SIGN

Sign · Ethereum · gru_s2

token id: #520
symbol: SIGN
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x868fced65edbf0056c4163515dd840e9f287a4c3
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-21
predictions: 528

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

169

of 176 predictions shown

direction hit

70.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0599

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0053

actual -0.0127

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.011185	0.01104	-1.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-21	oos	0.011175	0.011068	-0.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-20	oos	0.010772	0.010683	-0.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-19	oos	0.011014	0.010917	-0.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-18	oos	0.011069	0.010987	-0.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-17	oos	0.011685	0.011571	-0.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-16	oos	0.011774	0.011674	-0.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-15	oos	0.012009	0.011886	-1.02%	0.011185	-6.86%	0.0850	✓	0.96
2026-10-14	oos	0.011812	0.01172	-0.78%	0.011175	-5.39%	0.0762	✓	0.96
2026-10-13	oos	0.0128	0.012625	-1.36%	0.010772	-15.84%	0.1569	✓	0.93
2026-10-12	oos	0.012991	0.012786	-1.58%	0.011014	-15.22%	0.1503	✓	0.95
2026-10-11	oos	0.012905	0.012703	-1.57%	0.011069	-14.23%	0.1188	✓	0.94
2026-10-10	oos	0.012919	0.012716	-1.57%	0.011685	-9.55%	0.0673	✓	0.93
2026-10-09	oos	0.012907	0.012687	-1.71%	0.011774	-8.78%	0.0628	✓	0.93
2026-10-08	oos	0.012345	0.012176	-1.37%	0.012009	-2.73%	0.0187	✓	0.92
2026-10-07	oos	0.01225	0.01206	-1.55%	0.011812	-3.58%	0.0014	✓	0.93
2026-10-06	oos	0.012594	0.012369	-1.79%	0.0128	+1.63%	0.0611	✗	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.012734	0.012487	-1.95%	0.012991	+2.01%	0.0839	✗	0.92
2026-10-04	oos	0.012807	0.012553	-1.98%	0.012905	+0.77%	0.0583	✗	0.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.012649	0.012418	-1.82%	0.012919	+2.14%	0.0597	✗	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.012734	0.012477	-2.02%	0.012907	+1.36%	0.0555	✗	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.01223	0.012009	-1.80%	0.012345	+0.94%	0.0627	✗	0.93
2026-09-30	oos	0.012499	0.01226	-1.91%	0.01225	-1.99%	0.0023	✓	0.94
2026-09-29	oos	0.012441	0.0122	-1.94%	0.012594	+1.23%	0.0107	✓	0.94
2026-09-28	oos	0.012654	0.012372	-2.23%	0.012734	+0.64%	0.0033	✓	0.94
2026-09-27	oos	0.013821	0.0134	-3.05%	0.012807	-7.34%	0.0676	✓	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.013853	0.013408	-3.21%	0.012649	-8.69%	0.0619	✓	0.94
2026-09-25	oos	0.013473	0.013072	-2.97%	0.012734	-5.49%	0.0308	✓	0.94
2026-09-24	oos	0.012913	0.01259	-2.50%	0.01223	-5.29%	0.0342	✓	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.012528	0.012219	-2.47%	0.012499	-0.24%	0.0320	✗	0.96
2026-09-22	oos	0.012568	0.012238	-2.63%	0.012441	-1.01%	0.0454	✗	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.012193	0.011891	-2.48%	0.012654	+3.78%	0.0984	✗	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.011562	0.011311	-2.16%	0.013821	+19.54%	0.1595	✗	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.011772	0.011495	-2.36%	0.013853	+17.67%	0.1472	✗	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.011794	0.011503	-2.47%	0.013473	+14.23%	0.1174	✗	1.04
2026-09-17	oos	0.010752	0.010597	-1.44%	0.012913	+20.10%	0.0988	✗	0.99
2026-09-16	oos	0.010675	0.010539	-1.28%	0.012528	+17.36%	0.0716	✗	0.99
2026-09-15	oos	0.010572	0.010431	-1.34%	0.012568	+18.88%	0.0571	✗	0.98
2026-09-14	oos	0.010665	0.010495	-1.59%	0.012193	+14.33%	0.0522	✗	0.96
2026-09-13	oos	0.009751	0.009687	-0.67%	0.011562	+18.56%	0.1262	✗	0.92
2026-09-12	oos	0.010795	0.010623	-1.59%	0.011772	+9.06%	0.0581	✗	0.89
2026-09-11	oos	0.010615	0.010519	-0.91%	0.011794	+11.11%	0.0724	✗	0.91
2026-09-10	oos	0.01031	0.010275	-0.34%	0.010752	+4.29%	0.0476	✗	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.010932	0.01087	-0.57%	0.010675	-2.35%	0.0060	✗	0.87
2026-09-08	oos	0.011235	0.011138	-0.86%	0.010572	-5.90%	0.0199	✓	0.87
2026-09-07	oos	0.010951	0.010933	-0.17%	0.010665	-2.61%	0.0145	✓	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.010757	0.010823	+0.61%	0.009751	-9.35%	0.0623	✗	0.93
2026-09-05	oos	0.010377	0.010475	+0.95%	0.010795	+4.02%	0.0601	✓	0.92
2026-09-04	oos	0.009716	0.009914	+2.04%	0.010615	+9.26%	0.0965	✓	0.89
2026-09-03	oos	0.009525	0.009829	+3.19%	0.01031	+8.24%	0.1031	✓	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.008784	0.00895	+1.89%	0.010932	+24.46%	0.1884	✓	0.93
2026-09-01	oos	0.008936	0.009111	+1.96%	0.011235	+25.73%	0.1968	✓	0.95
2026-08-31	oos	0.008794	0.00905	+2.92%	0.010951	+24.53%	0.1847	✓	0.89
2026-08-30	oos	0.008705	0.00891	+2.35%	0.010757	+23.57%	0.1583	✓	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.008386	0.008631	+2.92%	0.010377	+23.74%	0.1653	✓	0.93
2026-08-28	oos	0.008235	0.008447	+2.57%	0.009716	+17.98%	0.1183	✓	0.93
2026-08-27	oos	0.008145	0.008476	+4.06%	0.009525	+16.94%	0.1049	✓	0.96
2026-08-26	oos	0.008134	0.008364	+2.83%	0.008784	+8.00%	0.0703	✓	0.97
2026-08-25	oos	0.007845	0.008045	+2.55%	0.008936	+13.91%	0.1191	✓	0.97
2026-08-24	oos	0.0078	0.007994	+2.48%	0.008794	+12.74%	0.1006	✓	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.007819	0.007946	+1.63%	0.008705	+11.33%	0.0920	✓	0.99
2026-08-22	oos	0.007708	0.007796	+1.14%	0.008386	+8.80%	0.0580	✓	0.98
2026-08-21	oos	0.007736	0.007854	+1.52%	0.008235	+6.45%	0.0536	✓	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.007216	0.007187	-0.40%	0.008145	+12.87%	0.0318	✗	0.98
2026-08-19	oos	0.007008	0.006851	-2.24%	0.008134	+16.06%	0.0366	✗	1.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00654	0.006454	-1.31%	0.007845	+19.96%	0.0031	✓	1.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.006674	0.00658	-1.42%	0.0078	+16.86%	0.0387	✓	1.03
2026-08-16	oos	0.006659	0.006572	-1.31%	0.007819	+17.41%	0.0493	✓	1.05
2026-08-15	oos	0.006515	0.006442	-1.12%	0.007708	+18.30%	0.0321	✓	1.05
2026-08-14	oos	0.006387	0.006325	-0.98%	0.007736	+21.11%	0.0282	✓	1.05
2026-08-13	oos	0.006477	0.006415	-0.96%	0.007216	+11.41%	0.0328	✓	1.07
2026-08-12	oos	0.006531	0.006472	-0.91%	0.007008	+7.30%	0.0184	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006685	0.006613	-1.08%	0.00654	-2.18%	0.0310	✓	1.11
2026-08-10	oos	0.00678	0.006714	-0.98%	0.006674	-1.56%	0.0158	✓	1.12
2026-08-09	oos	0.00686	0.006778	-1.19%	0.006659	-2.92%	0.0175	✗	1.12
2026-08-08	oos	0.00682	0.006746	-1.08%	0.006515	-4.46%	0.0019	✓	1.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006835	0.006754	-1.18%	0.006387	-6.55%	0.0224	✓	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.006515	0.006477	-0.59%	0.006477	-0.58%	0.0146	✗	1.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.006635	0.006569	-0.99%	0.006531	-1.57%	0.0147	✗	1.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.00663	0.006593	-0.56%	0.006685	+0.83%	0.0228	✗	1.10
2026-08-03	oos	0.00678	0.006766	-0.21%	0.00678	+0.00%	0.0056	✓	1.11
2026-08-02	oos	0.00679	0.006775	-0.22%	0.00686	+1.03%	0.0108	✓	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.00675	0.00675	-0.01%	0.00682	+1.04%	0.0272	✓	1.12
2026-07-31	oos	0.00686	0.006849	-0.16%	0.006835	-0.36%	0.0382	✓	1.12
2026-07-30	oos	0.007055	0.007029	-0.37%	0.006515	-7.65%	0.0680	✓	1.13
2026-07-29	oos	0.00702	0.007005	-0.22%	0.006635	-5.48%	0.0665	✓	1.11
2026-07-28	oos	0.007615	0.007563	-0.68%	0.00663	-12.93%	0.1352	✓	1.11
2026-07-27	oos	0.00772	0.007656	-0.84%	0.00678	-12.18%	0.1175	✓	1.11
2026-07-26	oos	0.00839	0.008292	-1.17%	0.00679	-19.07%	0.1692	✓	1.07
2026-07-25	oos	0.0083	0.008202	-1.18%	0.00675	-18.67%	0.1683	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.00824	0.008153	-1.06%	0.00686	-16.75%	0.1509	✓	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.008445	0.008353	-1.09%	0.007055	-16.46%	0.1633	✓	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.00858	0.008495	-0.99%	0.00702	-18.18%	0.1539	✓	1.09
2026-07-21	oos	0.00864	0.008555	-0.99%	0.007615	-11.86%	0.0716	✓	1.09
2026-07-20	oos	0.008565	0.008469	-1.12%	0.00772	-9.87%	0.0674	✓	1.07
2026-07-19	oos	0.008405	0.008319	-1.03%	0.00839	-0.18%	0.0023	✓	1.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.008395	0.008326	-0.82%	0.0083	-1.13%	0.0052	✓	1.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.00853	0.008455	-0.87%	0.00824	-3.40%	0.0290	✓	1.08
2026-07-16	oos	0.008395	0.00833	-0.77%	0.008445	+0.60%	0.0077	✓	1.08
2026-07-15	oos	0.00866	0.008585	-0.86%	0.00858	-0.92%	0.0231	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.00869	0.008622	-0.78%	0.00864	-0.58%	0.0229	✓	1.07
2026-07-13	oos	0.008555	0.008493	-0.72%	0.008565	+0.12%	0.0431	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.008585	0.008524	-0.71%	0.008405	-2.10%	0.0307	✓	1.14
2026-07-11	oos	0.008775	0.008699	-0.87%	0.008395	-4.33%	0.0537	✓	1.14
2026-07-10	oos	0.00876	0.008685	-0.86%	0.00853	-2.63%	0.0138	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.00867	0.008606	-0.74%	0.008395	-3.17%	0.0355	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008542	-0.62%	0.00866	+0.76%	0.0308	✓	1.14
2026-07-07	oos	0.00869	0.008598	-1.06%	0.00869	+0.00%	0.0192	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.00864	0.008573	-0.77%	0.008555	-0.98%	0.0297	✗	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.00864	0.008575	-0.75%	0.008585	-0.64%	0.0017	✓	1.16
2026-07-04	oos	0.0087	0.008645	-0.63%	0.008775	+0.86%	0.0023	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.00871	0.008665	-0.51%	0.00876	+0.57%	0.0187	✓	1.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.008665	0.008623	-0.49%	0.00867	+0.06%	0.0263	✓	1.17
2026-07-01	oos	0.00844	0.00842	-0.24%	0.008595	+1.84%	0.0228	✓	1.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.00814	0.00816	+0.24%	0.00869	+6.76%	0.0275	✗	1.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.00857	0.008548	-0.26%	0.00864	+0.82%	0.0594	✓	1.13
2026-06-28	oos	0.0083	0.008295	-0.06%	0.00864	+4.10%	0.0339	✓	1.12
2026-06-27	oos	0.008405	0.008409	+0.05%	0.0087	+3.51%	0.0233	✗	1.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.00864	0.008652	+0.14%	0.00871	+0.81%	0.0393	✗	1.12
2026-06-25	oos	0.00832	0.008364	+0.53%	0.008665	+4.15%	0.0028	✓	1.10
2026-06-24	oos	0.008405	0.008438	+0.39%	0.00844	+0.42%	0.0192	✓	1.12
2026-06-23	oos	0.008755	0.008768	+0.15%	0.00814	-7.02%	0.0018	✓	1.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.0093	0.009258	-0.45%	0.00857	-7.85%	0.0105	✓	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.009075	0.009072	-0.03%	0.0083	-8.54%	0.0227	✓	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.0095	0.009472	-0.29%	0.008405	-11.53%	0.0458	✓	1.07
2026-06-19	oos	0.00932	0.009313	-0.08%	0.00864	-7.30%	0.0155	✓	1.06
2026-06-18	oos	0.00928	0.009277	-0.04%	0.00832	-10.34%	0.0541	✓	1.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.00949	0.009449	-0.44%	0.008405	-11.43%	0.0580	✓	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.008815	0.00883	+0.17%	0.008755	-0.68%	0.0446	✓	1.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.008885	0.008901	+0.18%	0.0093	+4.67%	0.0850	✓	1.15
2026-06-14	oos	0.009	0.009016	+0.17%	0.009075	+0.83%	0.0510	✓	1.16
2026-06-13	oos	0.008615	0.008657	+0.49%	0.0095	+10.27%	0.0965	✓	1.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.00858	0.008636	+0.65%	0.00932	+8.62%	0.0773	✓	1.12
2026-06-11	oos	0.00857	0.008631	+0.71%	0.00928	+8.28%	0.0846	✓	1.12
2026-06-10	oos	0.0083	0.008408	+1.30%	0.00949	+14.34%	0.0681	✓	1.11
2026-06-09	oos	0.008605	0.008717	+1.30%	0.008815	+2.44%	0.0575	✗	1.11
2026-06-08	oos	0.00913	0.009206	+0.83%	0.008885	-2.68%	0.0894	✗	1.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.00876	0.00886	+1.14%	0.009	+2.74%	0.0248	✗	1.09
2026-06-06	oos	0.00866	0.008818	+1.83%	0.008615	-0.52%	0.0888	✗	1.15
2026-06-05	oos	0.00885	0.009024	+1.97%	0.00858	-3.05%	0.0966	✗	1.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.00966	0.009782	+1.26%	0.00857	-11.28%	0.1282	✗	1.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.01054	0.010635	+0.90%	0.0083	-21.25%	0.2036	✗	1.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.01031	0.010402	+0.89%	0.008605	-16.54%	0.0897	✗	1.29
2026-06-01	oos	0.01101	0.010984	-0.23%	0.00913	-17.08%	0.0041	✗	1.54
2026-05-31	oos	0.0119	0.011686	-1.80%	0.00876	-26.39%	0.0700	✓	1.45
2026-05-30	oos	0.011635	0.011552	-0.71%	0.00866	-25.57%	0.0070	✓	1.46
2026-05-29	oos	0.011735	0.011662	-0.62%	0.00885	-24.58%	0.0061	✓	1.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.01153	0.011495	-0.30%	0.00966	-16.22%	0.0343	✗	1.47
2026-05-27	oos	0.01209	0.012021	-0.57%	0.01054	-12.82%	0.0828	✗	1.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.01232	0.012225	-0.77%	0.01031	-16.31%	0.0229	✗	1.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.01291	0.012744	-1.28%	0.01101	-14.72%	0.0283	✓	1.48
2026-05-24	oos	0.01273	0.012603	-0.99%	0.0119	-6.52%	0.0088	✓	1.47
2026-05-23	oos	0.013085	0.012949	-1.04%	0.011635	-11.08%	0.0503	✓	1.48
2026-05-22	oos	0.01276	0.012694	-0.52%	0.011735	-8.03%	0.0381	✓	1.45
2026-05-21	oos	0.01351	0.013332	-1.32%	0.01153	-14.66%	0.0697	✓	1.41
2026-05-20	oos	0.012955	0.012866	-0.68%	0.01209	-6.68%	0.0206	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.01279	0.012764	-0.21%	0.01232	-3.67%	0.0230	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.012985	0.012988	+0.02%	0.01291	-0.58%	0.0100	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.013405	0.013388	-0.12%	0.01273	-5.04%	0.0448	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0138	0.01375	-0.36%	0.013085	-5.18%	0.0308	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.01476	0.014623	-0.93%	0.01276	-13.55%	0.0895	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.01595	0.015695	-1.60%	0.01351	-15.30%	0.1054	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.01559	0.01536	-1.47%	0.012955	-16.90%	0.1472	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.01654	0.016204	-2.03%	0.01279	-22.67%	0.1893	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.016455	0.016171	-1.73%	0.012985	-21.09%	0.1591	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.016415	0.016195	-1.34%	0.013405	-18.34%	0.1290	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.01612	0.01591	-1.30%	0.0138	-14.39%	0.1102	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.01606	0.015859	-1.25%	0.01476	-8.09%	0.0576	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.01576	0.015603	-0.99%	0.01595	+1.21%	0.0086	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.01607	0.015944	-0.78%	0.01559	-2.99%	0.0043	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.01597	0.015847	-0.77%	0.01654	+3.57%	0.0481	✗	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.01593	0.015793	-0.86%	0.016455	+3.30%	0.0178	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.01549	0.015366	-0.80%	0.016415	+5.97%	0.0207	✗	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.01572	0.015606	-0.73%	0.01612	+2.54%	0.0076	✗	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.01564	0.015551	-0.57%	0.01606	+2.69%	0.0075	✗	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.01568	0.015571	-0.69%	0.01576	+0.51%	0.0353	✓	1.00