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2022-05-10 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.3368
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.30%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
7.8%
in alpha space · 8.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.55%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 217.4117.1897-1.27%1.06-93.91%2.6662✓1.777.5M2022-05-11
NEXONEXOEthereum1.7381.7329-0.29%1.406-19.10%0.1413✓1.005.2M2022-05-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.414.3747-0.18%9.91-31.18%0.2825✓1.32134k2022-05-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.18e-78.17e-7-0.09%5.80e-7-29.06%0.3190✓0.351.1M2022-05-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.42455.4198-0.09%5.25-3.22%0.0130✓0.28284k2022-05-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.0431.0421-0.08%1.001-4.03%0.0362✗1.13574k2022-05-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.9771.9757-0.06%1.502-24.03%0.1826✓1.355.3M2022-05-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.8923.8798-0.04%19.91-16.66%0.1009✓1.204.4M2022-05-11
GMTGMTEthereum1.81.7995-0.03%1.317-26.83%0.2444✓1.009.5M2022-05-11
QTUMQtumQtum4.75214.7513-0.02%4.0098-15.62%0.0914✓1.16134k2022-05-11
XYMSymbolnative0.08130.081287-0.02%0.0681-16.24%0.1313✓0.67619k2022-05-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.58480.584718-0.01%0.4525-22.62%0.1821✓1.1012.6M2022-05-11
TRXTRONTron0.0770550.077045-0.01%0.074146-3.78%0.0180✗0.83463k2022-05-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.10220.102187-0.01%0.0924-9.59%0.0445✓0.83169k2022-05-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0109120.010913+0.01%0.009172-15.95%0.1080✗0.9738k2022-05-11
PROPropyEthereum1.411.4103+0.02%1.07-24.11%0.2379✗0.56528k2022-05-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.08230.082316+0.02%0.056-31.96%0.3202✗0.96416k2022-05-11
DASHDashDash73.3373.348+0.02%58.06-20.82%0.1595✗1.101.0M2022-05-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.09693.098+0.04%2.5145-18.81%0.1292✗1.17188k2022-05-11
GTGateEthereum5.83485.8374+0.04%4.9785-14.68%0.1271✗0.474.7M2022-05-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum17.6817.6887+0.05%14.26-19.34%0.1307✗1.25695k2022-05-11
ADACardanoCardano0.62830.628621+0.05%0.5161-17.86%0.1144✗1.2242.0M2022-05-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.15580.15588+0.05%0.1138-26.96%0.2163✗1.451.8M2022-05-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum10.5710.5755+0.05%7.42-29.80%0.2682✗1.278.0M2022-05-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1079150.108001+0.08%0.084774-21.44%0.1730✗1.027.1M2022-05-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum2.842.8428+0.10%1.74-38.73%0.3899✗1.49371k2022-05-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum13,692.5513,706.22+0.10%11,348.99-17.12%0.1129✗1.122.6M2022-05-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1314.1445+0.10%9.48-32.91%0.3041✗1.423.5M2022-05-11
SOLSolanaSolana66.8666.93+0.10%50.82-23.99%0.1875✗1.3087.4M2022-05-11
ETHEthereumEthereum2,340.512,342.99+0.11%2,075.93-11.30%0.0525✗1.01464.2M2022-05-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011520.011533+0.11%0.00936-18.75%0.1397✗1.021.0M2022-05-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1920.192216+0.11%0.119-38.02%0.4342✗0.6719k2022-05-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.2663.3317+0.11%52.8-16.53%0.1209✗0.902.0M2022-05-11
COMPCompoundEthereum88.8188.9111+0.11%70.97-20.09%0.1376✗1.3037k2022-05-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash231.66231.9373+0.12%193.96-16.27%0.1062✗1.075.2M2022-05-11
XTZTezosTezos2.11412.1166+0.12%1.7776-15.92%0.0932✗1.20866k2022-05-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.097640.09776+0.12%0.06818-30.17%0.2999✗0.8918k2022-05-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.621.622+0.12%1.41-12.96%0.0689✗1.05134k2022-05-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.33610.336521+0.13%0.3065-8.81%0.0623✗0.46514k2022-05-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1483970.148603+0.14%0.125737-15.27%0.0983✗1.0113.8M2022-05-11
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9090.910296+0.14%0.8-11.99%0.0556✗1.093.3M2022-05-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.12810.128296+0.15%0.078-39.11%0.4299✗1.004.0M2022-05-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.24580.246178+0.15%0.1517-38.28%0.3966✗1.296.8M2022-05-11
FTTFTXEthereum33.0833.1317+0.16%29.94-9.49%0.0373✗0.9412.7M2022-05-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin80.1280.2494+0.16%66.31-17.24%0.1167✗1.0917.5M2022-05-11
UNIUniswapEthereum6.076.0801+0.17%4.89-19.44%0.1409✗1.144.1M2022-05-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.15340.153667+0.17%0.1157-24.58%0.2159✗1.001.1M2022-05-11
ZENHorizenBase25.4125.4546+0.18%19.64-22.71%0.1611✗1.45173k2022-05-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.76030.76171+0.19%0.5963-21.57%0.1555✗1.326.1M2022-05-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.014710.014737+0.19%0.00948-35.55%0.3414✗1.4745.0M2022-05-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.56680.567866+0.19%0.415-26.78%0.2216✗1.36299k2022-05-11
BTTCBTTC0.000001450.000001453+0.19%0.00000121-16.55%0.1336✗0.737.7M2022-05-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.623.6271+0.20%2.25-37.85%0.4275✗0.74429k2022-05-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1070.10721+0.20%0.057-46.73%0.5825✗0.73117k2022-05-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.05330.053406+0.20%0.04295-19.42%0.1589✗0.879,7632022-05-11
MINAMina Protocolnative1.431.433+0.21%0.99-30.77%0.2860✗1.24755k2022-05-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1140.114246+0.22%0.0833-26.93%0.2220✗1.393.7M2022-05-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000016140.000016176+0.22%0.00001195-25.96%0.2211✗1.211.2M2022-05-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.5050.506124+0.22%0.299-40.79%0.4249✗1.501.7M2022-05-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.031090.031159+0.22%0.02413-22.39%0.1953✗0.8930k2022-05-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.151.1528+0.24%0.82-28.70%0.2460✗1.40892k2022-05-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.467240.468395+0.25%0.37334-20.10%0.1464✗1.19144k2022-05-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20540.205915+0.25%0.175-14.80%0.0661✗1.43634k2022-05-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.963.97+0.25%3.46-12.63%0.0923✗0.67804k2022-05-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.14210.142465+0.26%0.107-24.70%0.2015✗1.251.2M2022-05-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0410.041106+0.26%0.0314-23.41%0.1857✗1.24179k2022-05-11
BANDBandEthereum2.2432.249+0.27%1.809-19.35%0.1265✗1.35537k2022-05-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.93751.9427+0.27%1.7025-12.13%0.0915✗0.6015k2022-05-11
ORCAOrcaSolana1.271.2735+0.27%0.91-28.35%0.2822✗0.80142k2022-05-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.280.280782+0.28%0.1885-32.68%0.3441✗0.802,9402022-05-11
XVGVergenative0.00630.006318+0.28%0.00436-30.79%0.2907✗1.18885k2022-05-11
ZECZcashZcash93.0893.3463+0.29%83.09-10.73%0.0335✗1.225.1M2022-05-11
NANOnanopayBase1.38521.3891+0.29%1.0802-22.01%0.1731✗1.16161k2022-05-11
MANADecentralandEthereum1.11341.1166+0.29%0.76561-31.23%0.2898✗1.29805k2022-05-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin31,002.3931,094.18+0.30%28,972.34-6.55%0.0030✓1.00634.5M2022-05-11
QNTQuantEthereum72.3972.6062+0.30%64.1-11.45%0.0553✗1.023.5M2022-05-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.4760.477428+0.30%0.318-33.19%0.3503✗0.831.1M2022-05-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.39110.392279+0.30%0.2974-23.96%0.1997✗1.148.5M2022-05-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.021370.021435+0.30%0.01772-17.08%0.1501✗0.59405k2022-05-11
XECeCashnative0.000058420.000058598+0.30%0.0000364-37.69%0.3978✗1.166.7M2022-05-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.1770.177542+0.31%0.1056-40.34%0.4093✗1.63902k2022-05-11
UMAUMAEthereum4.1944.207+0.31%2.847-32.12%0.2882✗1.512.2M2022-05-11
KCSKuCoinnative13.91913.9622+0.31%11.39-18.17%0.1462✗0.854.1M2022-05-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1550.155481+0.31%0.1188-23.35%0.1697✗1.47108k2022-05-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.732.7386+0.32%1.84-32.60%0.3408✗0.84443k2022-05-11
STXStacksnative0.680.682158+0.32%0.58-14.71%0.0906✗1.06260k2022-05-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.18820.188806+0.32%0.143-24.02%0.1912✗1.28372k2022-05-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.7570.759452+0.32%0.471-37.78%0.3921✗1.26869k2022-05-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.3511.387+0.33%9.05-20.26%0.1482✗1.2011.8M2022-05-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.897.9157+0.33%4.83-38.78%0.4175✗1.13666k2022-05-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0191160.01918+0.34%0.014156-25.95%0.2359✗1.004.3M2022-05-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.1342.1414+0.35%1.365-36.04%0.3954✗0.81748k2022-05-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.7332.7425+0.35%1.785-34.69%0.3289✗1.4884k2022-05-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.2182.2257+0.35%1.428-35.62%0.3943✗0.73903k2022-05-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum15.8815.9361+0.35%13.85-12.78%0.0824✗0.86473k2022-05-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche44.5444.6978+0.35%31.1-30.18%0.2747✗1.3045.0M2022-05-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.541.5455+0.36%1.05-31.82%0.3482✗0.57221k2022-05-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.10790.108288+0.36%0.065-39.76%0.4155✗1.40204k2022-05-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.31281.3175+0.36%1.0189-22.39%0.1931✗0.9489k2022-05-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.5063.5188+0.37%2.897-17.37%0.1282✗0.9881k2022-05-11
STEEMSteemnative0.29290.29397+0.37%0.1956-33.22%0.3397✗1.002.7M2022-05-11
HIVEHivenative0.59690.599099+0.37%0.4772-20.05%0.1500✗1.141.5M2022-05-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1294.1443+0.37%2.623-36.47%0.4035✗0.801.4M2022-05-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.046280.046451+0.37%0.03319-28.28%0.2542✗1.2187k2022-05-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.002280.002288+0.37%0.00125-45.18%0.5216✗1.233.9M2022-05-11
AAVEAaveEthereum105.24105.6315+0.37%82.28-21.82%0.1540✗1.418.6M2022-05-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.5713.6213+0.38%10.75-20.78%0.1511✗1.2619.8M2022-05-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin11.3611.4031+0.38%8.58-24.47%0.2061✗1.167.4M2022-05-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.8150.818112+0.38%0.62-23.93%0.1843✗1.37344k2022-05-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum24.2824.3736+0.39%19.2-20.92%0.1474✗1.353.8M2022-05-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5068550.508839+0.39%0.3862-23.80%0.1933✗1.225.7M2022-05-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.013440.013493+0.39%0.01058-21.28%0.1799✗0.933.2M2022-05-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.062880.063128+0.40%0.04918-21.79%0.1901✗0.8826k2022-05-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.006020.006044+0.40%0.00457-24.09%0.2058✗1.091.7M2022-05-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.421750.423427+0.40%0.30717-27.17%0.2319✗1.3244k2022-05-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.27340.274504+0.40%0.2133-21.98%0.1712✗1.20186k2022-05-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0147680.014828+0.40%0.012056-18.36%0.1604✗0.69198k2022-05-11
XEMNEMnative0.06080.061056+0.42%0.049-19.41%0.1426✗1.1469k2022-05-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.588.6164+0.42%6.93-19.23%0.1330✗1.2519.6M2022-05-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.11150.111976+0.43%0.0782-29.87%0.2445✗1.69232k2022-05-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.30330.304604+0.43%0.2258-25.55%0.2228✗1.13486k2022-05-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum31,038.9031,172.43+0.43%28,313.90-8.78%0.0311✗0.9640k2022-05-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.463.4749+0.43%2.28-34.10%0.3634✗0.86557k2022-05-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7490.752246+0.43%0.486-35.11%0.3477✗1.321.7M2022-05-11
DODODODOEthereum0.2380.239037+0.44%0.166-30.25%0.2757✗1.314.7M2022-05-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.30420.305539+0.44%0.2219-27.05%0.2473✗1.07316k2022-05-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.413.4254+0.45%2.35-31.09%0.2679✗1.61357k2022-05-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3811.3872+0.45%1.001-27.52%0.2444✗1.2117.4M2022-05-11
SCSiacoinnative0.006170.006198+0.46%0.00435-29.50%0.2659✗1.30382k2022-05-11
XMRMoneroMonero163.04163.7907+0.46%140.01-14.13%0.0905✗0.983.0M2022-05-11
DIADIAEthereum0.510.512349+0.46%0.35-31.37%0.3411✗0.5970k2022-05-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.791.7983+0.47%1.32-26.26%0.2164✗1.374.0M2022-05-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.7913.8089+0.47%2.496-34.16%0.3342✗1.31190k2022-05-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.30.301456+0.49%0.19-36.67%0.3644✗1.44250k2022-05-11
APEApeCoinEthereum9.039.074+0.49%5.715-36.71%0.3084✗2.2777.0M2022-05-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0270.027133+0.49%0.014-48.15%0.5272✗1.9923.0M2022-05-11
MOVRMoonriverBase28.352528.4925+0.49%21.4392-24.38%0.1910✗1.38195k2022-05-11
KSMKusamaHydration93.0393.4989+0.50%72.92-21.62%0.1710✗1.141.1M2022-05-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.029420.029568+0.50%0.0209-28.96%0.2863✗0.90227k2022-05-11
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1921.198+0.51%0.856-28.19%0.2399✗1.428.3M2022-05-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.064.0808+0.51%2.86-29.56%0.3027✗0.78829k2022-05-11
GITCOINGITCOIN3.43.4175+0.52%2.339-31.21%0.2729✗1.5720k2022-05-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.654390.65779+0.52%0.49716-24.03%0.1905✗1.3293k2022-05-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.5992.6126+0.52%1.653-36.40%0.3443✗1.671.1M2022-05-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16740.168279+0.53%0.1257-24.91%0.1905✗1.496.2M2022-05-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.4552.4679+0.53%1.587-35.36%0.4080✗0.491.9M2022-05-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.7760.780085+0.53%0.574-26.03%0.2324✗1.1050k2022-05-11
CBKCobakEthereum1.3911.3985+0.54%1.068-23.22%0.2110✗0.8725k2022-05-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.520.522808+0.54%0.31-40.38%0.4282✗1.40383k2022-05-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.49890.501751+0.57%0.3939-21.05%0.1595✗1.2297k2022-05-11
XVSVenusEthereum5.355.3806+0.57%3.68-31.21%0.2936✗1.272.9M2022-05-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.10912.1212+0.57%1.1829-43.91%0.5309✗0.782.5M2022-05-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.7211.7309+0.57%1.223-28.94%0.2410✗1.57582k2022-05-11
API3Api3Ethereum2.3682.3825+0.61%1.637-30.87%0.2906✗1.252.6M2022-05-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06220.062585+0.62%0.0412-33.76%0.3526✗0.971.9M2022-05-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.34223.3629+0.62%1.8219-45.49%0.5277✗1.267.7M2022-05-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2960.297848+0.62%0.197-33.45%0.3258✗1.294.1M2022-05-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2793.302+0.70%2.497-23.85%0.1714✗1.597.4M2022-05-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.876.92+0.73%4.27-37.85%0.4409✗0.622.8M2022-05-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.011250.011333+0.74%0.00973-13.51%0.1010✗0.76238k2022-05-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.726.7742+0.81%4.61-31.40%0.3425✗0.631.2M2022-05-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.98922.006+0.84%1.4486-27.18%0.2540✗1.0610.0M2022-05-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.01562.0328+0.86%1.177-41.61%0.4929✗0.794.6M2022-05-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.005360.005407+0.87%0.00367-31.53%0.3363✗0.7620k2022-05-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.473230.477653+0.93%0.37834-20.05%0.1355✗1.441.4M2022-05-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8340.84272+1.05%0.54-35.25%0.3606✗1.2531k2022-05-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.