PROS

Pharos · native · gru_s2

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 504

Track record at +1d

assessed

167

of 168 predictions shown

direction hit

55.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0381

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0021

actual +0.0006

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.62925	0.626203	-0.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.616641	-0.46%	0.62925	+1.57%	0.0222	✗	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.631483	-0.42%	0.6195	-2.31%	0.0280	✓	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.629539	-0.42%	0.63415	+0.31%	0.0087	✗	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.61306	-0.28%	0.6322	+2.83%	0.0257	✗	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.650618	-0.43%	0.6148	-5.91%	0.0557	✓	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.590971	-0.18%	0.6534	+10.36%	0.1055	✗	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.58392	-0.11%	0.59205	+1.28%	0.0093	✗	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.621472	-0.30%	0.58455	-6.22%	0.0497	✓	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.615066	-0.26%	0.62335	+1.08%	0.0032	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.673489	-0.62%	0.6167	-9.00%	0.0763	✓	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.67551	-0.58%	0.6777	-0.26%	0.0018	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.658537	-0.39%	0.67945	+2.78%	0.0288	✗	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.639673	-0.22%	0.6611	+3.12%	0.0274	✗	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.656244	-0.33%	0.6411	-2.63%	0.0130	✓	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.655314	-0.37%	0.6584	+0.10%	0.0192	✗	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.736807	-0.57%	0.65775	-11.24%	0.1122	✓	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.808543	-0.65%	0.74105	-8.95%	0.0828	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.714429	-0.53%	0.81385	+13.31%	0.1210	✗	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.74274	-0.57%	0.71825	-3.85%	0.0348	✓	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.698926	-0.44%	0.747	+6.41%	0.0683	✗	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.713317	-0.51%	0.702	-2.09%	0.0231	✓	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.67749	-0.38%	0.71695	+5.42%	0.0571	✗	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.66799	-0.40%	0.6801	+1.41%	0.0170	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.654012	-0.32%	0.67065	+2.22%	0.0314	✗	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.61625	-0.23%	0.6561	+6.23%	0.0624	✗	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.659608	-0.29%	0.61765	-6.64%	0.0677	✓	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.617578	-0.20%	0.66155	+6.91%	0.0706	✗	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.579238	-0.11%	0.6188	+6.71%	0.0660	✗	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.578281	-0.02%	0.5799	+0.26%	0.0150	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.573774	-0.01%	0.5784	+0.79%	0.0109	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.511995	-0.11%	0.57385	+11.96%	0.0788	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.53735	-0.20%	0.51255	-4.81%	0.0468	✓	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.537074	-0.26%	0.53845	-0.01%	0.0002	✓	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.513824	-0.29%	0.5385	+4.50%	0.0177	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.51386	-0.30%	0.5153	-0.02%	0.0015	✓	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.486311	-0.17%	0.5154	+5.80%	0.0551	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.49572	-0.21%	0.48715	-1.93%	0.0041	✓	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.473952	-0.14%	0.49675	+4.67%	0.0401	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.480085	-0.13%	0.4746	-1.27%	0.0092	✓	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.489476	-0.12%	0.4807	-1.91%	0.0184	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.491132	-0.24%	0.49005	-0.46%	0.0054	✓	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.477765	-0.10%	0.4923	+2.94%	0.0386	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.438562	+0.11%	0.47825	+9.16%	0.0873	✓	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.448902	+0.09%	0.4381	-2.32%	0.0217	✗	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.424499	+0.35%	0.4485	+6.03%	0.0609	✓	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.417128	+0.42%	0.423	+1.83%	0.0115	✓	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.413601	+0.46%	0.4154	+0.90%	0.0036	✓	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.410805	+0.52%	0.4117	+0.73%	0.0096	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.407759	+0.41%	0.4087	+0.64%	0.0118	✗	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.415409	+0.36%	0.4061	-1.88%	0.0223	✗	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.414258	+0.41%	0.4139	+0.33%	0.0030	✓	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.418487	+0.34%	0.41255	-1.08%	0.0177	✗	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.426292	+0.29%	0.41705	-1.88%	0.0199	✗	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.421289	+0.28%	0.42505	+1.18%	0.0075	✓	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.417527	+0.37%	0.4201	+0.99%	0.0151	✓	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.409785	+0.34%	0.416	+1.86%	0.0106	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.420962	+0.22%	0.4084	-2.77%	0.0321	✗	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.446823	-0.15%	0.42005	-6.13%	0.0603	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.406907	+0.05%	0.4475	+10.03%	0.0916	✓	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.393091	+0.13%	0.4067	+3.59%	0.0322	✓	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.420377	-0.05%	0.3926	-6.66%	0.0654	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.397406	+0.00%	0.4206	+5.84%	0.0501	✓	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.397075	-0.16%	0.3974	-0.08%	0.0052	✓	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.385725	-0.56%	0.3977	+2.53%	0.0261	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.366829	-0.45%	0.3879	+5.26%	0.0556	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.366915	-0.17%	0.3685	+0.26%	0.0020	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.375682	-0.16%	0.36755	-2.33%	0.0216	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.368903	-0.08%	0.3763	+1.92%	0.0198	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.377411	-0.17%	0.3692	-2.34%	0.0214	✓	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.378171	-0.19%	0.37805	-0.22%	0.0003	✓	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.390597	-0.27%	0.3789	-3.26%	0.0301	✓	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.399454	-0.32%	0.39165	-2.27%	0.0186	✓	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.406943	-0.48%	0.40075	-1.99%	0.0125	✓	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.391031	-0.46%	0.4089	+4.09%	0.0449	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.391381	-0.46%	0.39285	-0.09%	0.0037	✓	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.393338	-0.41%	0.3932	-0.44%	0.0021	✓	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.393064	-0.34%	0.39495	+0.14%	0.0060	✗	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.400064	-0.33%	0.3944	-1.74%	0.0163	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.413065	-0.42%	0.4014	-3.23%	0.0310	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.437508	-0.61%	0.4148	-5.77%	0.0532	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.442118	-0.65%	0.4402	-1.08%	0.0070	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.432704	-0.66%	0.445	+2.16%	0.0282	✗	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.44903	-0.49%	0.4356	-3.47%	0.0244	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.431894	-0.54%	0.45125	+3.91%	0.0424	✗	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.423969	-0.64%	0.43425	+1.77%	0.0239	✗	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.396911	-0.39%	0.4267	+7.09%	0.0721	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.37625	-0.49%	0.39845	+5.38%	0.0612	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.383449	-0.64%	0.3781	-2.02%	0.0166	✓	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.382206	-0.84%	0.3859	+0.12%	0.0091	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.377586	-0.65%	0.38545	+1.42%	0.0231	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.364268	+0.03%	0.38005	+4.37%	0.0455	✓	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.342394	+0.32%	0.36415	+6.69%	0.0630	✓	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.32578	+0.44%	0.3413	+5.23%	0.0433	✓	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.350735	+0.24%	0.32435	-7.30%	0.0797	✗	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.366934	+0.10%	0.3499	-4.54%	0.0472	✗	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.394489	-0.08%	0.36655	-7.16%	0.0766	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.393341	-0.07%	0.3948	+0.30%	0.0033	✗	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.387397	+0.04%	0.3936	+1.64%	0.0194	✓	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.384425	+0.08%	0.38725	+0.82%	0.0083	✓	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.390638	-0.03%	0.3841	-1.70%	0.0284	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.415395	-0.07%	0.39075	-6.00%	0.0558	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.416815	-0.07%	0.4157	-0.34%	0.0026	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.413899	-0.07%	0.4171	+0.70%	0.0090	✗	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.39295	-0.01%	0.4142	+5.39%	0.0498	✗	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.399434	-0.02%	0.393	-1.63%	0.0192	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.414086	-0.10%	0.3995	-3.62%	0.0327	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.405073	-0.13%	0.4145	+2.19%	0.0251	✗	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.390648	-0.09%	0.4056	+3.73%	0.0364	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.419311	-0.19%	0.391	-6.93%	0.0715	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.423618	-0.18%	0.4201	-1.01%	0.0102	✓	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.416067	-0.07%	0.4244	+1.93%	0.0168	✗	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.416608	+0.15%	0.41635	+0.08%	0.0049	✗	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.418609	+0.27%	0.416	-0.36%	0.0103	✗	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.455171	+0.08%	0.4175	-8.20%	0.0839	✗	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.460624	+0.16%	0.4548	-1.11%	0.0138	✗	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.461729	+0.41%	0.4599	+0.01%	0.0033	✓	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.430516	+0.63%	0.45985	+7.49%	0.0660	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.436639	+0.47%	0.4278	-1.56%	0.0209	✗	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.459663	+0.17%	0.4346	-5.30%	0.0550	✗	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.501534	-0.10%	0.4589	-8.59%	0.0899	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.54038	-0.22%	0.50205	-7.29%	0.0756	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.549712	-0.23%	0.54155	-1.72%	0.0139	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.557264	-0.22%	0.551	-1.34%	0.0128	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.562999	-0.20%	0.5585	-1.00%	0.0069	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.600751	-0.37%	0.56415	-6.44%	0.0623	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.550883	-0.18%	0.603	+9.26%	0.0916	✗	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.556672	-0.19%	0.5519	-1.05%	0.0077	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.583401	-0.23%	0.55775	-4.62%	0.0446	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.580996	-0.26%	0.58475	+0.39%	0.0062	✗	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.591112	-0.30%	0.5825	-1.75%	0.0155	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.614164	-0.43%	0.5929	-3.87%	0.0362	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.552043	-0.28%	0.6168	+11.42%	0.1109	✗	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.584176	-0.38%	0.5536	-5.59%	0.0592	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.579417	-0.46%	0.5864	+0.74%	0.0126	✗	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.598734	-0.66%	0.5821	-3.42%	0.0251	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.629578	-1.03%	0.6027	-5.25%	0.0431	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.633161	-1.70%	0.6361	-1.24%	0.0021	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.63154	-2.36%	0.6441	-0.42%	0.0202	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.603806	-1.56%	0.6468	+5.45%	0.0863	✗	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.600984	-1.41%	0.6134	+0.62%	0.0219	✗	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.601583	-0.65%	0.6096	+0.68%	0.0332	✗	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.629737	-0.31%	0.6055	-4.15%	0.0046	✓	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.624142	-0.23%	0.6317	+0.98%	0.0338	✗	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.617283	-0.13%	0.62555	+1.21%	0.0152	✗	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.608669	-0.06%	0.6181	+1.49%	0.0116	✗	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.625909	-0.08%	0.60905	-2.77%	0.0260	✓	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.638752	-0.04%	0.6264	-1.97%	0.0087	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.610381	+0.28%	0.639	+4.98%	0.0659	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.619436	+0.33%	0.6087	-1.41%	0.0011	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.619475	+0.35%	0.6174	+0.02%	0.0069	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.653763	+0.21%	0.6173	-5.38%	0.0616	✗	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.640364	+0.26%	0.6524	+2.14%	0.0028	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.66102	+0.12%	0.6387	-3.26%	0.0068	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.634015	+0.38%	0.6602	+4.53%	0.0395	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.581083	+1.08%	0.6316	+9.86%	0.0742	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.639137	+0.70%	0.5749	-9.42%	0.1036	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.721893	-0.04%	0.6347	-12.12%	0.1227	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.757773	-0.68%	0.7222	-5.35%	0.0391	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.709174	-0.37%	0.763	+7.19%	0.0853	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.738413	-0.25%	0.7118	-3.85%	0.0115	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.701918	-0.07%	0.7403	+5.40%	0.0309	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.765114	-0.23%	0.7024	-8.41%	0.0705	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.798555	-0.23%	0.7669	-4.19%	0.0251	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.906297	-0.49%	0.8004	-12.12%	0.1185	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.987425	-1.57%	0.9108	-9.21%	0.0997	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.851409	-1.72%	1.0032	+15.80%	0.1582	✗	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.63009	-0.33%	0.8663	+37.03%	0.3161	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.