SIGN

Sign · Ethereum · gru_s2

token id: #520
symbol: SIGN
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x868fced65edbf0056c4163515dd840e9f287a4c3
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-21
predictions: 525

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

174

of 175 predictions shown

direction hit

55.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0205

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0016

actual -0.0024

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.010474	0.010449	-0.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-20	oos	0.010772	0.010742	-0.27%	0.010474	-2.77%	0.0225	✓	0.96
2026-10-19	oos	0.011014	0.010988	-0.24%	0.010772	-2.20%	0.0329	✓	0.97
2026-10-18	oos	0.011069	0.011044	-0.22%	0.011014	-0.49%	0.0007	✓	0.97
2026-10-17	oos	0.011685	0.011658	-0.23%	0.011069	-5.28%	0.0594	✓	0.98
2026-10-16	oos	0.011774	0.011747	-0.23%	0.011685	-0.76%	0.0039	✓	0.98
2026-10-15	oos	0.012009	0.011979	-0.25%	0.011774	-1.95%	0.0099	✓	0.96
2026-10-14	oos	0.011812	0.011789	-0.19%	0.012009	+1.66%	0.0119	✗	0.96
2026-10-13	oos	0.0128	0.012755	-0.35%	0.011812	-7.72%	0.0594	✓	0.93
2026-10-12	oos	0.012991	0.012945	-0.35%	0.0128	-1.47%	0.0269	✓	0.95
2026-10-11	oos	0.012905	0.012856	-0.38%	0.012991	+0.67%	0.0324	✗	0.94
2026-10-10	oos	0.012919	0.01287	-0.38%	0.012905	-0.11%	0.0058	✓	0.93
2026-10-09	oos	0.012907	0.012858	-0.38%	0.012919	+0.09%	0.0006	✓	0.93
2026-10-08	oos	0.012345	0.012309	-0.29%	0.012907	+4.55%	0.0379	✗	0.92
2026-10-07	oos	0.01225	0.012207	-0.35%	0.012345	+0.78%	0.0292	✗	0.93
2026-10-06	oos	0.012594	0.012511	-0.66%	0.01225	-2.73%	0.0038	✓	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.012734	0.012642	-0.72%	0.012594	-1.10%	0.0016	✓	0.92
2026-10-04	oos	0.012807	0.01272	-0.67%	0.012734	-0.56%	0.0092	✗	0.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.012649	0.012559	-0.71%	0.012807	+1.25%	0.0005	✓	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.012734	0.01264	-0.74%	0.012649	-0.67%	0.0019	✓	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.01223	0.012161	-0.56%	0.012734	+4.12%	0.0498	✗	0.93
2026-09-30	oos	0.012499	0.01243	-0.55%	0.01223	-2.15%	0.0306	✓	0.94
2026-09-29	oos	0.012441	0.012377	-0.51%	0.012499	+0.47%	0.0107	✗	0.94
2026-09-28	oos	0.012654	0.012588	-0.52%	0.012441	-1.68%	0.0138	✓	0.94
2026-09-27	oos	0.013821	0.013743	-0.56%	0.012654	-8.44%	0.0714	✓	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.013853	0.013777	-0.55%	0.013821	-0.23%	0.0027	✓	0.94
2026-09-25	oos	0.013473	0.013412	-0.45%	0.013853	+2.82%	0.0287	✗	0.94
2026-09-24	oos	0.012913	0.01288	-0.26%	0.013473	+4.34%	0.0483	✗	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.012528	0.012508	-0.17%	0.012913	+3.07%	0.0318	✗	0.96
2026-09-22	oos	0.012568	0.012562	-0.05%	0.012528	-0.32%	0.0178	✗	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.012193	0.012192	-0.01%	0.012568	+3.08%	0.0349	✗	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.011562	0.011528	-0.29%	0.012193	+5.47%	0.0104	✓	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.011772	0.011732	-0.34%	0.011562	-1.79%	0.0137	✓	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.011794	0.011756	-0.32%	0.011772	-0.19%	0.0032	✓	1.04
2026-09-17	oos	0.010752	0.010726	-0.24%	0.011794	+9.70%	0.0380	✗	0.99
2026-09-16	oos	0.010675	0.010651	-0.23%	0.010752	+0.72%	0.0068	✗	0.99
2026-09-15	oos	0.010572	0.010547	-0.24%	0.010675	+0.98%	0.0048	✗	0.98
2026-09-14	oos	0.010665	0.010647	-0.17%	0.010572	-0.87%	0.0252	✗	0.96
2026-09-13	oos	0.009751	0.009753	+0.02%	0.010665	+9.37%	0.0731	✓	0.92
2026-09-12	oos	0.010795	0.010771	-0.22%	0.009751	-9.66%	0.0940	✓	0.89
2026-09-11	oos	0.010615	0.010606	-0.09%	0.010795	+1.69%	0.0170	✗	0.91
2026-09-10	oos	0.01031	0.010306	-0.04%	0.010615	+2.96%	0.0217	✗	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.010932	0.01092	-0.11%	0.01031	-5.69%	0.0379	✓	0.87
2026-09-08	oos	0.011235	0.011216	-0.17%	0.010932	-2.69%	0.0238	✓	0.87
2026-09-07	oos	0.010951	0.010939	-0.11%	0.011235	+2.59%	0.0339	✗	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.010757	0.010751	-0.05%	0.010951	+1.80%	0.0330	✗	0.93
2026-09-05	oos	0.010377	0.010369	-0.08%	0.010757	+3.66%	0.0309	✗	0.92
2026-09-04	oos	0.009716	0.009719	+0.03%	0.010377	+6.80%	0.0637	✓	0.89
2026-09-03	oos	0.009525	0.009542	+0.18%	0.009716	+2.01%	0.0363	✓	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.008784	0.008797	+0.15%	0.009525	+8.44%	0.0329	✓	0.93
2026-09-01	oos	0.008936	0.008942	+0.07%	0.008784	-1.70%	0.0167	✗	0.95
2026-08-31	oos	0.008794	0.008819	+0.28%	0.008936	+1.61%	0.0265	✓	0.89
2026-08-30	oos	0.008705	0.008726	+0.24%	0.008794	+1.02%	0.0024	✗	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.008386	0.008423	+0.44%	0.008705	+3.80%	0.0398	✓	0.93
2026-08-28	oos	0.008235	0.008272	+0.45%	0.008386	+1.83%	0.0090	✓	0.93
2026-08-27	oos	0.008145	0.008191	+0.57%	0.008235	+1.10%	0.0351	✓	0.96
2026-08-26	oos	0.008134	0.008164	+0.37%	0.008145	+0.14%	0.0175	✗	0.97
2026-08-25	oos	0.007845	0.007866	+0.27%	0.008134	+3.68%	0.0272	✓	0.97
2026-08-24	oos	0.0078	0.007803	+0.04%	0.007845	+0.58%	0.0110	✓	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.007819	0.007812	-0.09%	0.0078	-0.24%	0.0173	✓	0.99
2026-08-22	oos	0.007708	0.007695	-0.17%	0.007819	+1.44%	0.0074	✗	0.98
2026-08-21	oos	0.007736	0.007715	-0.27%	0.007708	-0.36%	0.0153	✗	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.007216	0.007207	-0.13%	0.007736	+7.20%	0.0017	✗	0.98
2026-08-19	oos	0.007008	0.006977	-0.44%	0.007216	+2.98%	0.0199	✓	1.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00654	0.006515	-0.37%	0.007008	+7.16%	0.0024	✓	1.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.006674	0.006652	-0.34%	0.00654	-2.02%	0.0203	✓	1.03
2026-08-16	oos	0.006659	0.006658	-0.03%	0.006674	+0.23%	0.0245	✓	1.05
2026-08-15	oos	0.006515	0.006525	+0.14%	0.006659	+2.21%	0.0235	✓	1.05
2026-08-14	oos	0.006387	0.006405	+0.27%	0.006515	+2.00%	0.0164	✓	1.05
2026-08-13	oos	0.006477	0.00649	+0.20%	0.006387	-1.39%	0.0084	✗	1.07
2026-08-12	oos	0.006531	0.006544	+0.20%	0.006477	-0.82%	0.0104	✗	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006685	0.006693	+0.12%	0.006531	-2.30%	0.0224	✗	1.11
2026-08-10	oos	0.00678	0.006783	+0.05%	0.006685	-1.40%	0.0079	✗	1.12
2026-08-09	oos	0.00686	0.006843	-0.24%	0.00678	-1.17%	0.0069	✗	1.12
2026-08-08	oos	0.00682	0.006792	-0.41%	0.00686	+0.59%	0.0110	✗	1.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006835	0.006789	-0.67%	0.00682	-0.22%	0.0042	✓	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.006515	0.006484	-0.47%	0.006835	+4.91%	0.0421	✗	1.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.006635	0.006582	-0.81%	0.006515	-1.81%	0.0044	✓	1.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.00663	0.006598	-0.48%	0.006635	+0.08%	0.0039	✓	1.10
2026-08-03	oos	0.00678	0.006758	-0.32%	0.00663	-2.21%	0.0293	✓	1.11
2026-08-02	oos	0.00679	0.006772	-0.27%	0.00678	-0.15%	0.0018	✓	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.00675	0.006743	-0.10%	0.00679	+0.59%	0.0061	✓	1.12
2026-07-31	oos	0.00686	0.006858	-0.03%	0.00675	-1.60%	0.0148	✓	1.12
2026-07-30	oos	0.007055	0.007051	-0.05%	0.00686	-2.76%	0.0061	✗	1.13
2026-07-29	oos	0.00702	0.007024	+0.05%	0.007055	+0.50%	0.0098	✗	1.11
2026-07-28	oos	0.007615	0.007604	-0.15%	0.00702	-7.81%	0.0807	✓	1.11
2026-07-27	oos	0.00772	0.007708	-0.15%	0.007615	-1.36%	0.0148	✓	1.11
2026-07-26	oos	0.00839	0.008365	-0.30%	0.00772	-7.99%	0.0529	✓	1.07
2026-07-25	oos	0.0083	0.008276	-0.29%	0.00839	+1.08%	0.0041	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.00824	0.008219	-0.26%	0.0083	+0.73%	0.0062	✗	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.008445	0.008418	-0.32%	0.00824	-2.43%	0.0050	✓	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.00858	0.008563	-0.19%	0.008445	-1.57%	0.0033	✗	1.09
2026-07-21	oos	0.00864	0.008632	-0.10%	0.00858	-0.69%	0.0011	✗	1.09
2026-07-20	oos	0.008565	0.008547	-0.21%	0.00864	+0.88%	0.0104	✓	1.07
2026-07-19	oos	0.008405	0.008392	-0.16%	0.008565	+1.90%	0.0117	✗	1.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.008395	0.008392	-0.04%	0.008405	+0.12%	0.0034	✗	1.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.00853	0.008522	-0.09%	0.008395	-1.58%	0.0302	✓	1.08
2026-07-16	oos	0.008395	0.008394	-0.01%	0.00853	+1.61%	0.0140	✗	1.08
2026-07-15	oos	0.00866	0.008657	-0.04%	0.008395	-3.06%	0.0149	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.00869	0.008692	+0.02%	0.00866	-0.35%	0.0009	✓	1.07
2026-07-13	oos	0.008555	0.008556	+0.01%	0.00869	+1.58%	0.0321	✗	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.008585	0.008589	+0.04%	0.008555	-0.35%	0.0227	✓	1.14
2026-07-11	oos	0.008775	0.008778	+0.03%	0.008585	-2.17%	0.0216	✗	1.14
2026-07-10	oos	0.00876	0.008767	+0.07%	0.008775	+0.17%	0.0073	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.00867	0.008678	+0.10%	0.00876	+1.04%	0.0077	✗	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008604	+0.10%	0.00867	+0.87%	0.0094	✗	1.14
2026-07-07	oos	0.00869	0.008697	+0.08%	0.008595	-1.09%	0.0081	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.00864	0.008649	+0.10%	0.00869	+0.58%	0.0171	✓	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.00864	0.008647	+0.08%	0.00864	+0.00%	0.0084	✗	1.16
2026-07-04	oos	0.0087	0.008708	+0.10%	0.00864	-0.69%	0.0170	✗	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.00871	0.008718	+0.09%	0.0087	-0.11%	0.0126	✗	1.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.008665	0.008669	+0.04%	0.00871	+0.52%	0.0148	✗	1.17
2026-07-01	oos	0.00844	0.008449	+0.11%	0.008665	+2.67%	0.0040	✗	1.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.00814	0.008162	+0.28%	0.00844	+3.69%	0.0056	✓	1.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.00857	0.008582	+0.14%	0.00814	-5.02%	0.0216	✗	1.13
2026-06-28	oos	0.0083	0.008326	+0.31%	0.00857	+3.25%	0.0160	✓	1.12
2026-06-27	oos	0.008405	0.008426	+0.25%	0.0083	-1.25%	0.0065	✗	1.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.00864	0.008648	+0.10%	0.008405	-2.72%	0.0273	✗	1.12
2026-06-25	oos	0.00832	0.008338	+0.21%	0.00864	+3.85%	0.0301	✓	1.10
2026-06-24	oos	0.008405	0.008432	+0.32%	0.00832	-1.01%	0.0104	✓	1.12
2026-06-23	oos	0.008755	0.008777	+0.25%	0.008405	-4.00%	0.0133	✗	1.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.0093	0.009307	+0.08%	0.008755	-5.86%	0.0386	✗	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.009075	0.009087	+0.13%	0.0093	+2.48%	0.0110	✓	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.0095	0.009501	+0.01%	0.009075	-4.47%	0.0293	✗	1.07
2026-06-19	oos	0.00932	0.009318	-0.02%	0.0095	+1.93%	0.0070	✗	1.06
2026-06-18	oos	0.00928	0.009267	-0.14%	0.00932	+0.43%	0.0043	✓	1.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.00949	0.00947	-0.21%	0.00928	-2.21%	0.0060	✗	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.008815	0.008813	-0.02%	0.00949	+7.66%	0.0946	✗	1.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.008885	0.008882	-0.03%	0.008815	-0.79%	0.0039	✗	1.15
2026-06-14	oos	0.009	0.008992	-0.09%	0.008885	-1.28%	0.0220	✓	1.16
2026-06-13	oos	0.008615	0.008611	-0.04%	0.009	+4.47%	0.0221	✗	1.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.00858	0.008579	-0.01%	0.008615	+0.41%	0.0115	✓	1.12
2026-06-11	oos	0.00857	0.008566	-0.05%	0.00858	+0.12%	0.0021	✗	1.12
2026-06-10	oos	0.0083	0.008299	-0.01%	0.00857	+3.25%	0.0055	✓	1.11
2026-06-09	oos	0.008605	0.008585	-0.23%	0.0083	-3.54%	0.0294	✓	1.11
2026-06-08	oos	0.00913	0.009071	-0.65%	0.008605	-5.75%	0.0288	✓	1.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.00876	0.008693	-0.76%	0.00913	+4.22%	0.0531	✗	1.09
2026-06-06	oos	0.00866	0.008535	-1.45%	0.00876	+1.15%	0.0192	✓	1.15
2026-06-05	oos	0.00885	0.008701	-1.68%	0.00866	-2.15%	0.0013	✓	1.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.00966	0.009507	-1.59%	0.00885	-8.39%	0.0241	✓	1.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.01054	0.010362	-1.69%	0.00966	-8.35%	0.0662	✓	1.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.01031	0.010255	-0.53%	0.01054	+2.23%	0.0790	✗	1.29
2026-06-01	oos	0.01101	0.011026	+0.15%	0.01031	-6.36%	0.0366	✓	1.54
2026-05-31	oos	0.0119	0.011887	-0.11%	0.01101	-7.48%	0.0313	✓	1.45
2026-05-30	oos	0.011635	0.011648	+0.12%	0.0119	+2.28%	0.0252	✓	1.46
2026-05-29	oos	0.011735	0.011749	+0.12%	0.011635	-0.85%	0.0178	✗	1.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.01153	0.011559	+0.25%	0.011735	+1.78%	0.0180	✓	1.47
2026-05-27	oos	0.01209	0.012117	+0.23%	0.01153	-4.63%	0.0340	✗	1.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.01232	0.01235	+0.24%	0.01209	-1.87%	0.0089	✓	1.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.01291	0.01292	+0.08%	0.01232	-4.57%	0.0201	✗	1.48
2026-05-24	oos	0.01273	0.012763	+0.26%	0.01291	+1.41%	0.0062	✓	1.47
2026-05-23	oos	0.013085	0.013118	+0.25%	0.01273	-2.71%	0.0363	✗	1.48
2026-05-22	oos	0.01276	0.012814	+0.43%	0.013085	+2.55%	0.0021	✓	1.45
2026-05-21	oos	0.01351	0.013507	-0.03%	0.01276	-5.55%	0.0180	✓	1.41
2026-05-20	oos	0.012955	0.012976	+0.16%	0.01351	+4.28%	0.0394	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.01279	0.01285	+0.47%	0.012955	+1.29%	0.0011	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.012985	0.013048	+0.49%	0.01279	-1.50%	0.0177	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.013405	0.013455	+0.38%	0.012985	-3.13%	0.0296	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0138	0.013807	+0.05%	0.013405	-2.86%	0.0205	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.01476	0.014701	-0.40%	0.0138	-6.50%	0.0511	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.01595	0.015872	-0.49%	0.01476	-7.46%	0.0474	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.01559	0.015511	-0.51%	0.01595	+2.31%	0.0056	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.01654	0.016446	-0.57%	0.01559	-5.74%	0.0385	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.016455	0.016391	-0.39%	0.01654	+0.52%	0.0244	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.016415	0.016374	-0.25%	0.016455	+0.24%	0.0107	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.01612	0.01606	-0.37%	0.016415	+1.83%	0.0029	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.01606	0.015999	-0.38%	0.01612	+0.37%	0.0017	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.01576	0.015693	-0.43%	0.01606	+1.90%	0.0209	✗	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.01607	0.016001	-0.43%	0.01576	-1.93%	0.0025	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.01597	0.015892	-0.49%	0.01607	+0.63%	0.0046	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.01593	0.015851	-0.50%	0.01597	+0.25%	0.0056	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.01549	0.015416	-0.48%	0.01593	+2.84%	0.0165	✗	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.01572	0.01568	-0.25%	0.01549	-1.46%	0.0106	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.01564	0.015624	-0.10%	0.01572	+0.51%	0.0004	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.01568	0.015694	+0.09%	0.01564	-0.26%	0.0284	✗	1.00