8=======>

2022-06-12 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 172 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2379
172 of 172 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.00%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
79.7%
in alpha space · 25.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-15.42%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (172 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
WOOWOOEthereum0.11830.119009+0.60%0.1305+10.31%0.3768✓1.701,7522022-06-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2770.278467+0.53%0.256-7.58%0.1322✓1.29847k2022-06-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.421730.423778+0.49%0.37168-11.87%0.1648✓1.7761k2022-06-13
AAVEAaveEthereum70.370.6206+0.46%59.74-15.02%0.1513✓1.907.4M2022-06-13
SCSiacoinnative0.004050.004068+0.43%0.00359-11.36%0.1737✓1.78213k2022-06-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.285550.286778+0.43%0.25822-9.57%0.1555✓1.55453k2022-06-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,006.746,032.29+0.43%4,951.67-17.56%0.0242✓1.323.6M2022-06-13
UNIUniswapEthereum4.0544.0712+0.42%3.662-9.67%0.1502✓1.532.6M2022-06-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.067.0896+0.42%6.495-8.00%0.1735✓1.5615.2M2022-06-13
COMPCompoundEthereum41.241.3662+0.40%35.73-13.28%0.1266✓1.6330k2022-06-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin47.8648.0526+0.40%43.45-9.21%0.1275✓1.3617.5M2022-06-13
XVGVergenative0.003420.003434+0.40%0.00303-11.40%0.1531✓1.66628k2022-06-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6725.6932+0.37%5.329-6.05%0.2056✓1.622.5M2022-06-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche17.2717.3324+0.36%16.09-6.83%0.2239✓1.7847.8M2022-06-13
KSMKusamaHydration50.7850.9619+0.36%46.08-9.26%0.1338✓1.401.0M2022-06-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.369.3931+0.35%8.36-10.68%0.1019✓1.30502k2022-06-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.2461.2503+0.35%1.145-8.11%0.2084✓1.7773k2022-06-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash145.97146.467+0.34%126.93-13.04%0.0722✓1.294.4M2022-06-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.4314.4783+0.34%13.49-6.51%0.2224✓1.752.3M2022-06-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,433.191,437.96+0.33%1,207.82-15.73%0.0163✓1.14340.5M2022-06-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.8640.866873+0.33%0.718-16.90%0.0595✓1.485.1M2022-06-13
MOVRMoonriverBase15.580915.632+0.33%14.6487-5.98%0.2090✓1.64222k2022-06-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.9790.982134+0.32%0.858-12.36%0.2206✓2.12319k2022-06-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40540.406695+0.32%0.3765-7.13%0.2294✓1.83146k2022-06-13
BTTCBTTC9.30e-79.33e-7+0.31%8.10e-7-12.90%0.0124✓0.925.5M2022-06-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023080.02315+0.31%0.01883-18.41%0.0231✗1.10151k2022-06-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3937.4156+0.31%7.032-4.88%0.2118✓1.5813.5M2022-06-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003180.00319+0.30%0.00285-10.38%0.1063✓1.312.1M2022-06-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.266.2787+0.30%5.917-5.48%0.2069✓1.5932.8M2022-06-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1892.1955+0.30%2.042-6.72%0.2249✓1.78139k2022-06-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.09720.097489+0.30%0.0945-2.78%0.2251✓1.53795k2022-06-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.4890.490449+0.30%0.493+0.82%0.3086✓1.81886k2022-06-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.660.661944+0.29%0.6-9.09%0.1122✓1.2663k2022-06-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.030.030088+0.29%0.0291-3.00%0.2492✓1.69221k2022-06-13
ZENHorizenBase15.1515.1941+0.29%14.12-6.80%0.2187✓1.7465k2022-06-13
APEApeCoinEthereum3.8853.8963+0.29%3.485-10.30%0.2690✓2.2717.0M2022-06-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20370.204288+0.29%0.1607-21.11%0.0150✓1.52196k2022-06-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.422.4269+0.29%2.19-9.50%0.2473✓2.09294k2022-06-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.340.34097+0.29%0.301-11.47%0.2074✓1.98530k2022-06-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11140.111711+0.28%0.1066-4.31%0.2542✓1.805.4M2022-06-13
NANOnanopayBase0.9111030.913624+0.28%0.845884-7.16%0.1592✓1.41120k2022-06-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006870.006889+0.28%0.00632-8.01%0.1223✓1.25607k2022-06-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.6365.6515+0.28%5.442-3.44%0.2595✓1.7810.6M2022-06-13
BANDBandEthereum1.4171.4208+0.27%1.318-6.99%0.2399✓1.88342k2022-06-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.630.631683+0.27%0.662+5.08%0.3616✓1.88578k2022-06-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23170.232315+0.27%0.195-15.84%0.0784✓1.51432k2022-06-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.10950.109786+0.26%0.149+36.07%0.5992✓1.753.2M2022-06-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.05730.05745+0.26%0.0599+4.54%0.3972✓2.12141k2022-06-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008590.000008612+0.26%0.00000802-6.64%0.1816✓1.51850k2022-06-13
XECeCashnative0.000041050.000041156+0.26%0.00003827-6.77%0.1952✓1.603.0M2022-06-13
HIVEHivenative0.43250.433607+0.26%0.3584-17.13%0.0667✓1.541.1M2022-06-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.1851.188+0.25%1.149-3.04%0.2688✓1.80826k2022-06-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11990.120202+0.25%0.1013-15.51%0.0924✓1.5749k2022-06-13
DIADIAEthereum0.423270.424324+0.25%0.38009-10.20%0.0043✓0.68249k2022-06-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029290.029363+0.25%0.02635-10.04%0.1578✓1.5917k2022-06-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008180.0082+0.25%0.00733-10.39%0.0304✓0.85153k2022-06-13
QNTQuantEthereum49.5749.6909+0.24%49.66+0.18%0.2115✓1.272.0M2022-06-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.10.100244+0.24%0.0926-7.40%0.2267✓1.831.1M2022-06-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003680.003689+0.24%0.00331-10.05%0.1194✓1.364,6932022-06-13
SOLSolanaSolana30.5630.6335+0.24%28.58-6.48%0.2095✓1.67103.2M2022-06-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative16.5916.6291+0.24%14.4-13.20%0.0932✓1.422.3M2022-06-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.131.1326+0.23%0.97-14.16%0.1426✓1.781.1M2022-06-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0008250.000826932+0.23%0.000828+0.36%0.3006✓1.791.8M2022-06-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin26,555.2026,616.85+0.23%22,460.97-15.42%0.0023✗1.00538.8M2022-06-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.341.3431+0.23%1.29-3.73%0.3006✓2.04580k2022-06-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.057920.058052+0.23%0.04562-21.24%0.0135✗1.3649k2022-06-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.2962.3012+0.23%1.997-13.02%0.1055✓1.481.1M2022-06-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05180.051916+0.22%0.0508-1.93%0.2927✓1.881.6M2022-06-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0122880.012315+0.22%0.01281+4.25%0.2498✓1.262.0M2022-06-13
STXStacksnative0.41890.419803+0.22%0.347-17.16%0.0464✓1.41165k2022-06-13
XEMNEMnative0.0417190.041808+0.21%0.039006-6.50%0.1998✓1.6131k2022-06-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.490.491041+0.21%0.447-8.78%0.1958✓1.73116k2022-06-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32460.325287+0.21%0.3039-6.38%0.1757✓1.4614.4M2022-06-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.23160.232082+0.21%0.1992-13.99%0.0622✓1.28100k2022-06-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.2162.2206+0.21%1.912-13.72%0.1932✓2.052.9M2022-06-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.9450.946943+0.21%0.853-9.74%0.0630✓1.001.4M2022-06-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.01e-74.02e-7+0.20%3.58e-7-10.76%0.0420✓0.941.0M2022-06-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.14430.144578+0.19%0.1272-11.85%0.1416✓1.61169k2022-06-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.010070.010089+0.19%0.00905-10.13%0.0892✓1.181.5M2022-06-13
DASHDashDash46.0546.1346+0.18%42.59-7.51%0.1428✓1.33837k2022-06-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1185560.118771+0.18%0.106761-9.95%0.0962✓1.2110.3M2022-06-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.018150.018182+0.18%0.01829+0.77%0.4172✓2.4632.1M2022-06-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0127240.012745+0.17%0.012961+1.86%0.1336✓0.70324k2022-06-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.011.0117+0.17%0.88-12.87%0.0608✓1.2068k2022-06-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum9.329.3353+0.16%8.14-12.66%0.0523✓1.13281k2022-06-13
KCSKuCoinnative14.12214.1449+0.16%11.706-17.11%0.0057✗1.105.3M2022-06-13
RADRadworksEthereum1.721.7228+0.16%1.52-11.63%0.1062✓1.38270k2022-06-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV48.27348.3504+0.16%46.677-3.31%0.1465✓1.091.1M2022-06-13
XVSVenusEthereum4.294.2969+0.16%3.88-9.56%0.2319✓1.991.5M2022-06-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.150430.150669+0.16%0.13259-11.86%0.1913✓1.91260k2022-06-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28160.282046+0.16%0.2574-8.59%0.1567✓1.486.2M2022-06-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.11350.113674+0.15%0.107-5.73%0.2422✓1.814,0262022-06-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.458.463+0.15%8.03-4.97%0.2911✓2.052.7M2022-06-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0634820.063574+0.14%0.054172-14.67%0.0619✓1.331.3M2022-06-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.09211.0936+0.14%0.939069-14.01%0.0705✓1.3348k2022-06-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.650.650917+0.14%0.599-7.85%0.1253✓1.24365k2022-06-13
XMRMoneroMonero159.28159.4985+0.14%132.56-16.78%0.0052✓1.141.7M2022-06-13
MANADecentralandEthereum0.788920.789996+0.14%0.82849+5.02%0.3604✓1.87789k2022-06-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07880.0789+0.13%0.0654-17.01%0.0699✗0.70274k2022-06-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09740.097522+0.13%0.0914-6.16%0.1722✓1.42733k2022-06-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18870.18893+0.12%0.1611-14.63%0.1060✓1.58751k2022-06-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.307120.30748+0.12%0.28493-7.23%0.1726✓1.49105k2022-06-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04230.042348+0.11%0.0358-15.37%0.0911✓1.55383k2022-06-13
STEEMSteemnative0.2080.208227+0.11%0.1835-11.78%0.1289✓1.52585k2022-06-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06570.065769+0.10%0.0561-14.61%0.0699✓1.37153k2022-06-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.72.7028+0.10%2.414-10.59%0.0697✓1.0963k2022-06-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.6640.664671+0.10%0.591-10.99%0.2664✓2.291.8M2022-06-13
QTUMQtumQtum3.08713.0902+0.10%2.7762-10.07%0.1190✓1.3533k2022-06-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.113.113+0.10%3.092-0.58%0.1789✓1.111.8M2022-06-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7330.733707+0.10%0.7-4.50%0.2877✓2.002.7M2022-06-13
FLOWFlownative1.7941.7957+0.09%1.586-11.59%0.0433✓1.00623k2022-06-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009460.009469+0.09%0.00971+2.64%0.2738✓1.4813.3M2022-06-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.15.1046+0.09%4.53-11.18%0.1568✓1.65405k2022-06-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.02240.02242+0.09%0.018258-18.49%0.0011✓1.2310k2022-06-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.250.250219+0.09%0.2205-11.80%0.1236✓1.4931k2022-06-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.0830.083069+0.08%0.0833+0.36%0.3194✓1.89409k2022-06-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10720.107287+0.08%0.0991-7.56%0.1373✓1.296,7702022-06-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04370.043731+0.07%0.03724-14.78%0.0291✓1.133,6542022-06-13
DODODODOEthereum0.15040.150503+0.07%0.136-9.57%0.1823✓1.693.4M2022-06-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4841.4849+0.06%1.255-15.43%0.1526✓1.92236k2022-06-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.14742.1487+0.06%1.8846-12.24%0.1222✓1.5155k2022-06-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2975760.297743+0.06%0.252041-15.30%0.0996✓1.592.3M2022-06-13
ADACardanoCardano0.48990.490173+0.06%0.4636-5.37%0.2306✓1.7149.8M2022-06-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.053150.053178+0.05%0.04897-7.86%0.2664✓2.081.8M2022-06-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum26,697.3026,711.06+0.05%22,471.70-15.83%0.0096✗0.9729k2022-06-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.58690.587198+0.05%0.5649-3.75%0.2039✓1.452.8M2022-06-13
ZECZcashZcash79.3279.3576+0.05%65.48-17.45%0.0503✓1.453.6M2022-06-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.0630.063029+0.05%0.0519-17.62%0.0535✓1.48403k2022-06-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.213.2113+0.04%2.75-14.33%0.0403✓1.17722k2022-06-13
XTZTezosTezos1.63561.6361+0.03%1.4008-14.36%0.0854✓1.44894k2022-06-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.2292.2297+0.03%1.808-18.89%0.0843✓1.7697k2022-06-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.450.450114+0.03%0.392-12.89%0.1715✓1.854,3562022-06-13
GTGateEthereum4.85944.8606+0.02%4.2445-12.65%0.0304✗0.632.1M2022-06-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050670.050681+0.02%0.04329-14.56%0.0394✓1.1815k2022-06-13
FTTFTXEthereum27.927.9043+0.02%24.51-12.15%0.0298✓0.959.1M2022-06-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.35962.36+0.01%2.313-1.97%0.2212✓1.443.0M2022-06-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.42852.4288+0.01%2.0821-14.26%0.2026✓2.1313k2022-06-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.24.2006+0.01%4.2+0.00%0.1557✓0.931.5M2022-06-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3730.373036+0.01%0.332-10.99%0.1078✓1.3415k2022-06-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.314450.314382-0.02%0.25719-18.21%0.0631✗1.5814k2022-06-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2030.202945-0.03%0.189-6.90%0.2712✗2.041.1M2022-06-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.008670.008668-0.03%0.00763-12.00%0.0606✗1.122,4432022-06-13
XYMSymbolnative0.05250.052478-0.04%0.0486-7.43%0.0596✗0.8157k2022-06-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9530.952532-0.05%0.778-18.36%0.0132✓1.131.0M2022-06-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.0832.0818-0.06%2.0689-0.68%0.2004✗1.233.3M2022-06-13
CBKCobakEthereum0.9980.997321-0.07%0.80971-18.87%0.0072✗1.296,0082022-06-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.000069460.000069409-0.07%0.00006043-13.00%0.3850✗3.132.0M2022-06-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05020.050158-0.08%0.048-4.38%0.2723✗1.8923k2022-06-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.15630.156137-0.10%0.1335-14.59%0.0112✗1.00268k2022-06-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.710.70924-0.11%0.68-4.23%0.2571✗1.79198k2022-06-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4391.437-0.14%1.2396-13.86%0.0795✗1.361.7M2022-06-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.553.545-0.14%3.52-0.85%0.1567✗0.981.7M2022-06-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.644.6325-0.16%4.54-2.16%0.1313✗0.901.6M2022-06-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.514390.513542-0.16%0.45073-12.38%0.2568✗2.313.1M2022-06-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.626.609-0.17%6.79+2.57%0.1414✗0.682.0M2022-06-13
TRXTRONTron0.0761310.075997-0.18%0.063701-16.33%0.0245✓0.91682k2022-06-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.212.1784-0.18%11.71-4.02%0.3121✗2.10252k2022-06-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.0263.0203-0.19%3.286+8.59%0.2270✗0.854.3M2022-06-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.20171.1988-0.24%1.0426-13.24%0.0081✓0.799702022-06-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073690.073493-0.27%0.0647-12.20%0.0400✗1.001,6002022-06-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8490.846583-0.28%0.776-8.60%0.1036✗1.141.7M2022-06-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2943.2845-0.29%3.225-2.09%0.1350✗0.923.7M2022-06-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.51145.4955-0.29%5.3088-3.68%0.0168✗0.31235k2022-06-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.833.8185-0.30%4.17+8.88%0.2260✗0.821.9M2022-06-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.78991.7837-0.35%1.7211-3.84%0.1604✗1.173.4M2022-06-13
OPTIMOptimism0.6440.641398-0.40%0.545-15.37%0.0046✗1.007.3M2022-06-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6753.659-0.43%3.335-9.25%0.0438✗0.826.4M2022-06-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.023080.022977-0.45%0.01967-14.77%0.0521✓0.62637k2022-06-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.131.1245-0.49%0.941-16.73%0.2018✗2.2710.6M2022-06-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7231.7126-0.61%1.458-15.38%0.1093✗1.615.1M2022-06-13
PROPropyEthereum1.051.0427-0.70%0.9-14.29%0.0256✓0.73183k2022-06-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.691.6614-1.69%1.61-4.73%0.0982✗0.77153k2022-06-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.