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2022-07-20 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1336
183 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.28%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
26.2%
in alpha space · 30.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.31%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ORCAOrcaSolana0.9810.96517-1.61%0.9391-4.27%0.0223✓1.60214k2022-07-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0780.077283-0.92%0.0778-0.26%0.0099✗1.03209k2022-07-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0173590.0172-0.92%0.01615-6.96%0.0601✓0.921.2M2022-07-21
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.989020.980085-0.90%1.0534+6.50%0.0751✗0.961,6652022-07-21
OPTIMOptimism0.6860.680011-0.87%0.777+13.27%0.1389✗1.781.1M2022-07-21
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7910.784319-0.84%0.877+10.87%0.1165✗1.545,0122022-07-21
LUNATerraTerra 20.00010080.000099953-0.84%0.0001037+2.88%0.0429✗1.93715k2022-07-21
METISMetisEthereum3029.7612-0.80%33.05+10.17%0.1080✗1.00130k2022-07-21
FORTFortaEthereum0.29720.294869-0.78%0.3009+1.24%0.0243✗1.29409k2022-07-21
STEEMSteemnative0.25430.252354-0.77%0.2489-2.12%0.0101✓1.17703k2022-07-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.3423.1651-0.75%26.34+12.85%0.1324✗1.271.2M2022-07-21
FLOWFlownative1.8591.8459-0.70%1.877+0.97%0.0206✗1.24332k2022-07-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.541.5298-0.66%1.474-4.29%0.0331✓1.302.8M2022-07-21
CBKCobakEthereum1.06881.0622-0.62%1.0755+0.63%0.0160✗1.125,8422022-07-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0219530.021819-0.61%0.022281+1.49%0.0241✗0.981,5692022-07-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7263.7036-0.60%3.838+3.01%0.0374✗0.562.2M2022-07-21
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.172710.171757-0.55%0.18044+4.48%0.0571✗2.461,0532022-07-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16290.162047-0.52%0.1661+1.96%0.0287✗1.28354k2022-07-21
APEApeCoinEthereum5.8745.8441-0.51%6.422+9.33%0.0998✗1.7311.7M2022-07-21
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.463.4428-0.50%3.24-6.36%0.0592✓0.4986k2022-07-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4292.417-0.49%2.422-0.29%0.0066✗1.43128k2022-07-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12050.119918-0.48%0.1297+7.63%0.0815✗0.985,8712022-07-21
GMTGMTEthereum0.9790.974318-0.48%0.994+1.53%0.0257✗1.80574k2022-07-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1633.1481-0.47%3.223+1.90%0.0269✗1.08555k2022-07-21
KSMKusamaHydration60.360.0198-0.46%61.18+1.46%0.0229✗1.20235k2022-07-21
CHRChromiaEthereum0.20780.206904-0.43%0.1979-4.76%0.0400✓1.412,6032022-07-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.3814.3201-0.42%19.25+33.87%0.2988✗0.951.9M2022-07-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.83.7842-0.42%3.94+3.68%0.0427✗0.76597k2022-07-21
XEMNEMnative0.048110.047914-0.41%0.049011+1.87%0.0264✗1.2017k2022-07-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.07160.071312-0.40%0.0679-5.17%0.0446✓1.39312k2022-07-21
ELAElastosEthereum1.6331.6267-0.39%1.604-1.78%0.0109✓1.00181k2022-07-21
RADRadworksEthereum1.931.9225-0.39%1.87-3.11%0.0242✓1.10150k2022-07-21
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.44420.442497-0.38%0.4628+4.19%0.0480✗1.00258k2022-07-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,318.4023,232.32-0.37%23,097.60-0.95%0.0027✓0.9829k2022-07-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.2815.2265-0.35%16.59+8.57%0.0906✗1.55431k2022-07-21
BORABORAKlay Token0.308830.307754-0.35%0.32019+3.68%0.0438✗1.345,5012022-07-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.7336.7098-0.34%6.9+2.48%0.0319✗1.275.5M2022-07-21
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.090530.090221-0.34%0.09397+3.80%0.0439✗1.00589k2022-07-21
QNTQuantEthereum96.6496.3117-0.34%102.84+6.42%0.0687✗1.002.7M2022-07-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7610.758494-0.33%0.76-0.13%0.0075✗1.766.3M2022-07-21
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4830.481426-0.33%0.559+15.73%0.1531✗1.1811k2022-07-21
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5681.563-0.32%1.646+4.97%0.0563✗1.45203k2022-07-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8612.8519-0.32%3.283+14.75%0.1461✗1.683.8M2022-07-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.09492.0884-0.31%2.2259+6.25%0.0666✗0.90890k2022-07-21
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0173670.017314-0.31%0.017454+0.50%0.0096✗0.48171k2022-07-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80880.806346-0.30%0.8319+2.86%0.0343✗0.993.5M2022-07-21
DIADIAEthereum0.423320.422042-0.30%0.43123+1.87%0.0238✗0.7352k2022-07-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.15851.155-0.30%1.4031+21.11%0.1992✗1.464.7M2022-07-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2143.2046-0.29%3.334+3.73%0.0420✗0.77488k2022-07-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.93180.929122-0.29%0.9451+1.43%0.0208✗1.201.2M2022-07-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13250.132124-0.28%0.1395+5.28%0.0575✗1.023.5M2022-07-21
ETHEthereumEthereum1,522.121,517.94-0.27%1,575.68+3.52%0.0412✗1.23326.5M2022-07-21
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08460.084375-0.27%0.0858+1.42%0.0206✗1.236,8122022-07-21
GITCOINGITCOIN2.51392.5072-0.27%2.4813-1.30%0.0055✓1.567,1792022-07-21
STORJStorjEthereum0.666950.665193-0.26%0.67+0.46%0.0121✗1.56104k2022-07-21
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07080.070614-0.26%0.069-2.54%0.0200✓0.98229k2022-07-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.311.2706-0.26%12.99+14.96%0.1466✗1.471.1M2022-07-21
AVTAventusEthereum1.541.5361-0.26%1.53-0.65%0.0032✓0.24426k2022-07-21
WOOWOOEthereum0.20340.202883-0.25%0.2181+7.23%0.0767✗1.402,1172022-07-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.061730.061576-0.25%0.06408+3.81%0.0440✗1.3125k2022-07-21
UMAUMAEthereum2.6632.6564-0.25%2.714+1.92%0.0249✗1.10673k2022-07-21
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.71e-73.70e-7-0.24%3.57e-7-3.80%0.0331✓1.00268k2022-07-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.113.1024-0.24%3.223+3.63%0.0401✗0.621.7M2022-07-21
FISStafiEthereum0.3670.366117-0.24%0.4451+21.28%0.1985✗1.004752022-07-21
DODODODOEthereum0.14860.148244-0.24%0.1523+2.49%0.0310✗1.292.9M2022-07-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5960.594607-0.23%0.615+3.19%0.0382✗1.4284k2022-07-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05320.053076-0.23%0.0556+4.51%0.0507✗1.33817k2022-07-21
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42580.424829-0.23%0.4306+1.13%0.0177✗1.3396k2022-07-21
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09030.090095-0.23%0.0859-4.87%0.0452✓0.80150k2022-07-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.62655.5013-0.22%56.843+2.19%0.0265✗0.83387k2022-07-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.070030.069874-0.22%0.069952-0.11%0.0049✗1.202.0M2022-07-21
SOLSolanaSolana42.0541.9576-0.22%43.1+2.50%0.0311✗1.3381.1M2022-07-21
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7270.725473-0.21%0.734+0.96%0.0157✗1.26139k2022-07-21
COMPCompoundEthereum56.3456.2223-0.21%58.08+3.09%0.0368✗1.3733k2022-07-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.450760.449823-0.21%0.46442+3.03%0.0365✗1.46791k2022-07-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40110.400286-0.20%0.4216+5.11%0.0567✗1.53208k2022-07-21
ZECZcashZcash62.0661.9355-0.20%61.86-0.32%0.0029✗1.301.5M2022-07-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001190.000011877-0.20%0.00001199+0.76%0.0134✗1.251.3M2022-07-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5923.5439-0.20%25.01+6.02%0.0653✗1.5627.0M2022-07-21
ADACardanoCardano0.49110.490149-0.19%0.4996+1.73%0.0231✗1.2743.9M2022-07-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08860.088431-0.19%0.0904+2.03%0.0259✗1.24188k2022-07-21
AAVEAaveEthereum90.8890.7104-0.19%95.35+4.92%0.0550✗1.6311.3M2022-07-21
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019270.019235-0.18%0.01907-1.04%0.0062✓0.75354k2022-07-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23250.232083-0.18%0.2285-1.72%0.0109✓1.47117k2022-07-21
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49960.498727-0.17%0.4959-0.74%0.0022✓1.1049k2022-07-21
XYMSymbolnative0.0545280.054433-0.17%0.05415-0.69%0.0033✓0.6214k2022-07-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.009350.009334-0.17%0.00923-1.28%0.0083✓0.921.3M2022-07-21
XTZTezosTezos1.61811.6153-0.17%1.6811+3.89%0.0439✗1.26499k2022-07-21
UNIUniswapEthereum6.8576.8453-0.17%7.222+5.32%0.0578✗1.355.7M2022-07-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046640.046561-0.17%0.04783+2.55%0.0298✗0.918,1912022-07-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.823.8135-0.17%3.97+3.93%0.0422✗0.63715k2022-07-21
SCSiacoinnative0.004410.004403-0.16%0.00436-1.13%0.0056✓1.33127k2022-07-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5652.5608-0.16%2.687+4.76%0.0509✗0.9098k2022-07-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11150.111323-0.16%0.1208+8.34%0.0851✗1.08398k2022-07-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.392260.391641-0.16%0.40107+2.25%0.0277✗1.23128k2022-07-21
DASHDashDash47.1247.047-0.15%48.17+2.23%0.0270✗1.09616k2022-07-21
MANADecentralandEthereum0.920020.918623-0.15%0.94043+2.22%0.0277✗1.35423k2022-07-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8523.8463-0.15%3.925+1.90%0.0222✗0.621.4M2022-07-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34480.344297-0.15%0.3494+1.33%0.0184✗1.168.2M2022-07-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.10530.105153-0.14%0.1075+2.09%0.0262✗1.32526k2022-07-21
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.4462.4426-0.14%2.527+3.31%0.0384✗1.4043k2022-07-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030470.003043-0.14%0.003047+0.00%0.0047✗1.051.1M2022-07-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03720.037151-0.13%0.0369-0.81%0.0029✓1.2395k2022-07-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.2257.1452-0.13%58.03+1.42%0.0189✗1.1314.8M2022-07-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4331.4311-0.13%1.4694+2.54%0.0309✗1.42684k2022-07-21
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.071380.07129-0.13%0.07294+2.19%0.0252✗0.731,5492022-07-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.24512.2424-0.12%2.3114+2.95%0.0328✗0.80947k2022-07-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.89641.8941-0.12%1.9195+1.22%0.0172✗1.2227k2022-07-21
MOVRMoonriverBase13.094613.0788-0.12%14.897+13.76%0.1339✗1.19194k2022-07-21
STXStacksnative0.4140.413512-0.12%0.4306+4.01%0.0445✗1.26414k2022-07-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.975.9631-0.11%6.21+4.02%0.0447✗1.31256k2022-07-21
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7070.706205-0.11%0.729+3.11%0.0366✗1.52108k2022-07-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006840.006832-0.11%0.0068-0.58%0.0016✓1.01387k2022-07-21
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-79.09e-7-0.11%9.40e-7+3.30%0.0367✗1.0028k2022-07-21
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6850.684255-0.11%0.707+3.21%0.0366✗1.23858k2022-07-21
SUSHISushiEthereum1.331.3286-0.10%1.42+6.77%0.0711✗1.47910k2022-07-21
GLMGolemEthereum0.24570.245448-0.10%0.2516+2.40%0.0282✗1.0861k2022-07-21
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6292.6263-0.10%2.948+12.13%0.1210✗1.7484k2022-07-21
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.45872.4563-0.10%2.5225+2.59%0.0297✗1.001.1M2022-07-21
XVSVenusEthereum5.375.3648-0.10%5.46+1.68%0.0220✗1.401.2M2022-07-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.51.4986-0.10%1.5+0.00%0.0055✗1.43142k2022-07-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.8696.8625-0.09%6.995+1.83%0.0231✗1.2617.9M2022-07-21
QTUMQtumQtum3.05453.0516-0.09%3.1044+1.64%0.0206✗1.0827k2022-07-21
BANDBandEthereum1.5011.4997-0.09%1.517+1.07%0.0160✗1.44385k2022-07-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.6819.6726-0.09%11.047+14.11%0.1371✗1.3512.9M2022-07-21
NANOnanopayBase0.9176340.916845-0.09%0.953204+3.88%0.0421✗1.0163k2022-07-21
UOSUltraEthereum0.349190.348891-0.09%0.34531-1.11%0.0064✓1.24411k2022-07-21
CELLCellframeEthereum0.28420.283962-0.08%0.2786-1.97%0.0155✓1.1242k2022-07-21
XMRMoneroMonero151.47151.3474-0.08%151.18-0.19%0.0024✗1.121.3M2022-07-21
BTTCBTTC9.10e-79.09e-7-0.08%9.20e-7+1.10%0.0143✗0.825.8M2022-07-21
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.261308-0.07%0.2613-0.08%0.0031✗1.0046k2022-07-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash121.82121.7307-0.07%123.12+1.07%0.0149✗1.134.0M2022-07-21
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7720.771438-0.07%0.785+1.68%0.0199✗0.771.1M2022-07-21
GALAGALAEthereum0.05370.053663-0.07%0.0542+0.93%0.0146✗1.47115k2022-07-21
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.055910.055874-0.07%0.05585-0.11%0.0042✗1.46773k2022-07-21
API3Api3Ethereum1.8011.7998-0.07%1.83+1.61%0.0206✗1.27637k2022-07-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04880.04877-0.06%0.0502+2.87%0.0327✗1.20282k2022-07-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.24145.2382-0.06%5.3878+2.79%0.0288✗0.20335k2022-07-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010750.001074-0.06%0.00111+3.31%0.0372✗1.291.7M2022-07-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.5215.5111-0.06%15.78+1.68%0.0215✗1.361.3M2022-07-21
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3261.3252-0.06%1.382+4.22%0.0458✗1.221.7M2022-07-21
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.024630.024617-0.05%0.02598+5.48%0.0590✗1.6114.6M2022-07-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.4697.4658-0.04%7.531+0.83%0.0126✗1.239.0M2022-07-21
PROPropyEthereum0.810.80966-0.04%0.78-3.70%0.0351✓0.71111k2022-07-21
XVGVergenative0.003670.003669-0.04%0.00373+1.63%0.0208✗1.34649k2022-07-21
ZENHorizenBase16.7716.764-0.04%17.01+1.43%0.0189✗1.3996k2022-07-21
FTTFTXEthereum28.7728.7609-0.03%29.48+2.47%0.0277✗0.9511.0M2022-07-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030040.030033-0.02%0.03004+0.00%0.0042✗1.2723k2022-07-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.1090.108976-0.02%0.1102+1.10%0.0146✗1.10560k2022-07-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29240.292345-0.02%0.2994+2.39%0.0276✗1.192.9M2022-07-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.596.5889-0.02%6.78+2.88%0.0301✗0.49670k2022-07-21
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.234.2294-0.02%4.36+3.07%0.0324✗0.63579k2022-07-21
TRXTRONTron0.0675750.067565-0.01%0.068015+0.65%0.0091✗0.80373k2022-07-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50580.505739-0.01%0.5149+1.80%0.0215✗1.14333k2022-07-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10470.104688-0.01%0.107+2.20%0.0261✗1.362.5M2022-07-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009230.009229-0.01%0.00926+0.33%0.0064✗0.984.9M2022-07-21
KCSKuCoinnative10.27710.2768-0.00%10.162-1.12%0.0077✓1.112.2M2022-07-21
IMXImmutableEthereum0.97570.975693-0.00%0.9844+0.89%0.0134✗1.421.4M2022-07-21
LSKLiskEthereum1.12581.1258+0.00%1.128+0.20%0.0053✓1.0745k2022-07-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020830.020831+0.01%0.02108+1.20%0.0152✓1.05134k2022-07-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.744.7403+0.01%4.89+3.16%0.0332✓0.67574k2022-07-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,226.9923,229.18+0.01%23,153.96-0.31%0.0001✗1.00398.7M2022-07-21
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13470.134714+0.01%0.1349+0.15%0.0055✓1.3144k2022-07-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52370.523764+0.01%0.5296+1.13%0.0149✓1.20491k2022-07-21
GTGateEthereum4.15454.1556+0.03%4.1246-0.72%0.0053✗0.70930k2022-07-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.14580.145849+0.03%0.1454-0.27%0.0008✓1.2487k2022-07-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069740.006977+0.04%0.006907-0.96%0.0082✗0.5851k2022-07-21
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027250.027261+0.04%0.02732+0.26%0.0065✓1.361,4722022-07-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24240.24252+0.05%0.2448+0.99%0.0133✓1.24147k2022-07-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.019.0146+0.05%9.23+2.44%0.0273✓1.17288k2022-07-21
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04240.042427+0.06%0.0445+4.95%0.0519✓1.347,6872022-07-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,493.436,497.80+0.07%6,719.99+3.49%0.0378✓1.334.4M2022-07-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6740.674502+0.07%0.688+2.08%0.0229✓0.97443k2022-07-21
HIVEHivenative0.45370.454073+0.08%0.4701+3.61%0.0386✓1.251.3M2022-07-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.52.5021+0.09%2.48-0.80%0.0041✗1.51216k2022-07-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2990.299295+0.10%0.299+0.00%0.0023✓1.05664k2022-07-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.5845.5898+0.10%5.621+0.66%0.0090✓1.101.9M2022-07-21
XLMStellarStellar0.1120570.112193+0.12%0.113592+1.37%0.0155✓1.007.2M2022-07-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.134620.134785+0.12%0.13975+3.81%0.0412✓1.60158k2022-07-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058690.005879+0.16%0.00596+1.54%0.0165✓0.912,9222022-07-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2130.213352+0.17%0.215+0.94%0.0126✓1.55881k2022-07-21
XECeCashnative0.000040810.00004088+0.17%0.00004099+0.44%0.0064✓1.191.9M2022-07-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3138160.314435+0.20%0.321345+2.40%0.0256✓1.231.4M2022-07-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.