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WARD

Warden · Base · gru_s2

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
756
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +7d

assessed
245
of 252 predictions shown
direction hit
69.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2380
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0241
actual -0.0866

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22oos0.0027550.00268-2.73%–pending––1.00
2026-10-21oos0.0027650.002702-2.27%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002663-2.10%–pending––1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002667-2.14%–pending––1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.002961-3.70%–pending––1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002621-2.73%–pending––0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002623-2.68%–pending––0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002669-2.76%0.002755+0.36%0.0073✓0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002698-2.41%0.002765+0.00%0.0043✓0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002777-2.06%0.00272-4.06%0.0187✓0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.0027-1.83%0.002725-0.91%0.0082✓0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002771-1.92%0.003075+8.85%0.1199✗0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002788-1.82%0.002695-5.11%0.0195✓0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002749-1.47%0.002695-3.41%0.0098✓0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002712-1.22%0.002745+0.00%0.0081✓0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002845-1.57%0.002765-4.33%0.0130✓0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002894-1.57%0.002835-3.57%0.0018✓0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.00317-2.46%0.00275-15.38%0.0998✓0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003068-1.97%0.002825-9.74%0.0507✓0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.002972-1.92%0.00284-6.27%0.0247✓0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002875-1.86%0.00279-4.78%0.0079✓0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.00295-2.00%0.002745-8.80%0.0364✓0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.00291-1.69%0.00289-2.36%0.0038✓0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002873-1.44%0.00294+0.86%0.0013✓0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002951-1.64%0.00325+8.33%0.0719✗0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003077-1.99%0.00313-0.32%0.0050✓0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.00331-3.20%0.00303-11.40%0.0922✓0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002851-1.51%0.00293+1.21%0.0224✗0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002768-1.14%0.00301+7.50%0.0783✗1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.00281-1.04%0.00296+4.23%0.0616✗1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002917-0.96%0.002915-1.02%0.0286✗0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002873-0.76%0.003+3.63%0.0806✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002513-0.26%0.00314+24.60%0.1884✗0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002623-0.27%0.00342+30.04%0.2321✗0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002867-0.96%0.002895+0.00%0.0255✓0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002628-1.21%0.0028+5.26%0.0200✓0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002385-0.62%0.00284+18.33%0.0885✗0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002433-0.90%0.002945+19.96%0.0758✗0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002531-0.54%0.002895+13.75%0.0424✗0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002558-0.86%0.00252-2.33%0.0630✓0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002672-1.02%0.00263-2.59%0.0609✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002721-0.88%0.002895+5.46%0.0236✗0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002589-0.63%0.00266+2.11%0.0295✗0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002836-0.83%0.0024-16.08%0.1434✓0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002706-0.52%0.002455-9.74%0.0664✓0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002624-0.05%0.002545-3.05%0.0209✓0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.00269+0.57%0.00258-3.55%0.0026✓0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002771+0.96%0.0027-1.64%0.0029✓0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002658+0.89%0.002745+4.17%0.0582✓0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002921+1.42%0.002605-9.55%0.0674✗0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002919-0.37%0.00286-2.39%0.0322✓0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.00318-0.94%0.00272-15.26%0.1687✓0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003007-0.59%0.002625-13.22%0.1425✓0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002558-0.07%0.002675+4.49%0.0028✗1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002542-0.12%0.002745+7.86%0.0572✗0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002766-0.68%0.002635-5.39%0.0713✓0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002849+0.32%0.00288+1.41%0.0011✓0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002692+0.24%0.00293+9.12%0.1052✓0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002709+0.13%0.00321+18.67%0.1832✓0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002872+0.25%0.003025+5.58%0.0567✓0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003042-0.42%0.00256-16.20%0.1718✓1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002937-0.61%0.002545-13.87%0.1581✓0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003042+0.06%0.002785-8.39%0.0822✗0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.002948-3.02%0.00284-6.58%0.1342✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.002948-4.89%0.002685-13.39%0.2484✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.002881-5.23%0.002705-11.02%0.3153✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003048-5.64%0.002865-11.30%0.3047✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.002907-4.37%0.003055+0.49%0.1951✓1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.002956-4.02%0.002955-4.06%0.2267✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002824-3.45%0.00304+3.93%0.1711✓1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002816-3.72%0.00304+3.93%0.0912✓1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003053-4.30%0.0031-2.82%0.0681✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002838-3.64%0.00304+3.23%0.0557✗0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003255-4.96%0.00323-5.69%0.0096✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.002915-4.10%0.00304+0.00%0.0440✗0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.002961-4.18%0.00308-0.32%0.0395✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003159-4.56%0.002925-11.63%0.0766✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003524-5.41%0.002925-21.48%0.1853✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004487-9.90%0.00319-35.94%0.3403✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002919-2.37%0.002945-1.51%0.0076✓-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.00309-2.83%0.003425+7.70%0.1039✗-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003184-3.22%0.00304-7.60%0.0437✓-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003178-2.21%0.00309-4.92%0.0228✓-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.003089-1.30%0.00331+5.75%0.0743✗-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003125-2.79%0.003725+15.86%0.1742✗-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003335-3.33%0.00498+44.35%0.4035✗-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003502-3.54%0.00299-17.63%0.1572✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003543-2.93%0.00318-12.88%0.1089✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.00362-4.23%0.00329-12.96%0.1030✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003588-2.90%0.00325-12.04%0.1046✓-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003597-2.52%0.00313-15.18%0.1425✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003709-3.29%0.003215-16.17%0.1440✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003842-3.94%0.00345-13.75%0.1155✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003829-3.79%0.00363-8.79%0.0630✓-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003791-2.30%0.00365-5.93%0.0427✓-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.004023-2.11%0.00378-8.03%0.0603✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.004003-1.53%0.003695-9.10%0.0816✓-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004171-1.03%0.00369-12.46%0.1221✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.00429-0.69%0.003835-11.23%0.1086✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004461-1.52%0.004-11.70%0.1034✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003755+1.76%0.00398+7.86%0.0638✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.00418+1.94%0.00388-5.37%0.0699✗-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004295+1.17%0.00411-3.18%0.0421✗-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004404+1.12%0.004065-6.66%0.0750✗-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004744+0.51%0.004215-10.70%0.1193✗-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.00535+0.38%0.00432-18.95%0.2116✗-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004966+0.93%0.00453-7.93%0.0821✗-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.006128-1.79%0.00369-40.87%0.4973✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007224-2.78%0.0041-44.82%0.5777✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.007854-3.16%0.004245-47.66%0.6148✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007556-3.13%0.004355-44.17%0.5489✓-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.007988-3.35%0.00472-42.89%0.5209✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.008267-3.42%0.00533-37.73%0.4340✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007694-2.73%0.00492-37.80%0.4382✓-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.008325-3.20%0.00624-27.44%0.2757✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.008702-4.27%0.00743-18.26%0.1448✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.006979-1.84%0.00811+14.06%0.1691✗-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007607-2.72%0.0078-0.26%0.0407✗-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.007851-3.07%0.008265+2.04%0.0636✗-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007766-2.86%0.00856+7.07%0.1062✗-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007638-3.07%0.00791+0.38%0.0314✗-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.00826-4.07%0.0086-0.12%0.0217✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008568-4.70%0.00909+1.11%0.0401✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.008293-4.57%0.00711-18.18%0.1733✓-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.009032-5.22%0.00782-17.94%0.1670✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.008695-4.92%0.0081-11.43%0.0892✓-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008519-4.61%0.007995-10.47%0.0793✓-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.009183-5.43%0.00788-18.85%0.1731✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.009581-5.88%0.00861-15.42%0.1223✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.009011-5.75%0.00899-5.96%0.0121✓-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.008007-4.67%0.00869+3.45%0.0697✗-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.008923-5.77%0.00953+0.63%0.0650✗-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.007299-2.56%0.009145+22.10%0.2252✗-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.007232-2.28%0.00893+20.68%0.2073✗-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.007411-1.71%0.00971+28.78%0.2855✗-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.006518-0.18%0.01018+55.90%0.4652✗-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.007101-1.38%0.00956+32.78%0.3163✗-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007664-2.11%0.0084+7.28%0.1091✗-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.007959-1.50%0.00947+17.20%0.2010✗-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007803-1.10%0.00749-5.07%0.0238✓-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.008636-2.31%0.0074-16.29%0.1566✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.008878-2.33%0.00754-17.05%0.1785✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.009446-3.12%0.00653-33.03%0.3921✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.011623-7.24%0.0072-42.54%0.6227✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.009033-3.75%0.00783-16.57%0.2785✓-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.008649-2.92%0.00808-9.32%0.2327✓-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.010359-5.83%0.00789-28.27%0.4142✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.007261-0.40%0.00884+21.26%0.0977✗-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.007469-0.75%0.00909+20.80%0.0997✗-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.007569-1.32%0.00975+27.12%0.1650✗-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.008707-2.50%0.01253+40.31%0.3388✗-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.009647-3.19%0.009385-5.82%0.0398✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.010272-3.55%0.00891-16.34%0.1469✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.01168-4.06%0.011-9.65%0.0620✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.013151-4.91%0.00729-47.29%0.5987✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.01263-4.39%0.007525-43.04%0.5236✓-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.016738-5.46%0.00767-56.68%0.7813✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.019045-7.32%0.00893-56.55%0.7579✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.016383-6.06%0.009965-42.86%0.4955✓0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.017091-6.20%0.01065-41.55%0.4675✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.020682-8.85%0.012175-46.34%0.5188✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.015938-7.28%0.01383-19.55%0.1234✓0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.019231-11.87%0.01321-39.46%0.3656✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.006218-8.36%0.017705+160.94%1.0999✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004177-5.07%0.02055+367.05%1.6737✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002456+0.64%0.01744+614.75%2.0497✓1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002434+0.18%0.01822+649.79%2.0599✓1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002374-0.24%0.02269+853.36%2.2791✗1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002269-0.05%0.01719+657.27%2.0048✗1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002238-0.10%0.02182+874.11%2.3198✗1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.00234-0.62%0.006785+188.11%1.0694✗0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002282-0.78%0.0044+91.30%0.6343✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002371-1.63%0.00244+1.24%0.0149✓0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002434-1.85%0.00243-2.02%0.0256✓0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002377-1.78%0.00238-1.65%0.0225✓0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002589-2.12%0.00227-14.18%0.1781✓0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002682-2.31%0.00224-18.40%0.2512✓0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.00287-2.70%0.002355-20.17%0.2552✓0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002844-2.61%0.0023-21.23%0.2437✓0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.003001-3.80%0.00241-22.76%0.2180✓0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002649-3.69%0.00248-9.82%0.0785✓0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003125-4.43%0.00242-25.99%0.2653✓0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003213-4.38%0.002645-21.28%0.1696✓0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003287-4.60%0.002745-20.32%0.1490✓0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003108-4.96%0.00295-9.79%0.0518✓0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003359-5.65%0.00292-17.98%0.1587✓0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003357-5.30%0.00312-11.99%0.1335✓0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003293-5.25%0.00275-20.86%0.2045✓0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003337-5.46%0.00327-7.37%0.0250✓0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003602-6.20%0.00336-12.50%0.1106✓1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003401-5.65%0.003445-4.44%0.0315✓1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003381-5.55%0.00327-8.66%0.0623✓1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003332-5.88%0.00356+0.56%0.0473✓1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.00378-5.86%0.003545-11.71%0.1107✓1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.003827-7.01%0.003475-15.55%0.1363✓1.12
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