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2022-07-10 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 182 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0684
182 of 182 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.52%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
67.0%
in alpha space · 93.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.36%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (182 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood4.264.1618-2.30%3.26-23.47%0.2316✓0.2882k2022-07-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000110910.000108888-1.82%0.0001049-5.42%0.0506✗1.97766k2022-07-11
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80390.791375-1.56%0.766-4.71%0.0403✗1.64160k2022-07-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15690.154576-1.48%0.1336-14.85%0.0866✓1.3334k2022-07-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7060.69818-1.11%0.633-10.34%0.0313✓1.503,2002022-07-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum15.7115.5487-1.03%14.74-6.17%0.0077✓1.03501k2022-07-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.173020.17153-0.86%0.16562-4.28%0.0973✗2.978572022-07-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.4533.4265-0.77%3.714+7.56%0.1059✗0.572.2M2022-07-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021310.021148-0.76%0.020243-5.01%0.0016✓1.028952022-07-11
QNTQuantEthereum81.4380.8133-0.76%79.01-2.97%0.0217✗0.992.5M2022-07-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.101730.10098-0.74%0.09681-4.84%0.0024✓1.00347k2022-07-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.5614.4564-0.71%14.46-0.69%0.0748✗1.67463k2022-07-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8320.826127-0.71%0.779-6.37%0.0259✗1.9010.2M2022-07-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.25020.248447-0.70%0.2779+11.07%0.1566✗1.00436k2022-07-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.052.036-0.68%1.708-16.68%0.1101✓1.47114k2022-07-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.026080.025904-0.68%0.02269-13.00%0.0587✓1.6621.5M2022-07-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.5497-0.66%1.52-2.56%0.0092✓0.23575k2022-07-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.786020.781068-0.63%0.69-12.22%0.0864✓0.842472022-07-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.93720.93141-0.62%0.8592-8.32%0.0247✓1.26284k2022-07-11
CBKCobakEthereum1.02751.0213-0.60%0.96692-5.89%0.0035✓1.151,9162022-07-11
DIADIAEthereum0.416580.414071-0.60%0.37405-10.21%0.0691✓0.7355k2022-07-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07170.071282-0.58%0.0724+0.98%0.0622✗1.05108k2022-07-11
OPTIMOptimism0.5340.530897-0.58%0.482-9.74%0.0207✓1.701.5M2022-07-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.40210.39985-0.56%0.3752-6.69%0.0191✓1.00179k2022-07-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0174060.017313-0.53%0.01796+3.18%0.0615✗0.56291k2022-07-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.057710.057407-0.53%0.05481-5.03%0.0158✗1.3927k2022-07-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.9520.947081-0.52%0.831-12.71%0.0501✓1.81620k2022-07-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9952.9797-0.51%2.941-1.80%0.0150✗0.632.4M2022-07-11
GITCOINGITCOIN2.38942.3774-0.50%2.206-7.68%0.0013✓1.654,8022022-07-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.304380.30286-0.50%0.28338-6.90%0.0053✓1.372,9402022-07-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.4432.4309-0.50%2.307-5.57%0.0260✗1.763.4M2022-07-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.743.7219-0.48%3.6-3.74%0.0058✓0.62755k2022-07-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03950.039311-0.48%0.0357-9.62%0.0399✓1.27112k2022-07-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.681670.678481-0.47%0.64473-5.42%0.0227✗1.66120k2022-07-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.223.2051-0.46%3.07-4.66%0.0120✓0.70765k2022-07-11
API3Api3Ethereum1.9011.8923-0.46%1.76-7.42%0.0132✓1.33953k2022-07-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.78420.780619-0.46%0.848+8.14%0.1288✗1.034.0M2022-07-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068420.068109-0.45%0.06703-2.03%0.0202✗0.812,3072022-07-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.480080.477906-0.45%0.44498-7.31%0.0020✓1.561.4M2022-07-11
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7834.7615-0.45%4.34-9.26%0.0133✓1.7816.6M2022-07-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04670.046491-0.45%0.0453-3.00%0.0293✗1.24264k2022-07-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2630.261827-0.45%0.2357-10.38%0.0486✓1.27220k2022-07-11
ZENHorizenBase17.0216.9449-0.44%15.04-11.63%0.0566✓1.4176k2022-07-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1611.1559-0.44%1.094-5.77%0.0030✓1.171.7M2022-07-11
RADRadworksEthereum1.711.7026-0.43%1.7-0.58%0.0493✗1.14114k2022-07-11
METISMetisEthereum22.0421.9446-0.43%20.22-8.26%0.0373✓1.00126k2022-07-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019920.019834-0.43%0.01796-9.84%0.0650✓0.77414k2022-07-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29710.295858-0.42%0.2664-10.33%0.0522✓1.183.0M2022-07-11
HIVEHivenative0.46440.462477-0.41%0.4351-6.31%0.0040✓1.281.2M2022-07-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09230.091919-0.41%0.0852-7.69%0.0185✓1.29179k2022-07-11
COMPCompoundEthereum53.3253.1009-0.41%48.56-8.93%0.0268✓1.4127k2022-07-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026780.02667-0.41%0.02594-3.14%0.0451✗1.642,0362022-07-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15330.15268-0.40%0.1396-8.94%0.0302✓1.33353k2022-07-11
UNIUniswapEthereum6.2346.209-0.40%5.561-10.80%0.0501✓1.355.4M2022-07-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.321.3147-0.40%1.15-12.88%0.0673✓1.50784k2022-07-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4392.4295-0.39%2.404-1.44%0.0305✗0.92148k2022-07-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045660.045484-0.38%0.04319-5.41%0.0104✓0.935,7282022-07-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.034.0147-0.38%3.87-3.97%0.0080✓0.64689k2022-07-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2660.264991-0.38%0.228-14.29%0.0827✓1.521.1M2022-07-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39160.390131-0.38%0.3856-1.53%0.0600✗1.61208k2022-07-11
FTTFTXEthereum25.8825.7844-0.37%24.98-3.48%0.0098✗0.9311.6M2022-07-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.260434-0.37%0.261-0.15%0.0467✗1.0046k2022-07-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25890.257947-0.37%0.2436-5.91%0.0062✓1.1531k2022-07-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4170.415472-0.37%0.383-8.15%0.0318✓1.1111k2022-07-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.95220.948717-0.37%0.8869-6.86%0.0057✓1.384.5M2022-07-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.4920.490211-0.36%0.4539-7.74%0.0277✓1.1167k2022-07-11
XVSVenusEthereum5.15.0815-0.36%4.81-5.69%0.0106✗1.471.3M2022-07-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5260.524098-0.36%0.478-9.13%0.0302✓1.3999k2022-07-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.742.7302-0.36%2.6-5.11%0.0006✓1.11552k2022-07-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010630.010592-0.36%0.00974-8.37%0.0380✓1.035.5M2022-07-11
FISStafiEthereum0.3550.35375-0.35%0.355+0.00%0.0481✗1.005252022-07-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.18052.173-0.34%2.0822-4.51%0.0074✓0.791.1M2022-07-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408090.406694-0.34%0.37405-8.34%0.0279✓1.25155k2022-07-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.531.5248-0.34%1.482-3.14%0.0161✗1.00178k2022-07-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0518980.051722-0.34%0.051002-1.73%0.0147✗0.6415k2022-07-11
STEEMSteemnative0.23610.235311-0.33%0.2128-9.87%0.0471✓1.20695k2022-07-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.10520.104854-0.33%0.1063+1.05%0.0635✗1.12551k2022-07-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.7718.7424-0.33%8.163-6.93%0.0091✓1.3313.1M2022-07-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3856.3643-0.32%6.277-1.69%0.0464✗1.355.5M2022-07-11
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8060.803405-0.32%0.771-4.34%0.0052✓0.811.6M2022-07-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7763.7639-0.32%3.567-5.53%0.0260✓0.621.8M2022-07-11
IMXImmutableEthereum0.91270.909783-0.32%0.8569-6.11%0.0048✗1.452.0M2022-07-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86271.8568-0.32%1.7052-8.45%0.0299✓1.2437k2022-07-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1920.191401-0.31%0.1671-12.97%0.0680✓1.522,7942022-07-11
SOLSolanaSolana36.6936.5776-0.31%33.41-8.94%0.0323✓1.3190.8M2022-07-11
FLOWFlownative1.6411.6361-0.30%1.508-8.10%0.0283✓1.19297k2022-07-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.266.2413-0.30%5.94-5.11%0.0278✓0.49815k2022-07-11
DODODODOEthereum0.13430.133902-0.30%0.1241-7.59%0.0188✓1.282.8M2022-07-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001120.000011167-0.30%0.00001031-7.95%0.0239✓1.261.3M2022-07-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11940.119048-0.30%0.1111-6.95%0.0247✓1.004.0M2022-07-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3012.2943-0.29%2.024-12.04%0.0501✓1.6990k2022-07-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.82511.8198-0.29%1.7564-3.76%0.0024✓0.85954k2022-07-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10830.10799-0.29%0.1014-6.37%0.0140✓1.10401k2022-07-11
BANDBandEthereum1.4361.4319-0.28%1.322-7.94%0.0153✓1.45428k2022-07-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.17450.174005-0.28%0.1604-8.08%0.0192✓1.403,2022022-07-11
XECeCashnative0.000040350.000040237-0.28%0.00003797-5.90%0.0034✓1.232.4M2022-07-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.63775.6221-0.28%5.4011-4.20%0.0318✓0.19291k2022-07-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.06310.06293-0.27%0.061-3.33%0.0333✗1.45322k2022-07-11
XTZTezosTezos1.62581.6214-0.27%1.5716-3.33%0.0257✗1.28555k2022-07-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6380.636327-0.26%0.591-7.37%0.0328✓0.92419k2022-07-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.92.8924-0.26%2.795-3.62%0.0004✓0.76583k2022-07-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.0951.9544-0.26%48.67-6.57%0.0128✓1.1818.8M2022-07-11
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.88e-7-0.26%8.70e-7-2.25%0.0172✗0.845.7M2022-07-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.2550.254345-0.26%0.2354-7.69%0.0276✓1.1262k2022-07-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.670.668284-0.26%0.645-3.73%0.0220✗1.29157k2022-07-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1619.1112-0.25%17.31-9.66%0.0313✓1.5227.8M2022-07-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020120.020069-0.25%0.01941-3.53%0.0141✗1.0798k2022-07-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.41092.4048-0.25%2.2902-5.01%0.0036✓1.021.3M2022-07-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.49.3764-0.25%8.54-9.15%0.0289✓1.451.1M2022-07-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006830.006813-0.25%0.00649-4.98%0.0038✓1.00407k2022-07-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2721.2689-0.25%1.191-6.37%0.0024✓1.372.9M2022-07-11
ADACardanoCardano0.46220.461081-0.24%0.4344-6.01%0.0028✓1.2846.7M2022-07-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.159.1279-0.24%8.25-9.84%0.0491✓1.17307k2022-07-11
XEMNEMnative0.0404150.040318-0.24%0.037876-6.28%0.0104✓1.1714k2022-07-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.009160.009138-0.24%0.00882-3.71%0.0063✗0.941.2M2022-07-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0125130.012484-0.23%0.011753-6.07%0.0232✓0.831.4M2022-07-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.24754.1226-0.23%50.206-7.45%0.0378✓0.84488k2022-07-11
GTGateEthereum3.91893.91-0.23%3.8933-0.65%0.0275✗0.711.2M2022-07-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001010.001008-0.23%0.000943-6.62%0.0089✓1.292.7M2022-07-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.3151.312-0.23%1.2351-6.08%0.0005✓1.37685k2022-07-11
AAVEAaveEthereum77.7377.5551-0.22%69.82-10.18%0.0318✓1.648.9M2022-07-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.1916.1774-0.22%6.036-2.50%0.0338✗1.2820.5M2022-07-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.412.4047-0.22%2.22-7.88%0.0097✓1.58236k2022-07-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.484.4702-0.22%4.37-2.46%0.0067✗0.66795k2022-07-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.4114.3785-0.22%13.47-6.52%0.0045✓1.371.5M2022-07-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49330.492229-0.22%0.4671-5.31%0.0016✓1.21634k2022-07-11
NANOnanopayBase0.8800540.878147-0.22%0.843157-4.19%0.0051✗1.0393k2022-07-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,033.036,020.16-0.21%5,496.41-8.89%0.0319✓1.334.5M2022-07-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.14970.149381-0.21%0.1357-9.35%0.0394✓1.27102k2022-07-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10470.104482-0.21%0.0995-4.97%0.0048✓0.997,0862022-07-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39140.390593-0.21%0.3946+0.82%0.0708✗1.3694k2022-07-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067280.006714-0.21%0.006528-2.97%0.0022✓0.5897k2022-07-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.6152.6098-0.20%2.472-5.47%0.0026✓1.16969k2022-07-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.868830.867115-0.20%0.80461-7.39%0.0148✓1.35547k2022-07-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04320.043115-0.20%0.0398-7.87%0.0193✓1.369,9202022-07-11
TRXTRONTron0.0676050.067472-0.20%0.064581-4.47%0.0068✓0.83611k2022-07-11
PROPropyEthereum0.850.848334-0.20%0.83-2.35%0.0101✗0.72129k2022-07-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028390.002834-0.19%0.002667-6.06%0.0146✓1.031.3M2022-07-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.09720.097022-0.18%0.0873-10.19%0.0461✓1.34696k2022-07-11
DASHDashDash45.1645.0782-0.18%41.49-8.13%0.0343✓1.09739k2022-07-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2392.235-0.18%2.068-7.64%0.0144✓1.4266k2022-07-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.80e-73.79e-7-0.18%3.68e-7-3.23%0.0183✗1.11543k2022-07-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3591.3567-0.17%1.294-4.78%0.0184✗1.47170k2022-07-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.051090.051003-0.17%0.04664-8.71%0.0233✓1.49847k2022-07-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.465.4507-0.17%5.35-2.01%0.0410✗1.34264k2022-07-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3125850.312055-0.17%0.283224-9.39%0.0406✓1.262.3M2022-07-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.282550.282078-0.17%0.28158-0.34%0.0548✗1.27464k2022-07-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.521.5175-0.17%1.43-5.92%0.0060✗1.47284k2022-07-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0672080.067097-0.17%0.061727-8.15%0.0297✓1.212.3M2022-07-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.0530.052913-0.16%0.048-9.43%0.0310✓1.49118k2022-07-11
XMRMoneroMonero129.44129.2277-0.16%126.93-1.94%0.0333✗1.151.3M2022-07-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19860.198287-0.16%0.1918-3.42%0.0322✗1.47146k2022-07-11
STXStacksnative0.40560.404986-0.15%0.3748-7.59%0.0210✓1.27354k2022-07-11
XVGVergenative0.003380.003375-0.15%0.00322-4.73%0.0133✗1.35664k2022-07-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2740.273605-0.14%0.265-3.28%0.0135✗1.02600k2022-07-11
KSMKusamaHydration49.9449.8706-0.14%46.66-6.57%0.0141✓1.18333k2022-07-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,768.9020,740.19-0.14%19,940.90-3.99%0.0047✗0.9946k2022-07-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31060.310172-0.14%0.2967-4.48%0.0084✗1.199.4M2022-07-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.07361.0722-0.14%1.0046-6.43%0.0160✓1.1065k2022-07-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028520.028482-0.13%0.02635-7.61%0.0199✓1.3024k2022-07-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056630.005655-0.13%0.005543-2.12%0.0225✗0.963,1492022-07-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,850.6520,824.62-0.12%19,942.43-4.36%0.0012✗1.00472.7M2022-07-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.1315.1117-0.12%14.2-6.15%0.0098✓1.181.7M2022-07-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8496.8411-0.11%6.521-4.79%0.0073✗1.2411.3M2022-07-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09990.099787-0.11%0.0915-8.41%0.0268✓1.342.8M2022-07-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004080.004076-0.11%0.00377-7.60%0.0175✓1.36169k2022-07-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09890.098794-0.11%0.0934-5.56%0.0200✓0.81157k2022-07-11
QTUMQtumQtum2.94282.9398-0.10%2.7005-8.23%0.0359✓1.1030k2022-07-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.124530.124407-0.10%0.11902-4.42%0.0280✗1.62198k2022-07-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1073790.107281-0.09%0.101391-5.58%0.0113✓1.019.2M2022-07-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6490.64841-0.09%0.6-7.55%0.0078✓1.57214k2022-07-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05180.051759-0.08%0.0501-3.28%0.0019✗0.77209k2022-07-11
MOVRMoonriverBase12.042512.034-0.07%11.5955-3.71%0.0160✗1.19316k2022-07-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,167.681,166.93-0.06%1,095.56-6.18%0.0110✓1.17339.3M2022-07-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.4845.4807-0.06%5.193-5.31%0.0028✓1.152.2M2022-07-11
ZECZcashZcash59.6359.6001-0.05%55.65-6.67%0.0098✓1.321.8M2022-07-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04660.046591-0.02%0.0428-8.15%0.0242✓1.36897k2022-07-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash106.77106.7514-0.02%99.04-7.24%0.0244✓1.145.7M2022-07-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07870.07873+0.04%0.075-4.70%0.0075✓1.267,1372022-07-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6220.622294+0.05%0.604-2.89%0.0246✓1.22952k2022-07-11
KCSKuCoinnative9.279.2766+0.07%8.867-4.35%0.0048✓1.123.1M2022-07-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48250.483126+0.13%0.4529-6.13%0.0147✗1.12252k2022-07-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.