PROS

Pharos · native · gru_s2

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 504

Track record at +7d

assessed

161

of 168 predictions shown

direction hit

62.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0903

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0074

actual -0.0041

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.62925	0.617159	-1.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.609411	-1.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.623966	-1.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.622816	-1.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.608599	-1.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.644605	-1.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.588995	-0.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.583048	-0.26%	0.62925	+7.65%	0.0671	✗	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.619458	-0.62%	0.6195	-0.62%	0.0013	✓	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.612739	-0.64%	0.63415	+2.83%	0.0336	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.669568	-1.20%	0.6322	-6.71%	0.0472	✓	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.669459	-1.47%	0.6148	-9.52%	0.0750	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.652665	-1.28%	0.6534	-1.16%	0.0081	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.634603	-1.01%	0.59205	-7.65%	0.0722	✓	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.652369	-0.92%	0.58455	-11.22%	0.0986	✓	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.651086	-1.01%	0.62335	-5.23%	0.0279	✓	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.726691	-1.94%	0.6167	-16.78%	0.1383	✓	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.792394	-2.64%	0.6777	-16.73%	0.1398	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.701233	-2.37%	0.67945	-5.40%	0.0218	✓	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.72731	-2.64%	0.6611	-11.50%	0.0852	✓	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.685066	-2.41%	0.6411	-8.68%	0.0494	✓	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.698713	-2.54%	0.6584	-8.17%	0.0579	✓	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.665818	-2.10%	0.65775	-3.29%	0.0225	✓	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.657697	-1.93%	0.74105	+10.50%	0.1072	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.647992	-1.24%	0.81385	+24.04%	0.2154	✗	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.61305	-0.74%	0.71825	+16.29%	0.1564	✗	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.656436	-0.77%	0.747	+12.92%	0.1267	✗	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.616291	-0.41%	0.702	+13.45%	0.1273	✗	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.579407	-0.09%	0.71695	+23.63%	0.2182	✗	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.580872	+0.43%	0.6801	+17.58%	0.1749	✓	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.576801	+0.51%	0.67065	+16.87%	0.1741	✓	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.51122	-0.26%	0.6561	+28.01%	0.2278	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.535714	-0.51%	0.61765	+14.71%	0.1218	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.534501	-0.74%	0.66155	+22.85%	0.1923	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.509708	-1.09%	0.6188	+20.09%	0.1433	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.509115	-1.22%	0.5799	+12.51%	0.0798	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.48318	-0.81%	0.5784	+18.73%	0.1274	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.491038	-1.15%	0.57385	+15.52%	0.1153	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.469883	-0.99%	0.51255	+8.00%	0.0654	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.475689	-1.04%	0.53845	+12.01%	0.1044	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.485197	-0.99%	0.5385	+9.89%	0.0868	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.486664	-1.14%	0.5153	+4.67%	0.0581	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.474854	-0.71%	0.5154	+7.77%	0.0926	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.438787	+0.16%	0.48715	+11.20%	0.1170	✓	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.450148	+0.37%	0.49675	+10.76%	0.1023	✓	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.430879	+1.86%	0.4746	+12.20%	0.1138	✓	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.424336	+2.15%	0.4807	+15.72%	0.1374	✓	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.42148	+2.38%	0.49005	+19.03%	0.1622	✓	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.418673	+2.44%	0.4923	+20.46%	0.1846	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.414122	+1.98%	0.47825	+17.77%	0.1404	✓	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.420807	+1.67%	0.4381	+5.85%	0.0365	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.419404	+1.66%	0.4485	+8.71%	0.0653	✓	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.42246	+1.30%	0.423	+1.43%	0.0087	✓	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.429782	+1.11%	0.4154	-2.27%	0.0396	✗	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.424624	+1.08%	0.4117	-2.00%	0.0372	✗	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.422174	+1.48%	0.4087	-1.75%	0.0360	✗	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.413307	+1.20%	0.4061	-0.56%	0.0113	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.422787	+0.65%	0.4139	-1.46%	0.0170	✗	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.446033	-0.33%	0.41255	-7.81%	0.0767	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.405264	-0.35%	0.41705	+2.54%	0.0288	✗	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.390913	-0.43%	0.42505	+8.27%	0.0805	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.417367	-0.77%	0.4201	-0.12%	0.0077	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.396286	-0.28%	0.416	+4.68%	0.0396	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.398641	+0.24%	0.4084	+2.69%	0.0090	✓	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.374826	-3.37%	0.42005	+8.29%	0.1014	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.358877	-2.61%	0.4475	+21.44%	0.2019	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.361384	-1.68%	0.4067	+10.65%	0.0994	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.371073	-1.39%	0.3926	+4.33%	0.0355	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.367255	-0.53%	0.4206	+13.92%	0.1111	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.37619	-0.49%	0.3974	+5.12%	0.0432	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.377407	-0.39%	0.3977	+4.96%	0.0430	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.389169	-0.63%	0.3879	-0.96%	0.0061	✓	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.397757	-0.75%	0.3685	-8.05%	0.0780	✓	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.404209	-1.15%	0.36755	-10.11%	0.0889	✓	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.387722	-1.31%	0.3763	-4.21%	0.0238	✓	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.386895	-1.60%	0.3692	-6.10%	0.0426	✓	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.38885	-1.54%	0.37805	-4.28%	0.0258	✓	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.384258	-2.57%	0.3789	-3.93%	0.0097	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.391568	-2.45%	0.39165	-2.43%	0.0022	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.40411	-2.58%	0.40075	-3.39%	0.0101	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.424596	-3.54%	0.4089	-7.11%	0.0430	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.429372	-3.51%	0.39285	-11.72%	0.0964	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.420771	-3.40%	0.3932	-9.73%	0.0750	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.44019	-2.45%	0.39495	-12.48%	0.1070	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.422866	-2.62%	0.3944	-9.18%	0.0710	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.41725	-2.21%	0.4014	-5.93%	0.0390	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.394082	-1.10%	0.4148	+4.10%	0.0516	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.376708	-0.37%	0.4402	+16.42%	0.1601	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.38264	-0.84%	0.445	+15.31%	0.1548	✗	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.381698	-0.97%	0.4356	+13.01%	0.1352	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.377083	-0.78%	0.45125	+18.73%	0.1804	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.365663	+0.42%	0.43425	+19.25%	0.1785	✓	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.347847	+1.92%	0.4267	+25.02%	0.2128	✓	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.333782	+2.91%	0.39845	+22.85%	0.1809	✓	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.355247	+1.53%	0.3781	+8.06%	0.0604	✓	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.370335	+1.03%	0.3859	+5.28%	0.0426	✓	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.394349	-0.11%	0.38545	-2.37%	0.0235	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.394132	+0.14%	0.38005	-3.44%	0.0408	✗	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.389529	+0.59%	0.36415	-5.97%	0.0723	✗	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.38644	+0.61%	0.3413	-11.14%	0.1298	✗	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.391167	+0.11%	0.32435	-16.99%	0.1997	✗	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.414496	-0.29%	0.3499	-15.83%	0.1728	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.415732	-0.33%	0.36655	-12.12%	0.1296	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.412906	-0.31%	0.3948	-4.68%	0.0440	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.392608	-0.10%	0.3936	+0.15%	0.0007	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.398699	-0.20%	0.38725	-3.07%	0.0368	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.412965	-0.37%	0.3841	-7.33%	0.0772	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.404311	-0.32%	0.39075	-3.66%	0.0288	✓	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.390401	-0.15%	0.4157	+6.32%	0.0624	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.417968	-0.51%	0.4171	-0.71%	0.0043	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.422702	-0.40%	0.4142	-2.40%	0.0255	✓	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.417013	+0.16%	0.393	-5.61%	0.0642	✗	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.418058	+0.49%	0.3995	-3.97%	0.0518	✗	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.417346	-0.04%	0.4145	-0.72%	0.0199	✓	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.452123	-0.59%	0.4056	-10.82%	0.1141	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.455059	-1.05%	0.391	-14.98%	0.1577	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.457025	-0.61%	0.4201	-8.64%	0.0889	✓	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.431563	+0.88%	0.4244	-0.79%	0.0200	✗	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.438063	+0.80%	0.41635	-4.20%	0.0532	✗	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.460018	+0.24%	0.416	-9.35%	0.0998	✗	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.499003	-0.61%	0.4175	-16.84%	0.1810	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.535821	-1.06%	0.4548	-16.02%	0.1699	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.545098	-1.07%	0.4599	-16.53%	0.1756	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.552497	-1.07%	0.45985	-17.66%	0.1901	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.558664	-0.97%	0.4278	-24.17%	0.2723	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.595727	-1.21%	0.4346	-27.93%	0.3183	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.546701	-0.94%	0.4589	-16.85%	0.1723	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.552159	-1.00%	0.50205	-9.99%	0.0928	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.57814	-1.13%	0.54155	-7.39%	0.0641	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.575757	-1.16%	0.551	-5.41%	0.0428	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.585953	-1.17%	0.5585	-5.80%	0.0479	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.608516	-1.34%	0.56415	-8.54%	0.0756	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.547671	-1.07%	0.603	+8.92%	0.0967	✗	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.579806	-1.12%	0.5519	-5.88%	0.0570	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.574771	-1.26%	0.55775	-4.18%	0.0400	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.592359	-1.72%	0.58475	-2.98%	0.0198	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.621116	-2.36%	0.5825	-8.43%	0.0694	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.624232	-3.08%	0.5929	-7.95%	0.0612	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.619112	-4.28%	0.6168	-4.64%	0.0106	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.583787	-4.83%	0.5536	-9.75%	0.0516	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.577543	-5.26%	0.5864	-3.81%	0.0314	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.581464	-3.97%	0.5821	-3.86%	0.0398	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.620878	-1.71%	0.6027	-4.59%	0.0334	✗	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.618736	-1.09%	0.6361	+1.69%	0.1328	✗	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.613086	-0.81%	0.6441	+4.21%	0.1852	✗	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.605339	-0.61%	0.6468	+6.20%	0.1913	✗	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.622136	-0.68%	0.6134	-2.08%	0.0818	✗	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.635311	-0.58%	0.6096	-4.60%	0.1075	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.610825	+0.35%	0.6055	-0.53%	0.1201	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.621144	+0.61%	0.6317	+2.32%	0.0968	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.621995	+0.76%	0.62555	+1.34%	0.0509	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.654983	+0.40%	0.6181	-5.26%	0.0197	✗	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.64221	+0.55%	0.60905	-4.64%	0.0251	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.662908	+0.41%	0.6264	-5.12%	0.0032	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.638576	+1.10%	0.639	+1.17%	0.0423	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.591128	+2.82%	0.6087	+5.88%	0.0416	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.647312	+1.99%	0.6174	-2.73%	0.0513	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.725129	+0.41%	0.6173	-14.53%	0.1554	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.756129	-0.90%	0.6524	-14.50%	0.1287	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.707672	-0.58%	0.6387	-10.27%	0.0557	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.723575	-2.26%	0.6602	-10.82%	0.0471	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.700231	-0.31%	0.6316	-10.08%	0.0800	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.755144	-1.53%	0.5749	-25.04%	0.2254	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.790406	-1.25%	0.6347	-20.70%	0.1591	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.896758	-1.54%	0.7222	-20.71%	0.1564	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.968352	-3.47%	0.763	-23.94%	0.2062	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.831373	-4.03%	0.7118	-17.83%	0.1411	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.616056	-2.55%	0.7403	+17.10%	0.1704	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.