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2022-08-03 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1347
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.80%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
28.0%
in alpha space · 39.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.88%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.9931.9412-2.60%1.918-3.76%0.0054✓1.972.4M2022-08-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.7310.482-2.31%9.2-14.26%0.1182✓1.38334k2022-08-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.9821.7101-1.23%21.62-1.64%0.0034✓0.852.2M2022-08-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.436.3607-1.08%5.59-13.06%0.1238✓0.611.4M2022-08-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.0635.6831-1.05%34.8-3.49%0.0126✓1.409.4M2022-08-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.6427.3684-0.98%27.99+1.27%0.0345✗1.36773k2022-08-04
RADRadworksEthereum2.472.4463-0.96%2.48+0.40%0.0232✗1.08398k2022-08-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087710.086895-0.93%0.08615-1.78%0.0035✓1.3629k2022-08-04
APEApeCoinEthereum7.1687.1016-0.93%7.437+3.75%0.0615✗1.7312.2M2022-08-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.35773.3268-0.92%3.3721+0.43%0.0214✗0.891.3M2022-08-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.037490.037148-0.91%0.03497-6.72%0.0477✓1.4413.9M2022-08-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.4416.2966-0.87%15.86-3.53%0.0147✓1.412.3M2022-08-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.085.0371-0.84%4.83-4.92%0.0358✓0.701.3M2022-08-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.26543.2379-0.84%3.1416-3.79%0.0234✓0.761.1M2022-08-04
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.081210.080531-0.84%0.0809-0.38%0.0177✗1.49786k2022-08-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,725.0410,636.04-0.83%10,646.82-0.73%0.0136✗1.424.4M2022-08-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9814.9399-0.83%5.156+3.51%0.0475✗0.532.2M2022-08-04
FORTFortaEthereum0.31830.31571-0.81%0.302-5.12%0.0346✓1.11294k2022-08-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.559.4727-0.81%8.75-8.38%0.0751✓0.491.7M2022-08-04
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0242.0078-0.80%1.967-2.82%0.0080✓1.41255k2022-08-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.03721.029-0.79%1.0505+1.28%0.0300✗1.0513k2022-08-04
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00270.994855-0.78%1.0192+1.65%0.0394✗1.72211k2022-08-04
GITCOINGITCOIN2.73812.7178-0.74%3.1854+16.34%0.1726✗1.5612k2022-08-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.825.7775-0.73%5.54-4.81%0.0367✓0.59873k2022-08-04
HIVEHivenative0.5960.591689-0.72%0.5813-2.47%0.0072✓1.181.5M2022-08-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.713.684-0.70%3.777+1.81%0.0403✗1.745.0M2022-08-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9053.8783-0.68%3.982+1.97%0.0340✗0.86922k2022-08-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8160.810452-0.68%0.846+3.68%0.0583✗1.744.8M2022-08-04
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1251.1174-0.68%1.214+7.91%0.0887✗0.651.8M2022-08-04
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54110.537457-0.67%0.5776+6.75%0.0844✗1.40222k2022-08-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9783.9516-0.66%3.83-3.72%0.0251✓0.691.5M2022-08-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0878.0337-0.66%8.092+0.06%0.0165✗1.042.4M2022-08-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3341.3254-0.65%1.3286-0.40%0.0157✗1.506.4M2022-08-04
QNTQuantEthereum105.18104.5016-0.65%103.74-1.37%0.0014✓0.994.2M2022-08-04
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9078.8507-0.63%8.819-0.99%0.0087✗1.399.8M2022-08-04
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31820.316204-0.63%0.329+3.39%0.0497✗1.1377k2022-08-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07730.07682-0.62%0.0733-5.17%0.0371✓1.11952k2022-08-04
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.780.77516-0.62%0.786+0.77%0.0268✗1.453,6872022-08-04
METISMetisEthereum35.335.0827-0.62%46.01+30.34%0.2881✗1.92251k2022-08-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05460.054266-0.61%0.0537-1.65%0.0008✓1.28284k2022-08-04
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099970.00009936-0.61%0.00009925-0.72%0.0169✗2.04536k2022-08-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.01781.0117-0.60%1.0339+1.58%0.0319✗1.151.1M2022-08-04
BORABORAKlay Token0.349220.347195-0.58%0.36281+3.89%0.0556✗1.3113k2022-08-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.041065-0.57%0.0421+1.94%0.0357✗1.2376k2022-08-04
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188040.186984-0.56%0.18887+0.44%0.0305✗2.311,1512022-08-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15880.157916-0.56%0.1642+3.40%0.0500✗1.24508k2022-08-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03431.0286-0.55%1.1853+14.60%0.1495✗0.883.9M2022-08-04
DIADIAEthereum0.465640.463111-0.54%0.45707-1.84%0.0064✓0.7668k2022-08-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.13380.133087-0.53%0.1447+8.15%0.0933✗1.09779k2022-08-04
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.088010.087546-0.53%0.08541-2.95%0.0224✓0.261.1M2022-08-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8263.8059-0.53%3.844+0.47%0.0152✗0.591.9M2022-08-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6330.629697-0.52%0.686+8.37%0.0980✗1.4088k2022-08-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008680.008635-0.52%0.009+3.69%0.0527✗1.28375k2022-08-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2462.2344-0.52%2.252+0.27%0.0201✗1.38177k2022-08-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.8617.821-0.51%7.98+1.51%0.0309✗1.227.0M2022-08-04
IMXImmutableEthereum1.08341.0781-0.49%1.1273+4.05%0.0568✗1.371.4M2022-08-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0230560.022945-0.48%0.022448-2.64%0.0134✓0.9611k2022-08-04
FLOWFlownative1.841.8311-0.48%2.6+41.30%0.3619✗1.28430k2022-08-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199490.019853-0.48%0.020525+2.89%0.0370✗0.42165k2022-08-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.8210.7682-0.48%11.07+2.31%0.0382✗1.20259k2022-08-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.995.9613-0.48%5.82-2.84%0.0180✓0.68725k2022-08-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0157850.01571-0.47%0.015595-1.20%0.0006✓0.892.1M2022-08-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4752.4633-0.47%2.415-2.42%0.0119✓0.89110k2022-08-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7670.763399-0.47%0.799+4.17%0.0546✗1.02377k2022-08-04
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.1553-0.46%3.09-2.52%0.0166✓0.49102k2022-08-04
CBKCobakEthereum1.10561.1006-0.45%1.1129+0.66%0.0209✗1.1111k2022-08-04
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.6952.6829-0.45%2.728+1.22%0.0293✗1.4349k2022-08-04
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.4012-0.45%6.43+0.00%0.0168✗1.391.2M2022-08-04
DODODODOEthereum0.17080.170036-0.45%0.1729+1.23%0.0275✗1.223.5M2022-08-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.16510.12-0.44%10.359+1.91%0.0353✗1.3514.4M2022-08-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.0422.9402-0.43%23.37+1.43%0.0326✗1.5827.5M2022-08-04
GMTGMTEthereum0.9050.901088-0.43%0.909+0.44%0.0244✗1.77513k2022-08-04
API3Api3Ethereum1.9971.9884-0.43%2.223+11.32%0.1228✗1.27626k2022-08-04
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5170.514805-0.42%0.558+7.93%0.0907✗1.1513k2022-08-04
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078280.077948-0.42%0.07693-1.72%0.0067✓0.731,0202022-08-04
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.84852.8364-0.42%2.9175+2.42%0.0369✗0.981.2M2022-08-04
MINAMina Protocolnative0.790.786666-0.42%0.782-1.01%0.0047✗1.20225k2022-08-04
XEMNEMnative0.0492910.049083-0.42%0.05021+1.86%0.0333✗1.2035k2022-08-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.048340.048137-0.42%0.0491+1.57%0.0277✗0.8915k2022-08-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.1717.0984-0.42%17.75+3.38%0.0490✗1.311.3M2022-08-04
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.03080.030672-0.41%0.03038-1.36%0.0019✓1.301,3502022-08-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3320.330638-0.41%0.333+0.30%0.0163✗1.041.1M2022-08-04
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6722.6611-0.41%2.596-2.84%0.0093✓1.75109k2022-08-04
XYMSymbolnative0.0557310.055503-0.41%0.054264-2.63%0.0174✓0.5824k2022-08-04
BANDBandEthereum1.6891.6822-0.40%1.755+3.91%0.0550✗1.43341k2022-08-04
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2591.254-0.40%1.297+3.02%0.0447✗1.241.2M2022-08-04
WOOWOOEthereum0.2070.206175-0.40%0.2175+5.07%0.0650✗1.311,6972022-08-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.812.7988-0.40%3.12+11.03%0.1221✗1.52198k2022-08-04
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06820.067929-0.40%0.0667-2.20%0.0099✓0.94229k2022-08-04
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.4244-0.39%1.47+2.80%0.0440✗1.411.1M2022-08-04
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47440.472549-0.39%0.5677+19.67%0.1934✗1.1246k2022-08-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4784.4607-0.39%4.616+3.08%0.0392✗0.561.3M2022-08-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,844.1022,756.67-0.38%22,495.20-1.53%0.0029✓0.9814k2022-08-04
STORJStorjEthereum0.648990.64654-0.38%0.66591+2.61%0.0429✗1.5188k2022-08-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43990.438243-0.38%0.4388-0.25%0.0143✗1.48278k2022-08-04
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.5143-0.38%1.58+3.95%0.0452✗0.30221k2022-08-04
COMPCompoundEthereum55.7655.5563-0.37%56+0.43%0.0203✗1.3934k2022-08-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.60360.601421-0.36%0.5965-1.18%0.0019✓1.14690k2022-08-04
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13490.134417-0.36%0.1347-0.15%0.0133✗1.2761k2022-08-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.021224-0.36%0.02113-0.80%0.0046✗1.02159k2022-08-04
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.80e-79.77e-7-0.36%9.50e-7-3.06%0.0187✓1.0025k2022-08-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.320.31887-0.35%0.3306+3.31%0.0464✗1.173.5M2022-08-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017680.017618-0.35%0.01758-0.57%0.0052✗0.82207k2022-08-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.17592.1683-0.35%2.1899+0.64%0.0205✗1.2032k2022-08-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3591.3542-0.35%1.399+2.94%0.0438✗1.282.5M2022-08-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.2857.2596-0.35%7.364+1.08%0.0253✗1.2518.3M2022-08-04
SOLSolanaSolana38.5538.4161-0.35%38.82+0.70%0.0226✗1.3781.8M2022-08-04
ETHEthereumEthereum1,618.821,613.23-0.35%1,608.16-0.66%0.0081✗1.28404.0M2022-08-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08610.085803-0.34%0.0854-0.81%0.0055✗1.15128k2022-08-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1160.115602-0.34%0.1168+0.69%0.0198✗1.07370k2022-08-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05850.0583-0.34%0.063+7.69%0.0889✗1.28799k2022-08-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031410.00313-0.34%0.003069-2.29%0.0111✓0.991.0M2022-08-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.45891.454-0.33%1.502+2.95%0.0448✗1.40675k2022-08-04
AAVEAaveEthereum94.9794.6619-0.32%96.34+1.44%0.0322✗1.6610.2M2022-08-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14480.144332-0.32%0.1392-3.87%0.0278✓0.953.6M2022-08-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.31160.1191-0.32%60.269-0.07%0.0099✗0.83330k2022-08-04
ELAElastosEthereum1.7991.7933-0.32%1.814+0.83%0.0171✗0.64189k2022-08-04
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022550.002248-0.32%0.002189-2.93%0.0177✓1.001.5M2022-08-04
FTTFTXEthereum29.129.0092-0.31%29.14+0.14%0.0129✗0.9510.8M2022-08-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009760.00973-0.31%0.00979+0.31%0.0140✗0.885.0M2022-08-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1180.117637-0.31%0.1202+1.86%0.0337✗1.372.9M2022-08-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043450.043317-0.31%0.04386+0.94%0.0208✗0.942,3002022-08-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12880.128406-0.31%0.1269-1.48%0.0030✓1.004,9522022-08-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010870.001083-0.30%0.001089+0.19%0.0159✗1.241.3M2022-08-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.405920.404697-0.30%0.41954+3.36%0.0482✗1.38583k2022-08-04
XECeCashnative0.000042440.000042315-0.29%0.00004294+1.18%0.0249✗1.161.9M2022-08-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.61.5953-0.29%1.7+6.25%0.0752✗1.32122k2022-08-04
NANOnanopayBase1.02431.0213-0.29%1.0151-0.90%0.0022✓0.9460k2022-08-04
GLMGolemEthereum0.25980.259048-0.29%0.2606+0.31%0.0159✗1.1265k2022-08-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.49e-73.48e-7-0.29%3.56e-7+2.01%0.0315✗0.99170k2022-08-04
GTGateEthereum4.50944.4967-0.28%4.55+0.90%0.0184✗0.75920k2022-08-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40220.401078-0.28%0.4162+3.48%0.0487✗1.32127k2022-08-04
XTZTezosTezos1.72041.7156-0.28%1.8249+6.07%0.0730✗1.27530k2022-08-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011830.000011797-0.28%0.00001185+0.17%0.0155✗1.25986k2022-08-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.11090.110595-0.27%0.1096-1.17%0.0020✓1.25505k2022-08-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017040.001699-0.27%0.001657-2.76%0.0161✓1.039,4962022-08-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23110.230476-0.27%0.2263-2.08%0.0053✓1.4789k2022-08-04
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.260521-0.26%0.2611-0.04%0.0023✓0.0129k2022-08-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031270.031189-0.26%0.03231+3.33%0.0462✗1.2314k2022-08-04
MOVRMoonriverBase14.622114.5844-0.26%14.6359+0.09%0.0137✗1.1563k2022-08-04
XMRMoneroMonero157.11156.7071-0.26%159.25+1.36%0.0259✗1.101.2M2022-08-04
SCSiacoinnative0.004560.004548-0.26%0.00454-0.44%0.0097✗1.31112k2022-08-04
KSMKusamaHydration61.3161.1553-0.25%61.12-0.31%0.0098✗1.17379k2022-08-04
ADACardanoCardano0.50090.499642-0.25%0.4997-0.24%0.0108✗1.2041.9M2022-08-04
UMAUMAEthereum2.9642.9566-0.25%2.982+0.61%0.0184✗1.11597k2022-08-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066980.006681-0.25%0.0067+0.03%0.0074✗0.5239k2022-08-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.163040.162637-0.25%0.16-1.86%0.0028✓1.53212k2022-08-04
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19990.199407-0.25%0.1995-0.20%0.0128✗1.401,1742022-08-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3358930.3351-0.24%0.340211+1.29%0.0264✗1.271.1M2022-08-04
MANADecentralandEthereum0.960.957768-0.23%0.99245+3.38%0.0471✗1.30532k2022-08-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.7857.6476-0.23%59.65+3.24%0.0444✗1.1513.7M2022-08-04
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.58e-7-0.23%9.60e-7+0.00%0.0097✗0.846.4M2022-08-04
STEEMSteemnative0.24950.248935-0.23%0.2522+1.08%0.0233✗1.17768k2022-08-04
XVGVergenative0.003730.003722-0.20%0.00377+1.07%0.0242✗1.29551k2022-08-04
ZENHorizenBase17.1517.1164-0.20%17.32+0.99%0.0240✗1.37116k2022-08-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2130.212585-0.20%0.218+2.35%0.0385✗1.51786k2022-08-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0037.9878-0.19%8.092+1.11%0.0238✗1.2211.0M2022-08-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04580.045718-0.18%0.0482+5.24%0.0644✗1.309,0132022-08-04
QTUMQtumQtum3.89863.8919-0.17%3.9592+1.55%0.0267✗1.0945k2022-08-04
TRXTRONTron0.0677990.067684-0.17%0.068981+1.74%0.0250✗0.69364k2022-08-04
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7440.742757-0.17%0.738-0.81%0.0043✗1.22895k2022-08-04
GALAGALAEthereum0.05830.058203-0.17%0.0593+1.72%0.0310✗1.39167k2022-08-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.394220.393636-0.15%0.40433+2.56%0.0373✗1.19118k2022-08-04
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09720.097058-0.15%0.0975+0.31%0.0152✗1.206,5342022-08-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24610.245744-0.14%0.2485+0.98%0.0220✗1.22110k2022-08-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32670.326235-0.14%0.3361+2.88%0.0397✗1.138.1M2022-08-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.05870.058616-0.14%0.0616+4.94%0.0623✗1.43350k2022-08-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,825.0022,794.05-0.14%22,623.94-0.88%0.0014✓1.00427.9M2022-08-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0620.061925-0.12%0.0731+17.90%0.1724✗0.74159k2022-08-04
SGBSongbirdnative0.0250.024971-0.12%0.0249-0.40%0.0021✗0.5545k2022-08-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.15520.155042-0.10%0.1561+0.58%0.0177✗1.23102k2022-08-04
STXStacksnative0.46630.46587-0.09%0.4737+1.59%0.0276✗1.24892k2022-08-04
DASHDashDash48.7748.7373-0.07%49.4+1.29%0.0232✗1.10574k2022-08-04
PROPropyEthereum0.740.739552-0.06%0.74+0.00%0.0059✗0.5983k2022-08-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1141840.114124-0.05%0.113921-0.23%0.0070✗0.997.0M2022-08-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.01515.0131-0.04%5-0.30%0.0011✓0.17219k2022-08-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062080.006206-0.04%0.006146-1.00%0.0023✓0.848,9962022-08-04
KCSKuCoinnative10.02810.0257-0.02%10.035+0.07%0.0107✗1.102.0M2022-08-04
UOSUltraEthereum0.309310.309261-0.02%0.31338+1.32%0.0232✗1.13398k2022-08-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.008190.008189-0.01%0.00822+0.37%0.0117✗0.901.6M2022-08-04
ZECZcashZcash61.8561.8451-0.01%64.38+4.09%0.0512✗1.251.5M2022-08-04
LSKLiskEthereum1.13851.1385+0.00%1.1502+1.03%0.0195✓1.0547k2022-08-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.7133.7078+0.01%134.34+0.48%0.0153✓1.204.5M2022-08-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6860.686096+0.01%0.727+5.98%0.0710✓1.47106k2022-08-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.06620.066223+0.03%0.067353+1.74%0.0273✓1.171.7M2022-08-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54530.546252+0.17%0.5454+0.02%0.0085✓1.14335k2022-08-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.