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WARD

Warden · Base · gru_s2

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
753
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
221
of 251 predictions shown
direction hit
66.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.6079
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0099
actual -0.2476

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos0.0027350.002635-3.64%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002615-3.85%–pending––1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002597-4.69%–pending––1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.002918-5.10%–pending––1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002578-4.34%–pending––0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002599-3.57%–pending––0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002641-3.79%–pending––0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002658-3.87%–pending––0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002715-4.23%–pending––0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002637-4.11%–pending––0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002696-4.55%–pending––0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002722-4.15%–pending––0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002686-3.72%–pending––0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002661-3.08%–pending––0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002808-2.85%–pending––0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002877-2.15%–pending––0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003149-3.10%–pending––0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003017-3.62%–pending––0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.002922-3.55%–pending––0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002854-2.59%–pending––0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.002934-2.54%–pending––0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002895-2.19%–pending––0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002875-1.38%–pending––0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002937-2.10%–pending––0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003054-2.73%–pending––0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003314-3.10%–pending––0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002874-0.72%–pending––0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002798-0.06%–pending––1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.00284+0.01%–pending––1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002965+0.69%–pending––0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002937+1.44%0.002735-5.53%0.0245✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002544+0.97%0.00272+7.94%0.0481✓0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002655+0.94%0.002725+3.61%0.0197✓0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.0029+0.18%0.003075+6.22%0.0459✓0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002658-0.07%0.002695+1.32%0.0395✓0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002404+0.17%0.002695+12.29%0.0573✓0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002472+0.69%0.002745+11.81%0.0319✓0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002586+1.60%0.002765+8.64%0.0289✓0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002625+1.74%0.002835+9.88%0.0082✓0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002755+2.03%0.00275+1.85%0.0522✗0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002821+2.76%0.002825+2.91%0.0652✗0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002701+3.67%0.00284+9.02%0.0219✓0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002976+4.04%0.00279-2.45%0.1097✗0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002841+4.44%0.002745+0.92%0.0679✗0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002781+5.96%0.00289+10.10%0.0038✓0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002888+7.97%0.00294+9.91%0.0368✓0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002983+8.67%0.00325+18.40%0.0224✓0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002901+10.09%0.00313+18.79%0.0076✓0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.003219+11.78%0.00303+5.21%0.0936✓0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.003202+9.29%0.00293+0.00%0.1720✗0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003514+9.46%0.00301-6.23%0.2401✗0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003422+13.13%0.00296-2.15%0.2063✗0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002967+15.90%0.002915+13.87%0.1092✓1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.00299+17.48%0.003+17.88%0.0595✓0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.003244+16.50%0.00314+12.75%0.1125✓0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.003344+17.73%0.00342+20.42%0.0263✓0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.003175+18.26%0.002895+7.82%0.1497✓0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.003203+18.42%0.0028+3.51%0.2012✗0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.003373+17.72%0.00284-0.87%0.2322✗0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003535+15.71%0.002945-3.60%0.2856✗1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.003436+16.26%0.002895-2.03%0.2856✗0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003567+17.33%0.00252-17.11%0.3821✗0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.003297+8.45%0.00263-13.49%0.3349✗1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.003117+0.54%0.002895-6.61%0.2559✗1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.002968-2.36%0.00266-12.50%0.3254✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003109-3.75%0.0024-25.70%0.4579✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.002977-2.06%0.002455-19.24%0.4054✓1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.003012-2.21%0.002545-17.37%0.4110✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002891-1.16%0.00258-11.79%0.3365✓1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002862-2.17%0.0027-7.69%0.2932✓1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003046-4.50%0.002745-13.95%0.2891✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002838-3.64%0.002605-11.54%0.2216✓0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003188-6.92%0.00286-16.50%0.1505✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.002909-4.32%0.00272-10.53%0.0798✓0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.002952-4.47%0.002625-15.05%0.1181✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003126-5.55%0.002675-19.18%0.1582✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003449-7.40%0.002745-26.31%0.2426✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004445-10.74%0.002635-47.09%0.5322✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002908-2.74%0.00288-3.68%0.0255✓-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003063-3.68%0.00293-7.86%0.0170✓-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003177-3.44%0.00321-2.43%0.0351✗-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003174-2.33%0.003025-6.92%0.0124✓-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.003118-0.39%0.00256-18.21%0.1627✓-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003211-0.13%0.002545-20.84%0.1968✓-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003409-1.19%0.002785-19.28%0.1566✓-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003536-2.59%0.00284-21.76%0.1648✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003549-2.78%0.002685-26.44%0.2308✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003671-2.89%0.002705-28.44%0.2577✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003612-2.24%0.002865-22.46%0.1828✓-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003651-1.07%0.003055-17.21%0.1448✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003857+0.58%0.002955-22.95%0.2295✗-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.004136+3.40%0.00304-24.00%0.2685✗-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.004237+6.45%0.00304-23.62%0.3102✗-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.004151+6.99%0.0031-20.10%0.2795✗-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.004462+8.57%0.00304-26.03%0.3838✗-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.00443+8.97%0.00323-20.54%0.3169✗-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004551+7.96%0.00304-27.88%0.4066✗-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004638+7.36%0.00308-28.70%0.4114✗-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.00491+8.38%0.002925-35.43%0.5253✗-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003962+7.38%0.002925-20.73%0.3094✗-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.00427+4.15%0.00319-22.20%0.2899✗-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004571+7.67%0.002945-30.62%0.4400✗-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004683+7.54%0.003425-21.35%0.3122✗-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.005079+7.61%0.00304-35.59%0.5099✗-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005549+4.10%0.00309-42.03%0.5790✗-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.005129+4.25%0.00331-32.72%0.4276✗-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.006364+1.99%0.003725-40.30%0.5300✗-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007315-1.54%0.00498-32.97%0.3807✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.007809-3.71%0.00299-63.13%0.9586✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007524-3.53%0.00318-59.23%0.8601✓-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.007867-4.81%0.00329-60.19%0.8687✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.008093-5.45%0.00325-62.03%0.9086✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007572-4.27%0.00313-60.43%0.8722✓-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.008116-5.63%0.003215-62.62%0.9098✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.008696-4.33%0.00345-62.05%0.9117✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.007126+0.22%0.00363-48.95%0.6543✗-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007712-1.39%0.00365-53.32%0.7294✓-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.007875-2.77%0.00378-53.33%0.7086✓-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007671-4.05%0.003695-53.78%0.7082✓-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007434-5.66%0.00369-53.17%0.6899✓-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.007912-8.11%0.003835-55.46%0.7139✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008102-9.87%0.004-55.51%0.6956✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.007847-9.70%0.00398-54.20%0.6628✓-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.008453-11.30%0.00388-59.29%0.7737✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.008144-10.94%0.00411-55.06%0.6778✓-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.007955-10.92%0.004065-54.48%0.6622✓-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.008414-13.34%0.004215-56.59%0.6944✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.00869-14.64%0.00432-57.56%0.7084✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.008218-14.03%0.00453-52.62%0.6022✓-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.00729-13.21%0.00369-56.07%0.6844✓-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.008068-14.80%0.0041-56.71%0.6852✓-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.006575-12.22%0.004245-43.32%0.4365✓-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.006492-12.27%0.004355-41.15%0.3982✓-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.006784-10.03%0.00472-37.40%0.3490✓-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.00592-9.34%0.00533-18.38%0.0976✓-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.006376-11.45%0.00492-31.67%0.2642✓-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.006876-12.18%0.00624-20.31%0.0969✓-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.007344-9.11%0.00743-8.04%0.0357✓-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007176-9.04%0.00811+2.79%0.1397✗-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.007656-13.39%0.0078-11.76%0.0122✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.007848-13.67%0.008265-9.08%0.0430✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.008306-14.81%0.00856-12.21%0.0063✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.010162-18.90%0.00791-36.87%0.4533✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.007946-15.34%0.0086-8.36%0.1272✓-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.007597-14.73%0.00909+2.02%0.0050✓-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.009101-17.27%0.00711-35.36%0.4087✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.006519-10.57%0.00782+7.27%0.0391✓-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.006704-10.91%0.0081+7.64%0.0501✓-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.006846-10.74%0.007995+4.24%0.0086✓-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.007853-12.06%0.00788-11.76%0.0711✓-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.008683-12.86%0.00861-13.60%0.0644✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.009269-12.97%0.00899-15.59%0.0528✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.010438-14.26%0.00869-28.62%0.1962✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.011765-14.93%0.00953-31.09%0.2412✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.011323-14.29%0.009145-30.77%0.2413✓-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.014554-17.80%0.00893-49.56%0.5045✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.016397-20.21%0.00971-52.75%0.4998✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.01402-19.61%0.01018-41.63%0.2706✓0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.014311-21.46%0.00956-47.53%0.3554✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.017407-23.28%0.0084-62.98%0.6847✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.013976-18.69%0.00947-44.91%0.2938✓0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.016974-22.21%0.00749-65.67%0.7225✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.006247-7.93%0.0074+9.06%0.4365✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004589+4.29%0.00754+71.36%0.8770✓1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002649+8.58%0.00653+167.62%1.3290✓1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002581+6.22%0.0072+196.30%1.3868✓1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002503+5.18%0.00783+228.99%1.5039✓1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002413+6.31%0.00808+255.95%1.6239✓1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.00247+10.26%0.00789+252.23%1.6195✓1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002582+9.62%0.00884+275.37%1.4609✓0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002432+5.74%0.00909+295.22%1.5305✓0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.00245+1.68%0.00975+304.56%1.5395✓0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002522+1.71%0.01253+405.24%1.6978✓0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002471+2.12%0.009385+287.81%1.3934✓0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002663+0.68%0.00891+236.86%1.2409✓0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.00276+0.55%0.011+300.73%1.4141✓0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002966+0.55%0.00729+147.12%0.9360✓0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.003037+4.00%0.007525+157.71%0.9474✓0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.003297+5.69%0.00767+145.83%0.8807✓0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002899+5.40%0.00893+224.73%1.1302✓0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003431+4.92%0.009965+204.74%1.0723✓0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003621+7.78%0.01065+216.96%1.0992✓0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003738+8.51%0.012175+253.41%1.2158✓0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003485+6.58%0.01383+322.94%1.3635✓0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003756+5.51%0.01321+271.07%1.2375✓0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003731+5.25%0.017705+399.44%1.5200✓0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003695+6.34%0.02055+491.37%1.7003✓0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003833+8.59%0.01744+394.05%1.5111✓0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.004035+5.09%0.01822+374.48%1.4686✓1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003875+7.49%0.02269+529.40%1.7122✓1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003916+9.39%0.01719+380.17%1.3903✓1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003937+11.22%0.02182+516.38%1.6492✓1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.004124+2.72%0.006785+68.99%0.3567✓1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.004267+3.70%0.0044+6.93%0.0947✗1.12
2026-04-10oos0.0040450.004322+6.84%0.00244-39.68%0.7047✗1.12
2026-04-09oos0.003850.004221+9.63%0.00243-36.88%0.6803✗1.10
2026-04-08oos0.004030.004363+8.26%0.00238-40.94%0.7389✗1.10
2026-04-07oos0.0043550.004653+6.85%0.00227-47.88%0.8351✗1.10
2026-04-06oos0.0037850.004074+7.64%0.00224-40.82%0.7676✗1.01
2026-04-05oos0.004090.004329+5.84%0.002355-42.42%0.7693✗1.01
2026-04-04oos0.00420.004338+3.29%0.0023-45.24%0.8073✗1.01
2026-04-03oos0.0041250.004246+2.94%0.00241-41.58%0.7267✗1.00
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