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2022-08-01 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0294
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.13%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
58.9%
in alpha space · 62.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.22%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
HIVEHivenative0.77450.760988-1.74%0.5942-23.28%0.2331✓1.171.4M2022-08-02
ORCAOrcaSolana1.13981.1234-1.44%1.0822-5.05%0.0171✓1.65205k2022-08-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.14940.14827-0.76%0.1359-9.04%0.0735✓1.11698k2022-08-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.815.7714-0.66%5.73-1.38%0.0003✓0.61732k2022-08-02
LUNATerraTerra 20.000104790.000104116-0.64%0.00010013-4.45%0.0151✓1.94592k2022-08-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.219.0768-0.64%21.17+10.26%0.1147✗0.862.2M2022-08-02
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8310.82594-0.61%0.816-1.81%0.0062✗1.493,6872022-08-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0236210.023481-0.59%0.024372+3.18%0.0492✗0.989,6292022-08-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,611.3211,546.17-0.56%10,752.27-7.40%0.0541✓1.404.2M2022-08-02
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6446.6069-0.56%6.638-0.09%0.0260✗1.7311.3M2022-08-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7768.7296-0.53%8.196-6.61%0.0500✓1.062.4M2022-08-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28523.2692-0.49%3.3336+1.47%0.0305✗0.891.2M2022-08-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.536.4982-0.49%6.51-0.31%0.0094✗0.621.2M2022-08-02
BORABORAKlay Token0.345490.343863-0.47%0.34832+0.82%0.0290✗1.3112k2022-08-02
CBKCobakEthereum1.19911.1936-0.46%1.126-6.10%0.0448✓1.1010k2022-08-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93880.934494-0.46%0.9732+3.66%0.0516✗0.903.2M2022-08-02
ELAElastosEthereum1.7951.7869-0.45%1.796+0.06%0.0129✗0.64189k2022-08-02
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54010.537672-0.45%0.5474+1.35%0.0353✗1.41234k2022-08-02
FORTFortaEthereum0.30590.304529-0.45%0.3039-0.65%0.0118✗1.12300k2022-08-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03680.036636-0.45%0.03854+4.73%0.0694✗1.5212.6M2022-08-02
STORJStorjEthereum0.711570.708417-0.44%0.65971-7.29%0.0526✓1.5188k2022-08-02
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.950905-0.43%0.908-4.92%0.0244✓1.77513k2022-08-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.041135-0.40%0.0396-4.12%0.0229✓1.2371k2022-08-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084190.083864-0.39%0.08676+3.05%0.0505✗1.3429k2022-08-02
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.9359-0.38%2.716-7.84%0.0603✓1.4349k2022-08-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6053.5914-0.38%3.801+5.44%0.0780✗1.735.0M2022-08-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15410.153533-0.37%0.1435-6.88%0.0554✓0.993.5M2022-08-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9194.901-0.37%5.16+4.90%0.0583✗0.552.0M2022-08-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.075.0518-0.36%5.05-0.39%0.0084✗0.711.2M2022-08-02
WOOWOOEthereum0.21060.209873-0.35%0.225+6.84%0.0863✗1.361,6972022-08-02
MOVRMoonriverBase15.134315.0824-0.34%14.5774-3.68%0.0196✓1.1868k2022-08-02
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078980.078722-0.33%0.0777-1.62%0.0041✓0.731,1722022-08-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199980.019933-0.32%0.021484+7.43%0.0813✗0.51165k2022-08-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01790.017844-0.32%0.01794+0.22%0.0150✗0.78229k2022-08-02
FLOWFlownative2.0252.0187-0.31%1.874-7.46%0.0587✓1.27415k2022-08-02
DIADIAEthereum0.487140.485624-0.31%0.45527-6.54%0.0549✓0.7863k2022-08-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03151.0284-0.30%0.9992-3.13%0.0144✓1.171.1M2022-08-02
OPTIMOptimism1.5121.5075-0.30%1.635+8.13%0.1056✗1.981.7M2022-08-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.348.3151-0.30%8-4.08%0.0233✓1.246.8M2022-08-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.94512.9364-0.30%3.0467+3.45%0.0464✗0.77978k2022-08-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.28e-7-0.29%3.39e-7+2.97%0.0439✗0.96178k2022-08-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,172.7023,107.41-0.28%23,023.60-0.64%0.0084✗0.9814k2022-08-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9343.9231-0.28%3.985+1.30%0.0245✗0.721.4M2022-08-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.858648-0.27%0.823-4.41%0.0212✓1.735.0M2022-08-02
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19250.19199-0.27%0.18917-1.73%0.0137✗2.311,2222022-08-02
GALAGALAEthereum0.06480.064631-0.26%0.0595-8.18%0.0650✓1.44154k2022-08-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8493.8393-0.25%3.883+0.88%0.0186✗0.591.7M2022-08-02
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.333.3218-0.25%3.18-4.50%0.0376✓0.4994k2022-08-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.4428.3703-0.25%27.79-2.29%0.0035✓1.39641k2022-08-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum87.9805-0.24%8.1+1.25%0.0317✗1.37263k2022-08-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3644.3534-0.24%4.526+3.71%0.0460✗0.581.2M2022-08-02
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.5562-0.24%1.55-0.64%0.0014✓0.22268k2022-08-02
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08050.080309-0.24%0.08648+7.43%0.0925✗1.50773k2022-08-02
XEMNEMnative0.0514460.051324-0.24%0.048695-5.35%0.0380✓1.1938k2022-08-02
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14380.143467-0.23%0.1378-4.17%0.0245✓1.2859k2022-08-02
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.067248-0.23%0.068+0.89%0.0229✗0.96229k2022-08-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4162.4106-0.22%2.285-5.42%0.0361✓1.41177k2022-08-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.469948-0.22%0.4462-5.27%0.0338✓1.47273k2022-08-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046180.046077-0.22%0.044-4.72%0.0343✓0.962,3002022-08-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.67660.5431-0.22%60.953+0.46%0.0171✗0.85345k2022-08-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.081.0776-0.22%1.218+12.78%0.1311✗0.701.5M2022-08-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57471.5713-0.22%1.4894-5.42%0.0359✓1.44589k2022-08-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009380.00936-0.22%0.00928-1.07%0.0070✗1.26359k2022-08-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6460.644606-0.22%0.608-5.88%0.0412✓1.4088k2022-08-02
COMPCompoundEthereum58.958.7744-0.21%56.33-4.36%0.0254✓1.3932k2022-08-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08580.085619-0.21%0.0857-0.12%0.0154✗1.18137k2022-08-02
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.891.8861-0.21%2.017+6.72%0.0846✗1.42234k2022-08-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.26812.2635-0.21%2.1689-4.37%0.0275✓1.2329k2022-08-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1720.171648-0.20%0.1596-7.21%0.0574✓1.25491k2022-08-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07791.0758-0.20%1.0569-1.95%0.0051✓1.0313k2022-08-02
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.9541-0.20%2.934-0.88%0.0069✗1.12619k2022-08-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06120.06108-0.20%0.0581-5.07%0.0340✓1.30799k2022-08-02
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.092360.092182-0.19%0.08996-2.60%0.0214✓0.241.1M2022-08-02
SOLSolanaSolana41.6741.5906-0.19%39.81-4.46%0.0270✓1.3681.1M2022-08-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7720.77057-0.19%0.744-3.63%0.0230✓0.99377k2022-08-02
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8592.8537-0.18%2.7482-3.88%0.0184✓1.5612k2022-08-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.30621.3038-0.18%1.3359+2.27%0.0428✗1.515.6M2022-08-02
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024290.002425-0.18%0.002266-6.71%0.0554✓1.001.8M2022-08-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12550.125274-0.18%0.1238-1.35%0.0003✓0.994,9522022-08-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.16.0892-0.18%6.03-1.15%0.0016✓0.66623k2022-08-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3360.335419-0.17%0.3198-4.82%0.0331✓1.183.1M2022-08-02
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.79682.7923-0.16%2.8083+0.41%0.0177✗0.981.0M2022-08-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.631.6274-0.16%1.57-3.68%0.0191✓1.37114k2022-08-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.2461.2441-0.15%1.163-6.66%0.0543✓1.0643k2022-08-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.12052-0.15%0.1155-4.31%0.0294✓1.07352k2022-08-02
XTZTezosTezos1.81991.8172-0.15%1.7139-5.82%0.0430✓1.26492k2022-08-02
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.206701-0.14%0.202-2.42%0.0058✓1.401,1792022-08-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051690.051615-0.14%0.04946-4.31%0.0316✓0.9015k2022-08-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1814.1606-0.14%14.94+5.36%0.0709✗1.411.9M2022-08-02
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01631.0149-0.14%0.95943-5.60%0.0400✓1.32525k2022-08-02
KSMKusamaHydration64.2364.1437-0.13%60.95-5.11%0.0365✓1.18354k2022-08-02
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.518303-0.13%0.519+0.00%0.0154✗1.1513k2022-08-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011970.000011954-0.13%0.00001175-1.84%0.0021✓1.23986k2022-08-02
API3Api3Ethereum2.0222.0194-0.13%1.966-2.77%0.0111✓1.28637k2022-08-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010210.010197-0.13%0.00965-5.48%0.0432✓0.974.7M2022-08-02
DODODODOEthereum0.17760.177386-0.12%0.1716-3.38%0.0177✓1.263.5M2022-08-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.11620.11607-0.11%0.1134-2.41%0.0073✓1.30472k2022-08-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.4759.4069-0.11%58.09-2.32%0.0082✓1.1613.6M2022-08-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.8817.861-0.11%17.22-3.69%0.0200✓1.351.3M2022-08-02
SCSiacoinnative0.004780.004775-0.10%0.00462-3.35%0.0168✓1.32112k2022-08-02
DASHDashDash49.7549.6999-0.10%48.53-2.45%0.0102✓1.11574k2022-08-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04830.048251-0.10%0.0463-4.14%0.0247✓1.347,6872022-08-02
ADACardanoCardano0.51280.512306-0.10%0.4966-3.16%0.0158✓1.2541.9M2022-08-02
XYMSymbolnative0.0572340.05718-0.10%0.05605-2.07%0.0126✓0.6022k2022-08-02
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49660.49614-0.09%0.4841-2.52%0.0108✓1.1247k2022-08-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.419380.418994-0.09%0.39795-5.11%0.0366✓1.21118k2022-08-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7310.730336-0.09%0.709-3.01%0.0113✓1.4980k2022-08-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.39910.3899-0.09%9.92-4.61%0.0294✓1.3714.4M2022-08-02
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.792336-0.08%0.774-2.40%0.0083✓1.23218k2022-08-02
STXStacksnative0.46130.460917-0.08%0.4398-4.66%0.0316✓1.25778k2022-08-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05320.053157-0.08%0.0531-0.19%0.0143✗1.25269k2022-08-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2511.2411-0.08%11.02-2.04%0.0049✓1.21243k2022-08-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.55740.556965-0.08%0.5396-3.19%0.0177✓1.14341k2022-08-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032040.032016-0.07%0.03144-1.87%0.0029✓1.2414k2022-08-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0687210.068671-0.07%0.066529-3.19%0.0176✓1.151.7M2022-08-02
STEEMSteemnative0.26570.26551-0.07%0.2502-5.83%0.0455✓1.13768k2022-08-02
RADRadworksEthereum2.392.3883-0.07%2.46+2.93%0.0427✗1.07301k2022-08-02
AAVEAaveEthereum96.5896.5122-0.07%93.42-3.27%0.0121✓1.6610.2M2022-08-02
GLMGolemEthereum0.2770.276808-0.07%0.2636-4.84%0.0357✓1.0867k2022-08-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.16470.164586-0.07%0.1674+1.64%0.0322✗1.2494k2022-08-02
QNTQuantEthereum103.46103.3925-0.07%103.43-0.03%0.0128✗1.014.2M2022-08-02
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.26163-0.06%0.2618+0.00%0.0008✗0.0128k2022-08-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.06410.064059-0.06%0.073+13.88%0.1406✗0.81155k2022-08-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8773.8746-0.06%3.951+1.91%0.0304✗0.88754k2022-08-02
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.5062-0.06%6.57+0.92%0.0270✗1.401.1M2022-08-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12360.123538-0.05%0.1168-5.50%0.0391✓1.382.8M2022-08-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26310.262972-0.05%0.2502-4.90%0.0347✓1.23101k2022-08-02
XMRMoneroMonero160.69160.6214-0.04%156.99-2.30%0.0092✓1.111.3M2022-08-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021560.021551-0.04%0.02154-0.09%0.0122✗1.03159k2022-08-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.41280.412634-0.04%0.3926-4.89%0.0326✓1.39583k2022-08-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032560.003255-0.04%0.003157-3.04%0.0180✓1.021.0M2022-08-02
ZECZcashZcash62.8762.8457-0.04%61.49-2.20%0.0064✓1.251.5M2022-08-02
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.60e-7-0.04%0.00000101+5.21%0.0635✗1.0025k2022-08-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.06020.060179-0.03%0.0612+1.66%0.0341✗1.40339k2022-08-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.87137.8259-0.03%133.77-2.97%0.0152✓1.194.3M2022-08-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5923.5825-0.03%22.85-3.14%0.0119✓1.6027.5M2022-08-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4231.4226-0.03%1.364-4.15%0.0264✓1.272.5M2022-08-02
BANDBandEthereum1.7181.7177-0.02%1.635-4.83%0.0315✓1.45327k2022-08-02
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.4197-0.02%1.36-4.23%0.0253✓1.441.1M2022-08-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.188.1787-0.02%7.928-3.08%0.0159✓1.2410.0M2022-08-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3627650.36271-0.02%0.34061-6.11%0.0469✓1.301.0M2022-08-02
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3658.3646-0.01%8.248-1.40%0.0032✗1.408.5M2022-08-02
TRXTRONTron0.0699720.069969-0.00%0.06831-2.38%0.0144✓0.78373k2022-08-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23070.230699-0.00%0.2308+0.04%0.0187✗1.4897k2022-08-02
FTTFTXEthereum30.7530.7502+0.00%29.4-4.39%0.0332✗0.9510.2M2022-08-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.61960.619611+0.00%0.6132-1.03%0.0038✓1.16642k2022-08-02
IMXImmutableEthereum1.07891.079+0.01%1.0451-3.13%0.0145✗1.411.4M2022-08-02
METISMetisEthereum33.6233.6245+0.01%33.21-1.22%0.0115✓1.94229k2022-08-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010960.001096+0.02%0.001085-1.02%0.0054✓1.291.4M2022-08-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150170.015019+0.02%0.015628+4.07%0.0506✓0.881.6M2022-08-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.195.191+0.02%5.0698-2.32%0.0211✗0.21210k2022-08-02
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3231.3233+0.02%1.27-4.01%0.0258✗1.241.2M2022-08-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34240.342482+0.02%0.3267-4.59%0.0332✗1.147.7M2022-08-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.859.8527+0.03%9.54-3.15%0.0258✗0.521.7M2022-08-02
NANOnanopayBase1.01851.0188+0.03%1.0235+0.49%0.0165✓0.9660k2022-08-02
ETHEthereumEthereum1,630.821,631.40+0.04%1,631.28+0.03%0.0154✓1.26387.0M2022-08-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.5747.5768+0.04%7.179-5.22%0.0384✗1.2616.9M2022-08-02
GTGateEthereum4.41644.4182+0.04%4.3491-1.52%0.0068✗0.73916k2022-08-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.165410.165484+0.04%0.1626-1.70%0.0014✓1.54212k2022-08-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016970.001698+0.05%0.001664-1.94%0.0075✗1.0211k2022-08-02
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09510.095163+0.07%0.0936-1.58%0.0017✗1.216,7862022-08-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32380.324018+0.07%0.318-1.79%0.0047✗1.1576k2022-08-02
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.71e-7+0.07%9.70e-7+0.00%0.0095✓0.836.4M2022-08-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.221159+0.07%0.212-4.07%0.0237✗1.51821k2022-08-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4352.4368+0.07%2.419-0.66%0.0040✓0.92105k2022-08-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.8622+0.08%2.72-4.90%0.0323✗1.52192k2022-08-02
ZENHorizenBase18.1618.1765+0.09%17.17-5.45%0.0401✗1.37116k2022-08-02
KCSKuCoinnative9.9639.9721+0.09%9.938-0.25%0.0099✓1.082.1M2022-08-02
XECeCashnative0.000045140.000045181+0.09%0.00004282-5.14%0.0394✗1.161.9M2022-08-02
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7270.727676+0.09%0.742+2.06%0.0344✓1.21806k2022-08-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3350.335313+0.09%0.328-2.09%0.0094✗1.03959k2022-08-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42390.424302+0.09%0.4029-4.95%0.0354✗1.33127k2022-08-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006650.006657+0.10%0.006716+0.99%0.0155✓0.5438k2022-08-02
QTUMQtumQtum4.14614.1503+0.10%3.9681-4.29%0.0314✗1.0939k2022-08-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1183040.118432+0.11%0.115136-2.68%0.0160✗0.996.8M2022-08-02
XVGVergenative0.003750.003754+0.11%0.00371-1.07%0.0043✓1.31559k2022-08-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,273.8623,299.76+0.11%22,989.40-1.22%0.0011✗1.00414.2M2022-08-02
PROPropyEthereum0.780.780938+0.12%0.76-2.56%0.0197✗0.6179k2022-08-02
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030010.030053+0.14%0.0314+4.63%0.0599✓1.311,2932022-08-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.008420.008433+0.16%0.00839-0.36%0.0061✓0.911.6M2022-08-02
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5652.5692+0.17%2.6+1.36%0.0335✓1.7595k2022-08-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.0235.0961+0.22%36.59+4.48%0.0590✓1.416.9M2022-08-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07050.070668+0.24%0.0745+5.67%0.0660✓1.08567k2022-08-02
UOSUltraEthereum0.309120.309924+0.26%0.30205-2.29%0.0114✗1.17398k2022-08-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063210.00634+0.30%0.006204-1.84%0.0106✗0.909,1592022-08-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.