SIGN

Sign · Ethereum · gru_s2

token id: #520
symbol: SIGN
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x868fced65edbf0056c4163515dd840e9f287a4c3
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-21
predictions: 525

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

145

of 175 predictions shown

direction hit

52.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1867

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

+0.0012

actual -0.0395

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.010474	0.010199	-2.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-20	oos	0.010772	0.010418	-3.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-19	oos	0.011014	0.010646	-3.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-18	oos	0.011069	0.010623	-4.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-17	oos	0.011685	0.01126	-3.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-16	oos	0.011774	0.011369	-3.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-15	oos	0.012009	0.011629	-3.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-14	oos	0.011812	0.011526	-2.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-13	oos	0.0128	0.01236	-3.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-12	oos	0.012991	0.012564	-3.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-11	oos	0.012905	0.012439	-3.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-10	oos	0.012919	0.012414	-3.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-09	oos	0.012907	0.012382	-4.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-08	oos	0.012345	0.011859	-3.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-07	oos	0.01225	0.011848	-3.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-06	oos	0.012594	0.012183	-3.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.012734	0.012237	-3.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-04	oos	0.012807	0.0122	-4.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.012649	0.012026	-4.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.012734	0.011965	-6.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.01223	0.011496	-6.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-09-30	oos	0.012499	0.011767	-5.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-29	oos	0.012441	0.011758	-5.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-28	oos	0.012654	0.011977	-5.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-27	oos	0.013821	0.01311	-5.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.013853	0.013163	-4.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-25	oos	0.013473	0.012852	-4.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-24	oos	0.012913	0.012459	-3.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.012528	0.012197	-2.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-22	oos	0.012568	0.012447	-0.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.012193	0.012157	-0.30%	0.010474	-14.10%	0.1039	✓	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.011562	0.011255	-2.65%	0.010772	-6.83%	0.0661	✓	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.011772	0.011439	-2.83%	0.011014	-6.44%	0.0455	✓	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.011794	0.011476	-2.70%	0.011069	-6.16%	0.0507	✓	1.04
2026-09-17	oos	0.010752	0.010467	-2.65%	0.011685	+8.68%	0.0470	✗	0.99
2026-09-16	oos	0.010675	0.01039	-2.67%	0.011774	+10.29%	0.0579	✗	0.99
2026-09-15	oos	0.010572	0.010279	-2.77%	0.012009	+13.59%	0.0738	✗	0.98
2026-09-14	oos	0.010665	0.010477	-1.76%	0.011812	+10.75%	0.0794	✗	0.96
2026-09-13	oos	0.009751	0.009685	-0.68%	0.0128	+31.26%	0.2063	✗	0.92
2026-09-12	oos	0.010795	0.010539	-2.36%	0.012991	+20.35%	0.1589	✗	0.89
2026-09-11	oos	0.010615	0.010487	-1.21%	0.012905	+21.57%	0.1346	✗	0.91
2026-09-10	oos	0.01031	0.010213	-0.94%	0.012919	+25.31%	0.1631	✗	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.010932	0.010815	-1.07%	0.012907	+18.06%	0.1308	✗	0.87
2026-09-08	oos	0.011235	0.01108	-1.38%	0.012345	+9.88%	0.0730	✗	0.87
2026-09-07	oos	0.010951	0.010915	-0.33%	0.01225	+11.86%	0.0699	✗	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.010757	0.010863	+0.98%	0.012594	+17.08%	0.0895	✓	0.93
2026-09-05	oos	0.010377	0.010502	+1.20%	0.012734	+22.72%	0.1271	✓	0.92
2026-09-04	oos	0.009716	0.009946	+2.37%	0.012807	+31.81%	0.1792	✓	0.89
2026-09-03	oos	0.009525	0.009924	+4.18%	0.012649	+32.79%	0.2039	✓	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.008784	0.009177	+4.47%	0.012734	+44.97%	0.2446	✓	0.93
2026-09-01	oos	0.008936	0.009366	+4.81%	0.01223	+36.86%	0.1799	✓	0.95
2026-08-31	oos	0.008794	0.009356	+6.39%	0.012499	+42.13%	0.2350	✓	0.89
2026-08-30	oos	0.008705	0.009259	+6.36%	0.012441	+42.92%	0.2295	✓	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.008386	0.009002	+7.34%	0.012654	+50.89%	0.2802	✓	0.93
2026-08-28	oos	0.008235	0.008842	+7.38%	0.013821	+67.83%	0.3706	✓	0.93
2026-08-27	oos	0.008145	0.008844	+8.58%	0.013853	+70.08%	0.4003	✓	0.96
2026-08-26	oos	0.008134	0.008783	+7.99%	0.013473	+65.65%	0.3678	✓	0.97
2026-08-25	oos	0.007845	0.008469	+7.96%	0.012913	+64.60%	0.3520	✓	0.97
2026-08-24	oos	0.0078	0.00843	+8.07%	0.012528	+60.62%	0.3322	✓	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.007819	0.008381	+7.19%	0.012568	+60.74%	0.3033	✓	0.99
2026-08-22	oos	0.007708	0.008281	+7.43%	0.012193	+58.19%	0.2721	✓	0.98
2026-08-21	oos	0.007736	0.008364	+8.11%	0.011562	+49.45%	0.2886	✓	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.007216	0.007507	+4.03%	0.011772	+63.13%	0.3449	✓	0.98
2026-08-19	oos	0.007008	0.006973	-0.49%	0.011794	+68.30%	0.3667	✗	1.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00654	0.006549	+0.14%	0.010752	+64.42%	0.3262	✓	1.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.006674	0.006663	-0.17%	0.010675	+59.94%	0.3001	✗	1.03
2026-08-16	oos	0.006659	0.006661	+0.02%	0.010572	+58.75%	0.2683	✓	1.05
2026-08-15	oos	0.006515	0.00657	+0.83%	0.010665	+63.69%	0.2578	✓	1.05
2026-08-14	oos	0.006387	0.006473	+1.34%	0.009751	+52.67%	0.2009	✓	1.05
2026-08-13	oos	0.006477	0.006547	+1.07%	0.010795	+66.65%	0.2891	✓	1.07
2026-08-12	oos	0.006531	0.006577	+0.70%	0.010615	+62.54%	0.2614	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006685	0.006678	-0.11%	0.01031	+54.23%	0.2279	✗	1.11
2026-08-10	oos	0.00678	0.006734	-0.68%	0.010932	+61.25%	0.2567	✗	1.12
2026-08-09	oos	0.00686	0.006756	-1.51%	0.011235	+63.78%	0.2962	✗	1.12
2026-08-08	oos	0.00682	0.006679	-2.07%	0.010951	+60.57%	0.2745	✗	1.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006835	0.006652	-2.67%	0.010757	+57.38%	0.2424	✗	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.006515	0.006401	-1.75%	0.010377	+59.28%	0.2449	✗	1.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.006635	0.006423	-3.20%	0.009716	+46.44%	0.1829	✗	1.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.00663	0.006415	-3.24%	0.009525	+43.67%	0.1337	✗	1.10
2026-08-03	oos	0.00678	0.006587	-2.85%	0.008784	+29.56%	0.0687	✗	1.11
2026-08-02	oos	0.00679	0.006664	-1.86%	0.008936	+31.61%	0.0741	✗	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.00675	0.006685	-0.96%	0.008794	+30.28%	0.0231	✗	1.12
2026-07-31	oos	0.00686	0.006896	+0.53%	0.008705	+26.90%	0.0042	✓	1.12
2026-07-30	oos	0.007055	0.007072	+0.24%	0.008386	+18.87%	0.0440	✗	1.13
2026-07-29	oos	0.00702	0.00711	+1.29%	0.008235	+17.31%	0.0723	✗	1.11
2026-07-28	oos	0.007615	0.007603	-0.15%	0.008145	+6.96%	0.1862	✓	1.11
2026-07-27	oos	0.00772	0.00771	-0.12%	0.008134	+5.36%	0.1869	✓	1.11
2026-07-26	oos	0.00839	0.008419	+0.35%	0.007845	-6.50%	0.2673	✗	1.07
2026-07-25	oos	0.0083	0.008295	-0.07%	0.0078	-6.02%	0.2884	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.00824	0.008281	+0.50%	0.007819	-5.11%	0.2692	✗	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.008445	0.008602	+1.85%	0.007708	-8.73%	0.2951	✗	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.00858	0.008836	+2.98%	0.007736	-9.84%	0.3184	✗	1.09
2026-07-21	oos	0.00864	0.00886	+2.55%	0.007216	-16.48%	0.3070	✗	1.09
2026-07-20	oos	0.008565	0.008762	+2.30%	0.007008	-18.18%	0.2886	✗	1.07
2026-07-19	oos	0.008405	0.008645	+2.86%	0.00654	-22.20%	0.2791	✗	1.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.008395	0.008601	+2.46%	0.006674	-20.49%	0.2484	✗	1.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.00853	0.008628	+1.15%	0.006659	-21.93%	0.2409	✗	1.08
2026-07-16	oos	0.008395	0.008548	+1.82%	0.006515	-22.39%	0.2587	✗	1.08
2026-07-15	oos	0.00866	0.00871	+0.57%	0.006387	-26.24%	0.2808	✗	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.00869	0.008754	+0.74%	0.006477	-25.46%	0.2750	✗	1.07
2026-07-13	oos	0.008555	0.008671	+1.35%	0.006531	-23.66%	0.3037	✗	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.008585	0.008687	+1.19%	0.006685	-22.13%	0.2582	✗	1.14
2026-07-11	oos	0.008775	0.008857	+0.94%	0.00678	-22.74%	0.2697	✗	1.14
2026-07-10	oos	0.00876	0.008851	+1.04%	0.00686	-21.69%	0.2675	✗	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.00867	0.008764	+1.08%	0.00682	-21.34%	0.2816	✗	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008733	+1.60%	0.006835	-20.48%	0.2927	✗	1.14
2026-07-07	oos	0.00869	0.008881	+2.19%	0.006515	-25.03%	0.3268	✗	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.00864	0.008831	+2.21%	0.006635	-23.21%	0.2967	✗	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.00864	0.008854	+2.47%	0.00663	-23.26%	0.2977	✗	1.16
2026-07-04	oos	0.0087	0.008993	+3.36%	0.00678	-22.07%	0.2894	✗	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.00871	0.009065	+4.08%	0.00679	-22.04%	0.3071	✗	1.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.008665	0.009143	+5.52%	0.00675	-22.10%	0.3275	✗	1.17
2026-07-01	oos	0.00844	0.009013	+6.79%	0.00686	-18.72%	0.3274	✗	1.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.00814	0.008732	+7.27%	0.007055	-13.33%	0.3288	✗	1.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.00857	0.009147	+6.73%	0.00702	-18.09%	0.3330	✗	1.13
2026-06-28	oos	0.0083	0.008917	+7.44%	0.007615	-8.25%	0.2371	✗	1.12
2026-06-27	oos	0.008405	0.008975	+6.78%	0.00772	-8.15%	0.2186	✗	1.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.00864	0.00921	+6.60%	0.00839	-2.89%	0.1888	✗	1.12
2026-06-25	oos	0.00832	0.008942	+7.48%	0.0083	-0.24%	0.1564	✗	1.10
2026-06-24	oos	0.008405	0.008793	+4.61%	0.00824	-1.96%	0.1205	✗	1.12
2026-06-23	oos	0.008755	0.008852	+1.11%	0.008445	-3.54%	0.0893	✗	1.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.0093	0.009243	-0.62%	0.00858	-7.74%	0.1103	✓	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.009075	0.00914	+0.71%	0.00864	-4.79%	0.1109	✗	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.0095	0.009422	-0.82%	0.008565	-9.84%	0.1117	✓	1.07
2026-06-19	oos	0.00932	0.009335	+0.16%	0.008405	-9.82%	0.1249	✗	1.06
2026-06-18	oos	0.00928	0.009307	+0.29%	0.008395	-9.54%	0.1349	✗	1.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.00949	0.009305	-1.95%	0.00853	-10.12%	0.0778	✓	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.008815	0.008615	-2.27%	0.008395	-4.76%	0.0069	✓	1.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.008885	0.008667	-2.45%	0.00866	-2.53%	0.0266	✗	1.15
2026-06-14	oos	0.009	0.008783	-2.41%	0.00869	-3.44%	0.0020	✓	1.16
2026-06-13	oos	0.008615	0.008483	-1.53%	0.008555	-0.70%	0.0468	✗	1.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.00858	0.008519	-0.71%	0.008585	+0.06%	0.0041	✓	1.12
2026-06-11	oos	0.00857	0.008502	-0.80%	0.008775	+2.39%	0.0280	✗	1.12
2026-06-10	oos	0.0083	0.008437	+1.65%	0.00876	+5.54%	0.0099	✓	1.11
2026-06-09	oos	0.008605	0.008676	+0.83%	0.00867	+0.76%	0.0272	✗	1.11
2026-06-08	oos	0.00913	0.008982	-1.62%	0.008595	-5.86%	0.0297	✓	1.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.00876	0.008584	-2.01%	0.00869	-0.80%	0.0119	✓	1.09
2026-06-06	oos	0.00866	0.008598	-0.72%	0.00864	-0.23%	0.0529	✓	1.15
2026-06-05	oos	0.00885	0.008702	-1.67%	0.00864	-2.37%	0.0541	✓	1.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.00966	0.0092	-4.76%	0.0087	-9.94%	0.0438	✓	1.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.01054	0.009958	-5.52%	0.00871	-17.36%	0.1082	✓	1.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.01031	0.00988	-4.18%	0.008665	-15.96%	0.0270	✓	1.29
2026-06-01	oos	0.01101	0.010522	-4.44%	0.00844	-23.34%	0.0460	✗	1.54
2026-05-31	oos	0.0119	0.011225	-5.67%	0.00814	-31.60%	0.0108	✓	1.45
2026-05-30	oos	0.011635	0.011113	-4.49%	0.00857	-26.34%	0.0379	✓	1.46
2026-05-29	oos	0.011735	0.011225	-4.34%	0.0083	-29.27%	0.0059	✓	1.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.01153	0.011082	-3.88%	0.008405	-27.10%	0.0237	✓	1.47
2026-05-27	oos	0.01209	0.01154	-4.55%	0.00864	-28.54%	0.0187	✓	1.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.01232	0.011651	-5.43%	0.00832	-32.47%	0.0219	✓	1.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.01291	0.012133	-6.02%	0.008405	-34.90%	0.0182	✓	1.48
2026-05-24	oos	0.01273	0.012073	-5.16%	0.008755	-31.23%	0.0194	✓	1.47
2026-05-23	oos	0.013085	0.012423	-5.06%	0.0093	-28.93%	0.0213	✓	1.48
2026-05-22	oos	0.01276	0.012259	-3.93%	0.009075	-28.88%	0.0450	✓	1.45
2026-05-21	oos	0.01351	0.012724	-5.81%	0.0095	-29.68%	0.0258	✓	1.41
2026-05-20	oos	0.012955	0.012262	-5.35%	0.00932	-28.06%	0.0750	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.01279	0.012214	-4.50%	0.00928	-27.44%	0.0752	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.012985	0.012439	-4.20%	0.00949	-26.92%	0.0934	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.013405	0.012882	-3.90%	0.008815	-34.24%	0.2141	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0138	0.013331	-3.40%	0.008885	-35.62%	0.2415	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.01476	0.014258	-3.40%	0.009	-39.02%	0.2751	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.01595	0.015442	-3.18%	0.008615	-45.99%	0.3538	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.01559	0.014969	-3.98%	0.00858	-44.96%	0.3351	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.01654	0.016027	-3.10%	0.00857	-48.19%	0.3900	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.016455	0.016389	-0.40%	0.0083	-49.56%	0.3951	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.016415	0.016548	+0.81%	0.008605	-47.58%	0.3668	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.01612	0.016063	-0.36%	0.00913	-43.36%	0.3189	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.01606	0.016015	-0.28%	0.00876	-45.45%	0.3669	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.01576	0.015704	-0.36%	0.00866	-45.05%	0.3215	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.01607	0.016086	+0.10%	0.00885	-44.93%	0.3091	✗	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.01597	0.015887	-0.52%	0.00966	-39.51%	0.2600	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.01593	0.015655	-1.72%	0.01054	-33.84%	0.1750	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.01549	0.014968	-3.37%	0.01031	-33.44%	0.2085	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.01572	0.015324	-2.52%	0.01101	-29.96%	0.2323	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.01564	0.015256	-2.45%	0.0119	-23.91%	0.1871	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.01568	0.015285	-2.52%	0.011635	-25.80%	0.2391	✓	1.00