-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.8816.8256-0.32%16.74-0.83%0.0422✓1.372.6M2022-08-08
CBKCobakEthereum1.16571.1618-0.33%1.1648-0.08%0.0268✓1.0812k2022-08-08
KSMKusamaHydration65.4265.2039-0.33%64.6-1.25%0.0403✓1.14419k2022-08-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.37411.3363-0.33%11.817+3.89%0.0061✗1.3113.7M2022-08-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21833.2075-0.33%3.2115-0.21%0.0161✓0.641.2M2022-08-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6820.679707-0.34%0.697+2.20%0.0115✓1.3590k2022-08-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.655.6309-0.34%5.62-0.53%0.0163✓0.532.1M2022-08-08
API3Api3Ethereum2.0892.0819-0.34%2.141+2.49%0.0026✓1.12606k2022-08-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.4832.3698-0.34%30.04-7.51%0.1146✓1.471.1M2022-08-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010460.010424-0.34%0.01044-0.19%0.0235✓0.925.1M2022-08-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.11920.118793-0.34%0.1199+0.59%0.0233✓1.20529k2022-08-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159520.015898-0.34%0.016131+1.12%0.0080✓0.832.1M2022-08-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.372.3618-0.35%2.498+5.40%0.0207✗1.30160k2022-08-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034360.034241-0.35%0.03513+2.24%0.0100✓1.3113.9M2022-08-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7982.7883-0.35%2.9+3.65%0.0017✓1.3848k2022-08-08
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56360.561627-0.35%0.561-0.46%0.0369✓1.32232k2022-08-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.358150.356895-0.35%0.36941+3.14%0.0005✓1.2513k2022-08-08
XTZTezosTezos1.8881.8814-0.35%1.894+0.32%0.0259✓1.20530k2022-08-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.039.9946-0.35%10.19+1.60%0.0171✓1.34385k2022-08-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011930.001189-0.35%0.001192-0.05%0.0291✓1.181.3M2022-08-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6854.6684-0.35%4.707+0.47%0.0034✓0.431.2M2022-08-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8070.80407-0.36%0.835+3.47%0.0128✗0.92380k2022-08-08
AAVEAaveEthereum101.31100.9345-0.37%102.58+1.25%0.0281✓1.639.9M2022-08-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.42e-73.41e-7-0.38%3.37e-7-1.64%0.0367✓0.88150k2022-08-08
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.4702-0.39%2.74+10.48%0.0744✗1.08507k2022-08-08
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.195980.195206-0.39%0.19653+0.28%0.0554✓2.291,0642022-08-08
METISMetisEthereum44.2244.0425-0.40%45.63+3.19%0.0155✓1.87293k2022-08-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16631.1616-0.40%1.1662-0.01%0.0181✓0.814.1M2022-08-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15880.158161-0.40%0.1674+5.42%0.0340✗0.843.6M2022-08-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.40241.3966-0.41%1.4281+1.83%0.0189✓1.526.4M2022-08-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0584.0411-0.42%4.04-0.44%0.0160✓0.581.6M2022-08-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1474.1295-0.42%4.125-0.53%0.0140✓0.471.9M2022-08-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8710.867301-0.42%0.898+3.10%0.0114✓1.704.3M2022-08-08
C98Coin98Ethereum0.58870.586185-0.43%0.5796-1.55%0.0419✓1.1346k2022-08-08
GMTGMTEthereum0.9310.926977-0.43%0.944+1.40%0.0256✓1.61462k2022-08-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.48060.478468-0.44%0.4704-2.12%0.0522✓1.30155k2022-08-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06430.064014-0.44%0.068+5.75%0.0266✗1.24799k2022-08-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.927.7752-0.45%27.92+0.07%0.0370✓1.5529.2M2022-08-08
DIADIAEthereum0.475240.47308-0.45%0.48293+1.62%0.0024✓0.6770k2022-08-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.083860.083475-0.46%0.08557+2.04%0.0107✓1.3129k2022-08-08
PROPropyEthereum0.840.836095-0.46%0.79-5.95%0.0724✓0.5878k2022-08-08
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.079690.079319-0.47%0.08965+12.50%0.1026✗0.738502022-08-08
COMPCompoundEthereum63.8563.5504-0.47%62.01-2.88%0.0618✓1.3738k2022-08-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17580.174971-0.47%0.1759+0.06%0.0263✓1.16529k2022-08-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07350.073152-0.47%0.0737+0.27%0.0180✓0.94158k2022-08-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.427190.425156-0.48%0.42203-1.21%0.0421✓1.28507k2022-08-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,110.7022,997.62-0.49%23,846.60+3.18%0.0096✗0.9812k2022-08-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2498.2084-0.49%8.259+0.12%0.0264✓1.206.8M2022-08-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017880.017792-0.49%0.01763-1.40%0.0302✓0.78175k2022-08-08
FORTFortaEthereum0.3080.306473-0.50%0.3126+1.49%0.0100✓1.10300k2022-08-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5510.54825-0.50%0.553+0.36%0.0217✓1.1114k2022-08-08
DODODODOEthereum0.18190.18099-0.50%0.1804-0.82%0.0357✓1.203.3M2022-08-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9981.9879-0.51%2.058+3.00%0.0027✓1.38234k2022-08-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8110.806823-0.52%0.841+3.70%0.0035✓1.402,7022022-08-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.04391.0385-0.52%1.0662+2.14%0.0032✓1.09933k2022-08-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.075.0435-0.52%5.02-0.99%0.0212✓0.611.3M2022-08-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.688430.684793-0.53%0.69895+1.53%0.0195✓1.4769k2022-08-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04410.043864-0.54%0.0454+2.95%0.0031✓1.1577k2022-08-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07940.078973-0.54%0.0826+4.03%0.0141✗1.131.3M2022-08-08
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.123.101-0.61%3.05-2.24%0.0302✓0.50116k2022-08-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.25510.253538-0.61%0.2677+4.94%0.0200✗1.271,5612022-08-08
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099560.000098943-0.62%0.00009929-0.27%0.0451✓1.79466k2022-08-08
FLOWFlownative2.6242.6077-0.62%3.023+15.21%0.1133✗1.27505k2022-08-08
QNTQuantEthereum126.46125.6605-0.63%128.79+1.84%0.0004✓0.924.5M2022-08-08
APEApeCoinEthereum7.2087.159-0.68%7.314+1.47%0.0219✓1.6011.9M2022-08-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum22.1922.0381-0.68%21.84-1.58%0.0296✓0.762.6M2022-08-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.107270.106464-0.75%0.11272+5.08%0.0169✗1.481.2M2022-08-08
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98850.981012-0.76%0.9875-0.10%0.0404✓1.73296k2022-08-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.46930.465666-0.77%0.5111+8.91%0.0623✗1.1380k2022-08-08
MOVRMoonriverBase18.297318.1454-0.83%19.4666+6.39%0.0403✗1.1053k2022-08-08
ELAElastosEthereum2.1832.1648-0.83%2.06-5.63%0.0800✓1.12225k2022-08-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.8296.7472-1.20%6.031-11.69%0.1240✓0.432.7M2022-08-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1090.107681-1.21%0.1545+41.74%0.3402✗0.77163k2022-08-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.040570.039316-3.09%0.029-28.52%0.3321✓1.02159k2022-08-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.