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2022-06-17 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 173 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1297
173 of 173 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-3.65%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
76.3%
in alpha space · 9.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.33%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (173 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.560.565757+1.03%0.49-12.50%0.0550✗1.1771k2022-06-18
AAVEAaveEthereum57.3157.8355+0.92%49.52-13.59%0.0274✗1.687.6M2022-06-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.660.665605+0.85%0.583-11.67%0.0269✗1.394.6M2022-06-18
ORCAOrcaSolana0.490.494086+0.83%0.48-2.04%0.0616✓1.1956k2022-06-18
HIVEHivenative0.36270.365711+0.83%0.3505-3.36%0.0661✓1.431.1M2022-06-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum4,789.564,829.26+0.83%4,369.27-8.78%0.0009✓1.303.6M2022-06-18
SCSiacoinnative0.003540.003569+0.82%0.00339-4.24%0.0649✓1.53239k2022-06-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002750.002772+0.80%0.002612-5.02%0.0267✓1.132.1M2022-06-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6970.702522+0.79%0.611-12.34%0.0082✗1.73303k2022-06-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.850350.857012+0.78%0.75523-11.19%0.0637✗0.828792022-06-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.7151.7284+0.78%1.554-9.39%0.0256✓1.732.4M2022-06-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.16440.165686+0.78%0.1531-6.87%0.0334✓1.48191k2022-06-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0029040.002927+0.78%0.002641-9.06%0.0189✗1.104,6932022-06-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.2910.293248+0.77%0.271-6.87%0.0395✓1.56376k2022-06-18
ETHEthereumEthereum1,085.761,093.95+0.75%993.64-8.48%0.0103✗1.13386.3M2022-06-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14860.149705+0.74%0.1405-5.45%0.0469✓1.45917k2022-06-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum7.727.7773+0.74%7.08-8.29%0.0031✓1.19468k2022-06-18
XVGVergenative0.002910.002932+0.74%0.00273-6.19%0.0408✓1.47645k2022-06-18
MOVRMoonriverBase11.624911.7104+0.74%10.6122-8.71%0.0024✓1.32194k2022-06-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche15.9816.0968+0.73%14.8-7.38%0.0275✓1.4649.3M2022-06-18
COMPCompoundEthereum32.8333.0684+0.73%28.98-11.73%0.0198✗1.4726k2022-06-18
BTTCBTTC7.60e-77.65e-7+0.70%7.40e-7-2.63%0.0337✓0.885.3M2022-06-18
XMRMoneroMonero114.16114.9598+0.70%104.18-8.74%0.0117✗1.141.7M2022-06-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2831.292+0.70%1.168-8.96%0.0184✓1.57223k2022-06-18
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7271.739+0.70%1.56-9.67%0.0121✓1.5992k2022-06-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09840.099077+0.69%0.0987+0.30%0.1079✓1.475.0M2022-06-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2660.267818+0.68%0.259-2.63%0.0485✓1.08847k2022-06-18
UOSUltraEthereum0.263340.265138+0.68%0.235-10.76%0.0231✗1.28453k2022-06-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0007770.000782262+0.68%0.0007-9.91%0.0062✓1.382.0M2022-06-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,447.8620,586.04+0.68%18,948.89-7.33%0.0067✗1.00582.4M2022-06-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0060550.006096+0.67%0.005876-2.96%0.0441✓1.062,5622022-06-18
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07990.080437+0.67%0.0752-5.88%0.0385✓1.394,6642022-06-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash121.36122.1665+0.66%115.22-5.06%0.0339✓1.214.5M2022-06-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02040.020535+0.66%0.01934-5.20%0.0226✓1.08137k2022-06-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos6.3736.4151+0.66%6.069-4.77%0.0466✓1.3413.7M2022-06-18
DODODODOEthereum0.12440.125219+0.66%0.1123-9.73%0.0003✓1.434.4M2022-06-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.3850.387519+0.65%0.338-12.21%0.0178✗1.563,5232022-06-18
CBKCobakEthereum0.870460.876039+0.64%0.80868-7.10%0.0145✓1.246,0082022-06-18
SUSHISushiEthereum1.011.0164+0.63%0.93-7.92%0.0320✓1.591.1M2022-06-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.128620.129427+0.63%0.12089-6.01%0.0539✓1.60246k2022-06-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05860.058966+0.62%0.0528-9.90%0.0504✗0.79313k2022-06-18
KCSKuCoinnative11.09611.165+0.62%9.571-13.74%0.0716✗1.085.0M2022-06-18
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6460.649974+0.62%0.612-5.26%0.0295✓1.18977k2022-06-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.045990.046269+0.61%0.04148-9.81%0.0071✗1.3470k2022-06-18
RADRadworksEthereum1.551.5594+0.60%1.46-5.81%0.0250✓1.19270k2022-06-18
XECeCashnative0.000037960.000038189+0.60%0.00003566-6.06%0.0331✓1.332.8M2022-06-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.123.1384+0.59%2.97-4.81%0.0057✓0.801.5M2022-06-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069450.006986+0.59%0.006281-9.56%0.0486✗0.76167k2022-06-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.1661.1728+0.58%1.063-8.83%0.0152✓1.4979k2022-06-18
ZENHorizenBase14.0814.162+0.58%13.17-6.46%0.0394✓1.4755k2022-06-18
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11180.112451+0.58%0.1042-6.80%0.0320✓1.4250k2022-06-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3760.378172+0.58%0.3417-9.12%0.0126✓1.50146k2022-06-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.14920.15005+0.57%0.1378-7.64%0.0080✓1.223,2772022-06-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2678790.269402+0.57%0.247565-7.58%0.0229✓1.412.4M2022-06-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8413.9182+0.57%12.93-6.58%0.0374✓1.462.2M2022-06-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0382.0493+0.56%2.038+0.00%0.1103✓1.5288k2022-06-18
DIADIAEthereum0.385560.387697+0.55%0.35701-7.40%0.0301✗0.69256k2022-06-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03570.035897+0.55%0.0333-6.72%0.0320✓1.41364k2022-06-18
UNIUniswapEthereum3.9313.9526+0.55%3.637-7.48%0.0200✓1.363.3M2022-06-18
CELLCellframeEthereum0.23780.239101+0.55%0.2227-6.35%0.0247✓1.2631k2022-06-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3566.3906+0.54%5.918-6.89%0.0236✓1.3241.5M2022-06-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3335.3617+0.54%5.103-4.31%0.0518✓1.332.5M2022-06-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026750.026894+0.54%0.02514-6.02%0.0371✓1.3719k2022-06-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.362.3726+0.54%2.17-8.05%0.0370✓1.66311k2022-06-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.038.0728+0.53%7.81-2.74%0.0443✓1.02267k2022-06-18
OPTIMOptimism0.5180.520758+0.53%0.451-12.93%0.0677✗1.006.4M2022-06-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21320.214334+0.53%0.1978-7.22%0.0267✓1.41462k2022-06-18
NANOnanopayBase0.8083990.81269+0.53%0.758897-6.12%0.0168✓1.12119k2022-06-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.09430.094798+0.53%0.0868-7.95%0.0059✓1.24803k2022-06-18
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.34e-73.36e-7+0.53%2.94e-7-12.01%0.0663✗0.88951k2022-06-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.3714.4453+0.52%13.68-4.80%0.0436✓1.292.1M2022-06-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.590.59309+0.52%0.552-6.44%0.0068✓1.03365k2022-06-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin47.5547.7981+0.52%47.13-0.88%0.0777✓1.2117.5M2022-06-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.22070.22185+0.52%0.2039-7.61%0.0048✓1.17100k2022-06-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,457.0020,563.43+0.52%19,116.80-6.55%0.0025✓0.9929k2022-06-18
APEApeCoinEthereum3.7413.7605+0.52%3.615-3.37%0.1045✓1.8915.8M2022-06-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.08920.089663+0.52%0.0832-6.73%0.0401✓1.511.1M2022-06-18
BANDBandEthereum1.3721.3789+0.51%1.287-6.20%0.0501✓1.56407k2022-06-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02820.028342+0.50%0.0267-5.32%0.0415✓1.33197k2022-06-18
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6110.61402+0.49%0.578-5.40%0.0450✓1.38531k2022-06-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4410.443149+0.49%0.412-6.58%0.0375✓1.45108k2022-06-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.712.7231+0.48%2.46-9.23%0.0163✗1.12663k2022-06-18
ZECZcashZcash62.5262.82+0.48%59.26-5.21%0.0447✓1.353.3M2022-06-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.1310.131625+0.48%0.1231-6.03%0.0382✓1.38166k2022-06-18
KSMKusamaHydration48.9749.2036+0.48%48.42-1.12%0.0792✓1.25986k2022-06-18
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.8570.861066+0.47%0.798-6.88%0.0001✓1.001.5M2022-06-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8492.8622+0.46%2.618-8.11%0.0466✗0.564.3M2022-06-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0197880.01988+0.46%0.02049+3.55%0.1219✓1.208,7652022-06-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5050.507312+0.46%0.503-0.40%0.0928✓1.33767k2022-06-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06150.061781+0.46%0.0517-15.93%0.0875✗1.19147k2022-06-18
LSKLiskEthereum0.987830.992336+0.46%0.93123-5.73%0.0273✓1.1949k2022-06-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2697.302+0.45%7.044-3.10%0.0669✓1.3513.8M2022-06-18
SOLSolanaSolana30.6930.8295+0.45%32.01+4.30%0.1450✓1.41109.1M2022-06-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0520.052235+0.45%0.0485-6.73%0.0370✓1.461.7M2022-06-18
FTTFTXEthereum24.3524.4599+0.45%22.79-6.41%0.0003✓0.929.9M2022-06-18
GTGateEthereum3.95983.9776+0.45%3.6059-8.94%0.0455✗0.691.7M2022-06-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.4375.4614+0.45%5.133-5.59%0.0463✓1.4211.1M2022-06-18
XEMNEMnative0.0398990.040078+0.45%0.037989-4.79%0.0467✓1.3226k2022-06-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.008970.00901+0.44%0.00847-5.57%0.0180✓1.051.4M2022-06-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.311.3158+0.44%1.33+1.53%0.1342✓1.62596k2022-06-18
GMTGMTEthereum0.6160.618692+0.44%0.601-2.44%0.1066✓1.781.6M2022-06-18
QNTQuantEthereum46.5646.7633+0.44%48.77+4.75%0.1188✓1.011.9M2022-06-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04010.040271+0.43%0.03819-4.76%0.0309✓1.102,9602022-06-18
FLOWFlownative1.3921.3979+0.43%1.264-9.20%0.0246✗1.00541k2022-06-18
STEEMSteemnative0.20110.201954+0.42%0.1826-9.20%0.0055✗1.25656k2022-06-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006710.006738+0.42%0.00624-7.00%0.0019✓1.03540k2022-06-18
XTZTezosTezos1.38791.3936+0.41%1.2889-7.13%0.0226✓1.32914k2022-06-18
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3460.347415+0.41%0.297-14.16%0.0688✗1.1616k2022-06-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046570.04676+0.41%0.04483-3.74%0.0362✓1.0315k2022-06-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.784.7994+0.41%4.4-7.95%0.0158✓1.35400k2022-06-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.080.080325+0.41%0.0691-13.62%0.0429✗1.41334k2022-06-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4132.4228+0.41%2.377-1.49%0.0572✓1.0075k2022-06-18
QTUMQtumQtum2.7442.755+0.40%2.5838-5.84%0.0266✓1.1939k2022-06-18
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.056120.056343+0.40%0.04811-14.27%0.0818✗1.001,5532022-06-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008160.000008192+0.40%0.00000771-5.51%0.0346✓1.25813k2022-06-18
LUNATerraTerra 20.000058530.00005876+0.39%0.0000554-5.35%0.1060✓2.171.6M2022-06-18
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.047790.047977+0.39%0.04472-6.42%0.0515✓1.601.6M2022-06-18
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7590.761927+0.39%0.712-6.19%0.0528✓1.583.3M2022-06-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.05680.057017+0.38%0.0534-5.99%0.0552✓1.59142k2022-06-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09240.092753+0.38%0.0869-5.95%0.0241✓1.17686k2022-06-18
XLMStellarStellar0.1118030.112215+0.37%0.107534-3.82%0.0405✓1.0911.1M2022-06-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.0111.0505+0.37%9.79-11.08%0.0070✓1.68322k2022-06-18
DASHDashDash43.5343.6889+0.36%41.55-4.55%0.0357✓1.13810k2022-06-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.922.9305+0.36%2.82-3.42%0.0268✓0.861.8M2022-06-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.310.31111+0.36%0.2955-4.68%0.0431✓1.2414.4M2022-06-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86111.8677+0.36%1.728-7.15%0.0246✓1.3455k2022-06-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009130.009163+0.36%0.00909-0.44%0.0662✓0.9711.3M2022-06-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017770.017833+0.36%0.01535-13.62%0.0966✗0.70608k2022-06-18
BORABORAKlay Token0.293090.294131+0.36%0.28073-4.22%0.0672✓1.5012k2022-06-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13040.13086+0.35%0.1228-5.83%0.0135✓1.01255k2022-06-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.256.272+0.35%6.1-2.40%0.0113✓0.512.0M2022-06-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.248.2684+0.34%8.89+7.89%0.2004✓1.682.4M2022-06-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0120480.012089+0.34%0.011617-3.58%0.0266✓0.872.0M2022-06-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0568770.057072+0.34%0.052785-7.19%0.0184✓1.271.3M2022-06-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12140.121811+0.34%0.1102-9.23%0.0238✗1.003.3M2022-06-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.114.1238+0.34%4.18+1.70%0.0693✓0.731.4M2022-06-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.963.9731+0.33%3.86-2.53%0.0243✓0.701.5M2022-06-18
STXStacksnative0.38170.382941+0.33%0.3371-11.68%0.0259✗1.33195k2022-06-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.2660.266845+0.32%0.2512-5.56%0.0368✓1.285.1M2022-06-18
API3Api3Ethereum1.2761.28+0.32%1.425+11.68%0.2223✓1.51891k2022-06-18
XVSVenusEthereum4.164.173+0.31%4.07-2.16%0.1029✓1.681.6M2022-06-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.43362.4406+0.29%2.3544-3.25%0.0475✓1.102.9M2022-06-18
ADACardanoCardano0.48680.488141+0.28%0.4544-6.66%0.0358✓1.4171.0M2022-06-18
TRXTRONTron0.05980.059964+0.27%0.060855+1.76%0.0896✓0.98887k2022-06-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.640.641707+0.27%0.61-4.69%0.0601✓1.46182k2022-06-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04620.046322+0.26%0.0455-1.52%0.1001✓1.5516k2022-06-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.06130.061457+0.26%0.0572-6.69%0.0470✓1.56409k2022-06-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.37691.3802+0.24%1.2522-9.06%0.0000✓1.281.5M2022-06-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.43254.5581+0.23%55.298+1.59%0.0809✓0.891.2M2022-06-18
STORJStorjEthereum0.472670.473716+0.22%0.43006-9.01%0.0103✓1.4163k2022-06-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.7411.7447+0.21%1.6728-3.92%0.0269✓0.912.8M2022-06-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.14592.1504+0.21%2.0842-2.88%0.0376✓0.903.1M2022-06-18
GITCOINGITCOIN2.41652.4212+0.20%2.144-11.28%0.0130✓1.7717k2022-06-18
MANADecentralandEthereum0.838280.839913+0.19%0.77754-7.25%0.0289✓1.39725k2022-06-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.553520.554569+0.19%0.50803-8.22%0.0497✓1.803.6M2022-06-18
XYMSymbolnative0.0504990.05058+0.16%0.0493-2.37%0.0265✓0.6965k2022-06-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1333.1378+0.15%2.936-6.29%0.0118✗0.724.9M2022-06-18
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7610.762153+0.15%0.795+4.47%0.1141✓0.941.7M2022-06-18
UMAUMAEthereum2.6492.6522+0.12%2.376-10.31%0.0145✗1.251.1M2022-06-18
PROPropyEthereum0.90.901013+0.11%0.85-5.56%0.0014✗0.75186k2022-06-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.683.6839+0.11%3.39-7.88%0.0370✗0.611.9M2022-06-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.338270.338589+0.09%0.31116-8.01%0.0145✓1.30105k2022-06-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0153930.015404+0.07%0.014203-7.73%0.0356✗0.60469k2022-06-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021960.021973+0.06%0.02407+9.61%0.2381✓1.9340.1M2022-06-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10660.106662+0.06%0.0999-6.29%0.0164✓1.085,8092022-06-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.341.3408+0.06%1.218-9.10%0.0184✓1.504.9M2022-06-18
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.4904+0.03%2.06+38.26%0.3758✓0.69166k2022-06-18
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49930.499356+0.01%0.4617-7.53%0.0023✗1.00161k2022-06-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6193.6185-0.01%3.423-5.42%0.0034✓0.686.3M2022-06-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8880.887656-0.04%0.788-11.26%0.0354✗2.0329.5M2022-06-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.240.239893-0.04%0.233-2.92%0.0949✗1.631.2M2022-06-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.0555.0523-0.05%5.06+0.10%0.0201✗0.24226k2022-06-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72370.721438-0.31%0.7155-1.13%0.0822✗1.192.8M2022-06-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.