8=======>

WARD

Warden · Base · gru_s2

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
756
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +1d

assessed
251
of 252 predictions shown
direction hit
55.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0783
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0046
actual -0.0139

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22oos0.0027550.002742-0.46%–pending––1.00
2026-10-21oos0.0027650.002756-0.34%0.002755-0.36%0.0026✓1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002713-0.27%0.002765+1.65%0.0059✗1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002717-0.29%0.00272-0.18%0.0125✓1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.003043-1.04%0.002725-11.38%0.1082✓1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002683-0.44%0.003075+14.10%0.1288✗0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002683-0.44%0.002695+0.00%0.0058✗0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002732-0.47%0.002695-1.82%0.0063✓0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002754-0.39%0.002745-0.72%0.0100✓0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002826-0.32%0.002765-2.47%0.0035✓0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002743-0.25%0.002835+3.09%0.0176✗0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002817-0.29%0.00275-2.65%0.0058✓0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002833-0.26%0.002825-0.53%0.0100✓0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002786-0.15%0.00284+1.79%0.0158✗0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002743-0.07%0.00279+1.64%0.0087✗0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002884-0.20%0.002745-5.02%0.0353✓0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002935-0.17%0.00289-1.70%0.0054✗0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003231-0.58%0.00294-9.54%0.0922✓0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003119-0.34%0.00325+3.83%0.0496✗0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.00302-0.32%0.00313+3.30%0.0162✗0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002918-0.39%0.00303+3.41%0.0349✗0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.003-0.33%0.00293-2.66%0.0199✓0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002953-0.23%0.00301+1.69%0.0049✗0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002911-0.15%0.00296+1.54%0.0178✗0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002993-0.24%0.002915-2.83%0.0283✓0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003129-0.33%0.003-4.46%0.0313✓0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003383-1.09%0.00314-8.19%0.0749✓0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002888-0.24%0.00342+18.13%0.1652✗0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002797-0.12%0.002895+3.39%0.0380✗1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002837-0.11%0.0028-1.41%0.0132✓1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002939-0.19%0.00284-3.57%0.0138✓0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002886-0.30%0.002945+1.73%0.0247✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002523+0.11%0.002895+14.88%0.0820✓0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002633+0.10%0.00252-4.18%0.0429✗0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002889-0.21%0.00263-9.15%0.0979✓0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002655-0.18%0.002895+8.83%0.0384✗0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002401+0.05%0.00266+10.83%0.1001✓0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002455-0.02%0.0024-2.24%0.0289✓0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002546+0.05%0.002455-3.54%0.0063✗0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.00258-0.00%0.002545-1.36%0.0291✓0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002699-0.05%0.00258-4.44%0.0395✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002744-0.03%0.0027-1.64%0.0169✓0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002606+0.05%0.002745+5.37%0.0440✓0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002853-0.25%0.002605-8.92%0.0716✓0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.00272+0.00%0.00286+5.15%0.0519✓0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002629+0.14%0.00272+3.62%0.0408✓0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002682+0.27%0.002625-1.87%0.0080✗0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002755+0.35%0.002675-2.55%0.0350✗0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002645+0.37%0.002745+4.17%0.0356✓0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002893+0.44%0.002635-8.51%0.0778✗0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002932+0.06%0.00288-1.71%0.0645✗0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.0032-0.32%0.00293-8.72%0.0870✓0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003013-0.39%0.00321+6.12%0.0781✗0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002564+0.14%0.003025+18.16%0.1513✓1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002548+0.12%0.00256+0.59%0.0118✓0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002785-0.01%0.002545-8.62%0.0950✓0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002845+0.19%0.002785-1.94%0.0085✓0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002691+0.21%0.00284+5.77%0.0396✓0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.00271+0.18%0.002685-0.74%0.0151✗0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002871+0.20%0.002705-5.58%0.0542✗0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003056+0.04%0.002865-6.22%0.0805✗1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002956+0.02%0.003055+3.38%0.0246✓0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003044+0.13%0.002955-2.80%0.0137✗0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.003022-0.58%0.00304+0.00%0.0659✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.00307-0.96%0.00304-1.94%0.0714✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.00301-0.97%0.0031+1.97%0.0604✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003191-1.20%0.00304-5.88%0.0524✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.003016-0.79%0.00323+6.25%0.0389✗1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.003058-0.71%0.00304-1.30%0.0027✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.00291-0.52%0.00308+5.30%0.0561✗1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002908-0.57%0.002925+0.00%0.0142✗1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003165-0.77%0.002925-8.31%0.0792✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.00293-0.51%0.00319+8.32%0.0864✗0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003389-1.06%0.002945-14.01%0.1391✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.00302-0.65%0.003425+12.66%0.1267✗0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.003071-0.63%0.00304-1.62%0.0100✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003287-0.70%0.00309-6.65%0.0617✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003687-1.02%0.00331-11.14%0.1085✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.00476-4.41%0.003725-25.20%0.2450✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002983-0.23%0.00498+66.56%0.5137✗-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003169-0.33%0.00299-5.97%0.0570✓-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003274-0.49%0.00318-3.34%0.0292✓-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003244-0.20%0.00329+1.23%0.0161✗-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.00313+0.01%0.00325+3.83%0.0374✓-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003204-0.34%0.00313-2.64%0.0290✓-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003434-0.46%0.003215-6.81%0.0630✓-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003611-0.52%0.00345-4.96%0.0454✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003637-0.37%0.00363-0.55%0.0013✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003753-0.72%0.00365-3.44%0.0344✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003681-0.37%0.00378+2.30%0.0302✗-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.00368-0.28%0.003695+0.14%0.0047✗-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003817-0.46%0.00369-3.78%0.0372✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003974-0.65%0.003835-4.13%0.0393✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003954-0.64%0.004+0.50%0.0100✗-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003871-0.24%0.00398+2.58%0.0319✗-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.004101-0.22%0.00388-5.60%0.0537✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.004061-0.09%0.00411+1.11%0.0116✗-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004216+0.01%0.004065-3.56%0.0337✗-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004322+0.06%0.004215-2.43%0.0248✗-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004518-0.27%0.00432-4.64%0.0488✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003712+0.59%0.00453+22.76%0.1982✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.004125+0.61%0.00369-10.00%0.1073✗-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004263+0.43%0.0041-3.42%0.0419✗-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004373+0.41%0.004245-2.53%0.0298✗-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004733+0.27%0.004355-7.73%0.0848✗-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005343+0.25%0.00472-11.44%0.1205✗-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004937+0.35%0.00533+8.33%0.0803✓-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.006227-0.21%0.00492-21.15%0.2423✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007397-0.44%0.00624-16.02%0.1745✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.008064-0.56%0.00743-8.38%0.0807✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007759-0.53%0.00811+3.97%0.0458✗-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.008216-0.60%0.0078-5.63%0.0501✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.008506-0.63%0.008265-3.45%0.0257✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007877-0.41%0.00856+8.22%0.0891✗-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.008554-0.53%0.00791-8.02%0.0744✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.008985-1.16%0.0086-5.39%0.0497✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.007096-0.19%0.00909+27.85%0.2509✗-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007787-0.42%0.00711-9.08%0.0933✓-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.008058-0.52%0.00782-3.46%0.0303✓-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007959-0.45%0.0081+1.31%0.0190✗-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007842-0.48%0.007995+1.46%0.0148✗-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.008545-0.76%0.00788-8.48%0.0883✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008901-0.99%0.00861-4.23%0.0397✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.008614-0.87%0.00899+3.45%0.0463✗-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.009417-1.19%0.00869-8.81%0.0855✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.009052-1.01%0.00953+4.21%0.0552✗-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008852-0.87%0.009145+2.41%0.0354✗-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.009599-1.14%0.00893-8.03%0.0812✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.010036-1.41%0.00971-4.62%0.0390✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.009415-1.52%0.01018+6.49%0.0754✗-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.008325-0.89%0.00956+13.81%0.1410✗-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.00932-1.59%0.0084-11.30%0.0992✓-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.007465-0.33%0.00947+26.44%0.2425✗-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.007382-0.25%0.00749+1.22%0.0144✗-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.00753-0.14%0.0074-1.86%0.0065✓-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.006552+0.33%0.00754+15.47%0.1393✓-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.007202+0.03%0.00653-9.31%0.1064✗-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007816-0.17%0.0072-8.05%0.0839✓-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.008082+0.02%0.00783-3.09%0.0129✗-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007904+0.18%0.00808+2.41%0.0207✓-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.008824-0.18%0.00789-10.75%0.1369✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.009076-0.15%0.00884-2.75%0.0277✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.009718-0.33%0.00909-6.77%0.0786✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.012189-2.72%0.00975-22.19%0.3022✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.009316-0.73%0.01253+33.51%0.2682✗-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.008875-0.40%0.009385+5.33%0.0536✗-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.010729-2.46%0.00891-19.00%0.1816✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.007316+0.35%0.011+50.89%0.4065✓-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.007543+0.24%0.00729-3.12%0.0412✗-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.007682+0.16%0.007525-1.89%0.0345✗-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.00891-0.22%0.00767-14.11%0.1557✓-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.009916-0.49%0.00893-10.39%0.1038✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.010589-0.57%0.009965-6.43%0.0602✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.012068-0.88%0.01065-12.53%0.1239✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.013618-1.53%0.012175-11.97%0.1165✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.013063-1.11%0.01383+4.69%0.0572✗-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.017359-1.96%0.01321-25.39%0.2724✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.019757-3.86%0.017705-13.84%0.1093✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.016956-2.78%0.02055+17.83%0.1941✗0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.017694-2.89%0.01744-4.28%0.0118✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.021513-5.19%0.01822-19.70%0.1632✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.016527-3.86%0.02269+32.00%0.3274✗0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.020231-7.28%0.01719-21.22%0.1725✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.006449-4.95%0.02182+221.59%1.2358✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004234-3.78%0.006785+54.20%0.4921✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002447+0.27%0.0044+80.33%0.5955✓1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002434+0.18%0.00244+0.41%0.0255✗1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002381+0.05%0.00243+2.10%0.0113✓1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002274+0.17%0.00238+4.85%0.0421✓1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002244+0.16%0.00227+1.34%0.0398✓1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002356+0.04%0.00224-4.88%0.0568✗0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.0023+0.01%0.002355+2.39%0.0109✓0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002406-0.16%0.0023-4.56%0.0609✓0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002474-0.23%0.00241-2.82%0.0248✓0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002416-0.16%0.00248+2.48%0.0206✗0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002639-0.25%0.00242-8.51%0.1110✓0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002736-0.31%0.002645-3.64%0.0411✓0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002938-0.40%0.002745-6.95%0.0607✓0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002909-0.38%0.00295+1.03%0.0276✗0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.003091-0.94%0.00292-6.41%0.0402✓0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002729-0.76%0.00312+13.45%0.1212✗0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003242-0.84%0.00275-15.90%0.1671✓0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003327-0.99%0.00327-2.68%0.0070✓0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003413-0.92%0.00336-2.47%0.0166✓0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003239-0.95%0.003445+5.35%0.0388✗0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003519-1.16%0.00327-8.15%0.0794✓0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003503-1.18%0.00356+0.42%0.0098✓0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003441-0.99%0.003545+2.01%0.0549✗0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003488-1.20%0.003475-1.56%0.0140✗0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003781-1.54%0.00353-8.07%0.0944✓1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003566-1.08%0.00384+6.52%0.0696✗1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003543-1.02%0.003605+0.70%0.0084✓1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003497-1.23%0.00358+1.13%0.0272✗1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003972-1.06%0.00354-11.83%0.1710✓1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.004057-1.40%0.004015-2.43%0.0258✗1.12
2026-04-10oos0.0040450.003994-1.26%0.004115+1.73%0.0285✗1.12
2026-04-09oos0.003850.00382-0.77%0.004045+5.06%0.0389✗1.10
2026-04-08oos0.004030.004002-0.71%0.00385-4.47%0.0496✓1.10
2026-04-07oos0.0043550.004301-1.23%0.00403-7.46%0.0525✓1.10
2026-04-06oos0.0037850.003786+0.02%0.004355+15.06%0.0962✓1.01
2026-04-05oos0.004090.004077-0.31%0.003785-7.46%0.0721✓1.01
2026-04-04oos0.00420.0042+0.00%0.00409-2.62%0.0519✗1.01
2026-04-03oos0.0041250.004139+0.34%0.0042+1.82%0.0097✓1.00
2026-04-02oos0.0040950.004114+0.47%0.004125+0.73%0.0016✓1.00
2026-04-01oos0.004180.004195+0.36%0.004095-2.03%0.0058✗1.01
2026-03-31oos0.004240.004257+0.41%0.00418-1.42%0.0167✗1.01
2026-03-30oos0.00410.004132+0.77%0.00424+3.41%0.0041✓0.99
2026-03-29oos0.004090.00413+0.97%0.0041+0.24%0.0188✗0.98
2026-03-28oos0.004270.00431+0.95%0.00409-4.22%0.0471✗0.98
2026-03-27oos0.00450.00454+0.88%0.00427-5.11%0.0607✗0.98
2026-03-26oos0.004830.004854+0.50%0.0045-6.83%0.0403✗0.99
2026-03-25oos0.004820.004831+0.22%0.00483+0.21%0.0377✓1.05
2026-03-24oos0.004920.004932+0.24%0.00482-2.03%0.0342✗1.04
2026-03-23oos0.005190.00519-0.00%0.00492-5.20%0.0484✓1.04
2026-03-22oos0.005110.005133+0.45%0.00519+1.57%0.0335✗1.02
2026-03-21oos0.005290.005304+0.27%0.00511-3.40%0.0212✗1.03
2026-03-20oos0.005440.005444+0.07%0.00529-2.76%0.0048✗1.05
2026-03-19oos0.00530.005313+0.25%0.00544+2.64%0.0150✓1.04
2026-03-18oos0.005910.005902-0.13%0.0053-10.32%0.0883✓1.03
2026-03-17oos0.006090.006049-0.67%0.00591-2.96%0.0166✗1.08
2026-03-16oos0.00590.005858-0.71%0.00609+3.22%0.0529✗1.10
2026-03-15oos0.005870.00586-0.18%0.0059+0.51%0.0232✓1.08
2026-03-14oos0.005840.005857+0.28%0.00587+0.51%0.0212✗1.06
2026-03-13oos0.005930.00596+0.51%0.00584-1.52%0.0246✗1.06
2026-03-12oos0.005840.005887+0.80%0.00593+1.54%0.0012✓1.05
2026-03-11oos0.005870.00593+1.01%0.00584-0.51%0.0200✗1.04
2026-03-10oos0.006180.006246+1.07%0.00587-5.02%0.0657✗1.04
2026-03-09oos0.00710.007185+1.20%0.00618-12.96%0.1744✗1.07
2026-03-08oos0.007380.007486+1.44%0.0071-3.79%0.0925✗1.08
2026-03-07oos0.008070.008176+1.31%0.00738-8.55%0.0815✗1.08
2026-03-06oos0.008660.008758+1.13%0.00807-6.81%0.0682✗1.08
2026-03-05oos0.010240.010299+0.58%0.00866-15.43%0.1334✗1.00
2026-03-04oos0.012950.012914-0.28%0.01024-20.93%0.2070✓1.00
2026-03-03oos0.016320.016292-0.17%0.01295-20.65%0.2912✓1.00
2026-03-02oos0.018640.018531-0.58%0.01632-12.45%0.1198✓1.00
2026-03-01oos0.018920.018905-0.08%0.01864-1.48%0.0596✓1.00
2026-02-28oos0.021070.020981-0.42%0.01892-10.20%0.0853✓1.00
2026-02-27oos0.019730.01975+0.10%0.02107+6.79%0.0480✓1.00
2026-02-26oos0.021360.021296-0.30%0.01973-7.63%0.0519✓1.00
2026-02-25oos0.019490.019488-0.01%0.02136+9.59%0.0991✗1.00
2026-02-24oos0.014960.015103+0.96%0.01949+30.28%0.1955✓1.00
2026-02-23oos0.01740.017557+0.90%0.01496-14.02%0.1514✗1.00
2026-02-22oos0.019720.019824+0.53%0.0174-11.76%0.0852✗1.00
2026-02-21oos0.020690.020774+0.41%0.01972-4.69%0.0471✗1.00
2026-02-20oos0.019840.019829-0.06%0.02069+4.28%0.0429✗1.00
2026-02-19oos0.018650.018328-1.73%0.01984+6.38%0.0643✗1.00
2026-02-18oos0.018040.017124-5.08%0.01865+3.38%0.0771✗1.00
2026-02-17oos0.031660.031597-0.20%0.01804-43.02%0.5448✓1.00
2026-02-16oos0.041390.041198-0.46%0.03166-23.51%0.2429✓1.00
2026-02-15oos0.044530.044265-0.59%0.04139-7.05%0.0681✓1.00
2026-02-14oos0.046550.045911-1.37%0.04453-4.34%0.0162✓1.00
2026-02-13oos0.048740.047739-2.05%0.04655-4.49%0.0393✓1.00