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2022-07-29 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2278
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.17%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
51.9%
in alpha space · 53.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.56%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.8431.8051-2.06%1.809-1.84%0.0134✓1.971.1M2022-07-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.3933.3328-1.78%3.0897-8.94%0.0707✓0.891.0M2022-07-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011340.011148-1.69%0.01027-9.44%0.0749✓1.26355k2022-07-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.088.9547-1.38%8.06-11.23%0.0976✓1.36256k2022-07-30
XVSVenusEthereum7.647.5383-1.33%6.76-11.52%0.1011✓1.401.0M2022-07-30
ORCAOrcaSolana0.96780.956723-1.14%0.9743+0.67%0.0274✗1.63205k2022-07-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,870.2710,755.28-1.06%11,772.20+8.30%0.0982✗1.394.0M2022-07-30
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.079620.078812-1.02%0.08494+6.68%0.0834✗1.50768k2022-07-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.5212.3996-0.96%11.6-7.35%0.0598✓1.22241k2022-07-30
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0532.0351-0.87%1.966-4.24%0.0264✓1.43220k2022-07-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.95162.9282-0.79%2.8314-4.07%0.0292✓0.77941k2022-07-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8880.882557-0.61%0.884-0.45%0.0114✗1.735.2M2022-07-30
FORTFortaEthereum0.32080.318841-0.61%0.2969-7.45%0.0649✓1.13309k2022-07-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum23.4423.3023-0.59%32.03+36.65%0.3260✗1.38534k2022-07-30
APEApeCoinEthereum6.676.6314-0.58%6.697+0.40%0.0194✗1.6911.5M2022-07-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4117.3139-0.55%17.19-1.26%0.0022✓0.882.4M2022-07-30
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.18350.182507-0.54%0.19234+4.82%0.0656✗2.321,1272022-07-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.044.0182-0.54%3.647-9.73%0.0871✓1.743.8M2022-07-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021890.021775-0.53%0.022198+1.41%0.0248✗0.989,0542022-07-30
LUNATerraTerra 20.0000990.000098489-0.52%0.00009812-0.89%0.0074✗1.96646k2022-07-30
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8330.828758-0.51%0.84+0.84%0.0219✗1.482,9182022-07-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.5340.3291-0.50%39.48-2.59%0.0133✓1.411.3M2022-07-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.5214.4986-0.50%5.319+17.65%0.1706✗0.542.0M2022-07-30
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83212.8187-0.47%2.7137-4.18%0.0324✓0.98917k2022-07-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.694.6679-0.47%4.53-3.41%0.0260✓0.71759k2022-07-30
ELAElastosEthereum1.8611.8523-0.47%1.82-2.20%0.0140✓0.63223k2022-07-30
QTUMQtumQtum4.664.6383-0.47%4.3212-7.27%0.0646✓1.0932k2022-07-30
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8482.835-0.46%2.804-1.54%0.0029✓1.4243k2022-07-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.545.5154-0.44%5.59+0.90%0.0169✗0.62786k2022-07-30
GITCOINGITCOIN3.02553.012-0.44%2.816-6.92%0.0584✓1.5711k2022-07-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8613.8441-0.44%3.749-2.90%0.0217✓0.601.5M2022-07-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV65.86965.5873-0.43%62.68-4.84%0.0405✓0.85398k2022-07-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.088030.08766-0.42%0.08165-7.25%0.0635✓1.3428k2022-07-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97060.966585-0.41%0.9505-2.07%0.0117✓0.903.9M2022-07-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4394.4208-0.41%4.24-4.48%0.0384✓0.591.2M2022-07-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.8033.7879-0.40%3.684-3.13%0.0238✓0.70670k2022-07-30
RADRadworksEthereum2.622.6098-0.39%2.41-8.02%0.0735✓1.07175k2022-07-30
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11261.1084-0.38%1.1112-0.12%0.0084✗1.0412k2022-07-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.12920.128718-0.37%0.1267-1.93%0.0096✓1.10617k2022-07-30
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2230.222189-0.36%0.2186-1.97%0.0084✓1.391,0652022-07-30
UMAUMAEthereum2.9682.9575-0.35%2.96-0.27%0.0071✗1.11619k2022-07-30
GMTGMTEthereum0.9820.978662-0.34%0.976-0.61%0.0072✗1.76516k2022-07-30
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.029960.02986-0.33%0.03319+10.78%0.1144✗1.5311.5M2022-07-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.955.9303-0.33%5.64-5.21%0.0464✓0.66554k2022-07-30
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.52130.51959-0.33%0.571+9.53%0.1000✗1.00234k2022-07-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1310.130578-0.32%0.1271-2.98%0.0214✓0.995,4502022-07-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.068.0345-0.32%8.278+2.70%0.0370✗1.255.5M2022-07-30
STORJStorjEthereum0.668590.666579-0.30%0.67643+1.17%0.0233✗1.5279k2022-07-30
DIADIAEthereum0.485590.484137-0.30%0.46142-4.98%0.0437✓0.7855k2022-07-30
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077660.077431-0.29%0.07785+0.24%0.0096✗0.741,2712022-07-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.28132.2749-0.28%2.2546-1.17%0.0019✓1.2424k2022-07-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.9840.981292-0.28%0.98-0.41%0.0053✗1.171.2M2022-07-30
CBKCobakEthereum1.04531.0424-0.27%1.0495+0.41%0.0131✗1.109,6842022-07-30
FISStafiEthereum0.40.398933-0.27%0.4352+8.80%0.0922✗0.922142022-07-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.661.6556-0.26%1.64-1.20%0.0017✓1.38114k2022-07-30
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.56e-7-0.26%3.60e-7+0.78%0.0157✗0.94193k2022-07-30
AVTAventusEthereum1.571.5659-0.26%1.51-3.82%0.0350✓0.24268k2022-07-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.42951.4259-0.26%1.3586-4.96%0.0398✓1.506.1M2022-07-30
BORABORAKlay Token0.320010.319195-0.25%0.31775-0.71%0.0029✗1.3111k2022-07-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.155.1369-0.25%5.03-2.33%0.0176✓0.61587k2022-07-30
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.163.1521-0.25%3.19+0.95%0.0148✗0.5082k2022-07-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12730.126982-0.25%0.1319+3.61%0.0458✗1.372.5M2022-07-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.659.6266-0.24%9.15-5.18%0.0478✓0.521.0M2022-07-30
FLOWFlownative1.8661.8615-0.24%1.923+3.05%0.0397✗1.27382k2022-07-30
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.067243-0.23%0.072+6.82%0.0738✗0.96183k2022-07-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16430.163919-0.23%0.1684+2.50%0.0341✗1.25411k2022-07-30
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.034050.033973-0.23%0.02975-12.63%0.1253✓1.311,3182022-07-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.2618.2194-0.22%19.12+4.71%0.0559✗1.351.3M2022-07-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash151.84151.5209-0.21%145.47-4.20%0.0340✓1.193.9M2022-07-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47250.471511-0.21%0.4587-2.92%0.0192✓1.47220k2022-07-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05480.054688-0.20%0.0535-2.37%0.0150✓1.24263k2022-07-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62090.619642-0.20%0.5914-4.75%0.0401✓1.16624k2022-07-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08870.088528-0.19%0.0893+0.68%0.0154✗1.19155k2022-07-30
COMPCompoundEthereum58.6958.577-0.19%58.23-0.78%0.0019✓1.3928k2022-07-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13520.134946-0.19%0.1457+7.77%0.0823✗0.993.5M2022-07-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56510.564053-0.19%0.57+0.87%0.0169✗1.14350k2022-07-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3862.3816-0.18%2.328-2.43%0.0147✓1.42169k2022-07-30
XEMNEMnative0.0497230.049634-0.18%0.04912-1.21%0.0037✓1.1935k2022-07-30
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.019090.019056-0.18%0.020876+9.36%0.0940✗0.49165k2022-07-30
MOVRMoonriverBase14.214.1753-0.17%14.7008+3.53%0.0431✗1.1870k2022-07-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.1730.172704-0.17%0.16614-3.97%0.0300✓1.54207k2022-07-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,827.5023,786.78-0.17%24,608.20+3.28%0.0395✗0.9819k2022-07-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03880.038737-0.16%0.0385-0.77%0.0008✓1.2268k2022-07-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.61461.612-0.16%1.5866-1.73%0.0078✓1.43609k2022-07-30
WOOWOOEthereum0.20330.202981-0.16%0.2293+12.79%0.1297✗1.371,5612022-07-30
IMXImmutableEthereum1.0611.0594-0.15%1.187+11.88%0.1218✗1.421.4M2022-07-30
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8840.882663-0.15%1.059+19.80%0.1861✗0.711.3M2022-07-30
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018940.018912-0.15%0.01867-1.43%0.0086✓0.75258k2022-07-30
KSMKusamaHydration63.8763.7762-0.15%63.1-1.21%0.0040✓1.18257k2022-07-30
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.09350.093366-0.14%0.09058-3.12%0.0288✓0.26910k2022-07-30
MANADecentralandEthereum0.971150.969799-0.14%1.0088+3.88%0.0470✗1.33431k2022-07-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.6314.6097-0.14%14.76+0.89%0.0184✗1.451.6M2022-07-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8513.8457-0.14%3.791-1.56%0.0093✓0.88754k2022-07-30
UNIUniswapEthereum9.0859.0726-0.14%8.78-3.36%0.0249✓1.407.0M2022-07-30
XYMSymbolnative0.0561280.056056-0.13%0.057834+3.04%0.0347✗0.6120k2022-07-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6030.602257-0.12%0.627+3.98%0.0482✗1.4084k2022-07-30
SOLSolanaSolana41.9441.8904-0.12%43.84+4.53%0.0532✗1.3681.8M2022-07-30
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7710.77011-0.12%0.802+4.02%0.0491✗1.5080k2022-07-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7630.76214-0.11%0.766+0.39%0.0106✗0.99360k2022-07-30
DASHDashDash50.6150.5542-0.11%50.71+0.20%0.0094✗1.11594k2022-07-30
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5290.52845-0.10%0.505-4.54%0.0389✓1.1513k2022-07-30
ZECZcashZcash63.563.4349-0.10%65.13+2.57%0.0335✗1.261.5M2022-07-30
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07950.079428-0.09%0.078-1.89%0.0135✓0.83148k2022-07-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05580.055751-0.09%0.0586+5.02%0.0572✗1.30787k2022-07-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.7160.6574-0.09%60.47-0.40%0.0035✗1.1613.5M2022-07-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11720.117099-0.09%0.1179+0.60%0.0129✗1.07352k2022-07-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.17111.1622-0.08%10.71-4.13%0.0336✓1.3715.1M2022-07-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011740.000011731-0.08%0.00001193+1.62%0.0238✗1.24951k2022-07-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047210.04718-0.06%0.04725+0.08%0.0066✗0.9015k2022-07-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.972.9682-0.06%2.86-3.70%0.0285✓1.53192k2022-07-30
NANOnanopayBase0.9929390.992354-0.06%1.0146+2.18%0.0276✗0.9758k2022-07-30
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49820.497912-0.06%0.507+1.77%0.0244✗1.1242k2022-07-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0689470.068912-0.05%0.069575+0.91%0.0161✗1.151.7M2022-07-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.06260.062568-0.05%0.0641+2.40%0.0321✗1.40339k2022-07-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021770.021759-0.05%0.0215-1.24%0.0061✓1.03149k2022-07-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.8877.8831-0.05%7.823-0.81%0.0005✓1.2616.2M2022-07-30
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.4993-0.05%1.49-0.67%0.0019✗1.441.0M2022-07-30
DODODODOEthereum0.17280.172729-0.04%0.171-1.04%0.0029✓1.262.9M2022-07-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.1868.1828-0.04%8.212+0.32%0.0106✗1.259.4M2022-07-30
XTZTezosTezos1.70931.7086-0.04%1.8172+6.31%0.0687✗1.25492k2022-07-30
GALAGALAEthereum0.05490.054879-0.04%0.0557+1.46%0.0230✗1.44119k2022-07-30
HIVEHivenative0.53710.536894-0.04%0.5275-1.79%0.0111✓1.161.5M2022-07-30
BANDBandEthereum1.6741.6734-0.04%1.795+7.23%0.0784✗1.45316k2022-07-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408430.408284-0.04%0.40553-0.71%0.0001✓1.21118k2022-07-30
STXStacksnative0.43040.430275-0.03%0.4303-0.02%0.0071✗1.25606k2022-07-30
ADACardanoCardano0.52220.522052-0.03%0.5267+0.86%0.0159✗1.2543.2M2022-07-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3491.3487-0.03%1.378+2.15%0.0287✗1.272.4M2022-07-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003160.00316-0.01%0.003172+0.38%0.0096✗1.00999k2022-07-30
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04580.045794-0.01%0.0452-1.31%0.0055✓1.347,1312022-07-30
AAVEAaveEthereum95.695.5885-0.01%95.26-0.36%0.0060✗1.6610.0M2022-07-30
MINAMina Protocolnative0.760.759941-0.01%0.793+4.34%0.0496✗1.24205k2022-07-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3090.308982-0.01%0.3165+2.43%0.0308✗1.192.8M2022-07-30
API3Api3Ethereum1.8711.8709-0.00%1.931+3.21%0.0388✗1.27626k2022-07-30
FTTFTXEthereum31.0931.089-0.00%31.11+0.06%0.0061✗0.9510.8M2022-07-30
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.261492-0.00%0.2612-0.11%0.0011✓0.0130k2022-07-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.5124.5126+0.01%24.25-1.06%0.0017✗1.5927.5M2022-07-30
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.60e-7+0.02%9.60e-7+0.00%0.0055✓1.0025k2022-07-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.429780.429854+0.02%0.43188+0.49%0.0126✓1.39592k2022-07-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029850.029856+0.02%0.02978-0.23%0.0045✓1.2514k2022-07-30
XMRMoneroMonero160.25160.2824+0.02%155.85-2.75%0.0218✗1.101.3M2022-07-30
ZENHorizenBase18.1318.1338+0.02%17.72-2.26%0.0153✗1.38108k2022-07-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009410.009412+0.02%0.00961+2.13%0.0263✓0.974.7M2022-07-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33680.336881+0.02%0.338+0.36%0.0098✓1.147.7M2022-07-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.10810.108127+0.02%0.1098+1.57%0.0228✓1.31491k2022-07-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043230.043241+0.03%0.04302-0.49%0.0003✓0.962,4262022-07-30
GLMGolemEthereum0.25160.251677+0.03%0.2565+1.95%0.0251✓1.0863k2022-07-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150550.01506+0.03%0.015613+3.71%0.0411✓0.881.2M2022-07-30
TRXTRONTron0.0692960.069321+0.04%0.069034-0.38%0.0003✓0.79376k2022-07-30
METISMetisEthereum36.7236.7343+0.04%34.49-6.07%0.0521✗1.93194k2022-07-30
ETHEthereumEthereum1,722.251,722.92+0.04%1,698.01-1.41%0.0074✗1.26387.0M2022-07-30
QNTQuantEthereum106.29106.3324+0.04%106.35+0.06%0.0059✓1.024.2M2022-07-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17315.1756+0.05%5.0516-2.35%0.0231✗0.21210k2022-07-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23720.237317+0.05%0.2356-0.67%0.0011✓1.4892k2022-07-30
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3281.3287+0.05%1.338+0.75%0.0140✓1.241.2M2022-07-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015070.001508+0.05%0.001644+9.09%0.0922✓1.0116k2022-07-30
STEEMSteemnative0.24760.24774+0.06%0.2512+1.45%0.0203✓1.14643k2022-07-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.008920.008926+0.07%0.00901+1.01%0.0146✓0.911.6M2022-07-30
PROPropyEthereum0.790.790534+0.07%0.75-5.06%0.0492✗0.6179k2022-07-30
GTGateEthereum4.39224.3952+0.07%4.4444+1.19%0.0152✓0.72986k2022-07-30
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42260.422927+0.08%0.4312+2.04%0.0270✓1.34104k2022-07-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010830.001084+0.09%0.001097+1.30%0.0193✓1.291.6M2022-07-30
LSKLiskEthereum1.12781.1288+0.09%1.1419+1.26%0.0176✓1.0643k2022-07-30
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12980.12992+0.09%0.1314+1.23%0.0186✓1.2849k2022-07-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5372.5394+0.09%2.467-2.76%0.0237✗0.92105k2022-07-30
BTTCBTTC9.50e-79.51e-7+0.09%9.40e-7-1.05%0.0068✗0.845.9M2022-07-30
SCSiacoinnative0.004390.004394+0.09%0.00437-0.46%0.0019✓1.32103k2022-07-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.14940.149554+0.10%0.1478-1.07%0.0048✗1.2488k2022-07-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069910.006999+0.11%0.006972-0.27%0.0008✓0.5339k2022-07-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3311780.331543+0.11%0.348763+5.31%0.0580✓1.291.0M2022-07-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24430.244607+0.13%0.2435-0.33%0.0024✓1.23101k2022-07-30
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062090.006217+0.13%0.006149-0.97%0.0060✗0.897,2112022-07-30
KCSKuCoinnative10.19710.2108+0.13%10.183-0.14%0.0034✓1.092.6M2022-07-30
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7150.715972+0.14%0.724+1.26%0.0180✓1.21806k2022-07-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.9665.9744+0.14%8.034+34.66%0.3023✓1.082.1M2022-07-30
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0870.087127+0.15%0.0874+0.46%0.0100✓1.216,3652022-07-30
XECeCashnative0.000044990.000045057+0.15%0.00004418-1.80%0.0131✗1.171.8M2022-07-30
XLMStellarStellar0.1177330.117917+0.16%0.119668+1.64%0.0204✓1.006.8M2022-07-30
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29210.292594+0.17%0.2881-1.37%0.0091✗1.1375k2022-07-30
XVGVergenative0.003660.003666+0.17%0.00363-0.82%0.0025✗1.31539k2022-07-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,784.5023,827.07+0.18%23,650.13-0.56%0.0018✗1.00439.9M2022-07-30
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7122.7169+0.18%2.627-3.13%0.0237✗1.7692k2022-07-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2150.215392+0.18%0.216+0.47%0.0114✓1.51786k2022-07-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3030.303699+0.23%0.309+1.98%0.0232✓1.04766k2022-07-30
UOSUltraEthereum0.315140.316111+0.31%0.3215+2.02%0.0235✓1.17407k2022-07-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06920.069455+0.37%0.0671-3.03%0.0285✗1.07308k2022-07-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.