8=======>

2022-07-13 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 181 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0102
181 of 181 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.21%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
47.0%
in alpha space · 14.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.76%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (181 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78120.771376-1.26%0.7889+0.99%0.0056✓1.61180k2022-07-14
FORTFortaEthereum0.27010.267098-1.11%0.25-7.44%0.0836✓1.00565k2022-07-14
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.175560.173826-0.99%0.17485-0.40%0.0430✓2.808572022-07-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.4516.2921-0.96%17.16+4.32%0.0227✗1.67427k2022-07-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6470.641194-0.90%0.647+0.00%0.0174✓1.513,2002022-07-14
LUNATerraTerra 20.000094970.000094118-0.90%0.0000921-3.02%0.0552✓1.92724k2022-07-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.6214.4937-0.86%14.59-0.21%0.0106✓0.991.6M2022-07-14
QNTQuantEthereum84.7884.1195-0.78%97.54+15.05%0.1306✗0.992.6M2022-07-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.04821.0406-0.73%1.168+11.43%0.0906✗1.434.2M2022-07-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3713.3488-0.66%3.458+2.58%0.0228✗0.532.1M2022-07-14
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.094850.09423-0.65%0.09536+0.54%0.0056✓1.00373k2022-07-14
AVTAventusEthereum1.551.541-0.58%1.49-3.87%0.0380✓0.25535k2022-07-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0202080.020092-0.58%0.020526+1.57%0.0038✓1.019372022-07-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07190.071486-0.58%0.069-4.03%0.0533✓1.02131k2022-07-14
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.37510.372952-0.57%0.3891+3.73%0.0249✗1.00180k2022-07-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7650.760624-0.57%0.781+2.09%0.0060✓1.858.4M2022-07-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.720570.716515-0.56%0.79254+9.99%0.0857✗0.862982022-07-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7981.7883-0.54%2.036+13.24%0.1038✗1.48115k2022-07-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0177970.017701-0.54%0.017379-2.35%0.0277✓0.53222k2022-07-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5152.5016-0.53%2.709+7.71%0.0491✗1.743.3M2022-07-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.055170.054895-0.50%0.05693+3.19%0.0123✗1.3824k2022-07-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.85730.853023-0.50%0.9309+8.59%0.0658✗1.23622k2022-07-14
METISMetisEthereum21.621.4962-0.48%22.33+3.38%0.0206✗1.00110k2022-07-14
OPTIMOptimism0.4750.472736-0.48%0.491+3.37%0.0082✗1.701.3M2022-07-14
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1691.1635-0.47%1.205+3.08%0.0145✗1.171.6M2022-07-14
GMTGMTEthereum0.8850.880849-0.47%0.942+6.44%0.0357✗1.80574k2022-07-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04570.045486-0.47%0.0465+1.75%0.0004✓1.24257k2022-07-14
DIADIAEthereum0.390620.388792-0.47%0.40703+4.20%0.0326✗0.7654k2022-07-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80340.799686-0.46%0.8049+0.19%0.0114✓1.024.5M2022-07-14
APEApeCoinEthereum4.584.559-0.46%4.685+2.29%0.0034✓1.7514.8M2022-07-14
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.1556-0.45%3.12-1.58%0.0193✓0.4582k2022-07-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.7892.7765-0.45%2.683-3.80%0.0540✓1.13534k2022-07-14
CBKCobakEthereum0.947520.943332-0.44%0.97016+2.39%0.0082✗1.142,3312022-07-14
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1186.091-0.44%7.013+14.63%0.1169✗1.375.6M2022-07-14
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066990.066695-0.44%0.07424+10.82%0.0932✗0.801,9502022-07-14
GITCOINGITCOIN2.18762.178-0.44%2.2614+3.37%0.0093✗1.624,8022022-07-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14580.145169-0.43%0.1515+3.91%0.0193✗1.33349k2022-07-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023660.023559-0.43%0.02364-0.08%0.0255✓1.6518.5M2022-07-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8622.8499-0.42%2.891+1.01%0.0034✓0.622.2M2022-07-14
XVSVenusEthereum5.075.0486-0.42%5.19+2.37%0.0019✓1.471.3M2022-07-14
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26170.260601-0.42%0.2616-0.04%0.0137✓1.0045k2022-07-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.287360.286159-0.42%0.28803+0.23%0.0172✓1.363,2762022-07-14
API3Api3Ethereum1.751.7428-0.41%1.817+3.83%0.0185✗1.33864k2022-07-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4936.4669-0.40%6.832+5.22%0.0317✗1.335.5M2022-07-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.553.536-0.40%3.64+2.54%0.0181✗0.62672k2022-07-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.113.0979-0.39%3.14+0.96%0.0010✓0.71597k2022-07-14
RADRadworksEthereum1.621.6137-0.39%1.65+1.85%0.0027✓1.12117k2022-07-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4171.4116-0.38%1.442+1.76%0.0048✓1.49173k2022-07-14
FTTFTXEthereum2524.9062-0.38%25.89+3.56%0.0224✗0.9311.0M2022-07-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0360.035866-0.37%0.0362+0.56%0.0128✓1.2699k2022-07-14
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025310.025218-0.36%0.02601+2.77%0.0052✗1.471,9122022-07-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.38910.387691-0.36%0.4047+4.01%0.0154✗1.57202k2022-07-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.943.9262-0.35%3.99+1.27%0.0051✗0.63584k2022-07-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.638180.635952-0.35%0.65046+1.92%0.0060✓1.63120k2022-07-14
AAVEAaveEthereum79.7879.5019-0.35%91.22+14.34%0.1083✗1.679.9M2022-07-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.043670.043518-0.35%0.04502+3.09%0.0179✗0.925,7282022-07-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.1852.1777-0.34%2.216+1.42%0.0016✓0.91105k2022-07-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08630.08601-0.34%0.0862-0.12%0.0199✓1.26171k2022-07-14
SUSHISushiEthereum1.241.2359-0.33%1.39+12.10%0.0909✗1.52768k2022-07-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.444970.443521-0.33%0.45+1.13%0.0120✓1.521.1M2022-07-14
XYMSymbolnative0.0508050.050645-0.32%0.050899+0.19%0.0059✓0.6214k2022-07-14
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7810.778572-0.31%0.799+2.30%0.0120✗0.791.5M2022-07-14
C98Coin98Ethereum0.45050.449102-0.31%0.4625+2.66%0.0102✗1.1055k2022-07-14
DODODODOEthereum0.13310.132689-0.31%0.1478+11.04%0.0852✗1.302.8M2022-07-14
ELAElastosEthereum1.4331.4286-0.31%1.458+1.74%0.0029✓1.00172k2022-07-14
HIVEHivenative0.42210.420805-0.31%0.4244+0.54%0.0136✓1.261.2M2022-07-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.23910.238371-0.31%0.2569+7.44%0.0549✗1.1433k2022-07-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.2188.193-0.30%8.981+9.28%0.0684✗1.3412.7M2022-07-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1270.126615-0.30%0.1256-1.10%0.0315✓1.3435k2022-07-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2820.281156-0.30%0.284+0.71%0.0081✓1.04575k2022-07-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4840.482561-0.30%0.501+3.51%0.0132✗1.3988k2022-07-14
SOLSolanaSolana34.9434.8373-0.29%37.12+6.24%0.0404✗1.3284.4M2022-07-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.384740.383613-0.29%0.38756+0.73%0.0116✓1.25142k2022-07-14
IMXImmutableEthereum0.88290.88034-0.29%0.9164+3.79%0.0147✗1.451.6M2022-07-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.8118.7558-0.29%19.74+4.94%0.0242✗1.5425.2M2022-07-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.73941.7344-0.29%1.7704+1.78%0.0012✓1.2536k2022-07-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10270.102411-0.28%0.1067+3.89%0.0218✗1.10388k2022-07-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.08812.0823-0.28%2.125+1.77%0.0064✗0.80976k2022-07-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3760.374951-0.28%0.408+8.51%0.0651✗1.119,6592022-07-14
ZENHorizenBase15.2915.2473-0.28%15.41+0.78%0.0142✓1.4277k2022-07-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017750.017701-0.28%0.01788+0.73%0.0035✓0.77385k2022-07-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.291830.291038-0.27%0.28941-0.83%0.0276✓1.26445k2022-07-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.16440.163954-0.27%0.1866+13.50%0.1055✗1.372,4272022-07-14
COMPCompoundEthereum48.3948.2588-0.27%54.97+13.60%0.1064✗1.3627k2022-07-14
XVGVergenative0.00340.003391-0.27%0.00349+2.65%0.0052✗1.35664k2022-07-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.10190.101625-0.27%0.105+3.04%0.0134✗1.10549k2022-07-14
FLOWFlownative1.5111.507-0.27%1.562+3.38%0.0146✗1.21287k2022-07-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.7992.7916-0.26%2.795-0.14%0.0120✓0.76497k2022-07-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.06140.061238-0.26%0.0661+7.65%0.0517✗1.41299k2022-07-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.146.1238-0.26%6.2+0.98%0.0038✗0.49670k2022-07-14
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6550.653279-0.26%0.668+1.98%0.0001✓1.27143k2022-07-14
GTGateEthereum3.95943.9492-0.26%4.0091+1.26%0.0026✓0.711.1M2022-07-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49440.493141-0.25%0.5071+2.57%0.0068✗1.21579k2022-07-14
XECeCashnative0.000038640.000038542-0.25%0.00003899+0.91%0.0097✓1.211.9M2022-07-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009390.009366-0.25%0.00948+0.96%0.0059✓1.035.1M2022-07-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11210.111816-0.25%0.114+1.69%0.0018✓1.004.0M2022-07-14
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16480.164387-0.25%0.1749+6.13%0.0364✗1.462,9732022-07-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6613.6518-0.25%3.698+1.01%0.0017✓0.621.7M2022-07-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.1726.1566-0.25%6.27+1.59%0.0038✓1.2620.2M2022-07-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.878.8485-0.24%9.18+3.49%0.0113✗1.461.1M2022-07-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010530.000010505-0.24%0.0000106+0.66%0.0127✓1.241.2M2022-07-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.28471.2816-0.24%1.3201+2.76%0.0048✗1.42684k2022-07-14
XEMNEMnative0.0388410.03875-0.24%0.039902+2.73%0.0092✗1.1515k2022-07-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin49.549.3836-0.24%51.32+3.68%0.0180✗1.1716.5M2022-07-14
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.12.0951-0.24%2.232+6.29%0.0337✗1.6984k2022-07-14
ADACardanoCardano0.43820.437179-0.23%0.4414+0.73%0.0127✓1.2746.2M2022-07-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067490.006733-0.23%0.006757+0.12%0.0064✓0.5795k2022-07-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.285.2678-0.23%5.3999+2.27%0.0215✗0.18335k2022-07-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,907.645,894.00-0.23%6,010.90+1.75%0.0038✓1.344.5M2022-07-14
BTTCBTTC8.40e-78.38e-7-0.23%8.60e-7+2.38%0.0110✗0.855.8M2022-07-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.444.4298-0.23%4.43-0.23%0.0116✓0.66664k2022-07-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26570.265104-0.22%0.2688+1.17%0.0071✓1.203.1M2022-07-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.74771.7439-0.22%1.7856+2.17%0.0086✗0.86857k2022-07-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5940.592723-0.22%0.615+3.54%0.0205✗0.94405k2022-07-14
XTZTezosTezos1.51911.5159-0.21%1.5601+2.70%0.0064✗1.28603k2022-07-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0119380.011913-0.21%0.012052+0.95%0.0027✓0.821.3M2022-07-14
BANDBandEthereum1.2851.2823-0.21%1.354+5.37%0.0291✗1.45387k2022-07-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.27242.2677-0.21%2.3359+2.79%0.0123✗0.991.2M2022-07-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019120.019081-0.21%0.01974+3.24%0.0156✗1.05100k2022-07-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.008880.008862-0.20%0.00899+1.24%0.0017✓0.921.2M2022-07-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04260.042515-0.20%0.0423-0.70%0.0288✓1.368,3162022-07-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1971.1946-0.20%1.226+2.42%0.0031✗1.302.6M2022-07-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.85851.7554-0.20%52.204+0.67%0.0061✓0.84417k2022-07-14
NANOnanopayBase0.8632120.861511-0.20%0.88517+2.54%0.0093✗1.0181k2022-07-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.3713.344-0.19%13.96+4.41%0.0214✗1.361.3M2022-07-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,219.9020,180.64-0.19%20,493.50+1.35%0.0019✓0.9948k2022-07-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006290.006278-0.19%0.00641+1.91%0.0035✗0.99392k2022-07-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.22.1958-0.19%2.26+2.73%0.0016✓1.56218k2022-07-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10280.102605-0.19%0.1077+4.77%0.0315✗0.976,6852022-07-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2090.208606-0.19%0.211+0.96%0.0160✓1.571.1M2022-07-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.495.4797-0.19%5.72+4.19%0.0192✗1.35256k2022-07-14
UMAUMAEthereum2.5352.5302-0.19%2.576+1.62%0.0018✓1.13929k2022-07-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.049540.049447-0.19%0.04956+0.04%0.0235✓1.47793k2022-07-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.23560.235164-0.19%0.235-0.25%0.0200✓1.1060k2022-07-14
TRXTRONTron0.0662310.066109-0.18%0.066934+1.06%0.0020✓0.82462k2022-07-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36920.368538-0.18%0.3837+3.93%0.0170✗1.3494k2022-07-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027460.002741-0.18%0.002749+0.11%0.0153✓1.041.3M2022-07-14
MANADecentralandEthereum0.814170.812736-0.18%0.83504+2.56%0.0037✗1.34433k2022-07-14
PROPropyEthereum0.820.818586-0.17%0.82+0.00%0.0105✓0.70114k2022-07-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.128.106-0.17%8.33+2.59%0.0066✗1.18288k2022-07-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00093240.000930811-0.17%0.0009545+2.37%0.0027✗1.282.0M2022-07-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30970.309185-0.17%0.3297+6.46%0.0436✗1.188.7M2022-07-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1392.1358-0.15%2.178+1.82%0.0053✓1.4260k2022-07-14
KSMKusamaHydration49.0648.9876-0.15%51.51+4.99%0.0297✗1.17247k2022-07-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.58e-73.58e-7-0.15%3.70e-7+3.33%0.0152✗1.09465k2022-07-14
DASHDashDash42.3942.3287-0.14%43.62+2.90%0.0106✗1.11632k2022-07-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22740.227082-0.14%0.2286+0.53%0.0155✓1.26185k2022-07-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.13550.135314-0.14%0.1368+0.96%0.0110✓1.2696k2022-07-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,220.2320,195.33-0.12%20,577.02+1.76%0.0012✗1.00453.1M2022-07-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.04880.048741-0.12%0.0496+1.64%0.0084✓1.48108k2022-07-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05030.05024-0.12%0.0519+3.18%0.0189✗0.78204k2022-07-14
XMRMoneroMonero124.11123.9616-0.12%133.62+7.66%0.0553✗1.131.3M2022-07-14
SCSiacoinnative0.00390.003895-0.12%0.00388-0.51%0.0277✓1.36153k2022-07-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2830910.282769-0.11%0.290712+2.69%0.0057✗1.261.8M2022-07-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026730.0267-0.11%0.02709+1.35%0.0079✓1.2821k2022-07-14
MOVRMoonriverBase11.981411.9679-0.11%12.3534+3.10%0.0109✗1.19289k2022-07-14
XLMStellarStellar0.1052750.105158-0.11%0.107137+1.77%0.0009✓1.018.4M2022-07-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.4114.3943-0.11%14.74+2.29%0.0032✗1.181.3M2022-07-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0618380.061773-0.10%0.062392+0.90%0.0113✓1.222.1M2022-07-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.08680.086712-0.10%0.0919+5.88%0.0345✗1.35576k2022-07-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6030.602399-0.10%0.609+1.00%0.0160✓1.54129k2022-07-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.122480.12236-0.10%0.12964+5.85%0.0296✗1.61155k2022-07-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.381.3787-0.10%1.43+3.62%0.0109✗1.47160k2022-07-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18230.182126-0.10%0.1891+3.73%0.0122✗1.45136k2022-07-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.0141.0131-0.09%1.0253+1.11%0.0070✓1.0954k2022-07-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09380.093713-0.09%0.0961+2.45%0.0016✗1.352.5M2022-07-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09030.090218-0.09%0.0888-1.66%0.0301✓0.82150k2022-07-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.4646.4581-0.09%6.722+3.99%0.0185✗1.2310.3M2022-07-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.2955.2908-0.08%5.354+1.11%0.0081✓1.142.0M2022-07-14
QTUMQtumQtum2.72412.722-0.08%2.733+0.33%0.0152✓1.1030k2022-07-14
STEEMSteemnative0.20490.204747-0.07%0.2025-1.17%0.0322✓1.21731k2022-07-14
STXStacksnative0.37740.377119-0.07%0.3802+0.74%0.0140✓1.27405k2022-07-14
ETHEthereumEthereum1,114.261,113.47-0.07%1,192.70+7.04%0.0480✗1.18326.5M2022-07-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055490.005546-0.05%0.005687+2.49%0.0090✗0.923,1492022-07-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash102.54102.5243-0.02%102.99+0.44%0.0151✓1.124.8M2022-07-14
ZECZcashZcash54.9254.9167-0.01%57.59+4.86%0.0244✗1.321.7M2022-07-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04280.042803+0.01%0.0443+3.50%0.0109✓1.34855k2022-07-14
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6060.606129+0.02%0.611+0.83%0.0133✗1.22874k2022-07-14
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07410.074132+0.04%0.0769+3.78%0.0151✓1.236,9262022-07-14
KCSKuCoinnative8.9378.9438+0.08%9.1+1.82%0.0022✗1.112.8M2022-07-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46030.460745+0.10%0.467+1.46%0.0062✗1.12311k2022-07-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.