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2022-07-26 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0666
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.81%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
63.2%
in alpha space · 27.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+8.00%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
RADRadworksEthereum2.652.6081-1.58%3.04+14.72%0.0689✗1.10157k2022-07-27
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81220.800871-1.39%0.9749+20.03%0.0720✗1.62209k2022-07-27
OPTIMOptimism0.8260.820757-0.63%1.051+27.24%0.1100✗1.781.1M2022-07-27
APEApeCoinEthereum5.7585.7218-0.63%6.826+18.55%0.0445✗1.7111.5M2022-07-27
FORTFortaEthereum0.29010.288381-0.59%0.2994+3.21%0.0556✓1.21337k2022-07-27
FISStafiEthereum0.45780.45516-0.58%0.3958-13.54%0.2365✓1.263902022-07-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.614.584-0.56%5.13+11.28%0.0669✗0.59713k2022-07-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9113.8895-0.55%3.73-4.63%0.1152✓0.95638k2022-07-27
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7520.747978-0.53%0.815+8.38%0.0329✓1.543,6872022-07-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.94950.944707-0.50%0.9751+2.70%0.0414✓0.953.5M2022-07-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.116.0297-0.44%16.85+4.66%0.0187✓0.892.2M2022-07-27
LUNATerraTerra 20.000092060.000091658-0.44%0.00009892+7.45%0.0687✓1.88715k2022-07-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.7821.6932-0.40%21.26-2.39%0.1382✓1.53454k2022-07-27
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8510.847647-0.39%0.835-1.88%0.0727✓0.751.1M2022-07-27
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.42250.420873-0.39%0.456+7.93%0.0032✓1.00224k2022-07-27
QTUMQtumQtum3.68813.6744-0.37%4.1269+11.90%0.0334✗1.0826k2022-07-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14870.148156-0.37%0.1577+6.05%0.0366✓1.29379k2022-07-27
GMTGMTEthereum0.9010.897717-0.36%0.967+7.33%0.0632✓1.79551k2022-07-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.16861.1645-0.35%1.3251+13.39%0.0155✗1.485.1M2022-07-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06580.065569-0.35%0.07649+16.25%0.0547✗1.2927k2022-07-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6913.6785-0.34%3.913+6.01%0.0208✗0.531.9M2022-07-27
KSMKusamaHydration58.1357.9328-0.34%62.3+7.17%0.0202✓1.21231k2022-07-27
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.162440.161917-0.32%0.1755+8.04%0.1082✓2.451,1272022-07-27
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0186060.018546-0.32%0.019996+7.47%0.0380✗0.48163k2022-07-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.972.9606-0.32%3.75+26.26%0.1065✗1.693.7M2022-07-27
WOOWOOEthereum0.1850.184451-0.30%0.1847-0.16%0.1091✓1.431,6202022-07-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.1625.0859-0.29%32.94+30.92%0.1726✗1.301.3M2022-07-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0772.0712-0.28%2.286+10.06%0.0132✓1.45132k2022-07-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.812.7649-0.27%15.48+20.94%0.0840✗1.411.3M2022-07-27
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.43e-73.42e-7-0.27%3.55e-7+3.57%0.0380✓0.99229k2022-07-27
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.1618-0.26%3.1-2.21%0.0604✓0.5377k2022-07-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.84890.846743-0.25%0.8888+4.70%0.0446✓1.211.2M2022-07-27
MOVRMoonriverBase12.190512.1598-0.25%13.2156+8.41%0.0091✓1.2073k2022-07-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.034.0199-0.25%4.18+3.72%0.0168✓0.73612k2022-07-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5530.551655-0.24%0.595+7.59%0.0352✓1.4483k2022-07-27
STORJStorjEthereum0.607290.605849-0.24%0.65033+7.09%0.0499✓1.5780k2022-07-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1783.1705-0.24%3.31+4.15%0.0038✓0.611.5M2022-07-27
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.68e-7-0.23%9.20e-7+5.75%0.0188✓1.0025k2022-07-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.5876.5721-0.23%7.151+8.56%0.0144✓1.285.3M2022-07-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86271.8585-0.23%2.0057+7.68%0.0184✓1.2324k2022-07-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6780.676557-0.21%0.728+7.37%0.0624✓1.765.2M2022-07-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12050.120247-0.21%0.1293+7.30%0.0049✓1.013.1M2022-07-27
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.09040.090211-0.21%0.09551+5.65%0.0199✓1.00722k2022-07-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41540.414539-0.21%0.4491+8.11%0.0356✓1.50220k2022-07-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0201520.02011-0.21%0.021274+5.57%0.0206✓1.006,9032022-07-27
ADACardanoCardano0.46830.467331-0.21%0.5113+9.18%0.0081✓1.2741.4M2022-07-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.58554.4733-0.20%57.973+6.21%0.0025✓0.84369k2022-07-27
SOLSolanaSolana36.2936.2159-0.20%40.24+10.88%0.0003✓1.3781.1M2022-07-27
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068690.068553-0.20%0.07332+6.74%0.0110✗0.731,5492022-07-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.11282.1086-0.20%2.2453+6.27%0.0059✓0.89971k2022-07-27
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6510.649739-0.19%0.712+9.37%0.0260✓1.5372k2022-07-27
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5211.5182-0.18%1.639+7.76%0.0351✓1.45212k2022-07-27
COMPCompoundEthereum48.1448.0516-0.18%54.92+14.08%0.0270✗1.3932k2022-07-27
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.904410.902776-0.18%1.0309+13.98%0.0561✗0.9910k2022-07-27
HIVEHivenative0.50060.499716-0.18%0.5342+6.71%0.0249✓1.191.5M2022-07-27
UMAUMAEthereum2.5952.5904-0.18%2.741+5.63%0.0298✓1.12597k2022-07-27
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06210.061995-0.17%0.0654+5.31%0.0229✓0.99156k2022-07-27
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017410.017381-0.17%0.01805+3.68%0.0212✓0.77324k2022-07-27
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.26137-0.16%0.2616-0.08%0.0001✓0.0131k2022-07-27
ELAElastosEthereum1.5451.5425-0.16%1.593+3.11%0.0171✓0.64223k2022-07-27
MANADecentralandEthereum0.878770.877351-0.16%0.956+8.79%0.0189✓1.36392k2022-07-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11260.112418-0.16%0.1197+6.31%0.0149✓1.015,4502022-07-27
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07880.078674-0.16%0.0823+4.44%0.0501✓1.24162k2022-07-27
DIADIAEthereum0.398220.397585-0.16%0.43281+8.69%0.0265✗0.7651k2022-07-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.95.8907-0.16%6.27+6.27%0.0391✓1.32248k2022-07-27
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4720.471257-0.16%0.488+3.39%0.0561✓1.1811k2022-07-27
FLOWFlownative1.5961.5936-0.15%1.776+11.28%0.0112✗1.26379k2022-07-27
METISMetisEthereum27.7627.7182-0.15%33.64+21.18%0.1167✗1.00164k2022-07-27
AAVEAaveEthereum81.2681.1387-0.15%94.7+16.54%0.0270✗1.668.1M2022-07-27
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025070.025033-0.15%0.0269+7.30%0.0505✓1.5912.6M2022-07-27
AVTAventusEthereum1.41.398-0.14%1.42+1.43%0.0026✓0.24319k2022-07-27
CBKCobakEthereum0.964640.963251-0.14%1.019+5.63%0.0311✓1.139,1202022-07-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.107449-0.14%0.1138+5.76%0.0268✓1.09362k2022-07-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,133.3021,103.71-0.14%22,891.50+8.32%0.0062✗0.9819k2022-07-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.953.825-0.14%59.04+9.54%0.0038✗1.1513.5M2022-07-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010870.000010855-0.13%0.00001154+6.16%0.0363✓1.271.0M2022-07-27
ETHEthereumEthereum1,449.631,447.69-0.13%1,636.40+12.88%0.0267✗1.25354.3M2022-07-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.1515.1314-0.12%16.79+10.83%0.0026✓1.381.3M2022-07-27
BORABORAKlay Token0.292850.29249-0.12%0.3082+5.24%0.0515✓1.359,6072022-07-27
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014320.00143-0.12%0.001486+3.77%0.0429✓1.0520k2022-07-27
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18020.179984-0.12%0.1896+5.22%0.0562✓1.411,0652022-07-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,861.886,853.78-0.12%7,170.14+4.49%0.0596✓1.364.0M2022-07-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.7120.6861-0.12%23.4+12.99%0.0002✓1.6027.5M2022-07-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.03940.039356-0.11%0.04101+4.09%0.0344✓0.981,9372022-07-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.2279.2169-0.11%10.316+11.80%0.0074✗1.3713.2M2022-07-27
XTZTezosTezos1.55611.5544-0.11%1.6434+5.61%0.0431✓1.28492k2022-07-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.403990.403553-0.11%0.40309-0.22%0.1152✓1.48592k2022-07-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.35121.3498-0.10%1.4426+6.76%0.0452✓1.45540k2022-07-27
DASHDashDash43.9943.9444-0.10%48.06+9.25%0.0043✗1.11517k2022-07-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0141890.014174-0.10%0.014597+2.88%0.0402✓0.901.2M2022-07-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.19862.1964-0.10%2.3441+6.62%0.0053✗0.78884k2022-07-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2721.2707-0.10%1.355+6.53%0.0374✓1.322.4M2022-07-27
XEMNEMnative0.0445030.044459-0.10%0.048196+8.30%0.0119✓1.2022k2022-07-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7513.7473-0.10%3.909+4.21%0.0043✓0.601.1M2022-07-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.94.8952-0.10%5.05+3.06%0.0190✓0.65514k2022-07-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.94118.826-0.10%127.39+7.10%0.0195✓1.164.0M2022-07-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.364.3558-0.10%4.6+5.50%0.0077✗0.61555k2022-07-27
XYMSymbolnative0.0524420.052392-0.10%0.054158+3.27%0.0147✓0.6218k2022-07-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.09490.094811-0.09%0.1029+8.43%0.0211✓1.34491k2022-07-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.05860.058545-0.09%0.0633+8.02%0.0331✓1.44342k2022-07-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2613.2581-0.09%3.422+4.94%0.0042✓0.69488k2022-07-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.09465.0901-0.09%5.1981+2.03%0.0058✗0.20219k2022-07-27
STEEMSteemnative0.23350.233304-0.08%0.2449+4.88%0.0416✓1.17768k2022-07-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.366150.365857-0.08%0.39357+7.49%0.0220✓1.24113k2022-07-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04660.046563-0.08%0.0521+11.80%0.0093✗1.34765k2022-07-27
DODODODOEthereum0.14280.142687-0.08%0.1526+6.86%0.0324✓1.292.8M2022-07-27
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6556.6502-0.07%8.035+20.74%0.0853✗1.355.7M2022-07-27
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2042.2024-0.07%2.549+15.65%0.0369✗1.4237k2022-07-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6360.635559-0.07%0.695+9.28%0.0148✗0.97360k2022-07-27
XMRMoneroMonero151.3151.1956-0.07%161.72+6.89%0.0187✓1.121.2M2022-07-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20850.208365-0.06%0.2257+8.25%0.0358✓1.5099k2022-07-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.391.3891-0.06%1.5+7.91%0.0325✓1.42122k2022-07-27
SUSHISushiEthereum1.271.2692-0.06%1.38+8.66%0.0284✓1.46912k2022-07-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04730.047272-0.06%0.0502+6.13%0.0343✓1.23256k2022-07-27
BANDBandEthereum1.4081.4072-0.06%1.523+8.17%0.0328✓1.45303k2022-07-27
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6620.661608-0.06%0.719+8.61%0.0133✓1.25149k2022-07-27
TRXTRONTron0.0653390.065302-0.06%0.068748+5.22%0.0100✓0.80382k2022-07-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00097250.000972001-0.05%0.001066+9.66%0.0077✓1.301.7M2022-07-27
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3152.3139-0.05%2.4306+4.99%0.0273✓0.99806k2022-07-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.177.1665-0.05%7.99+11.44%0.0727✗0.47704k2022-07-27
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.53720.536946-0.05%0.5756+7.15%0.0224✓1.19642k2022-07-27
NANOnanopayBase0.8970470.896637-0.05%0.963744+7.44%0.0034✓0.9857k2022-07-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.10350.103455-0.04%0.1142+10.34%0.0142✗1.10617k2022-07-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068940.006891-0.04%0.006764-1.89%0.0618✓0.5642k2022-07-27
XVSVenusEthereum4.984.9779-0.04%5.31+6.63%0.0460✓1.44939k2022-07-27
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.028020.028009-0.04%0.02999+7.03%0.0363✓1.361,2882022-07-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0625680.062545-0.04%0.067138+7.30%0.0184✓1.161.8M2022-07-27
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26932.2685-0.03%2.5415+11.99%0.0074✓1.579,1162022-07-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030040.003003-0.03%0.003099+3.16%0.0467✓1.021.0M2022-07-27
UOSUltraEthereum0.317390.317286-0.03%0.33765+6.38%0.0311✓1.21400k2022-07-27
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6490.648789-0.03%0.708+9.09%0.0058✓1.21758k2022-07-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27630.27622-0.03%0.2981+7.89%0.0164✓1.202.7M2022-07-27
API3Api3Ethereum1.5811.5806-0.02%1.753+10.88%0.0046✗1.29619k2022-07-27
STXStacksnative0.39480.394716-0.02%0.4135+4.74%0.0520✓1.28606k2022-07-27
FTTFTXEthereum27.0727.0643-0.02%29.43+8.72%0.0106✗0.9510.5M2022-07-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3446.3427-0.02%6.864+8.20%0.0194✓1.2816.2M2022-07-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026830.026825-0.02%0.02867+6.86%0.0314✓1.2715k2022-07-27
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058670.005866-0.02%0.005933+1.12%0.0587✓0.913,1552022-07-27
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08310.083089-0.01%0.0856+3.01%0.0360✓0.85148k2022-07-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03310.033097-0.01%0.0357+7.85%0.0193✓1.2368k2022-07-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.3110.310975-0.01%0.3287+5.69%0.0356✓1.187.5M2022-07-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019890.019889-0.01%0.02029+2.01%0.0614✓1.06136k2022-07-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044310.044307-0.01%0.04622+4.31%0.0293✓0.9315k2022-07-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.14440.144395-0.00%0.15339+6.23%0.0615✓1.58176k2022-07-27
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1831.183+0.00%1.316+11.24%0.0108✓1.241.2M2022-07-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3012.3013+0.01%2.441+6.08%0.0122✗0.92105k2022-07-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7826.7833+0.02%7.687+13.34%0.0290✓1.258.7M2022-07-27
XVGVergenative0.003420.003421+0.02%0.00356+4.09%0.0638✗1.35539k2022-07-27
ZECZcashZcash55.7555.7624+0.02%61.75+10.76%0.0029✓1.291.4M2022-07-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006290.006292+0.03%0.01109+76.31%0.4890✓1.01352k2022-07-27
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.049050.049064+0.03%0.05302+8.09%0.0351✗1.46747k2022-07-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06530.065319+0.03%0.0689+5.51%0.0299✗1.08264k2022-07-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22450.224569+0.03%0.2375+5.79%0.0413✗1.26119k2022-07-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008680.008683+0.03%0.0091+4.84%0.0293✗0.994.2M2022-07-27
SCSiacoinnative0.003960.003962+0.04%0.00426+7.58%0.0310✗1.35106k2022-07-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09720.097243+0.04%0.1112+14.40%0.0293✓1.362.4M2022-07-27
LSKLiskEthereum1.05691.0573+0.04%1.1075+4.79%0.0381✗1.1045k2022-07-27
GLMGolemEthereum0.23690.237005+0.04%0.2485+4.90%0.0382✗1.1162k2022-07-27
CELLCellframeEthereum0.27980.279928+0.05%0.3134+12.01%0.0241✓1.1570k2022-07-27
PROPropyEthereum0.760.760394+0.05%0.78+2.63%0.0209✗0.6083k2022-07-27
QNTQuantEthereum92.9693.0091+0.05%97.1+4.45%0.0364✗1.033.7M2022-07-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.008375+0.05%0.00854+2.03%0.0520✗0.931.4M2022-07-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48870.488976+0.06%0.5154+5.46%0.0354✗1.14350k2022-07-27
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43510.435356+0.06%0.4706+8.16%0.0084✗1.1242k2022-07-27
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.71e-7+0.07%9.20e-7+5.75%0.0096✗0.845.9M2022-07-27
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04060.04063+0.07%0.0433+6.65%0.0418✗1.377,5232022-07-27
GALAGALAEthereum0.04770.047736+0.08%0.0514+7.76%0.0400✗1.48109k2022-07-27
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3292.3308+0.08%2.727+17.09%0.0224✓1.7592k2022-07-27
GTGateEthereum4.01664.0199+0.08%4.1939+4.41%0.0132✗0.72919k2022-07-27
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07630.076371+0.09%0.0809+6.03%0.0368✗1.236,3652022-07-27
XLMStellarStellar0.1055780.105681+0.10%0.112668+6.72%0.0136✗1.016.7M2022-07-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.13440.134533+0.10%0.1445+7.51%0.0260✗1.2784k2022-07-27
ZENHorizenBase15.1715.1857+0.10%16.08+6.00%0.0496✗1.3997k2022-07-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.288.2886+0.10%8.8+6.28%0.0290✗1.15241k2022-07-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.262.2625+0.11%2.55+12.83%0.0029✓1.52184k2022-07-27
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36680.367221+0.11%0.3958+7.91%0.0295✗1.3673k2022-07-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,261.5721,286.49+0.12%22,962.59+8.00%0.0012✓1.00395.4M2022-07-27
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11950.119645+0.12%0.126+5.44%0.0506✗1.3354k2022-07-27
KCSKuCoinnative9.6649.6767+0.13%10.224+5.79%0.0310✗1.122.1M2022-07-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3215.3285+0.14%5.655+6.28%0.0261✗1.111.9M2022-07-27
XECeCashnative0.00003920.00003926+0.15%0.0000419+6.89%0.0263✗1.191.8M2022-07-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1970.197325+0.16%0.207+5.08%0.0716✗1.55834k2022-07-27
IMXImmutableEthereum0.81580.817158+0.17%0.8899+9.08%0.0256✗1.441.4M2022-07-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2894490.289931+0.17%0.307853+6.36%0.0399✗1.301.0M2022-07-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2760.276515+0.19%0.294+6.52%0.0200✗1.06620k2022-07-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.