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2022-07-31 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0928
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.22%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.1%
in alpha space · 49.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.14%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FILFilecoinFilecoin9.7899.6564-1.35%8.776-10.35%0.0941✓1.062.3M2022-08-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.0720.8111-1.23%19.2-8.88%0.0793✓0.872.2M2022-08-01
ORCAOrcaSolana0.92660.916307-1.11%1.1398+23.01%0.2206✗1.64202k2022-08-01
APEApeCoinEthereum6.7336.6918-0.61%6.644-1.32%0.0047✓1.7310.6M2022-08-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,863.9010,798.19-0.60%11,611.32+6.88%0.0746✗1.394.1M2022-08-01
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.084020.083526-0.59%0.0805-4.19%0.0347✓1.50768k2022-08-01
CBKCobakEthereum1.12031.1145-0.52%1.1991+7.03%0.0748✗1.1010k2022-08-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.9788.9311-0.52%8.34-7.11%0.0667✓1.256.5M2022-08-01
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098070.000097559-0.52%0.00010479+6.85%0.0743✗1.92592k2022-08-01
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8750.870567-0.51%0.831-5.03%0.0444✓1.493,1392022-08-01
OPTIMOptimism1.5831.5753-0.49%1.512-4.49%0.0382✓1.981.3M2022-08-01
FORTFortaEthereum0.2940.292582-0.48%0.3059+4.05%0.0461✗1.13303k2022-08-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0226140.022505-0.48%0.023621+4.45%0.0498✗0.989,2332022-08-01
WOOWOOEthereum0.2270.225928-0.47%0.2106-7.22%0.0683✓1.371,6972022-08-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.92120.916963-0.46%0.9388+1.91%0.0248✗0.893.2M2022-08-01
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5650.562413-0.46%0.5401-4.41%0.0385✓1.40234k2022-08-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.5633.548-0.42%3.605+1.18%0.0184✗1.735.0M2022-08-01
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8732.861-0.42%2.947+2.58%0.0317✗1.4247k2022-08-01
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.951047-0.41%0.955+0.00%0.0067✗1.77513k2022-08-01
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.393.3761-0.41%3.33-1.77%0.0130✓0.4981k2022-08-01
STORJStorjEthereum0.685450.682671-0.41%0.71157+3.81%0.0436✗1.5188k2022-08-01
GITCOINGITCOIN3.16883.1561-0.40%2.859-9.78%0.0966✓1.5611k2022-08-01
ELAElastosEthereum1.7931.7861-0.39%1.795+0.11%0.0059✗0.64206k2022-08-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0213810.021299-0.38%0.019998-6.47%0.0623✓0.52167k2022-08-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.03973.0282-0.38%3.2852+8.08%0.0827✗0.891.2M2022-08-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.691.6836-0.38%1.63-3.55%0.0304✓1.37114k2022-08-01
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.080910.080605-0.38%0.07898-2.39%0.0193✓0.731,0512022-08-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08360.083287-0.37%0.08419+0.71%0.0127✗1.3429k2022-08-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034230.034103-0.37%0.0368+7.51%0.0783✗1.5311.5M2022-08-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.724.7027-0.37%4.919+4.22%0.0458✗0.552.0M2022-08-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00960.009565-0.36%0.00938-2.29%0.0177✓1.26355k2022-08-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3884020.387128-0.33%0.362765-6.60%0.0631✓1.301.0M2022-08-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.755.7314-0.32%6.53+13.57%0.1313✗0.611.1M2022-08-01
MOVRMoonriverBase14.833514.7874-0.31%15.1343+2.03%0.0249✗1.1870k2022-08-01
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.194230.193628-0.31%0.1925-0.89%0.0025✓2.311,2222022-08-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.858392-0.30%0.861+0.00%0.0055✗1.725.2M2022-08-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.5032.4954-0.30%2.416-3.48%0.0303✓1.41172k2022-08-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.777.7468-0.30%8+2.96%0.0341✗1.36256k2022-08-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.41e-73.40e-7-0.29%3.29e-7-3.53%0.0317✓0.95178k2022-08-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14370.143285-0.29%0.1541+7.24%0.0742✗0.993.5M2022-08-01
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9811.9753-0.29%1.89-4.59%0.0421✓1.42234k2022-08-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.794.7767-0.28%5.07+5.85%0.0606✗0.711.1M2022-08-01
RADRadworksEthereum2.592.5831-0.27%2.39-7.72%0.0761✓1.07258k2022-08-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum26.3726.2997-0.27%28.44+7.85%0.0802✗1.39585k2022-08-01
FLOWFlownative1.9241.9189-0.27%2.025+5.25%0.0557✗1.27415k2022-08-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018410.018362-0.26%0.0179-2.77%0.0244✓0.76248k2022-08-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,400.0023,340.93-0.25%23,172.70-0.97%0.0058✓0.9814k2022-08-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.99490.992396-0.25%1.0315+3.68%0.0403✗1.171.2M2022-08-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010310.010285-0.25%0.01021-0.97%0.0059✓0.964.7M2022-08-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3420.341166-0.24%0.335-2.05%0.0168✓1.03794k2022-08-01
XEMNEMnative0.0494080.04929-0.24%0.051446+4.12%0.0445✗1.1938k2022-08-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12840.128099-0.23%0.1255-2.26%0.0191✓0.995,2722022-08-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.17961.0387-0.23%60.676-0.82%0.0047✓0.85369k2022-08-01
DIADIAEthereum0.4620.460943-0.23%0.48714+5.44%0.0564✗0.7863k2022-08-01
BORABORAKlay Token0.323170.322431-0.23%0.34549+6.91%0.0710✗1.3111k2022-08-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08840.088205-0.22%0.0858-2.94%0.0260✓1.18146k2022-08-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.6793.6711-0.21%3.849+4.62%0.0482✗0.591.6M2022-08-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.77522.7693-0.21%2.9451+6.12%0.0627✗0.77978k2022-08-01
AVTAventusEthereum1.541.5368-0.21%1.56+1.30%0.0153✗0.22268k2022-08-01
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06690.066759-0.21%0.0674+0.75%0.0109✗0.96229k2022-08-01
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9860.98396-0.21%1.08+9.53%0.0941✗0.701.3M2022-08-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07921.0769-0.21%1.0779-0.11%0.0024✗1.0313k2022-08-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.23.1936-0.20%2.86-10.62%0.1081✓1.52192k2022-08-01
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024970.002492-0.20%0.002429-2.72%0.0242✓1.001.9M2022-08-01
FISStafiEthereum0.38580.38503-0.20%–pending––0.941922022-08-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16740.167069-0.20%0.172+2.75%0.0309✗1.25475k2022-08-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.31791.3154-0.19%1.3062-0.89%0.0048✓1.505.6M2022-08-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.19622.192-0.19%2.2681+3.28%0.0359✗1.2326k2022-08-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.80.798484-0.19%0.731-8.63%0.0862✓1.4980k2022-08-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4640.463142-0.18%0.471+1.51%0.0189✗1.47273k2022-08-01
KSMKusamaHydration63.863.6821-0.18%64.23+0.67%0.0103✗1.18303k2022-08-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.1984.1903-0.18%4.364+3.95%0.0415✗0.581.2M2022-08-01
UMAUMAEthereum2.872.8648-0.18%2.96+3.14%0.0343✗1.11619k2022-08-01
SOLSolanaSolana42.3842.3038-0.18%41.67-1.68%0.0131✓1.3681.1M2022-08-01
COMPCompoundEthereum57.0456.9388-0.18%58.9+3.26%0.0359✗1.3932k2022-08-01
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5280.527075-0.18%0.519-1.70%0.0138✓1.1513k2022-08-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03860.038534-0.17%0.0413+6.99%0.0711✗1.2268k2022-08-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.120494-0.17%0.1207+0.00%0.0032✗1.06352k2022-08-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6140.612972-0.17%0.646+5.21%0.0545✗1.4086k2022-08-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05870.058603-0.16%0.0612+4.26%0.0452✗1.30787k2022-08-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.3314.3068-0.16%14.18-1.05%0.0069✓1.421.7M2022-08-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.54221.5397-0.16%1.5747+2.11%0.0245✗1.45589k2022-08-01
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.096250.096102-0.15%0.09236-4.04%0.0394✓0.241.1M2022-08-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7620.760837-0.15%0.772+1.31%0.0160✗0.98360k2022-08-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.713.7043-0.15%3.934+6.04%0.0612✗0.721.3M2022-08-01
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.206684-0.15%0.207+0.00%0.0035✗1.401,1792022-08-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.5211.5038-0.14%11.25-2.34%0.0206✓1.21241k2022-08-01
HIVEHivenative0.53010.529361-0.14%0.7745+46.10%0.3822✗1.161.4M2022-08-01
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.72362.7199-0.14%2.7968+2.69%0.0293✗0.981.0M2022-08-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.0618.0354-0.14%17.88-1.00%0.0067✓1.351.3M2022-08-01
DASHDashDash51.1751.1069-0.12%49.75-2.78%0.0253✓1.11574k2022-08-01
XVSVenusEthereum6.386.3725-0.12%6.51+2.04%0.0234✗1.401.0M2022-08-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.049060.049003-0.12%0.05169+5.36%0.0547✗0.9015k2022-08-01
MANADecentralandEthereum0.976480.975371-0.11%1.0163+4.08%0.0430✗1.32487k2022-08-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.7659.6926-0.11%59.47-0.49%0.0021✓1.1613.5M2022-08-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011720.000011708-0.11%0.00001197+2.13%0.0239✗1.23951k2022-08-01
C98Coin98Ethereum0.50440.503869-0.11%0.4966-1.55%0.0129✓1.1245k2022-08-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash139.37139.236-0.10%137.87-1.08%0.0081✓1.194.2M2022-08-01
XTZTezosTezos1.74081.7392-0.09%1.8199+4.54%0.0472✗1.26492k2022-08-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0480.047956-0.09%0.0483+0.63%0.0091✗1.337,5232022-08-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.044190.04415-0.09%0.04618+4.50%0.0463✗0.962,3002022-08-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07160.071537-0.09%0.0641-10.47%0.1086✓0.82148k2022-08-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1280.127889-0.09%0.1236-3.44%0.0321✓1.382.6M2022-08-01
ZECZcashZcash64.3964.3342-0.09%62.87-2.36%0.0212✓1.251.5M2022-08-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.06290.062846-0.09%0.0602-4.29%0.0410✓1.40339k2022-08-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.6338.6256-0.09%8.18-5.25%0.0513✓1.249.4M2022-08-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.685.6753-0.08%6.1+7.39%0.0731✗0.66588k2022-08-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31750.317244-0.08%0.336+5.83%0.0591✗1.193.0M2022-08-01
ADACardanoCardano0.51650.516091-0.08%0.5128-0.72%0.0046✓1.2541.9M2022-08-01
XYMSymbolnative0.0570680.057023-0.08%0.057234+0.29%0.0046✗0.6022k2022-08-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017510.00175-0.08%0.001697-3.08%0.0291✓1.0216k2022-08-01
GALAGALAEthereum0.0570.056957-0.08%0.0648+13.68%0.1311✗1.43152k2022-08-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05420.05416-0.07%0.0532-1.85%0.0161✓1.25269k2022-08-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.35710.3496-0.07%10.399+0.41%0.0067✗1.3714.4M2022-08-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62480.624354-0.07%0.6196-0.83%0.0060✓1.15624k2022-08-01
API3Api3Ethereum1.9481.9466-0.07%2.022+3.80%0.0398✗1.27637k2022-08-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.075.0665-0.07%5.81+14.60%0.1378✗0.61668k2022-08-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.068140.068094-0.07%0.068721+0.85%0.0108✗1.151.7M2022-08-01
AAVEAaveEthereum97.6397.5692-0.06%96.58-1.08%0.0078✓1.6610.2M2022-08-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56270.56238-0.06%0.5574-0.94%0.0073✓1.14350k2022-08-01
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7730.772574-0.06%0.793+2.59%0.0279✗1.23212k2022-08-01
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.261064-0.05%0.2618+0.23%0.0028✗0.0128k2022-08-01
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.70e-7-0.05%9.60e-7-1.03%0.0084✓1.0024k2022-08-01
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09670.096657-0.04%0.0951-1.65%0.0145✓1.216,7862022-08-01
NANOnanopayBase1.01361.0132-0.04%1.0185+0.48%0.0066✗0.9658k2022-08-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159540.015947-0.04%0.015017-5.87%0.0588✓0.881.2M2022-08-01
STXStacksnative0.43890.438721-0.04%0.4613+5.10%0.0520✗1.24643k2022-08-01
DODODODOEthereum0.17320.173132-0.04%0.1776+2.54%0.0273✗1.263.4M2022-08-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.12190.121853-0.04%0.1494+22.56%0.2054✗1.10685k2022-08-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.381.3796-0.03%1.423+3.12%0.0328✗1.282.4M2022-08-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.10960.109569-0.03%0.1162+6.02%0.0606✗1.30472k2022-08-01
XMRMoneroMonero155.01154.9726-0.02%160.69+3.66%0.0378✗1.101.3M2022-08-01
IMXImmutableEthereum1.08221.082-0.02%1.0789-0.30%0.0008✓1.411.4M2022-08-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8113.8102-0.02%3.877+1.73%0.0187✗0.89754k2022-08-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021210.021205-0.02%0.02156+1.65%0.0181✗1.03159k2022-08-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.400650.400565-0.02%0.41938+4.67%0.0476✗1.21113k2022-08-01
GLMGolemEthereum0.26330.263249-0.02%0.277+5.20%0.0525✗1.0865k2022-08-01
SUSHISushiEthereum1.441.4397-0.02%1.42-1.39%0.0117✓1.441.1M2022-08-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.7523.7466-0.01%23.59-0.67%0.0043✓1.5927.5M2022-08-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.426660.426605-0.01%0.4128-3.25%0.0309✓1.39592k2022-08-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031290.003129-0.01%0.003256+4.06%0.0414✗1.01999k2022-08-01
BANDBandEthereum1.6811.6809-0.01%1.718+2.20%0.0239✗1.45327k2022-08-01
QNTQuantEthereum102.61102.6036-0.01%103.46+0.83%0.0098✗1.014.2M2022-08-01
ETHEthereumEthereum1,679.311,679.25-0.00%1,630.82-2.89%0.0275✓1.26387.0M2022-08-01
QTUMQtumQtum4.06894.0689+0.00%4.1461+1.90%0.0204✓1.0934k2022-08-01
STEEMSteemnative0.25630.256307+0.00%0.2657+3.67%0.0376✓1.13701k2022-08-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23390.233931+0.01%0.2307-1.37%0.0118✗1.4897k2022-08-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030290.030295+0.02%0.03204+5.78%0.0578✓1.2414k2022-08-01
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3278.3283+0.02%8.365+0.46%0.0064✓1.408.2M2022-08-01
FTTFTXEthereum30.3930.3951+0.02%30.75+1.18%0.0130✓0.9510.2M2022-08-01
SCSiacoinnative0.004560.004561+0.02%0.00478+4.82%0.0488✓1.31112k2022-08-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.19.102+0.02%9.85+8.24%0.0797✓0.531.4M2022-08-01
ZENHorizenBase18.9518.9544+0.02%18.16-4.17%0.0408✗1.37116k2022-08-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010870.001087+0.03%0.001096+0.85%0.0100✓1.281.5M2022-08-01
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13560.135643+0.03%0.1438+6.05%0.0602✓1.2855k2022-08-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.667.6625+0.03%7.574-1.12%0.0098✗1.2616.2M2022-08-01
GTGateEthereum4.45154.453+0.03%4.4164-0.79%0.0072✗0.73920k2022-08-01
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3081.3085+0.04%1.323+1.15%0.0128✓1.241.2M2022-08-01
BTTCBTTC9.80e-79.80e-7+0.04%9.70e-7-1.02%0.0094✗0.836.1M2022-08-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.01035.0124+0.04%5.19+3.59%0.0351✓0.21210k2022-08-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33610.336241+0.04%0.3424+1.87%0.0198✓1.137.7M2022-08-01
TRXTRONTron0.0689340.068963+0.04%0.069972+1.51%0.0156✓0.77373k2022-08-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.166050.166126+0.05%0.16541-0.39%0.0021✗1.54207k2022-08-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.00910.009104+0.05%0.00842-7.47%0.0768✗0.921.6M2022-08-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.17851.1792+0.06%1.246+5.72%0.0566✓1.0643k2022-08-01
METISMetisEthereum34.6134.6309+0.06%33.62-2.86%0.0268✗1.94229k2022-08-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24990.250086+0.07%0.2631+5.28%0.0525✓1.2399k2022-08-01
NEXONEXOEthereum0.710.71064+0.09%0.727+2.39%0.0245✓1.22776k2022-08-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006770.006776+0.09%0.00665-1.77%0.0180✗0.5439k2022-08-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.15080.150951+0.10%0.1647+9.22%0.0890✓1.2490k2022-08-01
KCSKuCoinnative10.0510.0602+0.10%9.963-0.87%0.0082✗1.082.4M2022-08-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30590.306231+0.11%0.3238+5.85%0.0574✓1.1375k2022-08-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.536.5401+0.11%35.02-4.05%0.0405✗1.415.4M2022-08-01
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030560.030596+0.12%0.03001-1.80%0.0175✗1.311,3342022-08-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,307.4423,335.50+0.12%23,273.86-0.14%0.0012✓1.00414.2M2022-08-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41870.419207+0.12%0.4239+1.24%0.0130✓1.33112k2022-08-01
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5972.6002+0.12%2.565-1.23%0.0111✗1.7592k2022-08-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2140.214268+0.13%0.221+3.27%0.0331✓1.51803k2022-08-01
XVGVergenative0.003710.003715+0.13%0.00375+1.08%0.0113✓1.31570k2022-08-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1176240.117774+0.13%0.118304+0.58%0.0059✓0.996.8M2022-08-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3662.3694+0.14%2.435+2.92%0.0286✓0.92105k2022-08-01
XECeCashnative0.000043840.000043904+0.15%0.00004514+2.97%0.0294✓1.161.9M2022-08-01
PROPropyEthereum0.760.761268+0.17%0.78+2.63%0.0252✓0.6079k2022-08-01
UOSUltraEthereum0.312690.31339+0.22%0.30912-1.14%0.0120✗1.17398k2022-08-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062840.006302+0.29%0.006321+0.59%0.0043✓0.909,1592022-08-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06780.068027+0.33%0.0705+3.98%0.0373✓1.07432k2022-08-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.