PROS

Pharos · native · gru_s2

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 504

Track record at +30d

assessed

138

of 168 predictions shown

direction hit

65.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1936

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0215

actual +0.0189

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.62925	0.597661	-5.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.587344	-5.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.597509	-5.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.595711	-5.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.585176	-4.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.62188	-4.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.568828	-3.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.5634	-3.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.600518	-3.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.592588	-3.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.650268	-4.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.648522	-4.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.631908	-4.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.613533	-4.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.634167	-3.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.632865	-3.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.708259	-4.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.774068	-4.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.681743	-5.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.706274	-5.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.662531	-5.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.677439	-5.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.645503	-5.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.635243	-5.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.624042	-4.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.590921	-4.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.631534	-4.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.592237	-4.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.557294	-3.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.560589	-3.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.560499	-2.33%	0.62925	+9.65%	0.1448	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.499109	-2.62%	0.6195	+20.87%	0.2043	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.521388	-3.17%	0.63415	+17.77%	0.1918	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.51921	-3.58%	0.6322	+17.40%	0.1894	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.499488	-3.07%	0.6148	+19.31%	0.1754	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.498564	-3.27%	0.6534	+26.78%	0.2371	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.475385	-2.42%	0.59205	+21.53%	0.1863	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.478708	-3.63%	0.58455	+17.67%	0.1829	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.460682	-2.93%	0.62335	+31.34%	0.2716	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.465376	-3.19%	0.6167	+28.29%	0.2596	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.475419	-2.99%	0.6777	+38.29%	0.3242	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.476391	-3.23%	0.67945	+38.02%	0.3261	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.464371	-2.90%	0.6611	+38.23%	0.3329	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.430981	-1.63%	0.6411	+46.34%	0.3836	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.442999	-1.23%	0.6584	+46.80%	0.3795	✗	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.424831	+0.43%	0.65775	+55.50%	0.4133	✓	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.41821	+0.68%	0.74105	+78.39%	0.5444	✓	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.416341	+1.13%	0.81385	+97.68%	0.6403	✓	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.418004	+2.28%	0.71825	+75.74%	0.5255	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.412755	+1.64%	0.747	+83.94%	0.5681	✓	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.423541	+2.33%	0.702	+69.61%	0.4797	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.427082	+3.52%	0.71695	+73.78%	0.5021	✓	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.431987	+3.58%	0.6801	+63.07%	0.4320	✓	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.439664	+3.44%	0.67065	+57.78%	0.4045	✓	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.434509	+3.43%	0.6561	+56.18%	0.3900	✓	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.436484	+4.92%	0.61765	+48.47%	0.3326	✓	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.42742	+4.66%	0.66155	+61.99%	0.4191	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.439856	+4.72%	0.6188	+47.32%	0.3203	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.469294	+4.87%	0.5799	+29.59%	0.1949	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.428359	+5.33%	0.5784	+42.22%	0.2777	✓	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.414664	+5.62%	0.57385	+46.17%	0.3002	✓	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.445493	+5.92%	0.51255	+21.86%	0.1338	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.410832	+3.38%	0.53845	+35.49%	0.2604	✓	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.398367	+0.17%	0.5385	+35.40%	0.2836	✓	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.375977	-3.07%	0.5153	+32.84%	0.3045	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.35818	-2.80%	0.5154	+39.86%	0.3485	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.359951	-2.07%	0.48715	+32.54%	0.2863	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.368602	-2.05%	0.49675	+32.01%	0.2759	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.363568	-1.53%	0.4746	+28.55%	0.2442	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.370686	-1.95%	0.4807	+27.15%	0.2436	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.370844	-2.13%	0.49005	+29.33%	0.2578	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.380959	-2.73%	0.4923	+25.70%	0.2275	✗	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.389382	-2.84%	0.47825	+19.34%	0.1676	✗	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.396875	-2.94%	0.4381	+7.14%	0.0613	✗	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.382725	-2.58%	0.4485	+14.17%	0.1176	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.383349	-2.51%	0.423	+7.58%	0.0683	✗	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.384857	-2.56%	0.4154	+5.18%	0.0368	✗	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.384326	-2.55%	0.4117	+4.39%	0.0196	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.390418	-2.74%	0.4087	+1.82%	0.0115	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.401817	-3.13%	0.4061	-2.10%	0.0400	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.422319	-4.06%	0.4139	-5.97%	0.0703	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.426813	-4.09%	0.41255	-7.29%	0.0842	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.420761	-3.41%	0.41705	-4.26%	0.0564	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.438464	-2.83%	0.42505	-5.81%	0.0692	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.423843	-2.40%	0.4201	-3.26%	0.0316	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.416638	-2.36%	0.416	-2.51%	0.0198	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.390763	-1.93%	0.4084	+2.50%	0.0229	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.376491	-0.43%	0.42005	+11.09%	0.0819	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.383329	-0.67%	0.4475	+15.96%	0.1222	✗	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.38507	-0.10%	0.4067	+5.51%	0.0245	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.383195	+0.83%	0.3926	+3.30%	0.0042	✓	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.371872	+2.12%	0.4206	+15.50%	0.0899	✓	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.353829	+3.67%	0.3974	+16.44%	0.0967	✓	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.339628	+4.71%	0.3977	+22.61%	0.1479	✓	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.359405	+2.72%	0.3879	+10.86%	0.0763	✓	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.370353	+1.04%	0.3685	+0.53%	0.0041	✓	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.389958	-1.23%	0.36755	-6.90%	0.0554	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.388392	-1.32%	0.3763	-4.40%	0.0290	✓	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.385811	-0.37%	0.3692	-4.66%	0.0375	✓	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.384059	-0.01%	0.37805	-1.58%	0.0100	✓	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.385684	-1.30%	0.3789	-3.03%	0.0226	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.409675	-1.45%	0.39165	-5.79%	0.0442	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.411867	-1.25%	0.40075	-3.92%	0.0279	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.409858	-1.05%	0.4089	-1.28%	0.0049	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.391161	-0.47%	0.39285	-0.04%	0.0008	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.396909	-0.65%	0.3932	-1.58%	0.0176	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.411251	-0.78%	0.39495	-4.72%	0.0431	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.403127	-0.61%	0.3944	-2.76%	0.0237	✓	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.388587	-0.62%	0.4014	+2.66%	0.0312	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.412546	-1.80%	0.4148	-1.26%	0.0042	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.416358	-1.89%	0.4402	+3.72%	0.0525	✗	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.411551	-1.15%	0.445	+6.88%	0.0744	✗	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.418955	+0.71%	0.4356	+4.71%	0.0310	✓	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.423679	+1.48%	0.45125	+8.08%	0.0464	✓	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.457719	+0.64%	0.43425	-4.52%	0.0580	✗	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.464847	+1.08%	0.4267	-7.22%	0.0920	✗	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.464418	+0.99%	0.39845	-13.35%	0.1588	✗	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.433714	+1.38%	0.3781	-11.62%	0.1440	✗	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.435119	+0.12%	0.3859	-11.21%	0.1261	✗	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.450415	-1.85%	0.38545	-16.01%	0.1582	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.48085	-4.22%	0.38005	-24.30%	0.2338	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.512422	-5.38%	0.36415	-32.76%	0.3384	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.524509	-4.81%	0.3413	-38.06%	0.4250	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.529553	-5.18%	0.32435	-41.92%	0.4887	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.539372	-4.39%	0.3499	-37.98%	0.4309	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.579986	-3.82%	0.36655	-39.21%	0.4571	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.525109	-4.85%	0.3948	-28.47%	0.2848	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.528901	-5.17%	0.3936	-29.43%	0.2940	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.554649	-5.15%	0.38725	-33.78%	0.3584	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.552758	-5.11%	0.3841	-34.06%	0.3637	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.564475	-4.79%	0.39075	-34.10%	0.3665	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.588864	-4.53%	0.4157	-32.60%	0.3485	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.527673	-4.68%	0.4171	-24.66%	0.2353	✓	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.562769	-4.03%	0.4142	-29.37%	0.3134	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.557038	-4.31%	0.393	-32.49%	0.3527	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.571963	-5.10%	0.3995	-33.71%	0.3571	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.60167	-5.41%	0.4145	-34.84%	0.3727	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.61047	-5.22%	0.4056	-37.03%	0.4175	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.608501	-5.92%	0.391	-39.55%	0.4492	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.576473	-6.02%	0.4201	-31.51%	0.3120	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.573435	-5.93%	0.4244	-30.38%	0.2916	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.572985	-5.37%	0.41635	-31.24%	0.2790	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.584124	-7.53%	0.416	-34.15%	0.2504	✓	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.575907	-7.94%	0.4175	-33.26%	0.1617	✓	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.572649	-7.35%	0.4548	-26.42%	0.0865	✓	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.567435	-6.83%	0.4599	-24.49%	0.0675	✓	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.582904	-6.94%	0.45985	-26.59%	0.0988	✓	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.590871	-7.53%	0.4278	-33.05%	0.1090	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.561647	-7.73%	0.4346	-28.60%	0.0174	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.570691	-7.57%	0.4589	-25.67%	0.0184	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.574059	-7.00%	0.50205	-18.67%	0.0720	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.605691	-7.16%	0.54155	-16.99%	0.0692	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.597303	-6.48%	0.551	-13.73%	0.0958	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.614103	-6.98%	0.5585	-15.40%	0.0936	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.592452	-6.20%	0.56415	-10.68%	0.1504	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.550003	-4.33%	0.603	+4.89%	0.2916	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.603066	-4.98%	0.5519	-13.05%	0.0886	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.679133	-5.96%	0.55775	-22.77%	0.0317	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.716575	-6.08%	0.58475	-23.36%	0.0391	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.682775	-4.08%	0.5825	-18.17%	0.0262	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.71978	-2.77%	0.5929	-19.91%	0.0359	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.682493	-2.83%	0.6168	-12.19%	0.1202	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.748012	-2.46%	0.5536	-27.81%	0.0649	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.790708	-1.21%	0.5864	-26.74%	0.0137	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.897452	-1.47%	0.5821	-36.09%	0.1458	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.968062	-3.50%	0.6027	-39.92%	0.2278	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.843212	-2.67%	0.6361	-26.57%	0.0454	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.620266	-1.89%	0.6441	+1.88%	0.3114	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.