8=======>

2022-05-21 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 169 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3587
169 of 169 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+14.14%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
56.8%
in alpha space · 69.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.90%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (169 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000130.000130732+0.56%0.0002+53.85%0.3475✓2.726.5M2022-05-22
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0570.057284+0.50%0.059+3.51%0.0041✓1.1886k2022-05-22
ORCAOrcaSolana0.840.843019+0.36%0.86+2.38%0.0098✗1.0496k2022-05-22
DODODODOEthereum0.1420.142508+0.36%0.145+2.11%0.0262✗1.523.2M2022-05-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08060.080855+0.32%0.0845+4.84%0.0033✗1.662.6M2022-05-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.168.1829+0.28%8.44+3.43%0.0058✗1.285.0M2022-05-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.199350.199875+0.26%0.20936+5.02%0.0009✓1.65280k2022-05-22
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9892.996+0.23%3.068+2.64%0.0200✗1.53263k2022-05-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5922.5977+0.22%2.723+5.05%0.0027✗1.745.5M2022-05-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.11020.110436+0.21%0.1177+6.81%0.0172✓1.631.4M2022-05-22
WOOWOOEthereum0.1990.199422+0.21%0.2052+3.12%0.0028✗1.101,8582022-05-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2111.2135+0.21%1.273+5.12%0.0095✓1.347.6M2022-05-22
MINAMina Protocolnative1.0081.01+0.20%1.015+0.69%0.0378✗1.50775k2022-05-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15770.158007+0.19%0.1629+3.30%0.0130✗1.528.8M2022-05-22
UNIUniswapEthereum5.235.2401+0.19%5.49+4.97%0.0115✓1.233.1M2022-05-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011740.000011763+0.19%0.00001191+1.45%0.0251✗1.311.1M2022-05-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.1771.179+0.17%1.237+5.10%0.0008✓1.71503k2022-05-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25380.254234+0.17%0.271+6.78%0.0282✓1.25305k2022-05-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001440.001442+0.17%0.00148+2.78%0.0173✗1.513.4M2022-05-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12540.125608+0.17%0.1314+4.78%0.0140✓1.0918k2022-05-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.361.3622+0.17%1.41+3.68%0.0033✓1.09132k2022-05-22
STXStacksnative0.530.530847+0.16%0.56+5.66%0.0204✓1.16260k2022-05-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,260.509,274.93+0.16%9,473.13+2.30%0.0131✗1.203.0M2022-05-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0842970.084427+0.15%0.085931+1.94%0.0147✗1.135.8M2022-05-22
AAVEAaveEthereum91.1491.279+0.15%94.18+3.34%0.0128✗1.549.0M2022-05-22
UOSUltraEthereum0.37060.371157+0.15%0.37996+2.53%0.0171✗1.421.2M2022-05-22
SUSHISushiEthereum1.451.4522+0.15%1.45+0.00%0.0453✗1.533.1M2022-05-22
XEMNEMnative0.05320.053278+0.15%0.0602+13.16%0.0836✓1.3543k2022-05-22
COMPCompoundEthereum68.468.4999+0.15%71.06+3.89%0.0036✗1.4128k2022-05-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV48.6848.7491+0.14%50.645+4.04%0.0105✓0.971.5M2022-05-22
SCSiacoinnative0.005060.005067+0.14%0.00546+7.91%0.0308✓1.54367k2022-05-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.8629.902+0.14%31.68+6.10%0.0157✓1.4750.4M2022-05-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum88.011+0.14%8.22+2.75%0.0164✗1.487.8M2022-05-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.0630.063075+0.12%0.0642+1.90%0.0170✗1.21404k2022-05-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.388080.388539+0.12%0.40856+5.28%0.0134✓1.29197k2022-05-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13620.136349+0.11%0.1432+5.14%0.0029✓1.615.5M2022-05-22
RADRadworksEthereum2.062.0622+0.10%2.07+0.49%0.0300✗1.18258k2022-05-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.2390.23925+0.10%0.2394+0.17%0.0171✗0.62374k2022-05-22
PROPropyEthereum1.041.0411+0.10%1.09+4.81%0.0271✓0.66369k2022-05-22
XVGVergenative0.005150.005155+0.10%0.00531+3.11%0.0110✗1.42885k2022-05-22
STORJStorjEthereum0.555860.556416+0.10%0.59235+6.56%0.0203✓1.4887k2022-05-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03360.033631+0.09%0.0348+3.57%0.0062✗1.41198k2022-05-22
MOVRMoonriverBase23.685223.7069+0.09%24.623+3.96%0.0033✗1.44210k2022-05-22
DASHDashDash57.0157.0621+0.09%61.53+7.93%0.0412✓1.201.0M2022-05-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.8712.8817+0.09%13.3+3.34%0.0052✓0.94583k2022-05-22
GALAGALAEthereum0.08560.085676+0.09%0.0847-1.05%0.0608✗1.73215k2022-05-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038850.038884+0.09%0.04097+5.46%0.0124✓1.3944k2022-05-22
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5820.582502+0.09%0.582+0.00%0.0348✗1.1933k2022-05-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009930.009938+0.08%0.00992-0.10%0.0242✗0.78184k2022-05-22
LSKLiskEthereum1.16721.1681+0.08%1.2967+11.09%0.0729✓1.1076k2022-05-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.32960.329853+0.08%0.3493+5.98%0.0201✓1.308.6M2022-05-22
XLMStellarStellar0.1305240.13062+0.07%0.135282+3.65%0.0040✓1.0912.4M2022-05-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.43450.434817+0.07%0.442+1.73%0.0185✗1.2215.4M2022-05-22
BANDBandEthereum1.7531.7543+0.07%1.86+6.10%0.0159✓1.49433k2022-05-22
XVSVenusEthereum4.794.7934+0.07%4.95+3.34%0.0162✗1.692.6M2022-05-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.047.0449+0.07%7.32+3.98%0.0001✓1.3419.2M2022-05-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004950.004953+0.07%0.00484-2.22%0.0575✗1.201.9M2022-05-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2042.2055+0.07%2.175-1.32%0.0578✗1.5395k2022-05-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.376.3737+0.06%6.36-0.16%0.0422✗1.40610k2022-05-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash192.09192.1979+0.06%197.72+2.93%0.0052✗1.175.1M2022-05-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18570.185799+0.05%0.1936+4.25%0.0013✗1.49640k2022-05-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1280.128068+0.05%0.1333+4.14%0.0075✓1.141.1M2022-05-22
KSMKusamaHydration8080.0407+0.05%80.44+0.55%0.0313✗1.271.4M2022-05-22
BTTCBTTC0.000001110.000001111+0.05%0.00000114+2.70%0.0038✓0.787.5M2022-05-22
SGBSongbirdnative0.03280.032816+0.05%0.0341+3.96%0.0270✓0.40143k2022-05-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.0311.0354+0.05%11.4+3.35%0.0088✗1.4421.0M2022-05-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0172170.017224+0.04%0.017576+2.09%0.0107✗1.083.2M2022-05-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.92.9011+0.04%2.78-4.14%0.0944✗1.81378k2022-05-22
QNTQuantEthereum68.2768.2928+0.03%69.49+1.79%0.0133✗1.073.5M2022-05-22
SOLSolanaSolana50.2550.266+0.03%52.44+4.36%0.0007✓1.4688.2M2022-05-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08810.088126+0.03%0.0891+1.14%0.0118✗0.80184k2022-05-22
MANADecentralandEthereum1.09481.0951+0.03%1.1009+0.56%0.0398✗1.581.2M2022-05-22
AVTAventusEthereum1.221.2203+0.03%1.23+0.82%0.0156✗0.82192k2022-05-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.18190.181947+0.03%0.1921+5.61%0.0149✓1.38386k2022-05-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.49040.490526+0.03%0.5155+5.12%0.0063✓1.52224k2022-05-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.543.5409+0.02%3.58+1.13%0.0166✗0.97774k2022-05-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3630.363083+0.02%0.376+3.58%0.0164✗1.801.7M2022-05-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.6510.6523+0.02%11.2+5.16%0.0045✓1.60165k2022-05-22
HIVEHivenative0.4880.488103+0.02%0.5206+6.68%0.0276✓1.291.5M2022-05-22
QTUMQtumQtum3.91293.9136+0.02%4.1221+5.35%0.0181✓1.18103k2022-05-22
ADACardanoCardano0.52790.527988+0.02%0.5413+2.54%0.0136✗1.3548.2M2022-05-22
UMAUMAEthereum3.4423.4425+0.02%3.516+2.15%0.0274✗1.702.4M2022-05-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.979.9715+0.02%10.14+1.71%0.0217✗1.3513.8M2022-05-22
NANOnanopayBase1.14991.15+0.02%1.1635+1.18%0.0244✗1.26157k2022-05-22
ETHEthereumEthereum1,972.641,972.76+0.01%2,040.92+3.46%0.0046✓1.03437.0M2022-05-22
GLMGolemEthereum0.25420.25421+0.00%0.2686+5.66%0.0157✓1.38159k2022-05-22
XTZTezosTezos1.82071.8208+0.00%1.975+8.47%0.0454✓1.261.1M2022-05-22
ZENHorizenBase20.4920.4897-0.00%21.01+2.54%0.0200✓1.58156k2022-05-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative20.3220.3195-0.00%21.06+3.64%0.0005✓1.273.4M2022-05-22
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9440.943938-0.01%0.99+4.87%0.0024✗1.586.3M2022-05-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.9914.9886-0.01%15.37+2.54%0.0106✓1.25836k2022-05-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009630.009629-0.01%0.00945-1.87%0.0507✓1.121.1M2022-05-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.890.889876-0.01%0.94+5.62%0.0104✗1.55683k2022-05-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,441.0029,436.40-0.02%30,400.00+3.26%0.0043✗0.9876k2022-05-22
CELLCellframeEthereum0.36530.365239-0.02%0.4009+9.75%0.0561✗1.3077k2022-05-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.013310.013308-0.02%0.01329-0.15%0.0314✓1.052.8M2022-05-22
API3Api3Ethereum1.9651.9646-0.02%1.923-2.14%0.0674✓1.611.9M2022-05-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.66270.66254-0.02%0.6744+1.77%0.0242✓1.475.1M2022-05-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6880.687831-0.02%0.717+4.22%0.0014✓1.50294k2022-05-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072130.072112-0.03%0.0719-0.32%0.0339✓1.0817k2022-05-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004550.004549-0.03%0.00468+2.86%0.0020✓1.0715k2022-05-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,408.2629,400.43-0.03%30,260.87+2.90%0.0003✗1.00718.8M2022-05-22
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14390.143861-0.03%0.1556+8.13%0.0314✗1.6597k2022-05-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.028250.028242-0.03%0.02798-0.96%0.0365✓0.95180k2022-05-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.12070.120665-0.03%0.1233+2.15%0.0167✓1.341.0M2022-05-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4398130.439664-0.03%0.449496+2.20%0.0162✓1.345.7M2022-05-22
XECeCashnative0.000045930.000045912-0.04%0.00004786+4.20%0.0036✗1.335.8M2022-05-22
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.2032.2021-0.04%2.144-2.68%0.0817✓1.92789k2022-05-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum21.0321.0212-0.04%21.67+3.04%0.0100✓1.413.2M2022-05-22
CBKCobakEthereum1.1191.1185-0.04%1.235+10.37%0.0702✗1.0112k2022-05-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.380.379827-0.05%0.379-0.26%0.0344✓1.131.0M2022-05-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.008840.008836-0.05%0.00925+4.64%0.0170✗1.0111k2022-05-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2410.240873-0.05%0.243+0.83%0.0373✓1.612.2M2022-05-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.93514.9324-0.05%4.9129-0.45%0.0104✓0.23307k2022-05-22
ZECZcashZcash104.31104.2495-0.06%106.66+2.25%0.0144✓1.305.2M2022-05-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin69.7869.7374-0.06%71.61+2.62%0.0076✓1.1919.5M2022-05-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.9032.9012-0.06%3.019+4.00%0.0085✗1.1090k2022-05-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051450.051412-0.07%0.06501+26.36%0.2058✗1.0120k2022-05-22
KCSKuCoinnative15.9415.9279-0.08%16.926+6.19%0.0331✗0.975.5M2022-05-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.02690.026877-0.09%0.02844+5.72%0.0272✗1.0322k2022-05-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045650.045609-0.09%0.0488+6.90%0.0398✗0.977,7862022-05-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.32240.322109-0.09%0.325+0.81%0.0274✓1.27445k2022-05-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.51222.5099-0.09%2.6+3.49%0.0007✓1.2697k2022-05-22
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06780.067734-0.10%0.0684+0.88%0.0188✓1.003.0M2022-05-22
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8520.851087-0.11%0.838-1.64%0.0477✓1.133.1M2022-05-22
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8792.8757-0.11%3.049+5.90%0.0299✗1.00163k2022-05-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.6120.611282-0.12%0.596-2.61%0.0697✓1.55904k2022-05-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum2.272.2669-0.14%2.16-4.85%0.0983✓1.75554k2022-05-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05570.055623-0.14%0.0554-0.54%0.0402✓1.271.3M2022-05-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9620.96063-0.14%0.999+3.85%0.0081✗1.09769k2022-05-22
XYMSymbolnative0.06550.065406-0.14%0.0678+3.51%0.0145✗0.75365k2022-05-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7220.720919-0.15%0.694-3.88%0.0817✓1.531.7M2022-05-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.8671.8641-0.16%1.946+4.23%0.0163✗0.94736k2022-05-22
FTTFTXEthereum30.130.0495-0.17%30.74+2.13%0.0048✓0.9611.0M2022-05-22
GMTGMTEthereum1.361.3577-0.17%1.421+4.49%0.0170✗1.004.5M2022-05-22
STEEMSteemnative0.2650.264537-0.17%0.2818+6.34%0.0346✗1.001.1M2022-05-22
DIADIAEthereum0.520410.519481-0.18%0.53881+3.54%0.0215✗0.5375k2022-05-22
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3191.3166-0.18%1.356+2.81%0.0009✓1.003.5M2022-05-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.273.2639-0.19%3.03-7.34%0.1038✓1.03553k2022-05-22
XMRMoneroMonero175.95175.6214-0.19%187.32+6.46%0.0339✗1.072.7M2022-05-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.1022.0978-0.20%2.398+14.08%0.1034✗1.06714k2022-05-22
APEApeCoinEthereum8.0198.003-0.20%8.019+0.00%0.0672✓2.4279.5M2022-05-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.013080.013053-0.20%0.01274-2.60%0.0677✓1.5236.9M2022-05-22
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.24e-77.23e-7-0.22%7.11e-7-1.79%0.0414✓0.891.5M2022-05-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.68311.6793-0.23%1.6696-0.80%0.0224✓0.5812k2022-05-22
GITCOINGITCOIN2.92.8933-0.23%2.804-3.31%0.0837✓1.8321k2022-05-22
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.1710.170542-0.27%0.1731+1.23%0.0137✓1.004,0132022-05-22
GTGateEthereum5.76845.7525-0.28%5.7432-0.44%0.0164✓0.524.9M2022-05-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.114.0983-0.29%4-2.68%0.0483✓0.84779k2022-05-22
BORABORAKlay Token0.416050.414807-0.30%0.45172+8.57%0.0371✗1.6826k2022-05-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.7812.737-0.34%12.61-1.33%0.0560✓1.616.9M2022-05-22
TRXTRONTron0.0741640.07387-0.40%0.078108+5.32%0.0331✗0.791.1M2022-05-22
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5223.5069-0.43%3.427-2.70%0.0661✓1.5110.0M2022-05-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.38952.3788-0.45%2.3257-2.67%0.0514✓1.012.5M2022-05-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.14370.143033-0.46%0.1342-6.61%0.1146✓1.78614k2022-05-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.683.6629-0.46%3.45-6.25%0.0842✓0.85521k2022-05-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana7.567.5173-0.56%5.97-21.03%0.2538✓0.823.0M2022-05-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4831.4742-0.59%1.509+1.75%0.0175✓1.4311.2M2022-05-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0215820.021422-0.74%0.019309-10.53%0.1228✓0.66209k2022-05-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.5645.5195-0.80%4.312-22.50%0.2757✓1.011.7M2022-05-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.29122.2724-0.82%2.1772-4.98%0.0692✓0.934.6M2022-05-22
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.029740.029456-0.95%0.02747-7.63%0.0906✓0.73400k2022-05-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.70822.6768-1.16%2.6053-3.80%0.0654✓1.347.9M2022-05-22
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.1140.112502-1.31%0.107-6.14%0.0956✓1.59162k2022-05-22
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.9010.888494-1.39%0.781-13.32%0.1729✓1.5416k2022-05-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.159.0054-1.58%8.28-9.51%0.0984✓0.511.2M2022-05-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03190.031119-2.45%0.0294-7.84%0.1215✓2.2623.0M2022-05-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.924.7815-2.82%4.722-4.02%0.0242✓0.412.4M2022-05-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.08011.0261-5.00%0.96336-10.81%0.1076✓1.56327k2022-05-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.