8=======>

2022-07-23 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2602
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.25%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
65.2%
in alpha space · 50.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.59%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.5563.4899-1.86%3.57+0.39%0.0163✓1.08575k2022-07-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.3720.0169-1.73%20.61+1.18%0.0201✗1.54431k2022-07-24
OPTIMOptimism0.9410.925478-1.65%0.919-2.34%0.0174✓1.761.1M2022-07-24
RADRadworksEthereum1.91.8744-1.35%1.88-1.05%0.0035✓1.10150k2022-07-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.6725.3305-1.32%25.57-0.39%0.0019✓1.281.2M2022-07-24
FORTFortaEthereum0.30250.299037-1.14%0.2858-5.52%0.0528✓1.27365k2022-07-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.8516.6772-1.03%16.16-4.09%0.0372✓0.962.1M2022-07-24
ORCAOrcaSolana0.92080.911715-0.99%0.9082-1.37%0.0133✓1.59281k2022-07-24
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.830.821846-0.98%0.812-2.17%0.0212✓1.555,0122022-07-24
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6436.583-0.90%6.443-3.01%0.0318✓1.7411.7M2022-07-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.2218.0597-0.88%17.2-5.60%0.0568✓1.361.3M2022-07-24
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.990230.981934-0.84%1.0106+2.05%0.0231✗0.965,7282022-07-24
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.097680.096887-0.81%0.09544-2.29%0.0209✓1.00677k2022-07-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62620.621128-0.81%0.5808-7.25%0.0741✓1.19624k2022-07-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4470.443428-0.80%0.4229-5.39%0.0564✓1.53208k2022-07-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.39691.386-0.78%1.3757-1.52%0.0162✓1.474.7M2022-07-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068930.068399-0.77%0.0691+0.25%0.0025✓1.3027k2022-07-24
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.179610.178259-0.75%–pending––2.451,0922022-07-24
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5230.519111-0.74%0.519-0.76%0.0072✓1.1811k2022-07-24
QNTQuantEthereum100.4999.7486-0.74%97.73-2.75%0.0264✓1.003.2M2022-07-24
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099760.000099028-0.73%0.00009951-0.25%0.0065✓1.93735k2022-07-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2313.2076-0.72%3.422+5.91%0.0548✗1.693.7M2022-07-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7433.7165-0.71%3.816+1.95%0.0231✗0.572.2M2022-07-24
XEMNEMnative0.0506860.050327-0.71%0.048682-3.95%0.0403✓1.2019k2022-07-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7570.751799-0.69%0.75-0.92%0.0128✓1.765.4M2022-07-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.863.8335-0.69%3.98+3.11%0.0330✗0.77597k2022-07-24
FISStafiEthereum0.45990.456896-0.65%0.4415-4.00%0.0409✓1.123902022-07-24
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29220.290394-0.62%0.2999+2.64%0.0256✗1.1353k2022-07-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.027490.027321-0.61%0.02626-4.47%0.0491✓1.6114.2M2022-07-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.162.1468-0.61%2.152-0.37%0.0061✓1.44128k2022-07-24
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.45010.447358-0.61%0.4595+2.09%0.0209✗1.00241k2022-07-24
DIADIAEthereum0.434260.431712-0.59%0.43017-0.94%0.0079✓0.7351k2022-07-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020320.020202-0.58%0.02021-0.54%0.0059✓1.06123k2022-07-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16090.159967-0.58%0.1597-0.75%0.0092✓1.28356k2022-07-24
GITCOINGITCOIN2.45732.4432-0.58%2.4539-0.14%0.0048✓1.568,0962022-07-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.159210.158301-0.57%0.15871-0.31%0.0067✓1.58166k2022-07-24
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3461.3386-0.55%1.337-0.67%0.0084✓1.221.5M2022-07-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.712.6306-0.55%13.17+3.70%0.0331✗1.471.2M2022-07-24
METISMetisEthereum29.6129.4489-0.54%30.54+3.14%0.0305✗1.00135k2022-07-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.90770.902798-0.54%0.904-0.41%0.0058✓1.211.2M2022-07-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.993.9689-0.53%4.24+6.27%0.0624✗0.63694k2022-07-24
KSMKusamaHydration67.0866.7345-0.52%64.71-3.53%0.0378✓1.19231k2022-07-24
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.40e-79.35e-7-0.51%9.30e-7-1.06%0.0115✓1.0026k2022-07-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.6323.5089-0.51%23.82+0.80%0.0039✓1.5727.5M2022-07-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.08382.0732-0.51%2.0467-1.78%0.0201✓1.2226k2022-07-24
CBKCobakEthereum1.06671.0614-0.50%1.0569-0.92%0.0108✓1.127,7462022-07-24
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.193.1743-0.49%3.51+10.03%0.0977✗0.4886k2022-07-24
GMTGMTEthereum0.9460.941377-0.49%0.97+2.54%0.0193✗1.80601k2022-07-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04930.04906-0.49%0.0503+2.03%0.0179✗1.20276k2022-07-24
FLOWFlownative1.8471.8382-0.48%1.834-0.70%0.0096✓1.24332k2022-07-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1333.1181-0.47%3.162+0.93%0.0103✗0.631.6M2022-07-24
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.463-0.47%1.48+0.68%0.0101✗0.23366k2022-07-24
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073160.072817-0.47%0.07382+0.90%0.0094✗0.731,6422022-07-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5930.590231-0.47%0.584-1.52%0.0190✓1.4284k2022-07-24
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06820.067884-0.46%0.0684+0.29%0.0018✓0.98156k2022-07-24
DODODODOEthereum0.15870.157969-0.46%0.1558-1.83%0.0214✓1.292.8M2022-07-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218060.021706-0.46%0.021787-0.09%0.0021✓0.993,8342022-07-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.86660.862638-0.46%0.8733+0.77%0.0065✗0.993.5M2022-07-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07240.072071-0.45%0.0722-0.28%0.0043✓1.04216k2022-07-24
FTTFTXEthereum28.528.3715-0.45%29.12+2.18%0.0204✗0.9510.6M2022-07-24
BORABORAKlay Token0.310980.309585-0.45%0.3104-0.19%0.0053✓1.348,9402022-07-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.017650.017571-0.45%0.01749-0.91%0.0075✓0.48165k2022-07-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150350.01497-0.43%0.014221-5.41%0.0567✓0.921.2M2022-07-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.12610.0823-0.43%9.98-1.44%0.0182✓1.3613.0M2022-07-24
STORJStorjEthereum0.663320.660466-0.43%0.65726-0.91%0.0140✓1.5695k2022-07-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.756.7213-0.42%6.86+1.63%0.0175✗0.49670k2022-07-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.354.3316-0.42%4.33-0.46%0.0041✓0.64504k2022-07-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11960.119095-0.42%0.1182-1.17%0.0139✓1.08398k2022-07-24
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.611.6032-0.42%1.614+0.25%0.0019✓1.46212k2022-07-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.20362.1944-0.42%2.2345+1.40%0.0128✗0.90969k2022-07-24
HIVEHivenative0.45620.454296-0.42%0.4587+0.55%0.0023✓1.251.4M2022-07-24
UNIUniswapEthereum6.9656.9362-0.41%7.25+4.09%0.0362✗1.365.6M2022-07-24
UMAUMAEthereum2.8082.7964-0.41%2.862+1.92%0.0167✗1.10621k2022-07-24
SOLSolanaSolana39.9839.8156-0.41%40.94+2.40%0.0200✗1.3480.3M2022-07-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047020.046828-0.41%0.04716+0.30%0.0017✓0.9113k2022-07-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2353.2218-0.41%3.263+0.87%0.0081✗0.77488k2022-07-24
COMPCompoundEthereum55.9655.7332-0.41%56.28+0.57%0.0017✓1.3734k2022-07-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13470.134167-0.40%0.1302-3.34%0.0361✓1.033.3M2022-07-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.676.6438-0.39%6.605-0.97%0.0134✓1.275.0M2022-07-24
BANDBandEthereum1.5731.5668-0.39%1.569-0.25%0.0071✓1.44349k2022-07-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003190.003178-0.39%0.003115-2.35%0.0260✓1.041.0M2022-07-24
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6262.6159-0.39%2.64+0.53%0.0011✓1.7587k2022-07-24
XYMSymbolnative0.0542760.05407-0.38%0.054852+1.06%0.0107✗0.6217k2022-07-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30170.30059-0.37%0.302+0.10%0.0023✓1.192.8M2022-07-24
XVSVenusEthereum5.395.3702-0.37%5.34-0.93%0.0140✓1.411.0M2022-07-24
WOOWOOEthereum0.1850.184324-0.37%0.1966+6.27%0.0561✗1.421,7812022-07-24
AAVEAaveEthereum89.3689.0335-0.37%90.53+1.31%0.0070✗1.649.2M2022-07-24
ETHEthereumEthereum1,549.151,543.50-0.37%1,597.72+3.14%0.0273✗1.23339.7M2022-07-24
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1320.131527-0.36%0.131-0.76%0.0118✓1.3244k2022-07-24
SUSHISushiEthereum1.341.3352-0.36%1.35+0.75%0.0023✓1.48856k2022-07-24
ADACardanoCardano0.51710.515255-0.36%0.512-0.99%0.0138✓1.2743.2M2022-07-24
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7330.730423-0.35%0.747+1.91%0.0150✗1.27149k2022-07-24
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49090.489189-0.35%0.4828-1.65%0.0196✓1.1045k2022-07-24
API3Api3Ethereum1.7491.7429-0.35%1.762+0.74%0.0034✓1.27611k2022-07-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.42471.4198-0.34%1.4165-0.58%0.0107✓1.42609k2022-07-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.8446.8209-0.34%7.093+3.64%0.0317✗1.2617.4M2022-07-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.26492.2573-0.34%2.2717+0.30%0.0017✓0.80941k2022-07-24
UOSUltraEthereum0.34210.340957-0.33%0.354+3.48%0.0303✗1.24400k2022-07-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.3456.1522-0.33%58.37+3.60%0.0320✗1.1314.0M2022-07-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4372.4289-0.33%2.529+3.78%0.0350✗0.90105k2022-07-24
QTUMQtumQtum3.46233.4509-0.33%3.4175-1.29%0.0161✓1.0826k2022-07-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.680.677759-0.33%0.675-0.74%0.0098✓0.97419k2022-07-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03620.036081-0.33%0.0359-0.83%0.0123✓1.2384k2022-07-24
ELAElastosEthereum1.6131.6077-0.33%1.608-0.31%0.0037✓0.65206k2022-07-24
ZENHorizenBase17.0416.9852-0.32%17.01-0.18%0.0067✓1.39105k2022-07-24
MANADecentralandEthereum0.978550.975421-0.32%0.9645-1.44%0.0192✓1.35423k2022-07-24
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.260766-0.32%0.2614-0.08%0.0024✓0.0142k2022-07-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.10890.108553-0.32%0.1085-0.37%0.0070✓1.11647k2022-07-24
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027350.027264-0.32%0.02752+0.62%0.0013✓1.361,3182022-07-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3941.3896-0.31%1.375-1.36%0.0183✓1.302.6M2022-07-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08590.085631-0.31%0.0864+0.58%0.0016✓1.25202k2022-07-24
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.45222.4445-0.31%2.464+0.48%0.0021✓0.98917k2022-07-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006790.006769-0.31%0.00679+0.00%0.0028✓1.00359k2022-07-24
BTTCBTTC9.10e-79.07e-7-0.31%9.40e-7+3.30%0.0306✗0.826.0M2022-07-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.440650.439305-0.31%0.44105+0.09%0.0047✓1.47647k2022-07-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12350.123129-0.30%0.1227-0.65%0.0093✓0.996,9162022-07-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,490.006,470.65-0.30%6,980.96+7.56%0.0681✗1.334.1M2022-07-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04220.042075-0.30%0.0426+0.95%0.0067✗0.972,7572022-07-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011630.000011596-0.30%0.00001161-0.17%0.0061✓1.251.2M2022-07-24
XECeCashnative0.000041750.000041627-0.29%0.00004165-0.24%0.0064✓1.181.9M2022-07-24
XTZTezosTezos1.6541.6493-0.29%1.6816+1.67%0.0120✗1.26485k2022-07-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018680.018627-0.28%0.01899+1.66%0.0149✗0.75354k2022-07-24
GTGateEthereum4.11364.1022-0.28%4.1627+1.19%0.0105✗0.70930k2022-07-24
NANOnanopayBase0.9474550.944841-0.28%0.946427-0.11%0.0043✓1.0158k2022-07-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.824.8067-0.28%4.85+0.62%0.0050✗0.67514k2022-07-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.998.9654-0.27%9.1+1.22%0.0080✗1.17263k2022-07-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.06390.063727-0.27%0.0645+0.94%0.0038✗1.39325k2022-07-24
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7820.779896-0.27%0.779-0.38%0.0057✓0.781.1M2022-07-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.26.1835-0.27%6.21+0.16%0.0035✓1.31263k2022-07-24
DASHDashDash47.6847.554-0.26%48.91+2.58%0.0217✗1.09594k2022-07-24
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3792.3728-0.26%2.362-0.71%0.0128✓1.4143k2022-07-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40690.405834-0.26%0.4035-0.84%0.0137✓1.3483k2022-07-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22260.222025-0.26%0.2348+5.48%0.0472✗1.48115k2022-07-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.21357.0655-0.26%58.103+1.56%0.0131✗0.83383k2022-07-24
XMRMoneroMonero146.19145.8206-0.25%151.27+3.47%0.0301✗1.121.2M2022-07-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.387660.386688-0.25%0.38976+0.54%0.0007✓1.23113k2022-07-24
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19010.189624-0.25%0.1961+3.16%0.0253✗1.411,3132022-07-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.462.4538-0.25%2.45-0.41%0.0105✓1.51216k2022-07-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.10430.10404-0.25%0.1059+1.53%0.0099✗1.32510k2022-07-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04340.043292-0.25%0.0439+1.15%0.0060✗1.357,6872022-07-24
TRXTRONTron0.0669070.066743-0.25%0.066846-0.09%0.0031✓0.79369k2022-07-24
GLMGolemEthereum0.25510.254482-0.24%0.2536-0.59%0.0099✓1.0961k2022-07-24
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.053890.053761-0.24%0.05269-2.23%0.0287✓1.46747k2022-07-24
STEEMSteemnative0.24310.242519-0.24%0.2409-0.90%0.0136✓1.18701k2022-07-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.0090.008979-0.23%0.00896-0.44%0.0079✓0.984.9M2022-07-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067170.006701-0.23%0.006729+0.18%0.0007✓0.5849k2022-07-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05310.052977-0.23%0.053-0.19%0.0074✓1.33800k2022-07-24
IMXImmutableEthereum0.92480.922666-0.23%0.9183-0.70%0.0132✓1.431.3M2022-07-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001530.001526-0.23%0.00162+5.88%0.0534✗1.0317k2022-07-24
MOVRMoonriverBase13.479713.4496-0.22%13.6065+0.94%0.0045✗1.2088k2022-07-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,275.9022,226.69-0.22%22,846.40+2.56%0.0217✗0.9821k2022-07-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33510.334361-0.22%0.3406+1.64%0.0116✗1.177.7M2022-07-24
XVGVergenative0.003660.003652-0.22%0.00368+0.55%0.0003✓1.34577k2022-07-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2870.286372-0.22%0.286-0.35%0.0075✓1.05673k2022-07-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8713.8626-0.22%3.873+0.05%0.0010✓0.621.3M2022-07-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.009050.009031-0.21%0.00896-0.99%0.0132✓0.911.3M2022-07-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010580.001055-0.21%0.001062+0.44%0.0011✓1.291.7M2022-07-24
GALAGALAEthereum0.05390.053789-0.21%0.053-1.67%0.0235✓1.47135k2022-07-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1060.105783-0.20%0.1049-1.04%0.0164✓1.362.5M2022-07-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6980.696629-0.20%0.729+4.44%0.0364✗1.52105k2022-07-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029260.029204-0.19%0.02897-0.99%0.0156✓1.2719k2022-07-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3217.3071-0.19%7.399+1.07%0.0052✗1.238.6M2022-07-24
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.74e-73.74e-7-0.19%3.80e-7+1.56%0.0116✗0.99234k2022-07-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,450.6922,409.39-0.18%22,583.43+0.59%0.0018✗1.00374.5M2022-07-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.23175.2223-0.18%5.2117-0.38%0.0032✓0.20219k2022-07-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09120.091037-0.18%0.0906-0.66%0.0094✓0.78148k2022-07-24
SCSiacoinnative0.004250.004243-0.17%0.00428+0.71%0.0009✓1.34115k2022-07-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.481.4774-0.17%1.46-1.35%0.0203✓1.44129k2022-07-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.308240.307748-0.16%0.308601+0.12%0.0045✓1.231.2M2022-07-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2110.210668-0.16%0.21-0.47%0.0123✓1.55881k2022-07-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0679810.067878-0.15%0.067748-0.34%0.0090✓1.201.9M2022-07-24
PROPropyEthereum0.810.808815-0.15%0.78-3.70%0.0404✓0.7095k2022-07-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24020.239874-0.14%0.2403+0.04%0.0056✓1.25119k2022-07-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash122.51122.3463-0.13%131.93+7.69%0.0687✗1.134.2M2022-07-24
ZECZcashZcash59.1459.0663-0.12%59-0.24%0.0088✓1.301.5M2022-07-24
LSKLiskEthereum1.11351.1122-0.11%1.1341+1.85%0.0131✗1.0845k2022-07-24
STXStacksnative0.42420.423759-0.10%0.437+3.02%0.0233✗1.26521k2022-07-24
XLMStellarStellar0.1116330.111519-0.10%0.113207+1.41%0.0091✗1.006.8M2022-07-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.14260.142458-0.10%0.144+0.98%0.0034✗1.2584k2022-07-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.5795.5738-0.09%5.641+1.11%0.0055✗1.101.9M2022-07-24
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6860.685592-0.06%0.693+1.02%0.0035✗1.23758k2022-07-24
KCSKuCoinnative9.849.8393-0.01%9.873+0.34%0.0031✓1.112.3M2022-07-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058780.005878-0.00%0.005864-0.23%0.0077✓0.913,1552022-07-24
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08330.083334+0.04%0.0845+1.44%0.0067✓1.236,9982022-07-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50450.504814+0.06%0.529+4.86%0.0401✓1.14333k2022-07-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.