8=======>

2022-07-28 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0609
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.05%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
42.2%
in alpha space · 46.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.28%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011460.011181-2.44%0.01134-1.05%0.0177✓1.27352k2022-07-29
OPTIMOptimism1.4481.4243-1.63%1.843+27.28%0.2632✗1.971.1M2022-07-29
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.228.1161-1.26%9.08+10.46%0.1161✗1.36256k2022-07-29
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97640.964623-1.21%0.9678-0.88%0.0079✓1.64209k2022-07-29
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0111.8747-1.13%12.52+4.25%0.0564✗1.22241k2022-07-29
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.8340.4166-1.01%40.53-0.73%0.0068✓1.421.3M2022-07-29
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.072110.071444-0.92%0.07962+10.41%0.1126✗1.52768k2022-07-29
RADRadworksEthereum2.792.7651-0.89%2.62-6.09%0.0509✓1.08175k2022-07-29
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1354.1011-0.82%4.04-2.30%0.0101✓1.753.8M2022-07-29
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8450.838358-0.79%0.888+5.09%0.0624✗1.745.2M2022-07-29
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7832.7616-0.77%2.848+2.34%0.0349✗1.4443k2022-07-29
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21920.217533-0.76%0.223+1.73%0.0287✗1.391,1792022-07-29
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,140.609,077.01-0.70%10,870.27+18.92%0.1842✗1.384.0M2022-07-29
FORTFortaEthereum0.29510.293178-0.65%0.3208+8.71%0.0932✗1.13323k2022-07-29
APEApeCoinEthereum6.9246.879-0.65%6.67-3.67%0.0261✓1.6811.5M2022-07-29
QTUMQtumQtum4.48454.4571-0.61%4.66+3.91%0.0476✗1.1028k2022-07-29
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.30992.2961-0.60%2.2813-1.24%0.0030✓1.2524k2022-07-29
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084060.083571-0.58%0.08803+4.72%0.0558✗1.3428k2022-07-29
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8460.841132-0.58%0.833-1.54%0.0055✓1.503,1392022-07-29
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4317.3317-0.56%17.41-0.11%0.0070✗0.882.4M2022-07-29
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100260.000099728-0.53%0.000099-1.26%0.0018✓1.95662k2022-07-29
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218760.021763-0.52%0.02189+0.06%0.0086✗0.988,3682022-07-29
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.275.2434-0.51%5.54+5.12%0.0568✗0.62786k2022-07-29
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.183560.182656-0.49%0.1835-0.03%0.0112✗2.321,1272022-07-29
GITCOINGITCOIN2.84362.8298-0.49%3.0255+6.40%0.0714✗1.5810k2022-07-29
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash155.69154.94-0.48%151.84-2.47%0.0168✓1.193.9M2022-07-29
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11731.112-0.48%1.1126-0.42%0.0035✓1.0312k2022-07-29
FISStafiEthereum0.43520.433334-0.43%0.4-8.09%0.0775✓0.912142022-07-29
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.54481.5382-0.42%1.4295-7.46%0.0690✓1.515.6M2022-07-29
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9780.974021-0.41%0.9706-0.76%0.0009✓0.913.9M2022-07-29
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.028.984-0.40%9.65+6.98%0.0730✗0.53918k2022-07-29
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8531.8457-0.39%2.053+10.79%0.1105✗1.44217k2022-07-29
UNIUniswapEthereum9.2759.2385-0.39%9.085-2.05%0.0128✓1.416.7M2022-07-29
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.1362.8844-0.39%65.869+4.34%0.0488✗0.85386k2022-07-29
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.574-0.38%1.57-0.63%0.0018✓0.26283k2022-07-29
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.273.2587-0.34%3.16-3.36%0.0294✓0.5082k2022-07-29
GMTGMTEthereum1.0121.0085-0.34%0.982-2.96%0.0216✓1.77551k2022-07-29
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030570.030465-0.34%0.03405+11.38%0.1149✗1.311,3002022-07-29
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1164.1022-0.34%4.521+9.84%0.0988✗0.552.0M2022-07-29
CBKCobakEthereum1.0441.041-0.30%1.0453+0.12%0.0073✗1.119,1202022-07-29
FLOWFlownative1.8761.8707-0.28%1.866-0.53%0.0011✓1.27413k2022-07-29
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0209380.020879-0.28%0.01909-8.83%0.0882✓0.51165k2022-07-29
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16450.164039-0.28%0.1643-0.12%0.0051✗1.26411k2022-07-29
NANOnanopayBase0.9965430.993794-0.28%0.992939-0.36%0.0019✓0.9857k2022-07-29
BORABORAKlay Token0.317510.316641-0.27%0.32001+0.79%0.0143✗1.3111k2022-07-29
STORJStorjEthereum0.671380.669545-0.27%0.66859-0.42%0.0029✗1.5379k2022-07-29
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12160.121275-0.27%0.131+7.73%0.0799✗1.005,8712022-07-29
BANDBandEthereum1.7561.7513-0.27%1.674-4.67%0.0410✓1.46316k2022-07-29
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.48290.481615-0.27%0.5213+7.95%0.0820✗1.00224k2022-07-29
SUSHISushiEthereum1.571.566-0.26%1.5-4.46%0.0389✓1.451.0M2022-07-29
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.115.0618-0.25%14.63-3.11%0.0251✓1.421.5M2022-07-29
UMAUMAEthereum2.8642.8568-0.25%2.968+3.63%0.0413✗1.10597k2022-07-29
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.34.2893-0.25%4.69+9.07%0.0913✗0.72685k2022-07-29
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.075340.075153-0.25%0.07766+3.08%0.0349✗0.741,3772022-07-29
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.64e-73.63e-7-0.25%3.57e-7-1.72%0.0122✓0.96195k2022-07-29
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.32022.3145-0.25%3.393+46.24%0.3851✗0.90979k2022-07-29
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8840.881871-0.24%0.884+0.00%0.0044✗0.711.2M2022-07-29
KSMKusamaHydration65.4465.283-0.24%63.87-2.40%0.0185✓1.19244k2022-07-29
COMPCompoundEthereum57.9757.8319-0.24%58.69+1.24%0.0187✗1.3932k2022-07-29
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.94160.939362-0.24%0.984+4.50%0.0498✗1.181.2M2022-07-29
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7730.771208-0.23%0.763-1.29%0.0079✓1.00360k2022-07-29
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4072.4015-0.23%2.386-0.87%0.0024✓1.43160k2022-07-29
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13590.135594-0.23%0.1352-0.52%0.0001✓1.013.2M2022-07-29
DIADIAEthereum0.446410.44544-0.22%0.48559+8.78%0.0885✗0.7853k2022-07-29
DASHDashDash52.4852.3665-0.22%50.61-3.56%0.0310✓1.12594k2022-07-29
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.46540.464421-0.21%0.4725+1.53%0.0214✗1.48220k2022-07-29
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.872.8641-0.21%2.97+3.48%0.0407✗1.54192k2022-07-29
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03870.03862-0.21%0.0388+0.26%0.0081✗1.2368k2022-07-29
ELAElastosEthereum1.7091.7055-0.20%1.861+8.89%0.0891✗0.65223k2022-07-29
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06550.065368-0.20%0.0674+2.90%0.0333✗0.96183k2022-07-29
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6120.610793-0.20%0.603-1.47%0.0089✓1.4184k2022-07-29
MOVRMoonriverBase14.286314.2582-0.20%14.2-0.60%0.0007✓1.1970k2022-07-29
ZECZcashZcash63.6463.5188-0.19%63.5-0.22%0.0033✗1.271.5M2022-07-29
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,875.3023,831.07-0.19%23,827.50-0.20%0.0026✗0.9819k2022-07-29
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.4363.3147-0.18%60.71-4.29%0.0387✓1.1613.5M2022-07-29
XEMNEMnative0.0492890.049203-0.17%0.049723+0.88%0.0139✗1.1832k2022-07-29
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08460.084453-0.17%0.0887+4.85%0.0524✗1.20155k2022-07-29
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.5618.5279-0.17%23.44+26.29%0.2391✗1.39534k2022-07-29
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.094340.094179-0.17%0.0935-0.89%0.0065✓0.26859k2022-07-29
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.365.3509-0.17%5.95+11.01%0.1080✗0.67514k2022-07-29
MANADecentralandEthereum0.980390.978728-0.17%0.97115-0.94%0.0040✓1.34399k2022-07-29
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.591.5874-0.16%1.66+4.40%0.0486✗1.38114k2022-07-29
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.1817.1534-0.16%18.26+6.29%0.0664✗1.371.3M2022-07-29
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54660.545754-0.15%0.5651+3.38%0.0380✗1.14350k2022-07-29
WOOWOOEthereum0.19860.198297-0.15%0.2033+2.37%0.0288✗1.371,5612022-07-29
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.7243.7184-0.15%3.851+3.41%0.0375✗0.88754k2022-07-29
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02730.02726-0.15%0.02996+9.74%0.0988✗1.5411.5M2022-07-29
SOLSolanaSolana42.9342.8683-0.14%41.94-2.31%0.0180✓1.3781.8M2022-07-29
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4310.430387-0.14%0.4226-1.95%0.0144✓1.35104k2022-07-29
STXStacksnative0.43440.433807-0.14%0.4304-0.92%0.0043✓1.26606k2022-07-29
CHZChilizEthereum0.12070.120543-0.13%0.1292+7.04%0.0725✗1.11617k2022-07-29
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.42952.4264-0.13%2.9516+21.49%0.1982✗0.78884k2022-07-29
AAVEAaveEthereum100.41100.2816-0.13%95.6-4.79%0.0431✓1.679.0M2022-07-29
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018830.018806-0.13%0.01894+0.58%0.0092✗0.76263k2022-07-29
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4983.4936-0.12%3.803+8.72%0.0868✗0.71497k2022-07-29
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3573.3531-0.12%3.861+15.01%0.1428✗0.601.5M2022-07-29
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.2657.2567-0.11%8.06+10.94%0.1086✗1.265.5M2022-07-29
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7490.748174-0.11%0.771+2.94%0.0343✗1.5180k2022-07-29
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9913.9868-0.11%4.439+11.23%0.1091✗0.601.1M2022-07-29
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.000011838-0.11%0.00001174-0.93%0.0048✓1.25986k2022-07-29
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05240.052347-0.10%0.0548+4.58%0.0492✗1.20263k2022-07-29
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1170.116883-0.10%0.1172+0.17%0.0057✗1.07357k2022-07-29
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6342.6315-0.10%2.537-3.68%0.0340✓0.93105k2022-07-29
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05470.054654-0.08%0.0558+2.01%0.0245✗1.31765k2022-07-29
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.774.766-0.08%5.15+7.97%0.0792✗0.62587k2022-07-29
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0691040.069047-0.08%0.068947-0.23%0.0018✗1.151.7M2022-07-29
LCXLCXEthereum0.06290.062848-0.08%0.0626-0.48%0.0000✓1.41337k2022-07-29
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.50212.5001-0.08%2.8321+13.19%0.1275✗0.98863k2022-07-29
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3741.3729-0.08%1.349-1.82%0.0139✓1.292.4M2022-07-29
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08360.083534-0.08%0.0795-4.90%0.0472✓0.83155k2022-07-29
METISMetisEthereum36.336.2718-0.08%36.72+1.16%0.0177✗1.94181k2022-07-29
FIDABonfidaSolana0.50.499618-0.08%0.529+5.80%0.0604✗1.1413k2022-07-29
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047440.047404-0.08%0.04721-0.48%0.0015✓0.9115k2022-07-29
HIVEHivenative0.55270.552296-0.07%0.5371-2.82%0.0246✓1.161.5M2022-07-29
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49940.499044-0.07%0.4982-0.24%0.0015✗1.1242k2022-07-29
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408860.408569-0.07%0.40843-0.11%0.0031✗1.22118k2022-07-29
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.51.4989-0.07%1.6146+7.64%0.0784✗1.43561k2022-07-29
XVSVenusEthereum5.65.5965-0.06%7.64+36.43%0.3152✗1.41959k2022-07-29
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11480.114734-0.06%0.1273+10.89%0.1078✗1.382.5M2022-07-29
XTZTezosTezos1.71661.7156-0.06%1.7093-0.43%0.0001✓1.26492k2022-07-29
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.85810.852-0.06%11.171+2.88%0.0328✗1.3714.4M2022-07-29
ZENHorizenBase18.4618.4506-0.05%18.13-1.79%0.0136✓1.38100k2022-07-29
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31360.313452-0.05%0.309-1.47%0.0109✓1.192.7M2022-07-29
XYMSymbolnative0.0550410.055018-0.04%0.056128+1.97%0.0217✗0.6120k2022-07-29
ADACardanoCardano0.51290.512724-0.03%0.5222+1.81%0.0219✗1.2543.2M2022-07-29
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.8567.8534-0.03%8.186+4.20%0.0450✗1.269.4M2022-07-29
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.57640.576224-0.03%0.6209+7.72%0.0780✗1.17624k2022-07-29
ETHEthereumEthereum1,725.191,724.69-0.03%1,722.25-0.17%0.0021✗1.26383.0M2022-07-29
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0154290.015426-0.02%0.015055-2.42%0.0219✓0.891.2M2022-07-29
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7530.752875-0.02%0.76+0.93%0.0129✗1.25178k2022-07-29
TRXTRONTron0.0697620.069751-0.02%0.069296-0.67%0.0043✓0.79376k2022-07-29
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043190.043184-0.01%0.04323+0.09%0.0038✗0.971,9372022-07-29
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.60e-7-0.01%9.60e-7+0.00%0.0029✗1.0024k2022-07-29
DODODODOEthereum0.16380.163791-0.01%0.1728+5.49%0.0572✗1.282.8M2022-07-29
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3571.357-0.00%1.328-2.14%0.0181✓1.241.2M2022-07-29
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.2324.23-0.00%24.51+1.16%0.0160✗1.6027.5M2022-07-29
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020990.02099+0.00%0.02177+3.72%0.0394✓1.03136k2022-07-29
XMRMoneroMonero162.51162.5146+0.00%160.25-1.39%0.0109✗1.101.3M2022-07-29
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.425470.425489+0.00%0.42978+1.01%0.0140✓1.41592k2022-07-29
GLMGolemEthereum0.25470.254712+0.00%0.2516-1.22%0.0092✗1.0963k2022-07-29
GALAGALAEthereum0.05320.053203+0.01%0.0549+3.20%0.0355✓1.46109k2022-07-29
API3Api3Ethereum1.8281.8281+0.01%1.871+2.35%0.0268✓1.29626k2022-07-29
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031070.003107+0.01%0.00316+1.71%0.0196✓1.001.0M2022-07-29
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029930.029933+0.01%0.02985-0.27%0.0008✓1.2514k2022-07-29
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.32295.3235+0.01%5.1731-2.81%0.0281✗0.21214k2022-07-29
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33630.336352+0.02%0.3368+0.15%0.0046✓1.157.7M2022-07-29
COTICOTIEthereum0.1060.106018+0.02%0.1081+1.98%0.0232✓1.32491k2022-07-29
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2620.262049+0.02%0.2615-0.19%0.0021✗0.0131k2022-07-29
FTTFTXEthereum30.2430.246+0.02%31.09+2.81%0.0302✓0.9510.8M2022-07-29
STEEMSteemnative0.25050.250555+0.02%0.2476-1.16%0.0086✗1.16643k2022-07-29
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061790.006181+0.02%0.006209+0.48%0.0071✓0.894,8812022-07-29
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8582.8589+0.03%2.712-5.11%0.0478✗1.7692k2022-07-29
AMPAmpEthereum0.008950.008953+0.03%0.00892-0.34%0.0011✗0.921.6M2022-07-29
CVCCivicEthereum0.14980.149851+0.03%0.1494-0.27%0.0005✓1.2587k2022-07-29
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160010.160067+0.04%0.173+8.12%0.0821✓1.55205k2022-07-29
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3309680.331103+0.04%0.331178+0.06%0.0039✓1.291.0M2022-07-29
SCSiacoinnative0.004420.004422+0.05%0.00439-0.68%0.0035✗1.32106k2022-07-29
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015240.001525+0.05%0.001507-1.12%0.0088✗1.0120k2022-07-29
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.24060.240713+0.05%0.2372-1.41%0.0105✗1.4999k2022-07-29
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009230.009235+0.06%0.00941+1.95%0.0215✓0.974.7M2022-07-29
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010980.001098+0.06%0.001083-1.33%0.0103✗1.301.6M2022-07-29
BTTCBTTC9.50e-79.51e-7+0.06%9.50e-7+0.00%0.0018✓0.845.9M2022-07-29
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.227.2243+0.06%7.887+9.24%0.0913✓1.2716.2M2022-07-29
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04430.044327+0.06%0.0458+3.39%0.0365✓1.347,1312022-07-29
QNTQuantEthereum103.78103.8455+0.06%106.29+2.42%0.0261✓1.014.1M2022-07-29
GTGateEthereum4.29644.2995+0.07%4.3922+2.23%0.0234✓0.72968k2022-07-29
LSKLiskEthereum1.13561.1365+0.08%1.1278-0.69%0.0047✗1.0743k2022-07-29
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13060.130714+0.09%0.1298-0.61%0.0034✗1.3049k2022-07-29
KCSKuCoinnative10.34310.3522+0.09%10.197-1.41%0.0120✗1.092.4M2022-07-29
PROPropyEthereum0.80.800717+0.09%0.79-1.25%0.0117✗0.6179k2022-07-29
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.935.9358+0.10%5.966+0.61%0.0082✓1.102.0M2022-07-29
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7230.723742+0.10%0.715-1.11%0.0088✗1.21806k2022-07-29
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30140.301732+0.11%0.2921-3.09%0.0292✗1.1575k2022-07-29
IMXImmutableEthereum0.95280.953879+0.11%1.061+11.36%0.1105✓1.431.4M2022-07-29
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24420.244503+0.12%0.2443+0.04%0.0027✓1.24110k2022-07-29
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069010.00691+0.13%0.006991+1.30%0.0132✓0.5440k2022-07-29
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08490.08501+0.13%0.087+2.47%0.0266✓1.216,3652022-07-29
XVGVergenative0.003690.003695+0.14%0.00366-0.81%0.0059✗1.31505k2022-07-29
XECeCashnative0.000044280.000044349+0.16%0.00004499+1.60%0.0177✓1.181.7M2022-07-29
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,851.7023,888.79+0.16%23,784.50-0.28%0.0016✗1.00429.5M2022-07-29
XLMStellarStellar0.1166880.11687+0.16%0.117733+0.90%0.0102✓1.006.8M2022-07-29
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3040.304588+0.19%0.303-0.33%0.0023✗1.04681k2022-07-29
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2160.216475+0.22%0.215-0.46%0.0026✗1.51786k2022-07-29
UOSUltraEthereum0.325690.326488+0.25%0.31514-3.24%0.0321✗1.18407k2022-07-29
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07010.070281+0.26%0.0692-1.28%0.0125✗1.07299k2022-07-29
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.