UPROBINHOOD
? · · gru_s2
- token id
- #949
- symbol
- UPROBINHOOD
- variant
- –
- chain
- address
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-11
- predictions
- 189
Track record at +30d
assessed
33
of 63 predictions shown
direction hit
75.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.6938
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1061
actual -0.3070
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.276795 | 0.235015 | -15.09% | – | pending | – | – | 2.34 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.277585 | 0.239644 | -13.67% | – | pending | – | – | 2.35 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.24885 | 0.220091 | -11.56% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.21966 | 0.198236 | -9.75% | – | pending | – | – | 2.35 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.23107 | 0.209529 | -9.32% | – | pending | – | – | 2.35 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.28208 | 0.246515 | -12.61% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.279945 | 0.244443 | -12.68% | – | pending | – | – | 2.33 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.27437 | 0.241835 | -11.86% | – | pending | – | – | 2.33 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.297375 | 0.251768 | -15.34% | – | pending | – | – | 2.31 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.198445 | 0.190688 | -3.91% | – | pending | – | – | 2.16 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.23632 | 0.214609 | -9.19% | – | pending | – | – | 2.06 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.20848 | 0.198571 | -4.75% | – | pending | – | – | 2.04 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.20578 | 0.199324 | -3.14% | – | pending | – | – | 2.04 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.19801 | 0.197862 | -0.07% | – | pending | – | – | 2.03 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.22919 | 0.217511 | -5.10% | – | pending | – | – | 1.96 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.24363 | 0.224994 | -7.65% | – | pending | – | – | 1.96 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.266405 | 0.238338 | -10.54% | – | pending | – | – | 1.94 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.28781 | 0.251733 | -12.53% | – | pending | – | – | 1.92 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.290305 | 0.253298 | -12.75% | – | pending | – | – | 1.94 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.27341 | 0.245266 | -10.29% | – | pending | – | – | 1.95 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.29989 | 0.262067 | -12.61% | – | pending | – | – | 1.92 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.40591 | 0.327659 | -19.28% | – | pending | – | – | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.39374 | 0.317177 | -19.44% | – | pending | – | – | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.291185 | 0.255958 | -12.10% | – | pending | – | – | 2.08 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.31507 | 0.270782 | -14.06% | – | pending | – | – | 2.06 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.36447 | 0.30549 | -16.18% | – | pending | – | – | 2.03 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.33586 | 0.283793 | -15.50% | – | pending | – | – | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.33996 | 0.287771 | -15.35% | – | pending | – | – | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.39528 | 0.331931 | -16.03% | – | pending | – | – | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.482965 | 0.399273 | -17.33% | – | pending | – | – | 1.84 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.55709 | 0.452773 | -18.73% | 0.276795 | -50.31% | 0.4102 | ✓ | 1.78 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.46212 | 0.385455 | -16.59% | 0.277585 | -39.93% | 0.3629 | ✓ | 1.60 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.485615 | 0.40334 | -16.94% | 0.24885 | -48.76% | 0.4946 | ✓ | 1.58 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.58476 | 0.476135 | -18.58% | 0.21966 | -62.44% | 0.7953 | ✓ | 1.56 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.47322 | 0.394077 | -16.72% | 0.23107 | -51.17% | 0.6144 | ✓ | 1.26 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.37378 | 0.335153 | -10.33% | 0.28208 | -24.53% | 0.2600 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.318955 | 0.302336 | -5.21% | 0.279945 | -12.23% | 0.1824 | ✓ | 1.27 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.37084 | 0.338721 | -8.66% | 0.27437 | -26.01% | 0.2552 | ✓ | 1.05 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.379015 | 0.346717 | -8.52% | 0.297375 | -21.54% | 0.2382 | ✓ | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.353985 | 0.337236 | -4.73% | 0.198445 | -43.94% | 0.5936 | ✓ | 1.12 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.382085 | 0.361281 | -5.44% | 0.23632 | -38.15% | 0.5130 | ✓ | 1.10 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.396465 | 0.376735 | -4.98% | 0.20848 | -47.42% | 0.6802 | ✓ | 1.11 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.41882 | 0.399157 | -4.69% | 0.20578 | -50.87% | 0.7155 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.50196 | 0.462988 | -7.76% | 0.19801 | -60.55% | 0.8899 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.55791 | 0.504329 | -9.60% | 0.22919 | -58.92% | 0.8402 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.679235 | 0.602202 | -11.34% | 0.24363 | -64.13% | 0.9677 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.790295 | 0.683623 | -13.50% | 0.266405 | -66.29% | 1.0139 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.63101 | 0.557602 | -11.63% | 0.28781 | -54.39% | 0.7436 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.76968 | 0.691258 | -10.19% | 0.290305 | -62.28% | 0.9095 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.838135 | 0.703771 | -16.03% | 0.27341 | -67.38% | 1.0345 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.87428 | 0.742377 | -15.09% | 0.29989 | -65.70% | 0.9983 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.91438 | 0.819229 | -10.41% | 0.40591 | -55.61% | 0.7639 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.52462 | 0.485042 | -7.54% | 0.39374 | -24.95% | 0.2826 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.32435 | 0.297674 | -8.22% | 0.291185 | -10.23% | 0.0867 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.24126 | 0.216164 | -10.40% | 0.31507 | +30.59% | 0.2951 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.26469 | 0.245161 | -7.38% | 0.36447 | +37.70% | 0.3462 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.37223 | 0.354541 | -4.75% | 0.33586 | -9.77% | 0.1163 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.15754 | 0.145234 | -7.81% | 0.33996 | +115.79% | 0.7785 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.19865 | 0.193564 | -2.56% | 0.39528 | +98.98% | 0.6479 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.1409 | 0.134094 | -4.83% | 0.482965 | +242.77% | 1.1780 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.0851 | 0.076666 | -9.91% | 0.55709 | +554.63% | 1.8665 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.1107 | 0.1056 | -4.61% | 0.46212 | +317.45% | 1.4406 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.1054 | 0.09005 | -14.56% | 0.485615 | +360.74% | 1.5783 | ✗ | 1.00 |