PRL

Pearl · native · gru_s2

token id: #318
symbol: PRL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 609

Track record at +7d

assessed

196

of 203 predictions shown

direction hit

51.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1674

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0179

actual -0.0304

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.099715	0.097819	-1.90%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-21	oos	0.099215	0.097605	-1.62%	–	pending	–	–	-0.48
2026-10-20	oos	0.09595	0.094603	-1.40%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.086455	0.085971	-0.56%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.089395	0.088713	-0.76%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.09256	0.091772	-0.85%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.09638	0.095264	-1.16%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.098895	0.097424	-1.49%	0.099715	+0.83%	0.0360	✗	-0.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.10321	0.101228	-1.92%	0.099215	-3.87%	0.0052	✓	-0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.1071	0.104532	-2.40%	0.09595	-10.41%	0.0867	✓	-0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.10897	0.10594	-2.78%	0.086455	-20.66%	0.2027	✓	-0.52
2026-10-11	oos	0.11286	0.108867	-3.54%	0.089395	-20.79%	0.2063	✓	-0.46
2026-10-10	oos	0.11281	0.108717	-3.63%	0.09256	-17.95%	0.1688	✓	-0.43
2026-10-09	oos	0.112985	0.10877	-3.73%	0.09638	-14.70%	0.1264	✓	-0.43
2026-10-08	oos	0.112445	0.108217	-3.76%	0.098895	-12.05%	0.0878	✓	-0.43
2026-10-07	oos	0.112855	0.107953	-4.34%	0.10321	-8.55%	0.0536	✓	-0.42
2026-10-06	oos	0.114295	0.109027	-4.61%	0.1071	-6.30%	0.0305	✓	-0.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.1153	0.109822	-4.75%	0.10897	-5.49%	0.0260	✓	-0.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.115245	0.109884	-4.65%	0.11286	-2.07%	0.0141	✓	-0.38
2026-10-03	oos	0.11641	0.110614	-4.98%	0.11281	-3.09%	0.0115	✓	-0.37
2026-10-02	oos	0.1163	0.110306	-5.15%	0.112985	-2.85%	0.0151	✓	-0.38
2026-10-01	oos	0.117695	0.111313	-5.42%	0.112445	-4.46%	0.0041	✓	-0.38
2026-09-30	oos	0.11663	0.110166	-5.54%	0.112855	-3.24%	0.0229	✓	-0.35
2026-09-29	oos	0.116075	0.109698	-5.49%	0.114295	-1.53%	0.0487	✓	-0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.115385	0.109041	-5.50%	0.1153	-0.07%	0.0642	✗	-0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.12233	0.114966	-6.02%	0.115245	-5.79%	0.0098	✓	-0.31
2026-09-26	oos	0.12269	0.115085	-6.20%	0.11641	-5.12%	0.0126	✓	-0.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.12086	0.113432	-6.15%	0.1163	-3.77%	0.0264	✓	-0.30
2026-09-24	oos	0.11888	0.111528	-6.18%	0.117695	-1.00%	0.0555	✓	-0.30
2026-09-23	oos	0.11387	0.10704	-6.00%	0.11663	+2.42%	0.0829	✗	-0.30
2026-09-22	oos	0.12082	0.112771	-6.66%	0.116075	-3.93%	0.0179	✓	-0.36
2026-09-21	oos	0.118115	0.11041	-6.52%	0.115385	-2.31%	0.0317	✓	-0.33
2026-09-20	oos	0.11549	0.110233	-4.55%	0.12233	+5.92%	0.1211	✗	-0.43
2026-09-19	oos	0.11687	0.111328	-4.74%	0.12269	+4.98%	0.1138	✗	-0.43
2026-09-18	oos	0.11423	0.109757	-3.92%	0.12086	+5.80%	0.1128	✗	-0.42
2026-09-17	oos	0.1089	0.108249	-0.60%	0.11888	+9.16%	0.1483	✗	-0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.1093	0.109289	-0.01%	0.11387	+4.18%	0.0979	✗	-0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.107435	0.108321	+0.82%	0.12082	+12.46%	0.1771	✓	-0.52
2026-09-14	oos	0.113295	0.11306	-0.21%	0.118115	+4.25%	0.1009	✗	-0.56
2026-09-13	oos	0.110605	0.112028	+1.29%	0.11549	+4.42%	0.0600	✓	-0.54
2026-09-12	oos	0.117375	0.118493	+0.95%	0.11687	-0.43%	0.0140	✓	-0.56
2026-09-11	oos	0.1145	0.116884	+2.08%	0.11423	-0.24%	0.0031	✓	-0.56
2026-09-10	oos	0.10966	0.11357	+3.57%	0.1089	-0.69%	0.0434	✗	-0.56
2026-09-09	oos	0.117875	0.121536	+3.11%	0.1093	-7.27%	0.1233	✗	-0.62
2026-09-08	oos	0.125695	0.129343	+2.90%	0.107435	-14.53%	0.2037	✗	-0.49
2026-09-07	oos	0.13255	0.135875	+2.51%	0.113295	-14.53%	0.1876	✗	-0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.12763	0.133132	+4.31%	0.110605	-13.34%	0.2053	✗	-0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.12613	0.1328	+5.29%	0.117375	-6.94%	0.1384	✗	-0.46
2026-09-04	oos	0.12391	0.13134	+6.00%	0.1145	-7.59%	0.1500	✗	-0.41
2026-09-03	oos	0.12911	0.137018	+6.13%	0.10966	-15.06%	0.2488	✗	-0.44
2026-09-02	oos	0.13655	0.144753	+6.01%	0.117875	-13.68%	0.2021	✗	-0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.14876	0.156433	+5.16%	0.125695	-15.50%	0.2153	✗	-0.26
2026-08-31	oos	0.15862	0.166033	+4.67%	0.13255	-16.44%	0.2229	✗	-0.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.17393	0.179808	+3.38%	0.12763	-26.62%	0.3337	✗	-0.27
2026-08-29	oos	0.18234	0.187296	+2.72%	0.12613	-30.83%	0.3903	✗	-0.25
2026-08-28	oos	0.187175	0.19159	+2.36%	0.12391	-33.80%	0.4300	✗	-0.25
2026-08-27	oos	0.20275	0.205803	+1.51%	0.12911	-36.32%	0.4625	✗	-0.30
2026-08-26	oos	0.20398	0.206763	+1.36%	0.13655	-33.06%	0.4215	✗	-0.30
2026-08-25	oos	0.21216	0.213892	+0.82%	0.14876	-29.88%	0.3680	✗	-0.34
2026-08-24	oos	0.219885	0.220901	+0.46%	0.15862	-27.86%	0.3329	✗	-0.32
2026-08-23	oos	0.2312	0.230687	-0.22%	0.17393	-24.77%	0.2826	✓	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.2294	0.228737	-0.29%	0.18234	-20.51%	0.2227	✓	-0.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.25231	0.251848	-0.18%	0.187175	-25.82%	0.2987	✓	-0.31
2026-08-20	oos	0.25681	0.253373	-1.34%	0.20275	-21.05%	0.1935	✓	-0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.31667	0.311172	-1.74%	0.20398	-35.59%	0.4286	✓	0.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.44811	0.43042	-3.95%	0.21216	-52.65%	0.8878	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.39028	0.378617	-2.99%	0.219885	-43.66%	0.7261	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.39762	0.384123	-3.39%	0.2312	-41.85%	0.7101	✓	0.95
2026-08-15	oos	0.354585	0.342446	-3.42%	0.2294	-35.30%	0.5916	✓	0.95
2026-08-14	oos	0.35075	0.337897	-3.66%	0.25231	-28.07%	0.5002	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.300195	0.292764	-2.48%	0.25681	-14.45%	0.2726	✓	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.323825	0.314368	-2.92%	0.31667	-2.21%	0.0907	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.330115	0.318823	-3.42%	0.44811	+35.74%	0.3213	✗	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.304755	0.294934	-3.22%	0.39028	+28.06%	0.2707	✗	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.2748	0.266969	-2.85%	0.39762	+44.69%	0.4344	✗	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.300765	0.29092	-3.27%	0.354585	+17.89%	0.2318	✗	1.15
2026-08-07	oos	0.284025	0.274621	-3.31%	0.35075	+23.49%	0.2769	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.279705	0.2708	-3.18%	0.300195	+7.33%	0.1173	✗	1.08
2026-08-05	oos	0.27185	0.263497	-3.07%	0.323825	+19.12%	0.2264	✗	1.09
2026-08-04	oos	0.257085	0.249815	-2.83%	0.330115	+28.41%	0.2872	✗	1.05
2026-08-03	oos	0.25844	0.250345	-3.13%	0.304755	+17.92%	0.1894	✗	1.03
2026-08-02	oos	0.2655	0.255172	-3.89%	0.2748	+3.50%	0.0518	✗	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.24187	0.234221	-3.16%	0.300765	+24.35%	0.2150	✗	1.04
2026-07-31	oos	0.24613	0.237093	-3.67%	0.284025	+15.40%	0.1468	✗	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.24718	0.236067	-4.50%	0.279705	+13.16%	0.1772	✗	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.2118	0.204764	-3.32%	0.27185	+28.35%	0.2736	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.18124	0.177988	-1.79%	0.257085	+41.85%	0.3650	✗	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.180795	0.177489	-1.83%	0.25844	+42.95%	0.3788	✗	0.86
2026-07-26	oos	0.19156	0.186299	-2.75%	0.2655	+38.60%	0.3769	✗	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.180655	0.176823	-2.12%	0.24187	+33.89%	0.3268	✗	0.56
2026-07-24	oos	0.17977	0.175789	-2.21%	0.24613	+36.91%	0.3482	✗	0.59
2026-07-23	oos	0.17194	0.168444	-2.03%	0.24718	+43.76%	0.3866	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	0.170375	0.167117	-1.91%	0.2118	+24.31%	0.2577	✗	0.61
2026-07-21	oos	0.176875	0.173282	-2.03%	0.18124	+2.47%	0.0693	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	0.17387	0.170593	-1.88%	0.180795	+3.98%	0.0724	✗	0.61
2026-07-19	oos	0.17227	0.169388	-1.67%	0.19156	+11.20%	0.1168	✗	0.61
2026-07-18	oos	0.1727	0.16992	-1.61%	0.180655	+4.61%	0.0670	✗	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.17012	0.167952	-1.27%	0.17977	+5.67%	0.0660	✗	0.68
2026-07-16	oos	0.168865	0.16707	-1.06%	0.17194	+1.82%	0.0121	✗	0.84
2026-07-15	oos	0.16945	0.16762	-1.08%	0.170375	+0.55%	0.0023	✓	0.67
2026-07-14	oos	0.175085	0.172885	-1.26%	0.176875	+1.02%	0.0051	✓	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.165275	0.163451	-1.10%	0.17387	+5.20%	0.0282	✗	0.73
2026-07-12	oos	0.170995	0.168833	-1.26%	0.17227	+0.75%	0.0097	✓	0.71
2026-07-11	oos	0.16921	0.167378	-1.08%	0.1727	+2.06%	0.0223	✗	0.57
2026-07-10	oos	0.173995	0.171891	-1.21%	0.17012	-2.23%	0.0086	✓	0.48
2026-07-09	oos	0.16962	0.167771	-1.09%	0.168865	-0.45%	0.0021	✓	0.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.172195	0.170354	-1.07%	0.16945	-1.59%	0.0232	✓	0.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.18963	0.186477	-1.66%	0.175085	-7.67%	0.0734	✓	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.19	0.186715	-1.73%	0.165275	-13.01%	0.1112	✓	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.172495	0.170409	-1.21%	0.170995	-0.87%	0.0026	✓	0.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.184115	0.180935	-1.73%	0.16921	-8.10%	0.0710	✓	0.37
2026-07-03	oos	0.17919	0.176488	-1.51%	0.173995	-2.90%	0.0263	✓	0.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.167965	0.166073	-1.13%	0.16962	+0.99%	0.0084	✓	0.47
2026-07-01	oos	0.16593	0.164363	-0.94%	0.172195	+3.78%	0.0291	✗	0.47
2026-06-30	oos	0.15907	0.158218	-0.54%	0.18963	+19.21%	0.1444	✗	0.47
2026-06-29	oos	0.16325	0.161747	-0.92%	0.19	+16.39%	0.1330	✗	0.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.154175	0.153574	-0.39%	0.172495	+11.88%	0.0948	✗	0.32
2026-06-27	oos	0.150835	0.150488	-0.23%	0.184115	+22.06%	0.1893	✗	0.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.14411	0.144296	+0.13%	0.17919	+24.34%	0.2070	✓	0.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.14418	0.144504	+0.22%	0.167965	+16.50%	0.1436	✓	0.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1387	0.139015	+0.23%	0.16593	+19.63%	0.1852	✓	0.48
2026-06-23	oos	0.14184	0.141552	-0.20%	0.15907	+12.15%	0.1345	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.13865	0.138426	-0.16%	0.16325	+17.74%	0.1820	✗	0.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.14252	0.142447	-0.05%	0.154175	+8.18%	0.0969	✗	0.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.14479	0.144687	-0.07%	0.150835	+4.18%	0.0614	✗	0.29
2026-06-19	oos	0.144445	0.144748	+0.21%	0.14411	-0.23%	0.0116	✓	0.29
2026-06-18	oos	0.151155	0.151357	+0.13%	0.14418	-4.61%	0.0330	✗	0.30
2026-06-17	oos	0.15744	0.1569	-0.34%	0.1387	-11.90%	0.1080	✓	0.28
2026-06-16	oos	0.16476	0.163556	-0.73%	0.14184	-13.91%	0.1305	✓	0.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.18421	0.182043	-1.18%	0.13865	-24.73%	0.2642	✓	0.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.19015	0.18781	-1.23%	0.14252	-25.05%	0.2669	✓	0.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.195935	0.193389	-1.30%	0.14479	-26.10%	0.2886	✓	0.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.191665	0.189424	-1.17%	0.144445	-24.64%	0.2708	✓	0.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.1988	0.195347	-1.74%	0.151155	-23.97%	0.2537	✓	0.25
2026-06-10	oos	0.17579	0.174952	-0.48%	0.15744	-10.44%	0.1114	✓	0.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.179975	0.178903	-0.60%	0.16476	-8.45%	0.0900	✓	0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.18887	0.186861	-1.06%	0.18421	-2.47%	0.0189	✓	0.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.178	0.176975	-0.58%	0.19015	+6.83%	0.0682	✗	0.10
2026-06-06	oos	0.17343	0.173963	+0.31%	0.195935	+12.98%	0.1152	✓	0.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.17492	0.17584	+0.53%	0.191665	+9.57%	0.0835	✓	0.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.18829	0.187829	-0.24%	0.1988	+5.58%	0.0566	✗	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.20735	0.205437	-0.92%	0.17579	-15.22%	0.1582	✓	-0.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.19479	0.193087	-0.87%	0.179975	-7.61%	0.0679	✓	0.03
2026-06-01	oos	0.19786	0.194804	-1.54%	0.18887	-4.54%	0.0334	✓	-0.02
2026-05-31	oos	0.20331	0.198722	-2.26%	0.178	-12.45%	0.1204	✓	-0.07
2026-05-30	oos	0.20295	0.198023	-2.43%	0.17343	-14.55%	0.1458	✓	-0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.181715	0.180504	-0.67%	0.17492	-3.74%	0.0490	✓	-0.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.17852	0.176854	-0.93%	0.18829	+5.47%	0.0494	✗	-0.09
2026-05-27	oos	0.15387	0.157271	+2.21%	0.20735	+34.76%	0.2752	✓	-0.01
2026-05-26	oos	0.16026	0.162976	+1.69%	0.19479	+21.55%	0.1716	✓	-0.05
2026-05-25	oos	0.17268	0.174017	+0.77%	0.19786	+14.58%	0.1180	✓	-0.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.17963	0.180584	+0.53%	0.20331	+13.18%	0.1128	✓	-0.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.191655	0.191768	+0.06%	0.20295	+5.89%	0.0523	✓	-0.12
2026-05-22	oos	0.18882	0.190078	+0.67%	0.181715	-3.76%	0.0485	✗	-0.13
2026-05-21	oos	0.19739	0.196918	-0.24%	0.17852	-9.56%	0.1092	✓	-0.21
2026-05-20	oos	0.200525	0.20011	-0.21%	0.15387	-23.27%	0.2714	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.200605	0.201102	+0.25%	0.16026	-20.11%	0.2296	✗	-0.21
2026-05-18	oos	0.206865	0.206929	+0.03%	0.17268	-16.53%	0.1801	✗	-0.21
2026-05-17	oos	0.19963	0.201047	+0.71%	0.17963	-10.02%	0.1138	✗	-0.20
2026-05-16	oos	0.20361	0.204477	+0.43%	0.191655	-5.87%	0.0689	✗	-0.22
2026-05-15	oos	0.219995	0.217884	-0.96%	0.18882	-14.17%	0.1565	✓	-0.29
2026-05-14	oos	0.2512	0.244828	-2.54%	0.19739	-21.42%	0.2389	✓	-0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.25513	0.248124	-2.75%	0.200525	-21.40%	0.2248	✓	-0.51
2026-05-12	oos	0.25496	0.248298	-2.61%	0.200605	-21.32%	0.2384	✓	-0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.27403	0.265863	-2.98%	0.206865	-24.51%	0.2892	✓	-0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.27135	0.263869	-2.76%	0.19963	-26.43%	0.3174	✓	-0.64
2026-05-09	oos	0.28986	0.27922	-3.67%	0.20361	-29.76%	0.3341	✓	-0.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.28383	0.273748	-3.55%	0.219995	-22.49%	0.2267	✓	-0.57
2026-05-07	oos	0.27438	0.265564	-3.21%	0.2512	-8.45%	0.0480	✓	-0.57
2026-05-06	oos	0.26746	0.260347	-2.66%	0.25513	-4.61%	0.0354	✓	-0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.283635	0.272604	-3.89%	0.25496	-10.11%	0.0698	✓	-0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.26549	0.257126	-3.15%	0.27403	+3.22%	0.0774	✗	-0.59
2026-05-03	oos	0.25235	0.245138	-2.86%	0.27135	+7.53%	0.1304	✗	-0.64
2026-05-02	oos	0.26266	0.254561	-3.08%	0.28986	+10.36%	0.1460	✗	-0.65
2026-05-01	oos	0.25282	0.245815	-2.77%	0.28383	+12.27%	0.1600	✗	-0.66
2026-04-30	oos	0.28061	0.270084	-3.75%	0.27438	-2.22%	0.0391	✗	-0.49
2026-04-29	oos	0.31369	0.298978	-4.69%	0.26746	-14.74%	0.0793	✓	-0.44
2026-04-28	oos	0.35463	0.331529	-6.51%	0.283635	-20.02%	0.1244	✓	-0.54
2026-04-27	oos	0.3251	0.297907	-8.36%	0.26549	-18.34%	0.1001	✓	-0.48
2026-04-26	oos	0.22072	0.21557	-2.33%	0.25235	+14.33%	0.1576	✗	0.06
2026-04-25	oos	0.20786	0.203541	-2.08%	0.26266	+26.36%	0.2548	✗	0.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.205465	0.201412	-1.97%	0.25282	+23.05%	0.2272	✗	0.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.20197	0.199006	-1.47%	0.28061	+38.94%	0.3692	✗	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.23358	0.227025	-2.81%	0.31369	+34.30%	0.3552	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.22605	0.21862	-3.29%	0.35463	+56.88%	0.4841	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.22024	0.212279	-3.61%	0.3251	+47.61%	0.4067	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.19005	0.184786	-2.77%	0.22072	+16.14%	0.1141	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.18005	0.176332	-2.07%	0.20786	+15.45%	0.1395	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.24832	0.238212	-4.07%	0.205465	-17.26%	0.1526	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.29724	0.267757	-9.92%	0.20197	-32.05%	0.3226	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.18078	0.175452	-2.95%	0.23358	+29.21%	0.2421	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.17941	0.173821	-3.12%	0.22605	+26.00%	0.2339	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.17572	0.170464	-2.99%	0.22024	+25.34%	0.2373	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.18519	0.176795	-4.53%	0.19005	+2.62%	0.0299	✓	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.17241	0.166428	-3.47%	0.18005	+4.43%	0.0430	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.16176	0.156887	-3.01%	0.24832	+53.51%	0.4045	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.16878	0.163233	-3.29%	0.29724	+76.11%	0.5536	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.17473	0.168556	-3.53%	0.18078	+3.46%	0.0186	✓	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.17153	0.16621	-3.10%	0.17941	+4.59%	0.0454	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.17115	0.165303	-3.42%	0.17572	+2.67%	0.0170	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.19287	0.183988	-4.61%	0.18519	-3.98%	0.0185	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.16536	0.159589	-3.49%	0.17241	+4.26%	0.0053	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.14425	0.140685	-2.47%	0.16176	+12.14%	0.0533	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.