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2022-08-05 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1233
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.80%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
46.5%
in alpha space · 63.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.54%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ELAElastosEthereum3.0732.9647-3.52%2.279-25.84%0.2477✓0.99206k2022-08-06
FLOWFlownative2.7322.6895-1.56%2.57-5.93%0.0258✓1.26456k2022-08-06
C98Coin98Ethereum0.59660.589859-1.13%0.5694-4.56%0.0179✓1.1246k2022-08-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.6310.5332-0.91%10.6-0.28%0.0282✗1.41338k2022-08-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.43790.434125-0.86%0.4323-1.28%0.0143✗1.1979k2022-08-06
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98690.978942-0.81%0.9885+0.16%0.0360✗1.69281k2022-08-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.3521.1989-0.71%21.63+1.31%0.0331✗0.832.4M2022-08-06
METISMetisEthereum47.6547.3284-0.67%41.23-13.47%0.1101✓1.79277k2022-08-06
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100970.000100332-0.63%0.00010002-0.94%0.0290✗2.07498k2022-08-06
APEApeCoinEthereum7.5737.5287-0.59%7.264-4.08%0.0090✓1.7211.9M2022-08-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.07481.0692-0.52%1.0945+1.83%0.0412✗1.141.0M2022-08-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.695140.691563-0.51%0.69175-0.49%0.0237✗1.5188k2022-08-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.024.9948-0.50%5.03+0.20%0.0180✗0.701.3M2022-08-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04510.044877-0.49%0.0444-1.55%0.0084✗1.2377k2022-08-06
FIDABonfidaSolana0.570.567189-0.49%0.549-3.68%0.0148✓1.1416k2022-08-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018190.018101-0.49%0.01771-2.64%0.0090✓0.82182k2022-08-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.23060.229525-0.47%0.2645+14.70%0.1622✗1.311,5612022-08-06
FORTFortaEthereum0.30540.304031-0.45%0.313+2.49%0.0464✗1.11300k2022-08-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.3828.345-0.44%8.285-1.16%0.0118✗1.227.0M2022-08-06
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.196020.19517-0.43%0.19836+1.19%0.0520✗2.301,1512022-08-06
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078140.077806-0.43%0.07779-0.45%0.0111✗0.739072022-08-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08660.086231-0.43%0.08609-0.59%0.0194✗1.3530k2022-08-06
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8240.820538-0.42%0.802-2.67%0.0003✓1.452,9182022-08-06
DODODODOEthereum0.18440.183626-0.42%0.1805-2.11%0.0019✓1.233.4M2022-08-06
DIADIAEthereum0.478650.476717-0.40%0.47249-1.29%0.0030✓0.7770k2022-08-06
MOVRMoonriverBase15.316615.2562-0.39%18.5059+20.82%0.2110✗1.1553k2022-08-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06740.067135-0.39%0.0647-4.01%0.0169✓1.29803k2022-08-06
GMTGMTEthereum0.9390.935328-0.39%0.923-1.70%0.0141✗1.76476k2022-08-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18951.1849-0.39%1.1668-1.91%0.0020✓0.864.4M2022-08-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.036280.036141-0.38%0.03525-2.84%0.0027✓1.4313.9M2022-08-06
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.1579-0.38%3.1-2.21%0.0107✓0.50116k2022-08-06
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0252.0174-0.37%1.993-1.58%0.0097✗1.41266k2022-08-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.3415.3211-0.37%5.583+4.53%0.0562✗0.532.4M2022-08-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.5932.4745-0.35%31.73-2.64%0.0018✓1.381.1M2022-08-06
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56940.567389-0.35%0.5669-0.44%0.0198✗1.33245k2022-08-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17870.17807-0.35%0.1743-2.46%0.0020✓1.25529k2022-08-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9463.9324-0.34%3.961+0.38%0.0181✗0.701.5M2022-08-06
COMPCompoundEthereum61.3161.1006-0.34%65.05+6.10%0.0844✗1.4035k2022-08-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0230380.02296-0.34%0.023204+0.72%0.0256✗0.9612k2022-08-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8330.830218-0.33%0.808-3.00%0.0113✓1.02389k2022-08-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8750.872104-0.33%0.871-0.46%0.0256✗1.734.6M2022-08-06
CBKCobakEthereum1.15321.1495-0.32%1.1588+0.48%0.0252✗1.1012k2022-08-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.48e-73.47e-7-0.32%3.37e-7-3.12%0.0133✓0.97157k2022-08-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8452.8362-0.31%2.76-2.99%0.0051✓1.4349k2022-08-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.9113.899-0.31%4.041+3.32%0.0448✗0.581.9M2022-08-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.724.7055-0.31%4.656-1.36%0.0018✓0.561.4M2022-08-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202880.020227-0.30%0.020238-0.25%0.0069✗0.41172k2022-08-06
QNTQuantEthereum107.26106.9392-0.30%120.14+12.01%0.1317✗0.994.2M2022-08-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.427950.426678-0.30%0.41209-3.71%0.0134✓1.37545k2022-08-06
API3Api3Ethereum2.1952.1885-0.30%2.119-3.46%0.0127✓1.26619k2022-08-06
BORABORAKlay Token0.36770.366622-0.29%0.36027-2.02%0.0026✓1.2913k2022-08-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.23793.2285-0.29%3.2103-0.85%0.0061✗0.761.2M2022-08-06
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.086430.086181-0.29%0.0864-0.03%0.0068✗0.281.1M2022-08-06
AAVEAaveEthereum103.27102.9754-0.29%99.08-4.06%0.0128✓1.6610.2M2022-08-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7080.705991-0.28%0.678-4.24%0.0188✓1.3990k2022-08-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3332.3264-0.28%2.366+1.41%0.0384✗1.39169k2022-08-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.44171.4377-0.28%1.3733-4.74%0.0225✓1.506.4M2022-08-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.1544.1426-0.27%3.966-4.53%0.0303✓0.85976k2022-08-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09070.090452-0.27%0.0869-4.19%0.0221✓1.16126k2022-08-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12960.129251-0.27%0.1298+0.15%0.0197✗1.004,9522022-08-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.695.675-0.26%5.65-0.70%0.0051✗0.611.5M2022-08-06
XEMNEMnative0.0528150.052676-0.26%0.051804-1.91%0.0020✓1.2035k2022-08-06
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06890.068719-0.26%0.071+3.05%0.0473✗0.94170k2022-08-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033580.033494-0.26%0.03265-2.77%0.0064✓1.2314k2022-08-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12550.12518-0.26%0.1212-3.43%0.0154✓1.08380k2022-08-06
GITCOINGITCOIN3.14253.1345-0.25%3.0029-4.44%0.0189✓1.5513k2022-08-06
FISStafiEthereum0.39030.389324-0.25%–pending––0.941722022-08-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15070.150328-0.25%0.1584+5.11%0.0672✗0.963.6M2022-08-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45870.457595-0.24%0.4528-1.29%0.0125✗1.48263k2022-08-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum12,281.3012,251.89-0.24%11,723.93-4.54%0.0215✓1.454.7M2022-08-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.2217.1789-0.24%16.93-1.68%0.0074✗1.412.6M2022-08-06
ZECZcashZcash69.1568.986-0.24%67.65-2.17%0.0001✓1.251.7M2022-08-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05691.0544-0.24%1.1084+4.87%0.0662✗1.0413k2022-08-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.01030.010276-0.24%0.01006-2.33%0.0075✓0.885.2M2022-08-06
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8480.846058-0.23%0.835-1.53%0.0057✗1.21233k2022-08-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.61.5964-0.23%1.5589-2.57%0.0020✓1.39619k2022-08-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.0614.0519-0.22%4.274+5.25%0.0805✗1.745.1M2022-08-06
RADRadworksEthereum2.512.5044-0.22%2.51+0.00%0.0189✗1.07507k2022-08-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04950.049392-0.22%0.0505+2.02%0.0424✗1.309,0132022-08-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.0561.9163-0.22%61.424-1.01%0.0050✗0.83321k2022-08-06
XTZTezosTezos1.86651.8625-0.21%1.8777+0.60%0.0278✗1.26530k2022-08-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.771.7663-0.21%1.83+3.39%0.0559✗1.32127k2022-08-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0163240.01629-0.21%0.015891-2.65%0.0108✓0.902.1M2022-08-06
MANADecentralandEthereum1.07561.0734-0.21%1.0472-2.64%0.0044✓1.30532k2022-08-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.67180.670399-0.21%0.652-2.95%0.0098✓1.16690k2022-08-06
KSMKusamaHydration63.563.3689-0.21%66.41+4.58%0.0651✗1.17379k2022-08-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07390.073751-0.20%0.0774+4.74%0.0596✗0.73155k2022-08-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051010.050908-0.20%0.05523+8.27%0.0953✗0.8915k2022-08-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.46023.4535-0.19%3.4478-0.36%0.0120✗0.881.5M2022-08-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4380.437154-0.19%0.4353-0.62%0.0162✗1.32147k2022-08-06
UMAUMAEthereum3.0473.0413-0.19%3.034-0.43%0.0149✗1.11587k2022-08-06
CHRChromiaEthereum0.22010.219693-0.18%0.2155-2.09%0.0027✗1.421,2802022-08-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34030.339677-0.18%0.3411+0.24%0.0223✗1.163.6M2022-08-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045330.045247-0.18%0.04651+2.60%0.0421✗0.942,0262022-08-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.173.1643-0.18%3.03-4.42%0.0199✓1.51234k2022-08-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05590.055802-0.18%0.0547-2.15%0.0001✓1.28284k2022-08-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.14590.145648-0.17%0.1462+0.21%0.0205✗1.08986k2022-08-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.96610.9471-0.17%10.632-3.05%0.0081✓1.3513.0M2022-08-06
IMXImmutableEthereum1.18641.1844-0.17%1.1291-4.83%0.0265✓1.371.4M2022-08-06
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022270.002223-0.17%0.00221-0.76%0.0096✗1.001.2M2022-08-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.11390.113711-0.17%0.1141+0.18%0.0229✗1.25505k2022-08-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.75.6906-0.17%5.75+0.88%0.0196✗0.59878k2022-08-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.9724.9292-0.16%26.64+6.69%0.0910✗1.5826.1M2022-08-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,205.3023,167.44-0.16%23,221.90+0.07%0.0176✗0.9813k2022-08-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.35132.3475-0.16%2.3396-0.50%0.0154✗1.2134k2022-08-06
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13830.138079-0.16%0.1385+0.14%0.0227✗1.2761k2022-08-06
HIVEHivenative0.59080.589862-0.16%0.5841-1.13%0.0085✗1.182.1M2022-08-06
SOLSolanaSolana40.5440.4758-0.16%40.07-1.16%0.0112✗1.3780.8M2022-08-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0312.0111-0.16%11.63-3.33%0.0134✓1.21290k2022-08-06
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.261093-0.16%0.2613-0.08%0.0010✓0.0130k2022-08-06
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9728.9583-0.15%8.78-2.14%0.0014✓1.389.9M2022-08-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012120.000012102-0.15%0.00001195-1.40%0.0067✗1.24951k2022-08-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.00963.0053-0.14%2.9758-1.12%0.0054✗0.981.2M2022-08-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.177770.177515-0.14%0.16929-4.77%0.0234✓1.55222k2022-08-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26120.260842-0.14%0.2586-1.00%0.0104✗1.2299k2022-08-06
DASHDashDash52.452.3288-0.14%52.57+0.32%0.0217✗1.10574k2022-08-06
XYMSymbolnative0.0552560.055183-0.13%0.05463-1.13%0.0011✓0.5825k2022-08-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.426760.426203-0.13%0.43078+0.94%0.0292✗1.19118k2022-08-06
STXStacksnative0.49180.491176-0.13%0.4845-1.48%0.0055✗1.24808k2022-08-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.4318.4075-0.12%17.94-2.66%0.0054✓1.311.3M2022-08-06
SUSHISushiEthereum1.511.5082-0.12%1.51+0.00%0.0230✗1.401.2M2022-08-06
ADACardanoCardano0.51760.516992-0.12%0.5114-1.20%0.0078✗1.2040.5M2022-08-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3588590.358444-0.12%0.353472-1.50%0.0058✗1.271.0M2022-08-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1310.130851-0.11%0.1278-2.44%0.0021✓1.382.9M2022-08-06
BANDBandEthereum1.8311.8289-0.11%1.828-0.16%0.0217✗1.43354k2022-08-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.4962.4249-0.10%60.84-2.64%0.0077✓1.1613.5M2022-08-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011250.001124-0.10%0.001117-0.76%0.0127✗1.241.3M2022-08-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.8787.8712-0.09%7.794-1.07%0.0097✗1.2517.9M2022-08-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022410.022392-0.08%0.02302+2.72%0.0436✗1.03159k2022-08-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.066.0551-0.08%6.11+0.83%0.0197✗0.69746k2022-08-06
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5788-0.08%1.53-3.16%0.0268✓0.30242k2022-08-06
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.90e-79.89e-7-0.07%9.70e-7-2.02%0.0041✓1.0025k2022-08-06
GLMGolemEthereum0.27130.271103-0.07%0.2708-0.18%0.0162✗1.1165k2022-08-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4321.431-0.07%1.43-0.14%0.0190✗1.272.6M2022-08-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2280.227846-0.07%0.223-2.19%0.0020✗1.51755k2022-08-06
OPTIMOptimism1.9461.9447-0.06%1.901-2.31%0.0076✗1.952.9M2022-08-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35890.358712-0.05%0.3492-2.70%0.0091✓1.158.3M2022-08-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.58360.58334-0.04%0.5729-1.83%0.0002✓1.15329k2022-08-06
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.083360.083324-0.04%0.08585+2.99%0.0529✗1.481.0M2022-08-06
STEEMSteemnative0.26230.262187-0.04%0.2578-1.72%0.0012✗1.16768k2022-08-06
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.351.3494-0.04%1.32-2.22%0.0027✓1.241.1M2022-08-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7580.757683-0.04%0.769+1.45%0.0377✗1.47121k2022-08-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.818.8064-0.04%8.524-3.25%0.0135✓1.2311.0M2022-08-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.24190.241812-0.04%0.2353-2.73%0.0044✓1.4789k2022-08-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0697990.069774-0.03%0.068641-1.66%0.0019✗1.171.6M2022-08-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.06240.062381-0.03%0.0604-3.21%0.0102✓1.42350k2022-08-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032130.003212-0.03%0.003241+0.87%0.0243✗0.991.0M2022-08-06
ZENHorizenBase18.4318.4262-0.02%19.27+4.56%0.0664✗1.39118k2022-08-06
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10050.100485-0.02%0.1014+0.90%0.0278✗1.216,5342022-08-06
TRXTRONTron0.0698370.069827-0.01%0.06951-0.47%0.0062✗0.69345k2022-08-06
NANOnanopayBase1.05271.0526-0.01%1.0463-0.61%0.0088✗0.9560k2022-08-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067490.006748-0.01%0.006459-4.30%0.0359✓0.5140k2022-08-06
GTGateEthereum4.73754.7372-0.01%4.7775+0.84%0.0202✗0.75916k2022-08-06
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7522.7518-0.01%2.698-1.96%0.0075✗1.75118k2022-08-06
SCSiacoinnative0.00470.0047-0.00%0.00468-0.43%0.0160✗1.30126k2022-08-06
XECeCashnative0.000045530.000045529-0.00%0.00004474-1.74%0.0006✗1.161.9M2022-08-06
XVSVenusEthereum6.656.6505+0.01%6.62-0.45%0.0170✓1.391.4M2022-08-06
ETHEthereumEthereum1,736.791,737.20+0.02%1,690.81-2.65%0.0071✗1.28418.9M2022-08-06
XVGVergenative0.003850.003851+0.02%0.0037-3.90%0.0199✗1.29551k2022-08-06
KCSKuCoinnative10.4410.4426+0.03%10.501+0.58%0.0228✓1.112.0M2022-08-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.1640.16405+0.03%0.1626-0.85%0.0103✓1.23107k2022-08-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.98.9028+0.03%8.88-0.22%0.0050✓0.491.8M2022-08-06
BTTCBTTC9.80e-79.80e-7+0.04%9.70e-7-1.02%0.0023✓0.846.4M2022-08-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016770.001678+0.05%0.001709+1.91%0.0345✓1.039,0502022-08-06
PROPropyEthereum0.740.740372+0.05%0.92+24.32%0.2265✓0.5978k2022-08-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009040.009045+0.05%0.00885-2.10%0.0020✗1.27390k2022-08-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3370.337191+0.06%0.339+0.59%0.0215✓1.041.1M2022-08-06
XMRMoneroMonero161.87161.9622+0.06%160.51-0.84%0.0081✓1.101.1M2022-08-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.0610.061037+0.06%0.0601-1.48%0.0061✓1.39179k2022-08-06
XLMStellarStellar0.1185410.118627+0.07%0.121903+2.84%0.0427✓0.996.9M2022-08-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.008430.008436+0.07%0.00834-1.07%0.0026✓0.901.6M2022-08-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.472.4723+0.09%2.45-0.81%0.0048✓0.89110k2022-08-06
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031110.031145+0.11%0.03137+0.84%0.0273✓1.301,4012022-08-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07450.074589+0.12%0.0744-0.13%0.0146✓1.101.1M2022-08-06
FTTFTXEthereum30.7630.7989+0.13%30.39-1.20%0.0015✓0.9510.0M2022-08-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.1961.1975+0.13%1.1937-0.19%0.0131✓1.0542k2022-08-06
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7530.754049+0.14%0.749-0.53%0.0121✓1.21968k2022-08-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash141.93142.1286+0.14%141.34-0.42%0.0131✓1.204.6M2022-08-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.95194.959+0.14%4.95-0.04%0.0008✓0.17225k2022-08-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.3418.3537+0.15%9.445+13.24%0.1390✓1.042.9M2022-08-06
UOSUltraEthereum0.325660.326224+0.17%0.31626-2.89%0.0136✗1.12383k2022-08-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.2738.3402+0.18%37.8-1.23%0.0078✓1.4112.8M2022-08-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,320.8123,366.21+0.19%22,960.93-1.54%0.0019✓1.00455.4M2022-08-06
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1591.1613+0.20%1.178+1.64%0.0240✓0.631.9M2022-08-06
QTUMQtumQtum4.07944.0899+0.26%4.1275+1.18%0.0260✓1.0851k2022-08-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063340.00635+0.26%0.006324-0.15%0.0090✓0.854,9752022-08-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.